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UNT

North Texas 17 at Louisiana Tech 52

LT
2019 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2019 · Joe Aillet Stadium
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Win probability · LT
modelLT aheadUNT aheadconfidence bandkey playLT scoreUNT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Alvin Kenworthy punt for 57 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 7Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Pregame prior+13.6Garbage-time factor+0.0Blowout margin+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:42: Justin Henderson run for 10 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK) — LT win probability +0.9 pts (now 65%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 7:29: Bailey Hale 24 yd FG GOOD — LT win probability +5.1 pts (now 71%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:00: Justin Henderson run for 1 yd for a TD NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Bailey Hale KICK) — LT win probability +6.8 pts (now 83%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:08: Israel Tucker run for 8 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK) — LT win probability +10.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:15: J'Mar Smith pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 80 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK) — LT win probability +4.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UNT made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00UNT 4th & 7 at UNT 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:07UNT 4th & 4 at LT 21, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.6%−<0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    34.2%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:42UNT 4th & 13 at UNT 30, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%−0.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:16LT 4th & 5 at LT 35, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:17UNT 4th & 7 at LT 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    32.5%−1.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00LT 4th & 5 at UNT 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    66.0%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    65.6%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:53UNT 4th & 14 at UNT 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:38LT 4th & 1 at UNT 26, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    65.5%−0.9
    64% to make
    Punt
    63.1%−3.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:29LT 4th & 6 at UNT 6, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    63.0%−3.9
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:29UNT 4th & 3 at UNT 30, down 7
    Close callPunted · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.2%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:42LT 4th & 22 at UNT 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.9%−1.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:00UNT 4th & 9 at UNT 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%−1.0
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:00UNT 4th & 1 at UNT 27, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LT made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UNT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:42LT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:00LT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:08LT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:15LT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:00LT Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:40LT Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:25UNT Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:08LT Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:13UNT Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNTDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
63.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 4 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
63.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to Tre Siggers for 11 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
63.6%
Tre Siggers run for 2 yds to the NoTex 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+1
63.6%
Tre Siggers run for 1 yd to the NoTex 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
63.6%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jaelon DardenSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
63.6%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2FUMBLE
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
63.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
63.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 6 yds Adrian Hardy fumbled, forced by Khairi Muhammad, recovered by NoTex Nick HarveySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 3FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5137% → 37%
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
63.2%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Greg White, broken up by Amik RobertsonSimilar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+6
63.3%
Tre Siggers run for 6 yds to the LaTch 21Similar
Q1 12:58
3RD & 4
OPP 21
0
63.3%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:07
4TH & 4
OPP 21
+38
63.2%
Ethan Mooney 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 4TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 2:2563% → 65%
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+27
63.3%
J'Mar Smith run for 12 yds to the NoTex 43 for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, personal foul (Nick Harvey) to the NoTex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-8
63.6%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Tyreke Davis for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard line LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, intentional grounding ( Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 18
50
+9
63.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Justin Henderson for 9 yds to the NoTex 41Similar
Q1 12:07
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+12
63.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Malik Stanley for 12 yds to the NoTex 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
63.7%
J'Mar Smith run for 7 yds to the NoTex 22Similar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+12
63.7%
SMITH, J'Mar pass incomplete to HEBERT, Griffin, PENALTY UNT pass interference (MOORE, Jameel) 12 yards to the UNT10, 1ST DOWN LATECH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
