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Florida Atlantic 35 at Western Kentucky 24

WKU
2019 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2019 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
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Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadFAU aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreFAU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:11 · John Haggerty punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 22 , Dante Cousart returns for 3 yds to the FlAtl 22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsOne-score game
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 65Home team on offense+0.9Score differential−0.6Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3One-score game−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:31: Ty Storey run for 2 yds for a TD (Cory Munson KICK) — WKU win probability +8.0 pts (now 63%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:16: Larry McCammon III run for 11 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +11.1 pts (now 53%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:46: Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 9 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +12.9 pts (now 66%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:53: Chris Robison pass complete to Willie Wright for 51 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +10.5 pts (now 75%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:46: Ty Storey pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 5 yds for a TD (Cory Munson KICK) — WKU win probability +15.1 pts (now 39%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8FAU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00WKU 4th & 6 at WKU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:15FAU 4th & 3 at WKU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    50.6%−0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    50.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:08FAU 4th & 3 at FAU 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.7%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:26FAU 4th & 10 at FAU 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−1.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00WKU 4th & 15 at WKU 25, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.8%−2.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:30FAU 4th & 16 at FAU 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%−2.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:31WKU 4th & 7 at WKU 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:11WKU 4th & 1 at WKU 32, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.0%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:16WKU 4th & 1 at WKU 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%−0.7
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:42FAU 4th & 6 at WKU 34, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    73.3%−0.7
    47% to make
    Punt
    72.5%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:35WKU 4th & 4 at FAU 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    25.8%−0.7
    56% to make
    Punt
    24.4%−2.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:40FAU 4th & 5 at FAU 35, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.6%−0.8
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:37FAU 4th & 1 at FAU 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    67.0%−1.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00FAU 4th & 9 at WKU 40, up 7
    Close callPunted · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.2%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    71.6%−0.7
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.9%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:51WKU 4th & 6 at FAU 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%−1.7
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    13.5%−15.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:19FAU 4th & 6 at WKU 6, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    56.8%−15.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:04WKU 4th & 3 at WKU 27, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.1%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3FAU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 9:16WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:31WKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:16FAU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:46FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:53FAU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:46WKU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:10FAU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
49.9%
Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+6
49.9%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 6 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
49.9%
Ty Storey pass complete to Garland LaFrance for 1 yd to the WKent 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+3
49.9%
Ty Storey pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 3 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
49.9%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Quin Jernighan, broken up by Chris TooleySimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 34
+7
49.9%
John Haggerty punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 25 , Dante Cousart returns for 7 yds to the FlAtl 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 2DOWNS
6 plays · 33 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
50.3%
James Charles run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+27
50.3%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 27 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
50.0%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Mitchell for 5 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+1
50.0%
James Charles run for 1 yd to the WKent 43Similar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+1
50.0%
Chauncey Mason run for 1 yd to the WKent 42Similar
Q1 12:15
4TH & 3
OPP 42
0
50.2%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Harrison BryantSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3TD
2 plays · 58 yds · 0:3751% → 54%
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
51.2%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 4 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+54
53.7%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 54 yds for a TD (Cory Munson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
53.1%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Harrison BryantSimilar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+7
53.1%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 7 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q1 9:08
3RD & 3
OWN 33
0
53.0%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Harrison Bryant, broken up by Antwon KincadeSimilar
Q1 9:08
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
