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FIU

Florida International 27 at Marshall 30

MRSH
2019 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2019 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Robert LeFevre punt for 36 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+24.5+12.30−12.3−24.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 10Pregame prior+24.3Home team on offense+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Time remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 14:54: Anthony Jones run for 9 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +16.4 pts (now 38%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q4 14:42: James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 22 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +32.9 pts (now 64%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 2:16: Isaiah Green pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 18 yds for a TD ROHRWASSER, J. kick attempt good, PENALTY MAR holding (MORRELL, Garet) 10 yards to the FIU13, NO PLAY. (Justin Rohrwasser KICK) — MRSH win probability +41.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 0:21: Jose Borregales 41 yd FG GOOD — FIU win probability +30.6 pts (now 53%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Brenden Knox run for 1 yd for a TD — MRSH win probability +45.1 pts (now 86%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 8 of 9FIU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00MRSH 4th & 14 at FIU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.6%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    75.6%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:55FIU 4th & 17 at FIU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.8%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:34MRSH 4th & 13 at MRSH 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.6%−0.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:17FIU 4th & 2 at FIU 17, tied
    Close callPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.0%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:48MRSH 4th & 8 at FIU 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    73.2%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.2%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:16FIU 4th & 16 at FIU 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.2%−1.0
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:52MRSH 4th & 10 at FIU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.6%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    70.1%−1.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:21FIU 4th & 9 at MRSH 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    27.1%−0.8
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    27.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:34MRSH 4th & 6 at MRSH 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.4%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:05FIU 4th & 7 at FIU 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00FIU 4th & 21 at FIU 14, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−3.5
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:00MRSH 4th & 1 at FIU 1, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    68.3%−3.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    59.9%−11.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:00FIU 4th & 6 at MRSH 41, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    16.6%−1.3
    32% to make
    Punt
    17.2%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:42MRSH 4th & 16 at MRSH 42, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%−4.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:53MRSH 4th & 9 at FIU 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%−2.5
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    31.5%−11.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:53FIU 4th & 12 at FIU 37, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%−5.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:23MRSH 4th & 1 at FIU 19, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    38.7%−3.7
    77% to make
    Punt
    23.9%−18.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:16FIU 4th & 1 at FIU 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    15.5%−8.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:21FIU 4th & 9 at MRSH 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−15.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.4%
    68% to make
    Punt
    8.2%−23.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3FIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 11:29FIU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:21MRSH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:00MRSH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:54FIU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:42FIU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:16MRSH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.4%−1.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MRSHDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 7 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
74.3%
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd to the Marsh 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+5
74.3%
Brenden Knox run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+5
74.3%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Obi Obialo for 5 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
74.3%
Brenden Knox run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 36
0
74.3%
Brenden Knox run for no gain to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 36
0
74.3%
Isaiah Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 36
-5
74.3%
MARSHALL Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 41
-5
74.3%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (Sheldon Evans) to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 14
OPP 46
0
74.3%
Robert LeFevre punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
73.6%
James Morgan pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 7 yds to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+9
73.6%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 9 yds to the FlaIn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
73.6%
Anthony Jones run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+12
73.5%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
73.4%
James Morgan pass complete to Napoleon Maxwell for 6 yds to the Marsh 49Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+2
73.3%
James Morgan pass complete to D'Vonte Price for 2 yds to the Marsh 47Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 2
OPP 47
-15
73.4%
MORGAN,J pass incomplete to PALMER,S, QB hurry by SILVA, Fermin, PENALTY FIU personal foul (GAITER,T) 15 yards to the FIU38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:55
4TH & 17
OWN 38
0
73.8%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 36 ydsSimilar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 17
OWN 38
0
73.7%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:0073% → 72%
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
72.8%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Brenden Knox for 3 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+10
72.9%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Obi Obialo for 10 yds to the Marsh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
73.0%
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd to the Marsh 40Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
73.0%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Devin MillerSimilar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 9
OWN 40
-4
72.8%
Isaiah Green sacked by Alexy Jean-Baptiste and Kevin Oliver for a loss of 4 yards to the Marsh 36Similar
Q1 8:34
4TH & 13
OWN 36
0
72.4%
Robert LeFevre punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
72.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 5 yds to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+3
72.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 3 yds to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q1 6:17
3RD & 2
OWN 17
0
72.4%
James Morgan pass incomplete, broken up by Tavante BeckettSimilar
Q1 6:17
4TH & 2
OWN 17
0
72.7%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:0073% → 72%
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
72.8%
Xavier Gaines run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+2
72.9%
Xavier Gaines run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
72.9%
Xavier Gaines run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 11
OPP 42
0
72.8%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Brenden KnoxSimilar
Q1 4:48
3RD & 11
OPP 42
+3
72.3%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q1 4:48
4TH & 8
OPP 39
0
72.1%
Robert LeFevre punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Tony Gaiter IV at the FlaIn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
