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UTSA

UTSA 27 at Louisiana Tech 41

LT
2019 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2019 · Joe Aillet Stadium
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Win probability · LT
modelLT aheadUTSA aheadconfidence bandkey playLT scoreUTSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 14:09 · Lucas Dean punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Amik Robertson at the TexSA 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 114Pregame prior+25.2Home team on offense+6.3Score differential+1.4Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 0:00: Bailey Hale 34 yd FG GOOD — LT win probability +3.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:08: Jordan Weeks pass intercepted for a TD James Jackson return for 17 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK) — LT win probability +6.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 1:17: Bailey Hale 25 yd FG GOOD — LT win probability +3.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:46: J'Mar Smith pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 24 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK) — LT win probability +3.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:59: Jordan Weeks pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 6 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +5.8 pts (now 7%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LT made the numbers' call on 8 of 9UTSA made the numbers' call on 8 of 12
  1. Q1 12:02UTSA 4th & 3 at LT 11, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.8%−<0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    9.4%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:07UTSA 4th & 3 at UTSA 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:58LT 4th & 21 at UTSA 45, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.6%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    89.7%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:08UTSA 4th & 6 at UTSA 16, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:52UTSA 4th & 1 at LT 6, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.9%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    10.4%−0.5
    91% to make
    Punt
    9.3%−1.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00LT 4th & 12 at LT 41, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:35UTSA 4th & 6 at LT 44, down 4
    Close callPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    14.0%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.4%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:39UTSA 4th & 6 at UTSA 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:56LT 4th & 11 at LT 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:07UTSA 4th & 1 at UTSA 34, down 4
    Close callPunted · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:00LT 4th & 15 at UTSA 16, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.7%−1.1
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.7%
    81% to make
    Punt
    78.2%−3.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00LT 4th & 6 at LT 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 14:09UTSA 4th & 7 at UTSA 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 12:48LT 4th & 1 at UTSA 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    84.5%−1.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    79.3%−7.0
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:52UTSA 4th & 8 at LT 9, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    3.6%−4.6
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:17LT 4th & 3 at UTSA 8, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.3%−0.6
    90% to make
    Punt
    86.1%−4.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:46UTSA 4th & 5 at UTSA 41, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:33LT 4th & 14 at LT 35, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:58UTSA 4th & 4 at LT 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%−0.3
    40% to make
    Punt
    2.9%−1.0
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:14UTSA 4th & 19 at LT 19, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.1 ptsWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%−1.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    4.0%
    77% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−1.7
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:06LT 4th & 9 at LT 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UTSA made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 10:59LT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:21LT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:16UTSA Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:39LT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:08LT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:46LT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:59UTSA Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTSADrive 1FG
9 plays · 64 yds · 2:587% → 8%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
92.6%
Jordan Weeks pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 35 yds to the LaTch 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
92.6%
Jordan Weeks pass complete to Carlos Strickland II for 8 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 32
0
92.6%
Jordan Weeks pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+14
92.6%
Sincere McCormick run for 14 yds to the LaTch 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
92.6%
Sincere McCormick run for 6 yds to the LaTch 12Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+2
92.6%
Brenden Brady run for 2 yds to the LaTch 10Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 10
-1
92.6%
Sincere McCormick run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 11Similar
Q1 12:02
4TH & 3
OPP 11
+28
91.7%
Hunter Duplessis 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2TD
5 plays · 66 yds · 1:0392% → 92%
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+25