64.6%
Justin Henderson run for 10 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
63.9%
Tre Siggers run for 3 yds to the NoTex 36Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 7
OWN 36
-6
63.8%
Mason Fine sacked by Milton Williams for a loss of 6 yards to the NoTex 30Similar
Q1 9:42
3RD & 13
OWN 30
0
64.3%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:42
4TH & 13
OWN 30
0
64.4%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
63.9%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
63.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 5 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q1 8:16
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
63.8%
J'Mar Smith run for no gain to the LaTch 35Similar
Q1 8:16
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
63.6%
Brady Farlow punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoTex 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 7MISSED FG
9 plays · 33 yds · 2:4236% → 36%
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
63.8%
Tre Siggers run for 6 yds to the NoTex 46Similar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+8
63.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to Tre Siggers for 8 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
63.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 9 yds to the LaTch 37Similar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+7
63.4%
Mason Fine pass complete to Tre Siggers for 7 yds to the LaTch 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
63.2%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jaelon DardenSimilar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+8
63.2%
Mason Fine pass complete to Greg White for 8 yds to the LaTch 22Similar
Q1 6:59
3RD & 2
OPP 22
0
63.5%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:59
4TH & 2
OPP 22
-5
63.8%
SIGGERS, Tre rush for 4 yards to the LATECH18 (SNEED, L'Jarius), PENALTY UNT illegal formation 5 yards to the LATECH27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:17
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+44
64.1%
Ethan Mooney 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 8DOWNS
10 plays · 41 yds · 4:1764% → 65%
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
64.4%
Justin Henderson run for 3 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
64.4%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q1 4:17
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+20
64.0%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
50
0
65.3%
J'Mar Smith run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 10
50
+7
65.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Justin Henderson for 7 yds to the NoTex 43Similar
Q1 4:17
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+6
65.2%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 6 yds to the NoTex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
65.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Malik Stanley for 5 yds to the NoTex 32Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 5
OPP 32
0
65.6%
J'Mar Smith run for no gain to the NoTex 32Similar
Q1 4:17
3RD & 5
OPP 32
0
65.2%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Cee Jay PowellSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 32
0
64.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Isaiah GrahamSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0036% → 35%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
63.9%
Tre Siggers run for a loss of 5 yards to the NoTex 27Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 15
OWN 27
+1
64.5%
Tre Siggers run for 1 yd to the NoTex 28Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 14
OWN 28
0
65.0%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 14
OWN 28
0
65.4%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 10FG
18 plays · 65 yds · 6:0964% → 71%
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
64.4%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
64.2%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Cee Jay PowellSimilar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+10
63.6%
SMITH, J'Mar pass incomplete to TOUSSANT, Wayne, PENALTY UNT holding (HARVEY, Nick) 10 yards to the LATECH39, 1ST DOWN LATECH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
65.0%
Justin Henderson run for 8 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+18
65.6%
Justin Henderson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (KD Davis) to the NoTex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
66.2%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-6
66.1%
Justin Henderson run for 4 yds to the NoTex 31 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the NoTex 41Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 16
OPP 41
+10
65.1%
Israel Tucker run for 10 yds to the NoTex 31Similar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+5
65.6%
Israel Tucker run for 5 yds to the NoTex 26Similar
Q2 13:38
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+1
64.8%
J'Mar Smith run for 1 yd to the NoTex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
66.2%
Smoke Harris run for 15 yds to the NoTex 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
66.2%
Israel Tucker run for 4 yds to the NoTex 6Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
66.2%
SMITH, J'Mar pass incomplete to STANLEY, Malik, PENALTY UNT pass interference (JOHNSON, Cam) 4 yards to the UNT2, 1ST DOWN LATECH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
66.2%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 7Similar
Q2 13:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
66.2%
J'Mar Smith run for 4 yds to the NoTex 3Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
66.2%
Justin Henderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 6Similar
Q2 13:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
65.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q2 7:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
70.6%
Bailey Hale 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0030% → 29%
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
69.7%
Tre Siggers run for 6 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+2
69.0%
Mason Fine pass complete to Tre Siggers for 2 yds to the NoTex 31Similar
Q2 7:29
3RD & 2
OWN 31
-1
69.4%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 30Similar
Q2 7:29
4TH & 3
OWN 30
0
70.6%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Smoke Harris at the LaTch 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 0:0071% → 70%
