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MRSH

Marshall 13 at Charlotte 24

CLT
2019 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2019 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
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Win probability · CLT
modelCLT aheadMRSH aheadconfidence bandkey playCLT scoreMRSH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDTDEnd of GameFG-0.6CLT 30.6%Justin Rohrwasser 31 yd FG GOODAWAY 10 - HOME 0 · Q2 11:11
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:11 · Justin Rohrwasser 31 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 49Pregame prior−12.7Home team on offense−5.9Garbage-time factor−1.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5Score differential−2.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:25: Chris Reynolds run for 15 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +12.3 pts (now 41%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. FG · Q3 9:46: Jonathan Cruz 23 yd FG GOOD — CLT win probability +7.2 pts (now 48%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:47: Victor Tucker run for 5 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +25.4 pts (now 72%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:24: Benny LeMay run for 7 yds to the Charl 45 — CLT win probability +12.6 pts (now 78%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:17: Timeout MARSHALL, clock 03:17 — CLT win probability +8.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLT made the numbers' call on 5 of 7MRSH made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 13:16MRSH 4th & 4 at CLT 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    64.6%−0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:37MRSH 4th & 4 at CLT 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:02CLT 4th & 9 at CLT 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:37CLT 4th & 9 at CLT 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:11MRSH 4th & 6 at CLT 13, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.7%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.9%
    85% to make
    Punt
    61.9%−4.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:11CLT 4th & 4 at CLT 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:53MRSH 4th & 4 at MRSH 43, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.5%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:58CLT 4th & 1 at MRSH 17, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    29.0%−1.7
    80% to make
    Punt
    24.8%−5.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:25MRSH 4th & 12 at MRSH 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%−0.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:46CLT 4th & 6 at MRSH 6, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    31.0%−10.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:02MRSH 4th & 3 at CLT 14, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.1%−0.8
    84% to make
    Punt
    41.2%−13.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00MRSH 4th & 3 at MRSH 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%−0.8
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:47MRSH 4th & 2 at MRSH 34, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.8%−1.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:07CLT 4th & 4 at CLT 45, up 4
    Close callPunted · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:48CLT 4th & 10 at MRSH 25, up 4
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.1 ptsWent for it · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.7%−2.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    91.8%
    66% to make
    Punt
    82.9%−9.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:48MRSH 4th & 10 at MRSH 47, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.8%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 4:25CLT Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 10:47CLT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.2%−0.3
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 0:48CLT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MRSHDrive 1INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
32.1%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the Marsh 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+10
32.1%
Isaiah Green pass intercepted Marquill Osborne return for 10 yds to the Marsh 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2INT
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
32.6%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the Marsh 35Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+35
32.6%
Chris Reynolds pass intercepted Chris Jackson return for 35 yds to the Charl 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
32.7%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (Will Ulmer) to the Charl 49Similar
Q1 13:16
1ST & 15
OPP 49
-2
32.8%
Brenden Knox run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 49Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 17
OWN 49
+5
32.8%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 5 yds to the Charl 46Similar
Q1 13:16
3RD & 12
OPP 46
+8
32.8%
Brenden Knox run for 8 yds to the Charl 38Similar
Q1 13:16
4TH & 4
OPP 38
0
32.8%
Robert LeFevre punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4FUMBLE
5 plays · 47 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
33.8%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Christian RobersonSimilar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+29
33.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Christian Roberson for 29 yds to the Charl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
34.2%
Chris Reynolds run for 10 yds to the Marsh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
34.3%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the Marsh 40Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+6
34.3%
Chris Reynolds run for 6 yds to the Marsh 33 Chris Reynolds fumbled, forced by Tavante Beckett, recovered by Marsh Tavante BeckettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
34.3%
Brenden Knox run for 7 yds to the Marsh 40Similar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+2
34.0%
Brenden Knox run for 2 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
Q1 9:37
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+3
34.0%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
34.0%
Isaiah Green run for 6 yds to the Charl 49Similar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 4
OPP 49
0
33.9%
Brenden Knox run for no gain to the Charl 49Similar
Q1 9:37
3RD & 4
OPP 49
0
34.0%
Brenden Knox run for no gain to the Charl 49Similar
Q1 9:37
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
34.3%
Robert LeFevre punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Nafees Lyon at the Charl 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6PUNT RETURN TD
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:2636% → 32%
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
36.0%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the Charl 6Similar
Q1 5:28
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+9
35.9%
Benny LeMay run for 9 yds to the Charl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
36.4%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the Charl 16Similar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 9
OWN 16
0
36.3%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Jacob HuntSimilar
Q1 4:06
3RD & 9
OWN 16
0
35.9%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Christian RobersonSimilar
Q1 3:02
4TH & 9
OWN 16
+16
31.7%
TEAM punt , Joseph Early returns for 16 yds for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 20 yds · 2:2532% → 32%
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
32.4%
Chris Reynolds run for no gain to the Charl 25Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
32.4%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Cameron DollarSimilar