91.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Smoke Harris for 25 yds to the TexSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
91.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Malik Stanley for 11 yds to the TexSA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
91.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Malik Stanley for 8 yds to the TexSA 22Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+22
91.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 22 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:528% → 8%
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
91.7%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 28Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
91.7%
Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the TexSA 32Similar
Q1 10:07
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
91.7%
Jordan Weeks pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:07
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
91.7%
Lucas Dean punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 4PUNT
11 plays · 24 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
91.5%
J'Mar Smith run for 6 yds to the LaTch 37Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+10
91.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Justin Henderson for 10 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
91.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+1
91.6%
Justin Henderson run for 1 yd to the LaTch 48Similar
Q1 9:58
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+13
91.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 13 yds to the TexSA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
91.7%
Israel Tucker run for 2 yds to the TexSA 32Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 8
OPP 32
-15
91.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Smoke Harris for a loss of 15 yards to the TexSA 47Similar
Q1 9:58
3RD & 23
OPP 47
+5
91.5%
SMITH, J'Mar pass incomplete to POWELL, Cee Jay, PENALTY UTSA offside (BANKS, Eric) 5 yards to the UTSA42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:58
3RD & 18
OPP 42
-3
91.5%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Clarence Hicks for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 45Similar
Q1 9:58
4TH & 21
OPP 45
0
91.5%
Brady Farlow punt for 33 yds , Sheldon Jones returns for no gain to the TexSA 12Similar
Q1 9:58
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+5
91.5%
SMITH, J'Mar pass incomplete to HENDERSON, J., PENALTY UTSA offside (HICKS, Clarence) 5 yards to the UTSA47, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
90.9%
Jordan Weeks pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 4 yds to the TexSA 16Similar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 6
OWN 16
0
90.9%
Jordan Weeks pass incomplete to Carlos Strickland IISimilar
Q1 6:08
3RD & 6
OWN 16
0
91.0%
Jordan Weeks pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:08
4TH & 6
OWN 16
0
91.1%
Lucas Dean punt for 54 yds , Amik Robertson returns for no gain to the LaTch 16 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, personal foul (Wayne Toussant) to the LaTch 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 6TD
6 plays · 85 yds · 1:4390% → 92%
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
90.4%
Justin Henderson run for 8 yds to the LaTch 23Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+1
90.5%
Justin Henderson run for 1 yd to the LaTch 24Similar
Q1 5:04
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+66
90.3%
Justin Henderson run for 66 yds to the TexSA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
90.5%
TUCKER, Israel rush for 5 yards to the UTSA5 (CARTER-McLIN, J), PENALTY UTSA offside (CARTER-McLIN, J) 5 yards to the UTSA5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
91.6%
J'Mar Smith run for 5 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 7TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:058% → 11%
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.7%
Jordan Weeks pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 4 yds to the TexSA 29Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
91.6%
Jordan Weeks pass incomplete to Carlos Strickland IISimilar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
91.8%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Defensive offside (Milton Williams) to the TexSA 34Similar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+51
91.6%
Sincere McCormick run for 51 yds to the LaTch 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
91.1%
Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the LaTch 11Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+3
91.1%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the LaTch 8Similar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+2
91.3%
Jordan Weeks pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 2 yds to the LaTch 6Similar
Q1 0:52
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+1
91.1%
Brenden Brady run for 1 yd to the LaTch 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
90.7%
Brenden Brady run for 3 yds to the LaTch 2Similar
Q1 0:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
88.8%
Brenden Brady run for 2 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:1690% → 89%
Q1 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
89.8%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Wayne ToussantSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+3
89.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Israel Tucker for 3 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 46
0
89.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Israel Tucker, broken up by Lorenzo DantzlerSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 46
-5
89.2%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the LaTch 41Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 41
+1
89.0%
Brady Farlow punt for 33 yds , Sheldon Jones returns for 1 yd to the TexSA 27 Sheldon Jones fumbled, recovered by TexSA Sheldon JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:3910% → 15%
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
89.6%
