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UTEP

UTEP 26 at North Texas 52

UNT
2019 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2019 · DATCU Stadium
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Win probability · UNT
modelUNT aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playUNT scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+2.9UNT 95.4%Mason Fine pass complete to JaelonDarden for 6 yds for a TD (EthanMooney KICK)AWAY 14 - HOME 31 · Q2 11:28
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:28 · Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 6 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 62Pregame prior+35.0Home team on offense+10.5Score differential+5.0Garbage-time factor+3.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3Blowout margin−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:17: Mason Fine pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 48 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +1.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:33: Alvin Kenworthy kickoff for 65 yds , Duron Lowe return for 100 yds for a TD (Gavin Baechle KICK) — UTEP win probability +2.6 pts (now 8%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:28: Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 6 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +2.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:26: Treyvon Hughes run for 42 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — UTEP win probability +2.1 pts (now 4%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:46: Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 14 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +1.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNT made the numbers' call on 4 of 6UTEP made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 14:31UTEP 4th & 4 at UNT 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    7.8%−<0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    7.4%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:45UNT 4th & 10 at UNT 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:57UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 22, down 7
    Close callPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:17UTEP 4th & 10 at UTEP 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:44UNT 4th & 3 at UTEP 27, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.0%−0.2
    62% to make
    Punt
    90.4%−1.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:28UNT 4th & 1 at UTEP 6, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.6%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    88.7%−1.0
    91% to make
    Punt
    86.3%−3.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:39UTEP 4th & 2 at UTEP 47, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.5%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:35UNT 4th & 1 at UTEP 9, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    93.2%−0.9
    89% to make
    Punt
    90.6%−3.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:42UTEP 4th & 13 at UTEP 49, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:06UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 18, down 24
    Close callPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:07UTEP 4th & 8 at UTEP 38, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:32UNT 4th & 2 at UNT 49, up 24
    Close callPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:20UTEP 4th & 16 at UTEP 29, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:41UNT 4th & 10 at UNT 45, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:50UTEP 4th & 2 at UTEP 28, down 25
    Close callPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNT made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UTEP made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 14:43UNT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 14:31UNT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:17UNT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:28UNT Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:28UNT Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:26UTEP Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    3.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:46UNT Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:17UNT Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:16UTEP Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    0.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNTDrive 1TD
2 plays · 33 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
94.1%
Mason Fine pass complete to Deonte Simpson for 33 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 3TD
1 play · 17 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
94.1%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jason Pirtle for 17 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4TD
14 plays · 63 yds · 5:466% → 6%
Q1 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
94.1%
Treyvon Hughes run for 2 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q1 14:31
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+12
94.1%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Alan Busey for 12 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+16
94.1%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 16 yds to the NoTex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
94.1%
Treyvon Hughes run for 5 yds to the NoTex 30Similar
Q1 14:31
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+4
94.1%
Treyvon Hughes run for 4 yds to the NoTex 26Similar
Q1 14:31
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+3
94.1%
Kai Locksley run for 3 yds to the NoTex 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
94.1%
Kai Locksley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:31
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+1
94.1%
Kai Locksley run for 1 yd to the NoTex 22Similar
Q1 14:31
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+5
94.1%
Kai Locksley run for 5 yds to the NoTex 17Similar
Q1 14:31
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+9
94.1%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Justin Garrett for 9 yds to the NoTex 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
94.0%
Treyvon Hughes run for 7 yds to the NoTex 1Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.6%
Treyvon Hughes run for 1 yd for a TD (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
93.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 21 yds to the NoTex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
93.5%
Tre Siggers run for 2 yds to the NoTex 48Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 8
OWN 48
-2
93.4%
Tre Siggers run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 46Similar
Q1 8:45
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
93.3%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jaelon DardenSimilar
Q1 8:45
4TH & 10
OWN 46
0
93.3%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 41 yds, downed at the UTEP 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:027% → 7%
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
93.0%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Justin Garrett for 5 yds to the UTEP 18Similar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 5
OWN 18
0
93.0%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Kavika Johnson for no gain to the UTEP 18Similar
Q1 6:59
3RD & 5
OWN 18
+4
93.0%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Kavika Johnson for 4 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
Q1 4:57
4TH & 1
OWN 22
0
93.2%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 36 yds, downed at the NoTex 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 7TD
2 plays · 58 yds · 0:2993% → 94%
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
93.2%
Tre Siggers run for 10 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
94.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 48 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
93.8%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Jacob Cowing, broken up by Jameel MooreSimilar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+10
93.8%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Justin Garrett for 10 yds to the UTEP 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.8%
Kai Locksley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
