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FIU

Florida International 7 at Florida Atlantic 37

FAU
2019 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2019 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:41 · Nick Tronti pass complete to Willie Wright for 1 yd to the FlaIn 7
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:34: Napoleon Maxwell run for 75 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +4.6 pts (now 27%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. FG · Q2 6:10: Vladimir Rivas 27 yd FG GOOD — FAU win probability +4.4 pts (now 78%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:53: Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 5 yds for a TD (Chris Robison pass to Harrison Bryant for Two-Point Conversion) — FAU win probability +9.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:55: Malcolm Davidson run for 6 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +7.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:22: Malcolm Davidson run for 23 yds for a TD PENALTY FIU unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY FAU unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY. (Vladimir Rivas PAT MISSED) — FAU win probability +1.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7FIU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00FIU 4th & 3 at FIU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:37FAU 4th & 3 at FIU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    78.1%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    78.2%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:43FIU 4th & 2 at FAU 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    21.7%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:49FAU 4th & 6 at FIU 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    78.6%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    78.3%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:56FIU 4th & 12 at FIU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%−0.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:46FAU 4th & 10 at FIU 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.8%−0.5
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.3%
    83% to make
    Punt
    75.8%−2.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:34FAU 4th & 9 at FIU 47, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.6%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:52FIU 4th & 9 at FIU 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.8%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:10FAU 4th & 7 at FIU 10, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.0%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.2%
    88% to make
    Punt
    69.9%−4.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:10FIU 4th & 1 at FAU 27, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    22.6%−1.6
    62% to make
    Punt
    18.8%−5.5
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:32FIU 4th & 15 at FAU 21, down 6
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.9 ptsWent for it · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.1%−1.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    24.0%
    74% to make
    Punt
    19.7%−4.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:55FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 46, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:40FAU 4th & 1 at FIU 3, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.0%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    95.4%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    93.7%−2.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00FIU 4th & 2 at FIU 46, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.6%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:22FIU 4th & 7 at FAU 37, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:01FAU 4th & 4 at FIU 7, up 27
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:01FIU 4th & 5 at FAU 9, down 30
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4FIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:43FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:34FIU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:53FAU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    86.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    86.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:55FAU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:22FAU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
75.4%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 5 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
75.4%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-2
75.4%
Napoleon Maxwell run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
75.4%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 68 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 2TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 4:5475% → 76%
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
75.2%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 3 yds to the FlAtl 23Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+3
75.2%
Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 3 yds to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+11
75.1%
Chris Robison pass complete to Chauncey Mason for 11 yds to the FlAtl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
75.2%
Chris Robison run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+8
75.2%
Chauncey Mason run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+5
75.2%
Chauncey Mason run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
75.3%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 2 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+2
75.3%
Malcolm Davidson run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+3
75.3%
Malcolm Davidson run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q1 13:37
4TH & 3
OPP 42
+31
75.2%
Malcolm Davidson run for 31 yds to the FlaIn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
75.3%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 15
OPP 16
+6
75.3%
Malcolm Davidson run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+10
76.3%
Malcolm Davidson run for 10 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3DOWNS
11 plays · 12 yds · 0:0024% → 25%
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
75.8%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
75.7%
James Morgan pass complete to Napoleon Maxwell for 1 yd to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q1 8:43
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+7
75.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 7 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
75.6%
Napoleon Maxwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+10
75.7%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 10 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q1 8:43
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+1
75.4%
Kaylan Wiggins run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
75.4%
James Morgan pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 6 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+2
75.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q1 8:43
3RD & 2
OPP 47
0
75.3%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Austin MaloneySimilar
Q1 8:43
4TH & 2
OPP 47
-16
75.5%
Tommy Heatherly run for a loss of 16 yards to the FlaIn 37 Tommy Heatherly fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Tommy HeatherlySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 4DOWNS
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
77.0%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 1 yd to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 9
OPP 36
-1
76.9%
Chris Robison run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q1 3:49
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+4
76.6%
Chauncey Mason run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q1 3:49
4TH & 6
OPP 33
0
76.2%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to John MitchellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
75.5%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q1 1:56
2ND & 9
OWN 35
-3
75.5%
D'Vonte Price run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q1 1:56
3RD & 12
OWN 32
0
76.2%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Shemar ThorntonSimilar
Q1 1:56
4TH & 12
OWN 32
0
76.4%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6FG
9 plays · 56 yds · 1:5076% → 77%
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+23
76.2%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 23 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+17
77.1%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 17 yds to the FlaIn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+16