Jordan Weeks pass complete to Blaze Moorhead for 11 yds to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
89.2%
Jordan Weeks pass complete to Blaze Moorhead for 4 yds to the TexSA 42Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+4
89.1%
Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the TexSA 46Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+6
89.1%
Sincere McCormick run for 6 yds to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
88.9%
Jordan Weeks pass incomplete to Carlos Strickland IISimilar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+2
89.0%
Brenden Brady run for 2 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+2
89.1%
Brenden Brady run for 2 yds to the LaTch 44Similar
Q2 11:35
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
85.0%
Lucas Dean punt for 38 yds , Amik Robertson returns for no gain for a TD Amik Robertson fumbled, recovered by TexSA Blaze Moorhead for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 10TD
10 plays · 76 yds · 2:5686% → 89%
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
85.5%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+15
85.5%
SMITH, J'Mar sacked for loss of 6 yards to the LATECH18 (HENRY, D.), PENALTY UTSA face mask (WOOLEN, Tariq) 15 yards to the LATECH39, 1ST DOWN LATECH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
85.9%
Justin Henderson run for 3 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+8
86.4%
Justin Henderson run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
50
-5
86.5%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaTch 45Similar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+13
85.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 13 yds to the TexSA 42Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+1
86.6%
Justin Henderson run for 1 yd to the TexSA 41Similar
Q2 11:35
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+2
86.5%
J'Mar Smith run for 2 yds to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
88.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 39 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
88.2%
Jordan Weeks pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 7 yds to the TexSA 32Similar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
87.7%
Jordan Weeks pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 4 yds to the TexSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
87.9%
Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the TexSA 40Similar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
87.4%
Jordan Weeks pass incomplete to Zakhari Franklin, broken up by Michael SamSimilar
Q2 8:39
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
87.8%
Jordan Weeks pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:39
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
88.4%
Lucas Dean punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
87.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Justin Henderson for 1 yd to the LaTch 31Similar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 9
OWN 31
-3
87.6%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Eric Banks for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 28Similar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 12
OWN 28
+1
87.2%
J'Mar Smith run for 1 yd to the LaTch 29Similar
Q2 6:56
4TH & 11
OWN 29
+46
86.8%
Brady Farlow punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Sheldon Jones at the LATECH 35 UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the TexSA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
87.6%
Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the TexSA 29Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
87.3%
Jordan Weeks pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 5 yds to the TexSA 34Similar
Q2 5:07
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
87.1%
Sincere McCormick run for no gain to the TexSA 34Similar
Q2 5:07
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
87.7%
Lucas Dean punt for 56 yds, downed at the LaTch 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14FG
12 plays · 74 yds · 3:0887% → 88%
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
86.5%
Israel Tucker run for 3 yds to the LaTch 13Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+54
86.4%
Israel Tucker run for 54 yds to the TexSA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
88.0%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Israel Tucker for 5 yds to the TexSA 28Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+5
88.0%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Smoke Harris for 5 yds to the TexSA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
88.0%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Smoke HarrisSimilar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+12
87.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Justin Henderson for 12 yds to the TexSA 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
88.0%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Smoke Harris for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 12Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 11
OPP 12
-3
88.0%
J'Mar Smith sacked by DeQuarius Henry for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 15Similar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 14
OPP 15
-1
85.4%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Jarrod Carter-McLin for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 16Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 15
OPP 16
+34
87.5%
Bailey Hale 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
87.7%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Smoke HarrisSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+4
87.6%
Justin Henderson run for 4 yds to the LaTch 38Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 38
0
87.7%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Malik StanleySimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
86.9%
Brady Farlow punt for 57 yds, downed at the TexSA 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q3 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-2