70.8%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 8
OWN 13
-8
70.9%
James Morgan sacked by Sam Burton for a loss of 8 yards to the FlaIn 5Similar
Q1 2:16
3RD & 16
OWN 5
0
71.4%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Shemar Thornton, broken up by Sam BurtonSimilar
Q1 2:16
4TH & 16
OWN 5
0
71.8%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 7FG
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:0173% → 72%
Q1 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
72.5%
Brenden Knox run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
72.8%
Brenden Knox run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q1 0:53
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+6
72.8%
Brenden Knox run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
72.7%
Sheldon Evans run for no gain to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
72.7%
Sheldon Evans run for no gain to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 21
0
72.2%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Obi Obialo, broken up by Isaiah BrownSimilar
Q2 13:52
4TH & 10
OPP 21
+38
71.7%
Justin Rohrwasser 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:2328% → 36%
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
71.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Napoleon Maxwell for no gain to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q2 13:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
72.0%
Andy Bautista run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q2 13:52
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
72.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 9 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+59
71.1%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 59 yds to the Marsh 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
64.4%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 9TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:0867% → 74%
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.8%
Isaiah Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+24
66.7%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 24 yds to the Marsh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
68.5%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 5
OPP 46
0
68.8%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Willie Johnson, broken up by Jamal AndersonSimilar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+13
68.8%
Brenden Knox run for 13 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
69.4%
Brenden Knox run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+4
69.4%
Isaiah Green run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q2 11:29
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+3
68.6%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
69.4%
Brenden Knox run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+20
73.7%
Xavier Gaines run for 20 yds for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
71.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 15 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
69.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 15 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
69.0%
Anthony Jones run for 1 yd to the Marsh 44Similar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
69.0%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Shemar Thornton, broken up by Chris JacksonSimilar
Q2 7:21
3RD & 9
OPP 44
0
69.5%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Austin Maloney, broken up by Jaylon McClain-SappSimilar
Q2 7:21
4TH & 9
OPP 44
0
71.0%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 1:5971% → 71%
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
71.0%
Isaiah Green run for 5 yds to the Marsh 19Similar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+6
71.1%
Brenden Knox run for 6 yds to the Marsh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
71.2%
Brenden Knox run for 5 yds to the Marsh 30Similar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
71.5%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Obi ObialoSimilar
Q2 5:33
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
70.6%
Sheldon Evans run for 5 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
72.0%
Sheldon Evans run for 1 yd to the Marsh 36Similar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+3
72.2%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Obi Obialo for 3 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
Q2 3:34
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
72.0%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Obi Obialo, broken up by Olin Cushion IIISimilar
Q2 3:34
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
71.2%
Robert LeFevre punt for 50 yds, downed at the FlaIn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 0:0829% → 29%
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
71.1%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 9
OWN 12
-2
70.8%
Anthony Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q2 2:05
3RD & 11
OWN 10
+19
71.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 19 yds to the FlaIn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
69.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 3 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
69.1%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Shemar ThorntonSimilar
Q2 2:05
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
70.1%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IV, broken up by Nazeeh JohnsonSimilar
Q2 2:05
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
71.2%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 13END OF HALF
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:5971% → 69%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
70.6%
Brenden Knox run for 2 yds to the Marsh 27Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-11
70.5%
Isaiah Green sacked by Damon Moore and Chris Whittaker for a loss of 11 yards to the Marsh 16Similar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+18
69.1%
Sheldon Evans run for 18 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -11 yds · 0:0030% → 28%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
69.8%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
69.6%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-10
70.1%
James Morgan run for a loss of 10 yards to the FlaIn 19 James Morgan fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Devontay TaylorSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 19
-5
71.9%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 21
OWN 14
0
71.9%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 15TD
14 plays · 50 yds · 5:4873% → 83%
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
50
+3
73.2%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+7
73.4%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Obi Obialo for 7 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
73.5%
Brenden Knox run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+4
74.0%
Xavier Gaines run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
74.0%
GREEN, Isaiah pass incomplete to OBIALO, Obi, PENALTY FIU offside (TART,T) 5 yards to the FIU24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 5
OPP 24
-1
74.0%
Brenden Knox run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+6
74.0%
Isaiah Green run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
74.0%
Brenden Knox run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 12
OPP 21
+8
73.9%
Isaiah Green run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q3 12:48
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+5
73.1%
GREEN, Isaiah pass incomplete to OBIALO, Obi, PENALTY FIU offside (MOORE,D) 5 yards to the FIU8, 1ST DOWN MAR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
74.0%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 5Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
74.0%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 2Similar
Q3 12:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
73.0%
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 1Similar
Q3 7:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
83.2%
Isaiah Green run for 1 yd for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 7:0618% → 38%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.4%
D'Vonte Price run for no gain to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
82.5%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q3 7:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+11
83.1%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 11 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
81.3%
James Morgan run for 1 yd to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, personal foul (Marquis Couch) to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
80.1%
Napoleon Maxwell run for no gain to the Marsh 45Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+1