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
71.0%
Justin Henderson run for 3 yds to the LaTch 24Similar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+13
71.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 13 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
71.7%
Justin Henderson run for 3 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+7
72.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 7 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+17
72.6%
Justin Henderson run for 2 yds to the NoTex 49 for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, personal foul (Jamie King) to the NoTex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
72.8%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
72.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Smoke Harris for no gain to the NoTex 36Similar
Q2 5:42
3RD & 10
OPP 36
-7
71.9%
J'Mar Smith sacked by LaDarius Hamilton for a loss of 7 yards to the NoTex 43Similar
Q2 5:42
4TH & 17
OPP 43
-5
69.8%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (Zach Hannibal) to the NoTex 48Similar
Q2 5:42
4TH & 22
OPP 48
0
69.7%
Brady Farlow punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoTex 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 13FUMBLE
4 plays · 23 yds · 0:1529% → 30%
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+19
71.2%
Jason Bean pass complete to Austin Ogunmakin for 19 yds to the NoTex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
70.6%
Jason Bean run for 7 yds to the NoTex 38Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 3
OWN 38
-3
70.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 35 TEAM fumbled, recovered by LaTch Milton WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14TD
13 plays · 35 yds · 1:0676% → 83%
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
75.5%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+8
75.5%
Justin Henderson run for 8 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+2
74.6%
J'Mar Smith run for 2 yds to the NoTex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
75.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Cee Jay Powell, broken up by Jamie KingSimilar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+14
75.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 14 yds to the NoTex 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
74.7%
J'Mar Smith run for 5 yds to the NoTex 6Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 5
OPP 6
0
74.1%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Cee Jay PowellSimilar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+5
73.1%
J'Mar Smith run for 5 yds to the NoTex 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.9%
Justin Henderson run for 1 yd for a TD NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 15INT
9 plays · 27 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
82.6%
Justin Henderson run for 2 yds to the LaTch 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+10
82.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 10 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
83.2%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Malik StanleySimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+5
83.0%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 5 yds to the NoTex 49Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+11
82.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 11 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
83.2%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Justin Henderson, broken up by KD DavisSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-1
83.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Smoke Harris for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 39
0
82.4%
J'Mar Smith pass intercepted Khairi Muhammad return for no gain to the NoTex 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
82.6%
Tre Siggers run for no gain to the NoTex 35Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
82.8%
Tre Siggers run for 1 yd to the NoTex 36Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
83.2%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:00
4TH & 9
OWN 36
+56
83.8%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 48 yds, downed at the LATECH 16 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, personal foul (8 Yards) to the LaTch 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 17TD
12 plays · 92 yds · 5:2785% → 96%
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
84.6%
Justin Henderson run for 8 yds to the LaTch 16Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 2
OWN 16
+4
84.8%
Justin Henderson run for 4 yds to the LaTch 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
84.8%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
84.8%
Justin Henderson run for 2 yds to the LaTch 22Similar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+9
84.2%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 9 yds to the LaTch 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+14
84.9%
J'Mar Smith run for 24 yds to the LATECH 45 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (Adrian Hardy) to the LaTch 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
85.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 15 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
85.6%
Israel Tucker run for 4 yds to the NoTex 36Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+7
85.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Smoke Harris for 7 yds to the NoTex 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+16
85.6%
Israel Tucker run for 16 yds to the NoTex 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
85.6%
Israel Tucker run for 5 yds to the NoTex 8Similar
Q3 5:08
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+8
96.3%
Israel Tucker run for 8 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 18INT
14 plays · 57 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
95.3%
Jason Bean pass complete to Austin Ogunmakin for 4 yds to the NoTex 35Similar
Q3 5:08
2ND & 6
OWN 35
-1
95.3%
Jason Bean pass complete to Jaelon Darden for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 34Similar
Q3 5:08
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+8
95.4%
Jason Bean pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 8 yds to the NoTex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
95.3%
Tre Siggers run for 13 yds to the LaTch 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
95.3%
Jason Bean pass complete to Tre Siggers for 3 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q3 5:08