87.1%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, IM (Spencer Burford) to the TexSA 3Similar
Q3 14:09
1ST & 12
OWN 3
+6
87.1%
Jordan Weeks pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 6 yds to the TexSA 9Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 6
OWN 9
-1
87.2%
Jordan Weeks run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 8Similar
Q3 14:09
3RD & 7
OWN 8
0
87.7%
Jordan Weeks pass incomplete to Sheldon JonesSimilar
Q3 14:09
4TH & 7
OWN 8
0
88.0%
Lucas Dean punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Amik Robertson at the TexSA 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 37 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
88.2%
Justin Henderson run for 1 yd to the TexSA 42Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+30
88.2%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 30 yds to the TexSA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
88.3%
J'Mar Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 13Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 11
OPP 13
+7
88.3%
SMITH, J'Mar pass incomplete to GRAHAM, Isaiah, PENALTY UTSA holding 7 yards to the UTSA6, 1ST DOWN LATECH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
88.3%
Justin Henderson run for 2 yds to the TexSA 4Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
88.3%
J'Mar Smith run for 3 yds to the TexSA 1Similar
Q3 12:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
87.9%
Justin Henderson run for no gain to the TexSA 1Similar
Q3 12:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
87.2%
Justin Henderson run for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSA 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 18INT TD
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:2314% → 7%
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+8
86.0%
Sincere McCormick run for 8 yds to the TexSA 14Similar
Q3 9:31
2ND & 2
OWN 14
+2
85.8%
Jordan Weeks pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 2 yds to the TexSA 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
85.7%
Jordan Weeks run for no gain to the TexSA 16Similar
Q3 9:31
2ND & 10
OWN 16
-1
86.0%
Sincere McCormick run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 15Similar
Q3 7:08
3RD & 11
OWN 15
+17
92.6%
Jordan Weeks pass intercepted for a TD James Jackson return for 17 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 19FG
8 plays · 42 yds · 2:169% → 11%
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
91.2%
Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+24
91.2%
Jordan Weeks pass complete to Carlos Strickland II for 24 yds to the LaTch 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
90.4%
Jordan Weeks pass complete to Carlos Strickland II for 12 yds to the LaTch 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
90.4%
Jordan Weeks pass incomplete to Carlos Strickland II, broken up by Darryl LewisSimilar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+2
90.4%
Brenden Brady run for 2 yds to the LaTch 9Similar
Q3 7:08
3RD & 8
OPP 9
0
91.0%
Jordan Weeks pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:52
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+27
89.5%
Hunter Duplessis 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 20FG
10 plays · 67 yds · 3:3591% → 95%
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
90.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Malik Stanley for 21 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
91.4%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Lorenzo Dantzler for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 41Similar
Q3 4:52
2ND & 15
OWN 41
+34
91.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 19 yds to the LATECH 40 for a 1ST down UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, personal foul (Brandon Matterson) to the TexSA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
91.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 10 yds to the TexSA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
91.4%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:52
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
91.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Malik Stanley for no gain to the TexSA 15Similar
Q3 1:58
3RD & 10
OWN 0
0
90.5%
SMITH, J'Mar pass complete to HEBERT, Griffin for 15 yards to the UTSA0, clock 01:58, PENALTY LATECH holding off-setting, PENALTY UTSA IS off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:58
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+7
91.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 7 yds to the TexSA 8Similar
Q3 1:17
4TH & 3
OPP 8
+25
95.1%
Bailey Hale 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 21INT
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:177% → 7%
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
92.6%
Jordan Weeks pass complete to Sincere McCormick for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 35Similar
Q3 1:17
2ND & 11
OWN 35
-5
93.1%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, IM (Ahofitu Maka) to the TexSA 30Similar
Q3 1:17
2ND & 16
OWN 30
+24
93.2%
Jordan Weeks pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 24 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
93.0%
Jordan Weeks pass intercepted, touchback. L'Jarius Sneed return for no gain UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 22TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:0595% → 99%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
95.4%
Justin Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 19Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
95.3%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Wayne ToussantSimilar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+46
95.2%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 46 yds to the TexSA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
95.8%
Justin Henderson run for 4 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+7
95.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Smoke Harris for 7 yds to the TexSA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
