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UNT

North Texas 14 at Rice 20

RICE
2019 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2019 · Rice Stadium
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Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadUNT aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreUNT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:21 · Alvin Kenworthy punt for 49 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+24.0+12.00−12.0−24.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 81Home team on offense+16.7Pregame prior−12.9Score differential+12.7Garbage-time factor+2.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.9Time remaining+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:53: Charlie Booker run for 8 yds for a TD (Chris Barnes KICK) — RICE win probability +12.7 pts (now 52%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 8:03: Chris Barnes 21 yd FG GOOD — RICE win probability +15.0 pts (now 70%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:32: Mason Fine run for 10 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +17.4 pts (now 28%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:32: Tre Siggers run for 1 yd for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +16.2 pts (now 24%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:15: Charlie Booker run for 1 yd to the Rice 16 — RICE win probability +10.7 pts (now 89%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 6 of 9UNT made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00UNT 4th & 6 at UNT 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.3%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:16RICE 4th & 7 at UNT 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.9%
    56% to make
    Punt
    36.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:09RICE 4th & 1 at UNT 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    37.0%−0.4
    56% to make
    Punt
    36.8%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:25UNT 4th & 4 at UNT 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:53UNT 4th & 20 at UNT 15, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−4.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:03RICE 4th & 3 at UNT 3, up 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsKicked a field goal · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.0%−1.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    56.0%−11.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:03UNT 4th & 4 at UNT 33, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.3%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:14RICE 4th & 19 at RICE 37, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.7%−2.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:21UNT 4th & 9 at RICE 49, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:12RICE 4th & 2 at RICE 38, up 20
    Close callPunted · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00RICE 4th & 1 at RICE 36, up 20
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.8%−2.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:47UNT 4th & 9 at UNT 46, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:10RICE 4th & 8 at RICE 33, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.4%−1.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:32RICE 4th & 13 at UNT 42, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%−1.5
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    79.3%−1.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:17UNT 4th & 5 at UNT 38, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00RICE 4th & 11 at RICE 36, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%−1.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:06UNT 4th & 2 at RICE 30, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    9.7%−0.6
    56% to make
    Punt
    7.8%−2.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:32UNT 4th & 1 at RICE 1, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    8.8%−1.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    3.9%−6.5
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:32UNT 4th & 12 at RICE 15, down 6
    Numbers favored field goal by 5.5 ptsWent for it · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.2%−5.5
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    26.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    13.1%−13.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RICE made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UNT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:25RICE Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:53RICE Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:32UNT Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:32UNT Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
27.0%
Tre Siggers run for 4 yds to the NoTex 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
27.0%
Tre Siggers run for no gain to the NoTex 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
27.0%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
27.0%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rice 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2FG
8 plays · 36 yds · 3:2628% → 30%
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
27.6%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Brad Rozner for 13 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
27.7%
Tom Stewart pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+7
27.7%
Zane Knipe run for 7 yds to the NoTex 46Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+13
27.7%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Austin Trammell for 13 yds to the NoTex 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-7
27.8%
Tom Stewart sacked by Jamie King for a loss of 7 yards to the NoTex 40 RICE Penalty, intentional grounding (Tom Stewart) to the NoTex 40Similar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 17
OPP 40
+6
27.7%
Aston Walter run for 6 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 11
OPP 34
+4
27.7%
Tom Stewart run for 4 yds to the NoTex 30Similar
Q1 10:16
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+48
29.8%