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+8
95.3%
Jason Bean pass complete to Deonte Simpson for 8 yds to the LaTch 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
94.8%
Jason Bean pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 3 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q3 5:08
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+7
94.6%
Tre Siggers run for 7 yds to the LaTch 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
94.6%
Jason Bean pass complete to Deonte Simpson for 8 yds to the LaTch 16Similar
Q3 5:08
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+7
94.7%
Tre Siggers run for 7 yds to the LaTch 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-3
94.7%
Tre Siggers run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 12Similar
Q3 5:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
94.9%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Jason Pirtle, broken up by Ezekiel BarnettSimilar
Q3 5:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
95.3%
Jason Bean pass intercepted, touchback. Michael Sam return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 19TD
1 play · 80 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
99.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 80 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 20FUMBLE
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-4
99.7%
Jason Bean run for a loss of 4 yards to the NoTex 38 Jason Bean fumbled, forced by Deshon Hall, recovered by LaTch Tristan AllenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 21TD
7 plays · 38 yds · 3:06100% → 100%
Q3 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
99.7%
Wayne Toussant run for 4 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q3 1:06
2ND & 6
OPP 34
-10
99.7%
TUCKER, Israel rush for no gain to the UNT34 (DAVIS, KD), PENALTY LATECH holding (RUSSEY, Kody) 10 yards to the UNT44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:06
2ND & 16
OPP 44
-8
99.7%
J'Mar Smith sacked by LaDarius Hamilton for a loss of 8 yards to the LaTch 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 24
OWN 48
+37
99.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 22 yds to the LATECH 30 for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the NoTex 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
99.7%
J'Mar Smith run for 2 yds to the NoTex 10 J'Mar Smith fumbled, forced by Kevin Wood,Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+2
99.7%
J'Mar Smith run for 2 yds to the NoTex 8Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+8
99.8%
Smoke Harris run for 8 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 22INT TD
9 plays · 50 yds · 3:200% → 0%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
99.8%
Jason Bean pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 5 yds to the NoTex 23Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+4
99.8%
Tre Siggers run for 4 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 1
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Tre Siggers run for no gain to the NoTex 27Similar
Q4 13:00
4TH & 1
OWN 27
+2
99.8%
Jason Bean pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 2 yds to the NoTex 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+24
99.8%
Jason Bean pass complete to Greg White for 24 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
99.8%
Tre Siggers run for 4 yds to the LaTch 43Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+11
99.8%
Jason Bean pass complete to Greg White for 11 yds to the LaTch 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+68
99.9%
Jason Bean pass intercepted for a TD L'Jarius Sneed return for 68 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 23TD
2 plays · 74 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+74
99.9%
Austin Aune pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 74 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 24TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 4:17100% → 100%
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
99.9%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Jacob Adams for 8 yds to the LaTch 36Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+4
99.9%
DeAndre Marcus run for 4 yds to the LaTch 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
99.9%
DeAndre Marcus run for 8 yds to the LaTch 48Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+6
99.9%
DeAndre Marcus run for 6 yds to the NoTex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+16
99.9%
DeAndre Marcus run for 16 yds to the NoTex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
99.9%
DeAndre Marcus run for 6 yds to the NoTex 24Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+9
99.9%
Jawaun Johnson run for 9 yds to the NoTex 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
99.9%
Jawaun Johnson run for 15 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 25TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 1:550% → 0%
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+41
99.9%
Austin Aune pass complete to Cole McCrary for 41 yds to the LaTch 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Tre SiggersSimilar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+8
99.9%
Austin Aune pass complete to Deonte Simpson for 8 yds to the LaTch 24Similar
Q4 5:08
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+2
99.9%
Tre Siggers run for 2 yds to the LaTch 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
99.9%
Tre Siggers run for 22 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 26END OF GAME
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
99.9%
Jawaun Johnson run for 2 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+7
99.9%
Westin Elliott pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 7 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q4 3:13
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+4
99.9%
Jawaun Johnson run for 4 yds to the LaTch 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
99.9%
Jawaun Johnson run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 3
50
+9
99.9%
Jawaun Johnson run for 9 yds to the NoTex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-3
99.9%
Jawaun Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:08
Israel Tucker run for 8 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)
+10.7
TD · Q2 0:00
Justin Henderson run for 1 yd for a TD NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Bailey Hale KICK)
+6.8
FG · Q2 7:29
Bailey Hale 24 yd FG GOOD
+5.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com