77.2%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 16 yds to the FlaIn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-10
77.2%
Chris Robison run for a loss of 10 yards to the FlaIn 25 Chris Robison fumbled, recovered by FlAtl Chris RobisonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 20
OPP 25
0
76.9%
Chris Robison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 20
OPP 25
+5
76.4%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Defensive offside (Kevin Oliver) to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 20
+5
76.4%
ROBISON, Chris pass incomplete to HARRISON, T, PENALTY FIU offside (WHITE,N) 5 yards to the FIU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
76.8%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Harrison Bryant, broken up by Richard DamesSimilar
Q2 13:46
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+33
76.9%
Vladimir Rivas 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
72.8%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 75 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 0:0073% → 72%
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
72.6%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 9 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
73.3%
James Charles run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
73.0%
Chris Robison run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+10
73.6%
Malcolm Davidson run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
73.9%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to John Mitchell, broken up by Stantley Thomas-Oliver IIISimilar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+1
73.7%
Malcolm Davidson run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q2 13:34
3RD & 9
OWN 0
0
71.8%
ROBISON, Chris pass complete to MITCHELL, John for 9 yards to the FIU38 (THOMAS-OLIVER,S;DAMES,RISHARD), PENALTY FIU IS off-setting, PENALTY FAU personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:34
3RD & 9
OPP 47
0
73.2%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Harrison Bryant, broken up by Olin Cushion IIISimilar
Q2 13:34
4TH & 9
OPP 47
0
72.2%
Matthew Hayball punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5428% → 26%
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
72.3%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Shemar Thornton, broken up by James PierreSimilar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
72.5%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q2 10:46
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
73.1%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IVSimilar
Q2 9:52
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
73.8%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 45 yds, downed at the FlAtl 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10FG
11 plays · 56 yds · 3:3373% → 78%
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
72.9%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to John Mitchell, broken up by Stantley Thomas-Oliver IIISimilar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+12
72.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Mitchell for 12 yds to the FlAtl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
74.1%
Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 15 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
74.4%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Deangelo AntoineSimilar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
74.3%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Harrison Bryant, broken up by Dorian HallSimilar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+26
73.8%
Chris Robison pass complete to Chauncey Mason for 26 yds to the FlaIn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
74.9%
Chauncey Mason run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 7
OPP 10
-5
74.9%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (John Mitchell) to the FlaIn 15Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 12
OPP 15
-4
74.8%
Nick Tronti run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 16
OPP 19
+9
73.3%
John Raine run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q2 6:10
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+27
77.7%
Vladimir Rivas 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11INT
18 plays · 44 yds · 5:3824% → 23%
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
76.4%
D'Vonte Price run for no gain to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+13
76.6%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 13 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
75.1%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+2
75.3%
Alexy Jean-Baptiste run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+13
75.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 13 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
74.8%
Kaylan Wiggins run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+4
73.8%
D'Vonte Price run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+1
74.8%
Kaylan Wiggins run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q2 6:10
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+3
75.6%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
73.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 11 yds to the FlAtl 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
72.7%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Austin MaloneySimilar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 10
OPP 13
-10
72.7%
D'Vonte Price run for no gain to the FlAtl 13 FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Offensive holding (D'Antne Demery) to the FlAtl 23Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 17
OPP 23
0
74.3%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Shemar ThorntonSimilar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 17
OPP 23
+2
75.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 2 yds to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q2 0:32
4TH & 15
OPP 21
+11
77.3%
Alec Hallman pass intercepted Meiko Dotson return for 11 yds to the FlAtl 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 12END OF HALF
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:1878% → 78%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-11
78.4%
Chris Robison sacked by Alexy Jean-Baptiste for a loss of 11 yards to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 21
OWN 26
0
76.3%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to John MitchellSimilar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 21
OWN 26
+23
75.6%
Chauncey Mason run for 23 yds to the FlAtl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
77.8%
Chris Robison pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:0777% → 88%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
76.8%
Deangelo Antoine run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
77.5%
James Charles run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+45
77.4%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 45 yds to the FlaIn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
78.7%
Chris Robison pass complete to Willie Wright for 2 yds to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+4
78.7%
Malcolm Davidson run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+5
78.1%
ROBISON, Chris pass incomplete to MITCHELL, John (THOMAS-OLIVER,S), PENALTY FIU offside (COLSON,R) 5 yards to the FIU7, 1ST DOWN FAU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
78.7%
Malcolm Davidson run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 5Similar
Q3 11:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
88.0%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 5 yds for a TD (Chris Robison pass to Harrison Bryant for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14FUMBLE
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
88.2%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 8Similar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+2
88.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q3 11:53
3RD & 6
OWN 10
+5
87.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 5 yds Tony Gaiter IV fumbled, forced by Chris Tooley, recovered by FlAtl Noah JeffersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 15TD
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:3189% → 97%
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+10
89.4%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 10 yds to the FlaIn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
89.4%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Tavaris Harrison, broken up by Josh TurnerSimilar
Q3 9:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
96.5%
Malcolm Davidson run for 6 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