Chris Barnes 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 3INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
29.6%
Mason Fine pass intercepted Treshawn Chamberlain return for no gain to the NoTex 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4TD
6 plays · 39 yds · 2:4430% → 34%
Q1 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
30.2%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q1 10:09
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+6
30.2%
Charlie Booker run for 6 yds to the NoTex 33Similar
Q1 10:09
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+3
30.1%
Charlie Booker run for 3 yds to the NoTex 30Similar
Q1 10:09
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+2
29.9%
Charlie Booker run for 2 yds to the NoTex 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+27
30.3%
Aston Walter pass complete to Jordan Myers for 27 yds to the NoTex 1 for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
33.9%
Aston Walter run for 1 yd for a TD (Chris Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
33.1%
Mason Fine pass complete to DeAndre Torrey for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 25Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 11
OWN 25
-1
33.2%
DeAndre Torrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 24Similar
Q1 7:25
3RD & 12
OWN 24
+8
33.4%
Mason Fine pass complete to Nic Smith for 8 yds to the NoTex 32Similar
Q1 7:25
4TH & 4
OWN 32
0
33.4%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6FUMBLE
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
35.7%
Charlie Booker run for 2 yds to the Rice 36Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+11
35.8%
Austin Trammell run for 11 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
36.2%
Charlie Booker run for 2 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 8
OWN 49
-4
36.2%
Charlie Booker run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 49 Charlie Booker fumbled, forced by Jaxon Gibbs, recovered by NoTex KD DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 7FUMBLE
1 play · 7 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
36.3%
Tre Siggers run for 6 yds to the Rice 42 Tre Siggers fumbled, forced by Naeem Smith, recovered by Rice Kenneth OrjiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8TD
7 plays · 58 yds · 3:1039% → 52%
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
38.6%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Jordan Myers for 5 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q1 3:03
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+2
38.7%
Charlie Booker run for 2 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q1 3:03
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+7
38.2%
Tom Stewart pass complete to August Pitre III for 7 yds to the NoTex 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
38.8%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to Zane KnipeSimilar
Q1 3:03
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+24
38.7%
Charlie Booker run for 24 yds to the NoTex 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+12
38.9%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Austin Trammell for 12 yds to the NoTex 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
51.6%
Charlie Booker run for 8 yds for a TD (Chris Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
49.9%
DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd to the NoTex 26Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
49.9%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-11
50.1%
Mason Fine sacked by Ikenna Enechukwu for a loss of 11 yards to the NoTex 15Similar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 20
OWN 15
+19
50.4%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoTex 46 , Austin Trammell returns for 19 yds to the NoTex 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10FG
10 plays · 43 yds · 5:2155% → 70%
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
55.1%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Brad Rozner for 10 yds to the NoTex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
55.1%
Charlie Booker run for 2 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q2 13:24
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+15
55.1%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Austin Trammell for 15 yds to the NoTex 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
55.1%
Tom Stewart run for 1 yd to the NoTex 18Similar
Q2 13:24
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+8
55.1%
Charlie Booker run for 8 yds to the NoTex 10Similar
Q2 13:24
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+1
54.6%
Charlie Booker run for 1 yd to the NoTex 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
55.1%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Jake Bailey for 4 yds to the NoTex 5Similar
Q2 13:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
55.1%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to August Pitre III, broken up by Cam JohnsonSimilar
Q2 13:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
54.6%
Tom Stewart run for 2 yds to the NoTex 3Similar
Q2 8:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
69.7%
Chris Barnes 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
70.8%
Mason Fine pass complete to Deonte Simpson for 6 yds to the NoTex 33Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 4
OWN 33
0
70.2%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Deonte Simpson, broken up by George NyakwolSimilar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 4
OWN 33
0
70.6%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:03
4TH & 4
OWN 33
0
71.0%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 14 yds · 4:0272% → 81%
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
71.9%
Charlie Booker run for 1 yd to the Rice 24Similar
Q2 7:16
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+11
71.9%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Austin Trammell for 11 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
72.0%
Charlie Booker run for 5 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q2 7:16
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+6
72.4%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Austin Trammell for 6 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-4
