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UAB

UAB 2 at Southern Miss 37

USM
2019 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2019 · M. M. Roberts Stadium
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Win probability · USM
modelUSM aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playUSM scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDSAFETYFGFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+3.1USM 95.7%Andrew Stein 25 yd FG GOODAWAY 2 - HOME 23 · Q3 9:32
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:32 · Andrew Stein 25 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 95Home team on offense+23.9Pregame prior+10.1Score differential+16.7Garbage-time factor+7.9Blowout margin−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:09: Steven Anderson run for 6 yds for a TD (Andrew Stein KICK) — USM win probability +1.5 pts (now 75%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:01: Dylan Hopkins pass intercepted for a TD D.Q. Thomas return for 55 yds for a TD (Andrew Stein KICK) — USM win probability +8.6 pts (now 84%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. SAFETY · Q2 3:45: Jack Abraham sacked by Jordan Smith for a loss of 6 yards for a SAFETY Jack Abraham fumbled, recovered by SoMis , return for 0 yards for a SAFETY — UAB win probability +3.0 pts (now 16%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 9:32: Andrew Stein 25 yd FG GOOD — USM win probability +3.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:23: Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 20 yds for a TD (Andrew Stein KICK) — USM win probability +3.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USM made the numbers' call on 3 of 7UAB made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00UAB 4th & 1 at UAB 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:54USM 4th & 3 at USM 25, tied
    Close callPunted · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:04UAB 4th & 5 at USM 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    28.8%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:32UAB 4th & 13 at USM 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    27.8%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    27.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:06USM 4th & 8 at UAB 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.2%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.7%
    79% to make
    Punt
    69.9%−2.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:52UAB 4th & 18 at UAB 49, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%−2.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:15UAB 4th & 7 at UAB 6, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%−1.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00USM 4th & 5 at UAB 27, up 15
    Close callKicked a field goal · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.4%−<0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    83.3%−2.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00USM 4th & 10 at USM 25, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%−1.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:58UAB 4th & 10 at UAB 40, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:32USM 4th & 1 at UAB 8, up 18
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.6%−2.0
    90% to make
    Punt
    85.0%−7.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:32UAB 4th & 9 at UAB 26, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:36UAB 4th & 2 at UAB 47, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:16UAB 4th & 15 at UAB 18, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:46USM 4th & 5 at USM 45, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:50UAB 4th & 7 at USM 20, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    75% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:37USM 4th & 4 at USM 39, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USM made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 9:09USM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:01USM Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:23USM Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:20USM Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
74.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
74.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Thair Blakes for 6 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
74.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 4 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+8
74.1%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 46 yds , Jaylond Adams returns for 8 yds to the SoMis 42 SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the SoMis 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
73.7%
PENALTY USM unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY UAB unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
73.7%
De'Michael Harris run for 7 yds to the SoMis 25Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 3
OWN 25
0
73.7%
Jack Abraham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 3
OWN 25
0
73.6%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for no gain to the SoMis 25Similar
Q1 12:54
4TH & 3
OWN 25
0
73.6%
Zac Everett punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Myron Mitchell at the UAB 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
73.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
73.4%
Dylan Hopkins run for no gain to the UAB 34Similar
Q1 11:59
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+35
73.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass intercepted Shannon Showers return for 35 yds to the UAB 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 4TD
3 plays · 21 yds · 1:2074% → 75%
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
73.8%
Steven Anderson run for 2 yds to the UAB 19Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+13
73.8%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 13 yds to the UAB 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
75.2%
Steven Anderson run for 6 yds for a TD (Andrew Stein KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 34 yds · 0:0025% → 26%
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
74.6%
Lucious Stanley run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 23Similar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+30
74.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Austin Watkins for 30 yds to the SoMis 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
74.2%
Lucious Stanley run for 4 yds to the SoMis 43Similar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+1
74.2%
Dylan Hopkins run for 1 yd to the SoMis 42Similar
Q1 9:04
3RD & 5
OPP 42
0
74.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:04
4TH & 5
OPP 42
0
74.5%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 6FUMBLE
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
74.9%
Jack Abraham sacked by Alex Wright for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 18Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+5
74.8%
Kevin Perkins run for 5 yds to the SoMis 23Similar
Q1 6:37
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+19
74.6%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 19 yds to the SoMis 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
75.4%
Kevin Perkins run for 1 yd to the SoMis 43Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 9
OWN 43
-7
75.4%