Q1 3:02
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+19
32.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 19 yds to the Charl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
33.4%
Benny LeMay run for 2 yds to the Charl 46Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 8
OWN 46
-5
33.4%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Jaelin Fisher) to the Charl 41Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 13
OWN 41
0
32.7%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:37
3RD & 13
OWN 41
+4
32.1%
Chris Reynolds run for 4 yds to the Charl 45Similar
Q1 0:37
4TH & 9
OWN 45
0
32.1%
Connor Bowler punt for 54 yds, downed at the Marsh 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8FG
10 plays · 86 yds · 3:5067% → 69%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+7
32.8%
Brenden Knox run for 7 yds to the Marsh 8Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 8
+6
32.9%
Isaiah Green run for 6 yds to the Marsh 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+40
32.6%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Brenden Knox for 40 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
31.2%
Isaiah Green run for 6 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+9
31.1%
Joey Fields run for 9 yds to the Charl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+14
31.0%
Xavier Gaines run for 14 yds to the Charl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
30.9%
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd to the Charl 16 MARSHALL Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+3
30.9%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the Charl 13Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 13
0
31.2%
Isaiah Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:11
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+31
30.6%
Justin Rohrwasser 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
29.7%
Benny LeMay run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 24Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
29.7%
Benny LeMay run for 6 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q2 11:11
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+1
29.6%
Chris Reynolds run for 1 yd to the Charl 31Similar
Q2 11:11
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
29.5%
Connor Bowler punt for 32 yds, downed at the Marsh 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0070% → 69%
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
30.2%
Sheldon Evans run for 4 yds to the Marsh 41Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+2
29.9%
Isaiah Green run for 2 yds to the Marsh 43Similar
Q2 8:53
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
30.2%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Sheldon EvansSimilar
Q2 8:53
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
30.8%
Robert LeFevre punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Charl 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 11TD
10 plays · 86 yds · 2:5828% → 41%
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+40
28.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 40 yds to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
30.3%
Benny LeMay run for 5 yds to the Marsh 41Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 5
OPP 41
0
30.3%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Jacob HuntSimilar
Q2 7:23
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+15
30.2%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass incomplete to TUCKER, Victor, PENALTY MAR pass interference (JACKSON, Chris) 15 yards to the MAR26, 1ST DOWN CLT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
31.1%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the Marsh 25Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 9
OPP 25
0
31.1%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
Q2 7:23
3RD & 9
OPP 25
+8
30.2%
Chris Reynolds run for 8 yds to the Marsh 17Similar
Q2 4:58
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+2
28.8%
Chris Reynolds run for 2 yds to the Marsh 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
41.1%
Chris Reynolds run for 15 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:0064% → 63%
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
36.0%
GREEN, Isaiah pass incomplete to OBIALO, Obi, PENALTY CLT pass interference (OSBORNE, M.) 15 yards to the MAR41, 1ST DOWN MAR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
34.4%
Brenden Knox run for 10 yds to the Charl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
33.9%
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd to the Charl 48Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 9
OPP 48
-6
34.0%
Isaiah Green sacked by Alex Highsmith for a loss of 6 yards to the Marsh 46Similar
Q2 4:25
3RD & 15
OWN 46
+3
36.5%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the Marsh 49Similar
Q2 4:25
4TH & 12
OWN 49
0
37.4%
Robert LeFevre punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13MISSED FG
11 plays · 58 yds · 1:4537% → 40%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
37.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Tyler Ringwood for 12 yds to the Charl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
37.4%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the Charl 33Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+4
37.2%
Chris Reynolds run for 4 yds to the Charl 37Similar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+16
37.1%
Chris Reynolds run for 16 yds to the Marsh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
34.5%
MARSHALL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the Marsh 47Similar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
38.6%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Cameron DollarSimilar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+25
38.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 25 yds to the Marsh 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
40.1%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+39
40.4%
Jonathan Cruz 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 14FG
14 plays · 69 yds · 5:1439% → 48%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
38.7%
Benny LeMay run for 5 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
39.4%
Chris Reynolds run for 7 yds to the Charl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
39.7%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+30
39.4%
Benny LeMay run for 30 yds to the Marsh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
43.5%
Chris Reynolds run for no gain to the Marsh 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+3
43.4%
Aaron McAllister run for 3 yds to the Marsh 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+10
41.9%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass incomplete to TUCKER, Victor, PENALTY MAR holding (GILMORE, Steven) 10 yards to the MAR20, 1ST DOWN CLT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+12
43.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 12 yds to the Marsh 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
43.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 9Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
43.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Jacob Hunt for 5 yds to the Marsh 4Similar
Q3 10:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
41.2%
Chris Reynolds run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 6Similar
Q3 9:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
48.3%
Jonathan Cruz 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 15FG
14 plays · 60 yds · 5:4457% → 66%
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
43.1%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Obi ObialoSimilar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+12