72.6%
Charlie Booker run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 42Similar
Q2 7:16
2ND & 14
OWN 42
-5
72.3%
RICE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 37Similar
Q2 7:16
2ND & 19
OWN 37
-3
71.9%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Nahshon Ellerbe for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 34Similar
Q2 3:20
3RD & 22
OWN 34
+3
81.4%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 3 yds to the Rice 37Similar
Q2 3:14
4TH & 19
OWN 37
+10
80.8%
Chris Barnes punt for 49 yds , Jaelon Darden returns for 10 yds to the NoTex 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 13PUNT
12 plays · 27 yds · 1:4221% → 20%
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
79.1%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for no gain to the NoTex 24Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-8
79.4%
Mason Fine sacked by Antonio Montero for a loss of 8 yards to the NoTex 16Similar
Q2 2:28
3RD & 18
OWN 16
+20
80.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 20 yds to the NoTex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
78.9%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Michael LawrenceSimilar
Q2 2:28
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+14
79.3%
Mason Fine run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
50
-15
77.8%
FINE, Mason pass complete to TORREY, DeAndre for 2 yards to the RICE48 (THORNTON, Tyrae), PENALTY UNT illegal block (MOSE, Manase) 15 yards to the UNT35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:28
1ST & 25
OWN 35
+14
80.0%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 14 yds to the NoTex 49Similar
Q2 2:28
2ND & 11
OWN 49
0
79.1%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Deonte SimpsonSimilar
Q2 2:28
3RD & 11
OWN 49
+2
79.4%
Mason Fine run for 2 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q2 1:21
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
80.3%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
87.9%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
87.9%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to Jake BaileySimilar
Q2 1:12
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+10
87.6%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 10 yds to the Rice 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
88.1%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Austin Trammell for 3 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+5
88.0%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Jake Bailey for 5 yds to the Rice 38Similar
Q2 1:12
3RD & 2
OWN 38
0
87.9%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q2 1:12
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
87.1%
Chris Barnes punt for 40 yds, downed at the NoTex 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -4 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-4
83.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the NoTex 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
85.8%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Brad Rozner for 6 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+2
85.9%
Charlie Booker run for 2 yds to the Rice 35Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+1
85.6%
Charlie Booker run for 1 yd to the Rice 36Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 36
+10
85.0%
Chris Barnes punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoTex 35 , Jaelon Darden returns for 10 yds to the NoTex 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
84.8%
Tre Siggers run for 5 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+5
84.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jason Pirtle for 5 yds to the NoTex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
84.6%
Tre Siggers run for 1 yd to the NoTex 46Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
84.6%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jaelon Darden, broken up by Antonio MonteroSimilar
Q3 12:47
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
84.9%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jaelon DardenSimilar
Q3 12:47
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
85.4%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
90.3%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Brad Rozner for 6 yds to the Rice 26Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+5
90.4%
Charlie Booker run for 5 yds to the Rice 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
89.7%
Tom Stewart run for no gain to the Rice 31Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+7
89.6%
Charlie Booker run for 7 yds to the Rice 38Similar
Q3 11:10
3RD & 3
OWN 38
-5
89.7%
RICE Penalty, false start (Brian Chaffin) to the Rice 33Similar
Q3 11:10
3RD & 8
OWN 33
0
89.5%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to Brad RoznerSimilar
Q3 11:10
4TH & 8
OWN 33
+1
88.8%
Chris Barnes punt for 37 yds , Jaelon Darden returns for 1 yd to the NoTex 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 19TD
4 plays · 69 yds · 1:289% → 28%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+37
90.6%
DeAndre Torrey run for 37 yds to the Rice 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
89.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Kelvin Smith for 5 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+17
89.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Quinn Whitlock for 17 yds to the Rice 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
71.9%
Mason Fine run for 10 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:0079% → 78%
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
79.2%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to Brad RoznerSimilar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
79.1%
Charlie Booker run for no gain to the Rice 30Similar
Q3 6:32
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+31
78.3%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Austin Trammell for 31 yds to the NoTex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
80.2%
Charlie Booker run for no gain to the NoTex 39Similar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
80.1%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to Brad RoznerSimilar