Jack Abraham sacked by Kristopher Moll for a loss of 7 yards to the SoMis 36 Jack Abraham fumbled, recovered by UAB Fish McWilliams , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-4
74.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the SoMis 40Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 14
OPP 40
0
74.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Austin Watkins, broken up by Ky'el HembySimilar
Q1 4:32
3RD & 14
OPP 40
+1
74.8%
Dylan Hopkins run for 1 yd to the SoMis 39Similar
Q1 4:32
4TH & 13
OPP 39
0
75.2%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 26 yds, downed at the SoMis 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 8FG
11 plays · 69 yds · 3:4875% → 76%
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
75.1%
De'Michael Harris run for no gain to the SoMis 13Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+13
75.1%
Jack Abraham run for 13 yds to the SoMis 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
75.2%
De'Michael Harris run for 1 yd to the SoMis 27Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
75.1%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Tim JonesSimilar
Q1 2:54
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+16
74.8%
Jack Abraham run for 1 yd to the SoMis 28 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, personal foul (Jordan Smith) to the SoMis 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
75.9%
Kevin Perkins run for no gain to the SoMis 43Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+37
75.7%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 37 yds to the UAB 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
76.3%
Steven Anderson run for 2 yds to the UAB 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
76.3%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Steven AndersonSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 18
0
75.9%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Quez Watkins, broken up by Garrett MarinoSimilar
Q2 14:06
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+35
76.0%
Andrew Stein 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 9INT TD
7 plays · 27 yds · 3:0024% → 16%
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
76.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Austin Watkins for 6 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+7
75.7%
Lucious Stanley run for 7 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
75.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Austin Watkins for 13 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
75.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the SoMis 46Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 5
OPP 46
-4
75.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Kendall Parham for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:01
3RD & 9
50
+55
83.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass intercepted for a TD D.Q. Thomas return for 55 yds for a TD (Andrew Stein KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10PUNT
12 plays · 30 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-10
83.9%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Jacques Turner for a loss of 10 yards to the UAB 9Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 20
OWN 9
+25
84.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Austin Watkins for 25 yds to the UAB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
83.6%
Larry Wooden run for 4 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 6
OWN 38
-2
83.4%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Demarrio Smith and Racheem Boothe for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 36Similar
Q2 10:52
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+10
83.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Larry Wooden for 10 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
83.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the UAB 49Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+8
83.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 8 yds to the SoMis 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
83.0%
Dylan Hopkins run for no gain to the SoMis 43Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
83.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Hayden PittmanSimilar
Q2 10:52
3RD & 10
OPP 43
-8
83.6%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Terry Whittington for a loss of 8 yards to the UAB 49Similar
Q2 10:52
4TH & 18
OWN 49
0
84.2%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 49 yds , Jaylond Adams returns for no gain to the SoMis 49 SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, illegal block (Malik Shorts) to the SoMis 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 11SF
3 plays · -1 yds · 1:1487% → 84%
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
87.1%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 5 yds to the SoMis 6Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 5
OWN 6
0
87.0%
Kevin Perkins run for no gain to the SoMis 6Similar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 5
OWN 6
0
84.0%
Jack Abraham sacked by Jordan Smith for a loss of 6 yards for a SAFETY Jack Abraham fumbled, recovered by SoMis , return for 0 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3015% → 15%
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
84.7%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the UAB 6Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+1
84.9%
Dylan Hopkins run for 1 yd to the UAB 7Similar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 6
OWN 7
-1
85.0%
Spencer Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 6Similar
Q2 2:15
4TH & 7
OWN 6
0
85.1%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 13FG
10 plays · 18 yds · 2:0585% → 88%
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
85.4%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 4 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+9
85.3%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 9 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
85.4%
De'Michael Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 34Similar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 12
OPP 34
+4
85.3%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 4 yds Tim Jones fumbled, forced by Noah Wilder, recovered by SoMis De'Michael HarrisSimilar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+2
87.4%
Jack Abraham run for 2 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+44
88.1%
Andrew Stein 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
88.1%
Jack Abraham sacked by Garrett Marino for a loss of 9 yards to the SoMis 16Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+1
86.8%
Jack Abraham run for 1 yd to the SoMis 17Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+8
86.3%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 8 yds to the SoMis 25Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
86.9%
Zac Everett punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
88.3%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 41Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-1
88.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Larry Wooden for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 40Similar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
89.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Kendall ParhamSimilar
Q3 12:58
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