93.8%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Alan BuseySimilar
Q1 4:17
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
93.9%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Alan BuseySimilar
Q1 4:17
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
93.9%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 33 yds, downed at the NoTex 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 9FG
11 plays · 31 yds · 2:5594% → 95%
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
94.3%
Nic Smith run for 4 yds to the NoTex 46Similar
Q1 2:39
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+7
94.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Greg White for 7 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
94.3%
Tre Siggers run for 1 yd to the UTEP 46Similar
Q1 2:39
2ND & 9
OPP 46
0
94.3%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:39
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+12
94.2%
Mason Fine pass complete to Austin Ogunmakin for 12 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
94.3%
Tre Siggers run for 2 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q1 0:39
2ND & 8
OPP 32
0
94.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Tre Siggers for no gain to the UTEP 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 32
0
94.2%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jaelon Darden, broken up by Justin RogersSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 32
+5
94.0%
UTEP Penalty, Defensive offside (Denzel Chukwukelu) to the UTEP 27Similar
Q2 14:44
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+44
94.9%
Ethan Mooney 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 11TD
12 plays · 72 yds · 3:0592% → 95%
Q2 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
92.3%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:33
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+4
92.2%
Tre Siggers run for 4 yds to the NoTex 32Similar
Q2 14:33
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+25
92.2%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 25 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
92.6%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Tre SiggersSimilar
Q2 14:33
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+17
92.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 17 yds to the UTEP 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:33
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
92.7%
Nic Smith run for 6 yds to the UTEP 20Similar
Q2 14:33
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+5
92.7%
Jaelon Darden run for 5 yds to the UTEP 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:33
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
92.7%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jason PirtleSimilar
Q2 14:33
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+9
92.7%
Tre Siggers run for 9 yds to the UTEP 6Similar
Q2 14:33
3RD & 1
OPP 6
0
92.5%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jaelon Darden, broken up by Josh OrtegaSimilar
Q2 11:28
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+6
95.4%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 6 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12DOWNS
9 plays · 21 yds · 2:446% → 5%
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
94.5%
Treyvon Hughes run for 7 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 3
OWN 33
-2
94.3%
Treyvon Hughes run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 31Similar
Q2 11:23
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+8
94.4%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Justin Garrett for 8 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
94.3%
Kai Locksley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
94.4%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Kavika JohnsonSimilar
Q2 11:23
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+8
94.5%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Alan Busey for 8 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
Q2 8:39
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
94.6%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Jacob Cowing, broken up by Jameel MooreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 13TD
13 plays · 47 yds · 4:0797% → 97%
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
96.5%
Tre Siggers run for 8 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 2
OPP 39
0
96.5%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jyaire Shorter, broken up by Josh CaldwellSimilar
Q2 8:35
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+7
96.4%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jason Pirtle for 7 yds to the UTEP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
96.5%
Tre Siggers run for 3 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+6
96.5%
Tre Siggers run for 6 yds to the UTEP 23Similar
Q2 8:35
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+5
96.4%
Tre Siggers run for 5 yds to the UTEP 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
96.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 1 yd to the UTEP 17Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 9
OPP 17
-4
96.4%
Nic Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 21Similar
Q2 8:35
3RD & 13
OPP 21
+12
96.4%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 12 yds to the UTEP 9Similar
Q2 8:35
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+3
96.2%
Tre Siggers run for 3 yds to the UTEP 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
96.2%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Austin OgunmakinSimilar
Q2 8:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
96.2%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jyaire ShorterSimilar
Q2 4:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
97.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 6 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14PUNT
13 plays · 19 yds · 3:463% → 2%
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
96.7%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Justin Garrett for 9 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+2
96.5%
Treyvon Hughes run for 2 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
96.6%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Justin Garrett for 7 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 3
OWN 48
-5
96.5%
UTEP Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 43Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+2
96.6%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Trent Thompson for 2 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q2 4:28
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+7
96.6%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Justin Garrett for 7 yds to the NoTex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
96.5%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Justin Garrett for 4 yds to the NoTex 44Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+3
97.5%
Kai Locksley run for 3 yds to the NoTex 41Similar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 3
OPP 41
-10
96.9%
Kai Locksley sacked by LaDarius Hamilton for a loss of 10 yards to the UTEP 49Similar
Q2 0:42
4TH & 13
OWN 49
0
98.0%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 31 yds, downed at the NoTex 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
98.0%
Mason Fine pass complete to Nic Smith for 1 yd to the NoTex 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:543% → 3%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
97.1%
Kai Locksley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+7
97.1%
Kai Locksley run for 7 yds to the UTEP 16Similar
Q3 14:06
3RD & 3
OWN 16
+2
97.2%
Kai Locksley run for 2 yds to the UTEP 18Similar
Q3 14:06
4TH & 1
OWN 18
0
97.2%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 38 yds, downed at the NoTex 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 17FUMBLE
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
97.8%
Tre Siggers run for 8 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q3 13:17
2ND & 2
OPP 48
0
97.9%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jason PirtleSimilar
Q3 13:17
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+7
97.8%
Tre Siggers run for 7 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
97.9%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jason Pirtle, broken up by Praise AmaewhuleSimilar