80.3%
D'Vonte Price run for 1 yd to the Marsh 44Similar
Q3 7:00
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+3
81.1%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the Marsh 41Similar
Q3 7:00
4TH & 6
OPP 41
+14
81.9%
Kaylan Wiggins run for 14 yds to the Marsh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
78.7%
Kaylan Wiggins run for 7 yds to the Marsh 20Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+1
78.7%
Anthony Jones run for 1 yd to the Marsh 19Similar
Q3 7:00
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+4
79.9%
Kaylan Wiggins pass complete to Anthony Jones for 4 yds to the Marsh 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
78.7%
Kaylan Wiggins run for 6 yds to the Marsh 9Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+9
62.3%
Anthony Jones run for 9 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 17FUMBLE
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
69.3%
Isaiah Green run for a loss of 4 yards to the Marsh 22 Isaiah Green fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Alexy Jean-BaptisteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18TD
1 play · 22 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
36.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 22 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 0:0046% → 43%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
46.0%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Armani LeviasSimilar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
45.6%
Isaiah Green run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 23Similar
Q4 14:42
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+14
43.6%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Broc Thompson for 14 yds to the Marsh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
47.1%
Brenden Knox run for 11 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
50.2%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 7
OPP 49
-1
50.9%
Brenden Knox run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:42
3RD & 8
50
-8
48.8%
Isaiah Green sacked by Jason Mercier for a loss of 8 yards to the Marsh 42Similar
Q4 14:42
4TH & 16
OWN 42
0
43.2%
Robert LeFevre punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:0062% → 60%
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
38.4%
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q4 11:16
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+1
38.0%
Anthony Jones run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q4 11:16
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
39.6%
James Morgan pass intercepted Tavante Beckett return for no gain to the FlaIn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 21MISSED FG
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5250% → 45%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
50.0%
Isaiah Green run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 9
OPP 28
0
50.0%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Armani LeviasSimilar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 9
OPP 28
0
47.2%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Obi Obialo, broken up by Sage LewisSimilar
Q4 8:53
4TH & 9
OPP 28
+45
44.8%
Justin Rohrwasser 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:0065% → 62%
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
35.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 7 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+4
33.9%
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
32.8%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Sterling Palmer, broken up by Omari CobbSimilar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+3
33.3%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q4 8:53
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
33.6%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Shemar Thornton, broken up by Chris JacksonSimilar
Q4 8:53
4TH & 7
OWN 42
-5
36.4%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, delay of game (Tommy Heatherly) to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q4 8:53
4TH & 12
OWN 37
+10
38.2%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 48 yds , Broc Thompson returns for 10 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 23TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:0739% → 90%
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
39.4%
GREEN, Isaiah pass incomplete to OBIALO, Obi (CUSHION,O), PENALTY FIU pass interference (CUSHION,O) 15 yards to the MAR40, 1ST DOWN MAR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
43.1%
GREEN, Isaiah pass incomplete to GAINES, Xavier (DAMES,RISHARD), PENALTY FIU offside (TART,T) 5 yards to the MAR45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 5
OWN 45
+11
44.3%
Brenden Knox run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
45.9%
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+15
45.6%
GREEN, Isaiah pass incomplete to THOMPSON, Broc (BROWN,I), PENALTY FIU pass interference (BROWN,I) 15 yards to the FIU28, 1ST DOWN MAR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
49.0%
Sheldon Evans run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+6
49.0%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Obi Obialo for 6 yds to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q4 6:23
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+1
45.9%
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q4 6:23
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+1
43.6%
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
49.0%
Isaiah Green run for no gain to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+18
90.2%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 18 yds for a TD ROHRWASSER, J. kick attempt good, PENALTY MAR holding (MORRELL, Garet) 10 yards to the FIU13, NO PLAY. (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24FG
15 plays · 48 yds · 1:5526% → 53%
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
74.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 8 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+1
71.4%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 1 yd to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q4 2:16
3RD & 1
OWN 37
0
71.9%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IVSimilar
Q4 2:16
4TH & 1
OWN 37
+4
75.2%
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
71.9%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Shemar ThorntonSimilar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
72.9%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Austin MaloneySimilar
Q4 2:16
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+11
74.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 11 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+23
68.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 23 yds to the Marsh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
70.7%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Shemar Thornton, broken up by Chris JacksonSimilar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+1
71.6%
James Morgan pass complete to Darrius Scott for 1 yd to the Marsh 24Similar
Q4 0:55
3RD & 9
OPP 24
0
75.1%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IV, broken up by Nazeeh JohnsonSimilar
Q4 0:21
4TH & 9
OPP 24
+41
47.5%
Jose Borregales 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 25END OF 4TH QUARTER
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:0058% → 60%
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
58.4%
Brenden Knox run for 5 yds to the Marsh 30Similar
Q4 0:21
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-2
59.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 26FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0060% → 72%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
40.5%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds to the Marsh 23Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+5
40.5%
Anthony Jones run for 5 yds to the Marsh 18Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 18
0
42.7%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IVSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+35
27.6%
Jose Borregales 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 27TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:0041% → 86%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+24
41.3%
Brenden Knox run for 24 yds to the FlaIn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.4%
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd for a TD
+45.1
TD · Q4 2:16
Isaiah Green pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 18 yds for a TD ROHRWASSER, J. kick attempt good, PENALTY MAR holding (MORRELL, Garet) 10 yards to the FIU13, NO PLAY. (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)
+41.2
TD · Q4 14:42
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 22 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)
-32.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com