95.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+17
95.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 17 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
95.0%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Shemar ThorntonSimilar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
95.0%
James Morgan pass complete to D'Vonte Price for 5 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
95.1%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Napoleon MaxwellSimilar
Q3 9:55
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
95.1%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 36 yds, downed at the FlAtl 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 17DOWNS
12 plays · 78 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
96.4%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for no gain to the FlAtl 18Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
96.4%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Tavaris Harrison, broken up by Dorian HallSimilar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+13
96.4%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 13 yds to the FlAtl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+21
96.5%
Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 21 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+23
96.7%
Malcolm Davidson run for 23 yds to the FlaIn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
96.8%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Deangelo AntoineSimilar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+6
96.7%
Malcolm Davidson run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+7
96.7%
Malcolm Davidson run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
96.8%
Malcolm Davidson run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 8Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+2
96.8%
Chauncey Mason run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 6Similar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 4
OPP 6
+3
96.7%
Chris Robison run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 3Similar
Q3 7:40
4TH & 1
OPP 3
-1
96.4%
James Charles run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 43 yds · 3:273% → 2%
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+16
97.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Napoleon Maxwell for 16 yds to the FlaIn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
97.1%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+1
97.1%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q3 3:27
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+15
97.1%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, personal foul (Akileis Leroy) to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
96.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Napoleon Maxwell for 4 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 6
OWN 42
-1
96.9%
Napoleon Maxwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q3 3:27
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+5
97.0%
James Morgan pass complete to D'Vonte Price for 5 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 46
+1
98.3%
Kaylan Wiggins run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 19TD
2 plays · 47 yds · 0:3199% → 100%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+24
98.6%
Chris Robison pass complete to James Brunson for 24 yds to the FlaIn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
99.8%
Malcolm Davidson run for 23 yds for a TD PENALTY FIU unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY FAU unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY. (Vladimir Rivas PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20DOWNS
8 plays · 38 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 12 yds to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
99.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 8 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+15
99.8%
Nate Jefferson run for 15 yds to the FlAtl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.8%
James Morgan pass incomplete to D'Vonte PriceSimilar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+3
99.8%
D'Vonte Price run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q4 14:22
3RD & 7
OPP 37
0
99.8%
James Morgan pass incomplete to D'Vonte PriceSimilar
Q4 14:22
4TH & 7
OPP 37
0
99.8%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IVSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 21FG
9 plays · 56 yds · 2:43100% → 100%
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+38
99.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 38 yds to the FlaIn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
99.9%
James Charles run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
99.9%
Chris Robison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 6
OPP 21
-5
99.9%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (Harrison Bryant) to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 11
OPP 26
+13
99.9%
ROBISON, Chris pass incomplete to HARRISON, T, PENALTY FIU roughing passer (CURTIS,N) 13 yards to the FIU13, 1ST DOWN FAU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
99.9%
Malcolm Davidson run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 7Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 4
OPP 7
0
99.9%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Malcolm DavidsonSimilar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 4
OPP 7
0
99.9%
Malcolm Davidson run for no gain to the FlaIn 7Similar
Q4 9:01
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+25
99.9%
Vladimir Rivas 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22DOWNS
12 plays · 71 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
99.9%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Tyrek Tisdale) to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
99.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 13 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.9%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Shemar ThorntonSimilar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
99.9%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IVSimilar
Q4 9:01
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+27
99.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 27 yds to the FlAtl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.9%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Austin MaloneySimilar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+11
99.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 11 yds to the FlAtl 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
99.9%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IVSimilar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+5
99.9%
James Morgan run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 9Similar
Q4 9:01
3RD & 5
OPP 9
0
99.9%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IVSimilar
Q4 9:01
4TH & 5
OPP 9
0
99.9%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Shemar ThorntonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 23END OF GAME
11 plays · 84 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
99.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to Willie Wright for 2 yds to the FlAtl 11Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+11
99.9%
Willie Wright run for 11 yds to the FlAtl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
99.9%
Chauncey Mason run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+16
99.9%
James Charles run for 16 yds to the FlAtl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+19
99.9%
James Charles run for 19 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
99.9%
Nick Tronti run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+19
99.9%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Willie Wright for 19 yds to the FlaIn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
99.9%
Nick Tronti run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 15Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+10
99.9%
Nick Tronti run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
99.9%
Nick Tronti run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 8Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
99.9%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Willie Wright for 1 yd to the FlaIn 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:53
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 5 yds for a TD (Chris Robison pass to Harrison Bryant for Two-Point Conversion)
+9.2
TD · Q3 9:55
Malcolm Davidson run for 6 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)
+7.1
TD · Q2 13:34
Napoleon Maxwell run for 75 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)
-4.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com