Q3 13:17
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+2
97.8%
Tre Siggers run for 2 yds to the UTEP 36 Tre Siggers fumbled, forced by Justin Rogers, recovered by UTEP Justin RogersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:002% → 3%
Q3 12:07
4TH & 8
OWN 38
+1
97.6%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 50 yds , Jaelon Darden returns for 1 yd to the NoTex 13Similar
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-9
97.5%
Kai Locksley sacked by Dion Novil for a loss of 9 yards to the UTEP 27Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 19
OWN 27
+11
97.6%
Kai Locksley run for 11 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q3 12:07
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
97.5%
Kai Locksley pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 36 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+28
98.0%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 28 yds to the NoTex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
98.1%
Nic Smith run for 1 yd to the NoTex 42Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+7
98.1%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 7 yds to the NoTex 49Similar
Q3 10:32
3RD & 2
OWN 49
0
98.1%
Tre Siggers run for no gain to the NoTex 49Similar
Q3 10:32
4TH & 2
OWN 49
+18
98.0%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 34 yds , Justin Garrett returns for 18 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
97.9%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Alan BuseySimilar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
98.0%
Treyvon Hughes run for 3 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 7
OWN 38
-9
98.0%
Kai Locksley sacked by LaDarius Hamilton for a loss of 9 yards to the UTEP 29Similar
Q3 8:20
4TH & 16
OWN 29
0
98.1%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 37 yds, downed at the NoTex 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
98.3%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jaelon DardenSimilar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
98.3%
Tre Siggers run for no gain to the NoTex 34Similar
Q3 6:41
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+11
98.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 11 yds to the NoTex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
98.4%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Austin OgunmakinSimilar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
98.3%
Tre Siggers run for 3 yds to the NoTex 48Similar
Q3 6:41
3RD & 7
OWN 48
-3
98.3%
Mason Fine sacked by Praise Amaewhule for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 45Similar
Q3 6:41
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
98.2%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 42 yds, downed at the UTEP 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 22TD
6 plays · 87 yds · 3:042% → 4%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
98.5%
Treyvon Hughes run for 9 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+4
98.4%
Treyvon Hughes run for 4 yds to the UTEP 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+25
98.4%
Josh Fields run for 25 yds to the NoTex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
98.4%
Reynaldo Flores run for 1 yd to the NoTex 48Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+6
98.4%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Justin Garrett for 6 yds to the NoTex 42Similar
Q3 1:26
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+42
96.3%
Treyvon Hughes run for 42 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 23TD
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:4098% → 100%
Q3 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
97.7%
Tre Siggers run for 3 yds to the UTEP 14Similar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+14
99.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 14 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 1:561% → 0%
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
99.4%
Kai Locksley run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 19Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 19
-5
99.4%
Kai Locksley sacked by Asher Frow for a loss of 5 yards to the UTEP 14Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 14
-5
99.3%
UTEP Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 9Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 21
OWN 9
+19
99.3%
Kai Locksley run for 19 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q4 13:50
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
99.6%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 44 yds, downed at the NoTex 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 25TD
10 plays · 72 yds · 4:22100% → 100%
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
99.6%
Tre Siggers run for 5 yds to the NoTex 33Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+3
99.6%
Tre Siggers run for 3 yds to the NoTex 36Similar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+12
99.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jason Pirtle for 12 yds to the NoTex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
99.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 8
50
0
99.7%
Tre Siggers run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 8
50
+17
99.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Greg White for 17 yds to the UTEP 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.7%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Deonte SimpsonSimilar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+5
99.7%
Nic Smith run for 5 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+8
99.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 8 yds to the UTEP 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
99.9%
Mason Fine pass complete to Deonte Simpson for 20 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 26TD
12 plays · 51 yds · 6:010% → 0%
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
100.0%
Reynaldo Flores run for 3 yds to the NoTex 48Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+4
100.0%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Justin Garrett for 4 yds to the NoTex 44Similar
Q4 9:17
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+4
100.0%
Treyvon Hughes run for 4 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
100.0%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Kavika JohnsonSimilar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+3
100.0%
Josh Fields run for 3 yds to the NoTex 37Similar
Q4 9:17
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+20
100.0%
Kai Locksley run for 20 yds to the NoTex 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
100.0%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Justin Garrett for 8 yds to the NoTex 9Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+2
99.9%
Treyvon Hughes run for 2 yds to the NoTex 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
100.0%
Treyvon Hughes run for 3 yds to the NoTex 4Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
99.9%
Treyvon Hughes run for 1 yd to the NoTex 3Similar
Q4 3:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Treyvon Hughes run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 27END OF GAME
7 plays · 48 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
99.9%
Oscar Adaway III run for 10 yds to the NoTex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
99.9%
Oscar Adaway III run for 5 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q4 3:16
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+25
99.9%
Oscar Adaway III run for 25 yds to the UTEP 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
99.9%
Oscar Adaway III run for 2 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
Q4 3:16
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+11
99.9%
Jason Bean run for 11 yds to the UTEP 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the UTEP 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:28
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 6 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)
+2.9
TD · Q2 14:33
Alvin Kenworthy kickoff for 65 yds , Duron Lowe return for 100 yds for a TD (Gavin Baechle KICK)
-2.6
TD · Q3 1:26
Treyvon Hughes run for 42 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-2.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com