Q3 6:32
3RD & 10
OPP 39
-3
79.3%
Tom Stewart sacked by KD Davis for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 42Similar
Q3 6:32
4TH & 13
OPP 42
0
77.5%
Adam Nunez punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoTex 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
80.2%
DeAndre Torrey run for 3 yds to the NoTex 21Similar
Q3 3:17
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+1
80.5%
DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd to the NoTex 22Similar
Q3 3:17
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+11
80.8%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 11 yds to the NoTex 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
79.0%
Mason Fine sacked by Blaze Alldredge for a loss of 5 yards to the NoTex 28Similar
Q3 3:17
2ND & 15
OWN 28
+10
80.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Nic Smith for 10 yds to the NoTex 38Similar
Q3 3:17
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
78.8%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Kelvin Smith, broken up by George NyakwolSimilar
Q3 3:17
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
79.8%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:2686% → 88%
Q3 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
86.2%
Tom Stewart run for 3 yds to the Rice 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+15
88.5%
STEWART, Tom pass incomplete to ROZNER, Brad, PENALTY UNT pass interference (HARVEY, Nick) 15 yards to the RICE37, 1ST DOWN RICE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
89.0%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 3 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+1
89.3%
Tom Stewart run for 1 yd to the Rice 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 41
-5
88.9%
Tom Stewart sacked by Joe Ozougwu for a loss of 5 yards to the Rice 36Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 36
+15
87.7%
Adam Nunez punt for 39 yds , Jaelon Darden returns for 15 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 23TD
13 plays · 60 yds · 4:5814% → 24%
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
86.0%
Mason Fine pass complete to Greg White for 11 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
85.6%
Tre Siggers run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 11
50
-2
85.5%
Mason Fine run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 48Similar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 13
OWN 48
+14
87.4%
Mason Fine pass complete to Quinn Whitlock for 14 yds to the Rice 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
85.6%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Michael LawrenceSimilar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+4
85.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Nick Harvey for 4 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+4
85.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 4 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q4 9:06
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+21
92.4%
Mason Fine pass complete to Deonte Simpson for 21 yds to the Rice 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
91.1%
Tre Siggers run for no gain to the Rice 9Similar
Q4 9:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
91.1%
Tre Siggers run for 8 yds to the Rice 1Similar
Q4 9:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
91.8%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jaelon DardenSimilar
Q4 7:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
75.6%
Tre Siggers run for 1 yd for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 25DOWNS
9 plays · 8 yds · 0:0029% → 21%
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
71.5%
Tre Siggers run for 2 yds to the Rice 21Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+3
71.5%
Tre Siggers run for 3 yds to the Rice 18Similar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 5
OPP 18
-9
73.8%
FINE, Mason rush for no gain to the RICE18 (ADAMS, Myles), PENALTY UNT holding (PRESTON III, T.) 9 yards to the RICE27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 14
OPP 27
+14
76.8%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 14 yds to the Rice 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-10
71.5%
SIGGERS, Tre rush for 2 yards to the RICE11, out-of-bounds (CHAMBERLAIN, T.), PENALTY UNT holding (PRESTON III, T.) 10 yards to the RICE23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:32
1ST & 20
OPP 23
0
72.1%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Kelvin SmithSimilar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 20
OPP 23
+8
73.7%
Tre Siggers run for 8 yds to the Rice 15Similar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 12
OPP 15
0
74.6%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Michael Lawrence, broken up by Naeem SmithSimilar
Q4 7:32
4TH & 12
OPP 15
0
78.6%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Michael Lawrence, broken up by Treshawn ChamberlainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 26END OF GAME
9 plays · 43 yds · 1:4189% → 95%
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
89.2%
Charlie Booker run for 1 yd to the Rice 16Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 9
OWN 16
-2
89.1%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 14Similar
Q4 3:20
3RD & 11
OWN 14
+35
90.0%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Brad Rozner for 35 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
92.1%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 3 yds to the NoTex 48Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+1
94.8%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 1 yd to the NoTex 47Similar
Q4 2:34
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+7
94.3%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 7 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
94.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:32
Mason Fine run for 10 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)
-17.4
TD · Q4 7:32
Tre Siggers run for 1 yd for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)
-16.2
FG · Q2 8:03
Chris Barnes 21 yd FG GOOD
+15
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com