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CLT

Charlotte 28 at UTEP 21

UTEP
2019 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2019 · Sun Bowl
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Win probability · UTEP
modelUTEP aheadCLT aheadconfidence bandkey playUTEP scoreCLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:05 · Mitchell Crawford punt for 38 yds, downed at the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 142Pregame prior−4.4Home team on offense−18.1Garbage-time factor−8.2Score differential−4.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:52: Kai Locksley pass complete to Justin Garrett for 15 yds for a TD (Gavin Baechle KICK) — UTEP win probability +7.8 pts (now 35%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:42: Treyvon Hughes run for 3 yds for a TD (Gavin Baechle KICK) — UTEP win probability +8.9 pts (now 60%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:48: Ishod Finger run for 3 yds for a TD (Chris Reynolds pass to Christian Roberson for Two-Point Conversion) — CLT win probability +20.2 pts (now 59%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. FG · Q3 0:44: Jonathan Cruz 34 yd FG GOOD — CLT win probability +8.9 pts (now 60%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:06: Chris Reynolds pass complete to Jacob Hunt for 19 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +23.9 pts (now 86%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTEP made the numbers' call on 4 of 5CLT made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 1:52CLT 4th & 1 at CLT 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    62.6%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q2 10:57UTEP 4th & 14 at UTEP 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%−1.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 7:44CLT 4th & 11 at CLT 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.6%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.6%
    average punt
  4. Q3 11:50CLT 4th & 9 at UTEP 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%−0.9
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.5%
    60% to make
    Punt
    24.6%−6.9
    average punt
  5. Q3 11:50UTEP 4th & 14 at UTEP 21, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.8%−4.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.0%
    average punt
  6. Q3 4:47UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 41, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsPunted · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.5%−2.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 0:44CLT 4th & 3 at UTEP 17, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.3%−1.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    34.8%−12.6
    average punt
  8. Q4 11:43UTEP 4th & 1 at CLT 4, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.1%
    65% to convert
    Field goal
    45.1%−6.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    26.4%−25.7
    average punt
  9. Q4 7:05UTEP 4th & 13 at UTEP 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%−2.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.8%
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:42CLT 4th & 6 at UTEP 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    87.9%−1.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.7%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTEP made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CLT made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 9:21UTEP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:52UTEP Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:57CLT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:42UTEP Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:48CLT Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    46.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    46.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:06CLT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTEPDrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:3918% → 23%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
18.0%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the UTEP 30Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+7
18.0%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Tre'Shon Wolf for 7 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
18.0%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Justin Garrett for 3 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+2
18.0%
Kai Locksley run for 2 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+9
18.0%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Tre'Shon Wolf for 9 yds to the Charl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
18.0%
Treyvon Hughes run for no gain to the Charl 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+23
18.0%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 23 yds to the Charl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
18.0%
Treyvon Hughes run for 7 yds to the Charl 19Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+2
18.0%
Treyvon Hughes run for 2 yds to the Charl 17Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+3
18.0%
Treyvon Hughes run for 3 yds to the Charl 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
18.0%
UTEP Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Charl 19Similar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 15
OPP 19
+19
22.8%
Kai Locksley run for 19 yds for a TD (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2INT
11 plays · 47 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
22.2%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+6
22.3%
Chris Reynolds run for 6 yds to the Charl 36Similar
Q1 9:21
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+6
22.2%
Aaron McAllister run for 6 yds to the Charl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
22.1%
Aaron McAllister run for 5 yds to the Charl 47Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+3
21.9%
Chris Reynolds run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:21
3RD & 2
50
+6
22.0%
Aaron McAllister run for 6 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
21.9%
UTEP Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the UTEP 39Similar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 5
OPP 39
+1
21.9%
Ishod Finger run for 1 yd to the UTEP 38Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+15
21.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Micaleous Elder for 15 yds to the UTEP 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
21.7%
Chris Reynolds pass intercepted Michael Lewis return for no gain to the UTEP 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 3TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 3:0326% → 35%
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+38
26.2%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 38 yds to the Charl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+14
27.0%
Deion Hankins run for 14 yds to the Charl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
27.0%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the Charl 17Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+2
27.0%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the Charl 15Similar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
27.0%
Deion Hankins run for 5 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q1 1:52
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+15
34.8%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Justin Garrett for 15 yds for a TD (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:5567% → 68%
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
32.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 5 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