89.3%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jaylond Adams at the SoMis 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 16FG
6 plays · 62 yds · 1:5293% → 96%
Q3 11:24
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+44
92.8%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 29 yds to the SOUMISS 32 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the UAB 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
92.9%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 6 yds to the UAB 11Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+3
92.9%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 3 yds to the UAB 8Similar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 1
OPP 8
0
92.7%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Jaylond Adams, broken up by TD MarshallSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
92.6%
Kevin Perkins run for 9 yds to the SoMis 39Similar
Q3 9:32
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+25
95.7%
Andrew Stein 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.2%
Dylan Hopkins run for no gain to the UAB 25Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
95.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Lucious Stanley for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 24Similar
Q3 9:32
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+2
95.3%
Jonathan Haden run for 2 yds to the UAB 26Similar
Q3 9:32
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
95.2%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 27 yds, downed at the SoMis 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 18TD
6 plays · 53 yds · 3:0596% → 100%
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
96.3%
Steven Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 46Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+21
96.3%
Jack Abraham run for 21 yds to the UAB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
96.4%
Steven Anderson run for 3 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+9
96.4%
Steven Anderson run for 9 yds to the UAB 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
96.4%
Steven Anderson run for 1 yd to the UAB 20Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+20
99.6%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 20 yds for a TD (Andrew Stein KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 1:470% → 0%
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.6%
Larry Wooden run for 2 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
99.5%
Larry Wooden run for 4 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q3 4:23
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+8
99.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 8 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Myron Mitchell, broken up by Shannon ShowersSimilar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+3
99.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 3 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q3 2:36
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+5
99.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Kevin Davis for 5 yds to the UAB 47Similar
Q3 2:36
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
99.6%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jaylond Adams at the SoMis 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 20TD
6 plays · 86 yds · 2:52100% → 100%
Q3 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
99.8%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 2 yds to the SoMis 16Similar
Q3 1:12
2ND & 8
OWN 16
-4
99.8%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for a loss of 4 yards to the SoMis 12Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 12
+79
99.8%
Kevin Perkins run for 79 yds to the UAB 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.8%
Steven Anderson run for no gain to the UAB 9Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.8%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 9 yds for a TD (Andrew Stein KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
99.9%
Lucious Stanley run for 3 yds to the UAB 26Similar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:16
3RD & 7
OWN 26
-8
99.9%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Darius Kennedy and Racheem Boothe for a loss of 8 yards to the UAB 18Similar
Q4 13:16
4TH & 15
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jaylond Adams at the SoMis 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
99.9%
Jack Abraham pass complete to De'Michael Harris for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 39Similar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+2
99.9%
De'Michael Harris run for 2 yds to the SoMis 41Similar
Q4 11:46
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+4
99.9%
De'Michael Harris run for 4 yds to the SoMis 45Similar
Q4 11:46
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
99.8%
Zac Everett punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 23DOWNS
11 plays · 65 yds · 4:310% → 0%
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
99.9%
Larry Wooden run for 2 yds to the UAB 17Similar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+15
99.9%
HOPKINS, Dylan sideline pass incomplete to WATKINS, Austin, PENALTY USM pass interference (MITCHELL, R.) 15 yards to the UAB32, 1ST DOWN UAB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
99.9%
Larry Wooden run for 5 yds to the UAB 37Similar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+16
99.9%
Larry Wooden run for 16 yds to the SoMis 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
99.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 3 yds to the SoMis 44Similar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+21
99.9%
Jonathan Haden run for 21 yds to the SoMis 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
99.9%
Jonathan Haden run for 1 yd to the SoMis 22Similar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+2
99.9%
Dylan Hopkins run for 2 yds to the SoMis 20Similar
Q4 4:50
3RD & 7
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Myron Mitchell, broken up by Ty WilliamsSimilar
Q4 4:50
4TH & 7
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Austin WatkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
99.9%
Steven Anderson run for 8 yds to the SoMis 28Similar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+5
99.9%
Steven Anderson run for 5 yds to the SoMis 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-4
99.9%
Steven Anderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the SoMis 29Similar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 14
OWN 29
+6
99.9%
Steven Anderson run for 6 yds to the SoMis 35Similar
Q4 4:37
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+4
99.9%
Steven Anderson run for 4 yds to the SoMis 39Similar
Q4 4:37
4TH & 4
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Zac Everett punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Myron Mitchell at the UAB 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
100.0%
Jonathan Haden run for 3 yds to the UAB 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:01
Dylan Hopkins pass intercepted for a TD D.Q. Thomas return for 55 yds for a TD (Andrew Stein KICK)
+8.6
TD · Q3 4:23
Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 20 yds for a TD (Andrew Stein KICK)
+3.2
FG · Q3 9:32
Andrew Stein 25 yd FG GOOD
+3.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com