43.6%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 12 yds to the Marsh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
41.2%
GREEN, Isaiah pass incomplete to GAINES, Xavier (GIBBS,Marquavis), PENALTY CLT offside (WATTS, Markees) 5 yards to the MAR43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 5
OWN 43
+2
39.9%
Brenden Knox run for 2 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+6
40.0%
Xavier Gaines run for 6 yds to the Charl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+18
39.3%
Brenden Knox run for 18 yds to the Charl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
37.9%
Brenden Knox run for 6 yds to the Charl 25Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+1
37.5%
Sheldon Evans run for 1 yd to the Charl 24Similar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+3
39.0%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the Charl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
37.5%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Garet Morrell for 3 yds to the Charl 18Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 7
OPP 18
0
37.5%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Devin MillerSimilar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+4
39.0%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Sheldon Evans for 4 yds to the Charl 14Similar
Q3 4:02
4TH & 3
OPP 14
+31
34.0%
Justin Rohrwasser 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 16INT
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:0038% → 43%
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
37.6%
Benny LeMay run for 11 yds to the Charl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
39.2%
Aaron McAllister run for 2 yds to the Charl 38Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
39.7%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Jacob HuntSimilar
Q3 4:02
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+15
37.9%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass incomplete to TUCKER, Victor, PENALTY MAR pass interference (JACKSON, Chris) 15 yards to the MAR47, 1ST DOWN CLT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
42.8%
Aaron McAllister run for 3 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+1
42.8%
Chris Reynolds pass intercepted Nazeeh Johnson return for 1 yd to the Marsh 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:4564% → 63%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
36.1%
GREEN, Isaiah pass incomplete to OBIALO, Obi, PENALTY CLT holding (OSBORNE, M.) 6 yards to the MAR25, 1ST DOWN MAR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
35.9%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the Marsh 28Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
35.2%
Isaiah Green sacked by Jeff Gemmell for a loss of 5 yards to the Marsh 23Similar
Q3 1:45
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+9
38.1%
Isaiah Green run for 9 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
37.5%
Robert LeFevre punt for 45 yds, downed at the Charl 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 18TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 4:0038% → 72%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
38.1%
Chris Reynolds run for 12 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
38.8%
Benny LeMay run for no gain to the Charl 35Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+10
38.4%
Chris Reynolds run for 10 yds to the Charl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
42.2%
Benny LeMay run for 7 yds to the Marsh 48Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+17
43.8%
Chris Reynolds run for 17 yds to the Marsh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
46.2%
Chris Reynolds run for 11 yds to the Marsh 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+15
46.2%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass incomplete to TUCKER, Victor, PENALTY MAR pass interference (GILMORE, Steven) 15 yards to the MAR5, 1ST DOWN CLT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
71.6%
Victor Tucker run for 5 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0038% → 37%
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
62.2%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Armani LeviasSimilar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+8
63.0%
Brenden Knox run for 8 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q4 10:47
3RD & 2
OWN 34
0
61.1%
Brenden Knox run for no gain to the Marsh 34Similar
Q4 10:47
4TH & 2
OWN 34
+3
62.8%
Robert LeFevre punt for 30 yds , Nafees Lyon returns for 3 yds to the Charl 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0070% → 68%
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
70.0%
Benny LeMay run for 4 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 6
OWN 43
-2
71.0%
Chris Reynolds run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 41Similar
Q4 9:07
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+4
67.7%
Chris Reynolds run for 4 yds to the Charl 45 CHARLOTTE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 9:07
4TH & 4
OWN 45
+1
67.6%
Connor Bowler punt for 43 yds , Willie Johnson returns for 1 yd to the Marsh 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 21INT
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
65.4%
Brenden Knox run for 6 yds to the Marsh 19Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 4
OWN 19
-5
65.2%
Isaiah Green pass intercepted Nafees Lyon return for a loss of 5 yards to the Charl 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 22TD
16 plays · 62 yds · 5:3678% → 99%
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
77.8%
Benny LeMay run for 7 yds to the Charl 45Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+7
78.7%
Benny LeMay run for 7 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
79.8%
Chris Reynolds run for 7 yds to the Marsh 41Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+4
79.8%
Chris Reynolds run for 4 yds to the Marsh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
79.9%
Benny LeMay run for 2 yds to the Marsh 35Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
88.0%
Benny LeMay run for no gain to the Marsh 35Similar
Q4 3:12
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+10
89.2%
Chris Reynolds run for 10 yds to the Marsh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
90.5%
Chris Reynolds run for no gain to the Marsh 25Similar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+1
91.2%
Chris Reynolds run for 1 yd to the Marsh 24Similar
Q4 1:40
3RD & 9
OPP 24
-1
92.6%
Chris Reynolds run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 25Similar
Q4 0:48
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+25
98.6%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 25 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 23DOWNS
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:003% → 2%
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.5%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Obi ObialoSimilar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+22
97.6%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Obi Obialo for 22 yds to the Marsh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
97.3%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
97.3%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Obi ObialoSimilar
Q4 0:48
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
97.4%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Obi ObialoSimilar
Q4 0:48
4TH & 10
OWN 47
0
97.8%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Nazeeh JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
98.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:47
Victor Tucker run for 5 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)
+25.4
KEY PLAY · Q4 6:24
Benny LeMay run for 7 yds to the Charl 45
+12.6
TD · Q2 4:25
Chris Reynolds run for 15 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)
+12.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com