99.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 24 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.0%
Jordan Weeks pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 11 yds to the TexSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
98.9%
Brenden Brady run for 8 yds to the TexSA 44Similar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 2
OWN 44
-4
98.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSA 42 TEAM fumbled, recovered by TexSA Brenden BradySimilar
Q4 12:46
3RD & 4
OWN 42
-1
98.9%
Jordan Weeks pass complete to Brenden Brady for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 41Similar
Q4 12:46
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
98.9%
Lucas Dean punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-10
99.1%
HENDERSON, J. rush for no gain to the LATECH28 (WISDOM, Rashad;HARMANSON, T.), PENALTY LATECH holding 10 yards to the LATECH18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 20
OWN 18
+5
99.0%
SMITH, J'Mar sacked for loss of 4 yards to the LATECH14 (DANTZLER, L.), PENALTY UTSA offside (DANTZLER, L.) 5 yards to the LATECH23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 15
OWN 23
+16
99.0%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Justin Henderson for 16 yds to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
99.0%
PENALTY LATECH personal foul off-setting, PENALTY UTSA personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.1%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Malik Stanley, broken up by Baylen BakerSimilar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-4
99.1%
J'Mar Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 35Similar
Q4 10:33
3RD & 14
OWN 35
0
99.0%
J'Mar Smith run for no gain to the LaTch 35Similar
Q4 10:33
4TH & 14
OWN 35
+1
99.0%
Brady Farlow punt for 34 yds , Sheldon Jones returns for 1 yd to the TexSA 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 25TD
3 plays · 68 yds · 0:471% → 7%
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+36
99.1%
Jordan Weeks pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 36 yds to the LaTch 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+26
99.0%
Jordan Weeks pass complete to Carlos Strickland II for 26 yds to the LaTch 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
93.2%
Jordan Weeks pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 6 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 26FUMBLE
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.5%
Justin Henderson run for 4 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
96.5%
Justin Henderson run for 3 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+11
96.6%
J'Mar Smith run for 11 yds to the LaTch 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
96.8%
Justin Henderson run for 2 yds to the LaTch 45Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 8
OWN 45
-5
96.8%
Justin Henderson run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 43 Justin Henderson fumbled, recovered by TexSA Rashad WisdomSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 27DOWNS
11 plays · 18 yds · 1:445% → 2%
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
95.3%
Jordan Weeks pass incomplete to Zakhari FranklinSimilar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+6
95.3%
Sincere McCormick run for 6 yds to the LaTch 37Similar
Q4 3:58
3RD & 4
OPP 37
0
95.2%
Jordan Weeks pass incomplete to Carlos Strickland IISimilar
Q4 3:58
4TH & 4
OPP 37
+12
95.6%
Jordan Weeks pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 12 yds to the LaTch 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
94.7%
Jordan Weeks pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 3 yds to the LaTch 22Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+16
94.7%
Jordan Weeks run for 9 yds to the LaTch 13 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, personal foul (Collin Scott) to the LaTch 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
94.7%
Jordan Weeks pass incomplete to Zakhari FranklinSimilar
Q4 3:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-4
94.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 19 TEAM fumbled, recovered by TexSA Jordan WeeksSimilar
Q4 2:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 19
0
97.3%
Jordan Weeks pass incomplete to Sincere McCormickSimilar
Q4 2:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 19
-6
97.6%
Jordan Weeks sacked by Courtney Wallace for a loss of 6 yards to the LaTch 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 28PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:5898% → 98%
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.0%
Justin Henderson run for 5 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
98.1%
Justin Henderson run for no gain to the LaTch 30Similar
Q4 1:11
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-4
98.4%
J'Mar Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 26Similar
Q4 1:06
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+45
98.3%
Brady Farlow punt for 45 yds , Sheldon Jones returns for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 29END OF GAME
4 plays · 21 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+17
98.7%
Jordan Weeks pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 17 yds to the TexSA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
98.7%
Jordan Weeks pass complete to Gavin Sharp for 4 yds to the TexSA 49Similar
Q4 0:56
3RD & 6
OWN 49
-15
98.7%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the TexSA 34Similar
Q4 0:56
3RD & 21
OWN 34
+15
98.8%
Jordan Weeks pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 15 yds to the TexSA 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:08
Jordan Weeks pass intercepted for a TD James Jackson return for 17 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)
+6.6
TD · Q4 6:59
Jordan Weeks pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 6 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)
-5.8
FG · Q3 1:17
Bailey Hale 25 yd FG GOOD
+3.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com