32.6%
Aaron McAllister run for 2 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q1 1:52
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
32.7%
Aaron McAllister run for 2 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q1 1:52
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
32.9%
Aaron McAllister run for 1 yd to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
35.2%
Chris Reynolds run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+13
35.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Tyler Ringwood for 13 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
34.7%
Chris Reynolds run for 5 yds to the UTEP 48 CHARLOTTE Penalty, Offensive holding (Tyler Ringwood) to the Charl 42Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+6
35.3%
Chris Reynolds run for 6 yds to the Charl 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+13
34.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 13 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+20
34.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 20 yds to the UTEP 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
33.6%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Jayson VanHook for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 21
+5
33.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Noah Henderson for 5 yds to the UTEP 16Similar
Q2 10:57
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+16
32.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Tyler Ringwood for 16 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
34.9%
Kai Locksley run for 6 yds to the UTEP 34 Kai Locksley fumbled, forced by Jeff Gemmell,Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+14
35.6%
Treyvon Hughes run for 14 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-10
36.2%
LOCKSLEY, Kai sideline pass incomplete to GARRETT, Justin, QB hurry by WATTS, Markees, PENALTY UTEP holding (TRUSSELL, Jess) 10 yards to the UTEP38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 20
OWN 38
-5
35.3%
UTEP Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 33Similar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 25
OWN 33
+4
34.8%
Kai Locksley run for 4 yds to the UTEP 39 Kai Locksley fumbled, recovered by UTEP Kai LocksleySimilar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 19
OWN 39
+4
35.2%
Treyvon Hughes run for 4 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q2 10:57
3RD & 15
OWN 43
+1
34.5%
Kai Locksley run for 1 yd to the UTEP 44Similar
Q2 10:57
4TH & 14
OWN 44
0
33.5%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Nafees Lyon at the Charl 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 34 yds · 0:0062% → 61%
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+35
38.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Tyler Ringwood for 35 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
36.5%
Aaron McAllister run for 4 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
36.1%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Tyler RingwoodSimilar
Q2 7:44
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
36.4%
Aaron McAllister run for no gain to the UTEP 49Similar
Q2 7:44
4TH & 6
OPP 49
-5
38.1%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Charl 46Similar
Q2 7:44
4TH & 11
OWN 46
+7
39.3%
Kyle Corbett punt for 42 yds , Justin Garrett returns for 7 yds to the UTEP 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 7TD
11 plays · 81 yds · 4:5442% → 60%
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
41.7%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Tre'Shon Wolf, broken up by Nafees LyonSimilar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
41.5%
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the UTEP 19Similar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+14
40.5%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Alan Busey for 14 yds to the UTEP 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
42.0%
Treyvon Hughes run for 2 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+37
41.9%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 37 yds to the Charl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
44.1%
Treyvon Hughes run for 3 yds to the Charl 25Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 7
OPP 25
-3
44.1%
Kai Locksley run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 28Similar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+22
43.0%
Josh Fields run for 22 yds to the Charl 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
44.1%
Treyvon Hughes run for 3 yds to the Charl 3Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
60.0%
Treyvon Hughes run for 3 yds for a TD (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8END OF HALF
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
57.0%
Chris Reynolds run for 1 yd to the Charl 26 CHARLOTTE Penalty, illegal block (-13 Yards) to the Charl 13Similar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+13
57.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 13 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
57.2%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Aaron McAllister, broken up by Praise AmaewhuleSimilar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+6
57.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Aaron McAllister for 6 yds to the Charl 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 9FG
10 plays · 47 yds · 3:1039% → 41%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
61.3%
Aaron McAllister run for 1 yd to the Charl 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+16
61.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 16 yds to the Charl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
59.7%
Aaron McAllister run for 3 yds to the Charl 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+15
58.8%
Chris Reynolds run for 15 yds to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
58.4%
Chris Reynolds run for 11 yds to the UTEP 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
56.7%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+1
57.3%
Victor Tucker run for 1 yd to the UTEP 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 28
0
58.7%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Tyler Ringwood CHARLOTTE Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 11:50
4TH & 9
OPP 28
+45
59.4%
Jonathan Cruz 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:0061% → 58%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
60.7%
Kai Locksley run for 2 yds to the UTEP 27 UTEP Penalty, Offensive holding (Treyvon Hughes) to the UTEP 17Similar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 18
OWN 17
+7
60.4%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Justin Garrett for 7 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-3
60.5%
Kai Locksley run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 21Similar
Q3 11:50
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
59.2%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Justin GarrettSimilar
Q3 11:50
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+2
58.2%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 50 yds , Nafees Lyon returns for 2 yds to the Charl 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 11TD
12 plays · 69 yds · 4:5038% → 59%
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
61.9%
Chris Reynolds run for 1 yd to the Charl 32Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+4
62.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 4 yds to the Charl 36Similar
Q3 9:38
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+14
62.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
50
+15
59.3%
Chris Reynolds run for 15 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
57.9%
Ishod Finger run for 6 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 4
OPP 29
0
57.4%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Ishod FingerSimilar
Q3 9:38
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+6
59.0%
Chris Reynolds run for 6 yds to the UTEP 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
57.4%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-10
58.0%
Chris Reynolds run for no gain to the UTEP 23 CHARLOTTE Penalty, Offensive holding (Ryan Carriere) to the UTEP 33Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 20
OPP 33
0
59.4%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
Q3 9:38
3RD & 20
OPP 33
+30
61.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 30 yds to the UTEP 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
41.3%
Ishod Finger run for 3 yds for a TD (Chris Reynolds pass to Christian Roberson for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
50.3%
Treyvon Hughes run for 2 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+4
50.1%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Justin Garrett for 4 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q3 4:47
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+3
50.8%
Kai Locksley run for 3 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q3 4:47
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
49.6%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Nafees Lyon at the Charl 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13FG
7 plays · 66 yds · 2:0748% → 60%
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+10
51.6%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Christian Roberson for 10 yds to the Charl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+49
51.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 49 yds to the UTEP 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
44.6%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
45.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for no gain to the UTEP 24Similar
Q3 1:23
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+7
49.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Justin Jeffery for 7 yds to the UTEP 17Similar
Q3 0:44
4TH & 3
OPP 17
+34
40.5%
Jonathan Cruz 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14DOWNS
12 plays · 76 yds · 4:0147% → 51%
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
47.3%
Kai Locksley run for 4 yds to the UTEP 23Similar
Q3 0:44
2ND & 6
OWN 23
0
48.0%
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the UTEP 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+10
46.0%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 10 yds to the UTEP 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+38
48.7%
Kai Locksley run for 38 yds to the Charl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
55.2%
Kai Locksley run for 9 yds to the Charl 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 20
+7
55.2%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Justin Garrett for 7 yds to the Charl 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
55.2%
Treyvon Hughes run for 6 yds to the Charl 7Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 7
0
55.2%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Justin Garrett, broken up by Jeff GemmellSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+3
53.2%
Kai Locksley run for 3 yds to the Charl 4Similar
Q4 11:43
4TH & 1
OPP 4
-1
51.4%
Treyvon Hughes run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15TD
10 plays · 95 yds · 4:3355% → 86%
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
44.6%
Chris Reynolds run for 4 yds to the Charl 9Similar
Q4 11:39
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+11
45.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Christian Roberson for 11 yds to the Charl 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
43.7%
Chris Reynolds run for 7 yds to the Charl 27Similar
Q4 11:39
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+32
41.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 32 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
38.5%
Aaron McAllister run for 1 yd to the UTEP 40Similar
Q4 11:39
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+4
38.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 4 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+10
40.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 10 yds to the UTEP 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
37.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 7 yds to the UTEP 19Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 3
OPP 19
0
37.5%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Cameron Dollar, broken up by Duron LoweSimilar
Q4 7:06
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+19
13.6%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Jacob Hunt for 19 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0020% → 17%
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
19.6%
Kai Locksley run for 3 yds to the UTEP 18Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 7
OWN 18
-6
19.5%
Kai Locksley sacked by Alex Highsmith for a loss of 6 yards to the UTEP 12Similar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 13
OWN 12
0
18.2%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Jayson VanHook, broken up by Marquill OsborneSimilar
Q4 7:05
4TH & 13
OWN 12
0
17.2%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 38 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 2:4189% → 91%
Q4 5:23
1ST & 10
50
+7
10.8%
Chris Reynolds run for 7 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q4 5:23
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+1
10.6%
Chris Reynolds run for 1 yd to the UTEP 42Similar
Q4 5:23
3RD & 2
OPP 42
-5
10.7%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 47Similar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 7
OPP 47
-5
9.6%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Charl 48Similar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 12
OWN 48
+6
10.6%
Chris Reynolds run for 6 yds to the UTEP 46 CHARLOTTE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 2:42
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
8.9%
Brett Kean punt for 5 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTEP 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 18INT
7 plays · 39 yds · 1:2620% → 24%
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
20.0%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Justin Garrett for 4 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 6
OWN 45
-3
20.7%
Josh Fields run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 42Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+9
14.3%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 9 yds to the Charl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+28
17.3%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 28 yds to the Charl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
23.9%
Josh Fields run for 1 yd to the Charl 20Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+1
23.6%
Kai Locksley pass intercepted Henry Segura return for 1 yd to the Charl 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:1894% → 94%
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
5.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 15Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 12
OWN 15
-2
6.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:06
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Jacob Hunt for 19 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)
-23.9
TD · Q3 4:48
Ishod Finger run for 3 yds for a TD (Chris Reynolds pass to Christian Roberson for Two-Point Conversion)
-20.2
TD · Q2 0:42
Treyvon Hughes run for 3 yds for a TD (Gavin Baechle KICK)
+8.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com