53.3%
Matthew Hayball punt for 47 yds, downed at the WKent 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 4:4354% → 63%
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
53.7%
Ty Storey pass complete to Joshua Simon for no gain to the WKent 20Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+15
53.7%
STOREY, T. pass incomplete to SIMON, J. (ROSS, Ahman), PENALTY FAU personal foul (ROSS, Ahman) 15 yards to the WKU35, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
53.8%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 7 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+2
54.3%
Ty Storey run for 2 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q1 8:14
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+4
54.1%
Ty Storey run for 4 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+40
54.3%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 40 yds to the FlAtl 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
54.4%
Gaej Walker run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 5Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+3
54.4%
Ty Storey run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
62.5%
Ty Storey run for 2 yds for a TD (Cory Munson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
60.6%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Deangelo AntoineSimilar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
60.7%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to John MitchellSimilar
Q1 3:26
3RD & 10
OWN 21
0
60.9%
Chris Robison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:26
4TH & 10
OWN 21
0
61.1%
Matthew Hayball punt for 77 yds, downed at the WKent 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 23 yds · 2:5662% → 64%
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
61.8%
Gaej Walker run for 2 yds to the WKent 4Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+4
61.8%
Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the WKent 8Similar
Q1 2:56
3RD & 4
OWN 8
+7
61.4%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 7 yds to the WKent 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
62.0%
KeShawn McClendon run for 1 yd to the WKent 16Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 9
OWN 16
-5
61.9%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WKent 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 11
+6
64.5%
Gaej Walker run for 6 yds to the WKent 17Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 17
+13
64.0%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 13 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
64.6%
Ty Storey sacked by Akileis Leroy for a loss of 10 yards to the WKent 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 20
+5
64.5%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 5 yds to the WKent 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 25
0
64.0%
Ty Storey run for no gain to the WKent 25Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 25
+5
63.5%
John Haggerty punt for 50 yds , Dante Cousart returns for 5 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-12
65.6%
Chris Robison sacked by Juwuan Jones for a loss of 12 yards to the FlAtl 18Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 22
OWN 18
0
66.0%
Chris Robison run for no gain to the FlAtl 18Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 22
OWN 18
+6
66.2%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 6 yds to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q2 11:30
4TH & 16
OWN 24
0
66.5%
Matthew Hayball punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9FUMBLE TD
2 plays · -7 yds · 0:4870% → 62%
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
69.6%
Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+25
62.3%
Ty Storey sacked by Akileis Leroy for a loss of 11 yards Ty Storey fumbled, recovered by FlAtl Chris Tooley , return for 0 yards , return for 25 yds (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0061% → 60%
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-3
61.1%
Gaej Walker run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 4Similar
Q2 8:31
2ND & 13
OWN 4
+4
60.9%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 4 yds to the WKent 8Similar
Q2 8:31
3RD & 9
OWN 8
+2
60.2%
Ty Storey pass complete to Joshua Simon for 2 yds to the WKent 10Similar
Q2 8:31
4TH & 7
OWN 10
+6
59.5%
John Haggerty punt for 54 yds , Dante Cousart returns for 6 yds to the FlAtl 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 11TD
4 plays · 58 yds · 1:3239% → 53%
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
60.9%
Nick Tronti run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+41
60.9%
Brandon Robinson pass complete to Nick Tronti for 41 yds to the WKent 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
58.3%
Larry McCammon III run for 5 yds to the WKent 11Similar
Q2 5:16
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+11
47.2%
Larry McCammon III run for 11 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0054% → 53%
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
54.0%
Gaej Walker run for no gain to the WKent 23Similar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
53.8%
Ty Storey run for no gain to the WKent 23Similar
Q2 5:11
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+9
52.7%
Ty Storey pass complete to Kyle Fourtenbary for 9 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q2 5:11
4TH & 1
OWN 32
+3
52.9%
John Haggerty punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 22 , Dante Cousart returns for 3 yds to the FlAtl 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 2:1649% → 66%
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
50.8%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Mitchell for 4 yds to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+6
50.5%
Larry McCammon III run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+31
50.1%
Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 31 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
47.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 6 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+5
46.9%
Chris Robison run for 5 yds to the WKent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
46.9%
Chauncey Mason run for 7 yds to the WKent 19Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+10
46.9%
Chauncey Mason run for 10 yds to the WKent 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
34.1%
Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 9 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:2439% → 37%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+7
39.4%
Gaej Walker run for 7 yds to the WKent 14Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 3
OWN 14
0
38.3%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Quin JernighanSimilar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 3
OWN 14
+2
37.4%
Gaej Walker run for 2 yds to the WKent 16Similar
Q2 0:16
4TH & 1
OWN 16
0
37.1%
John Haggerty punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Dante Cousart at the FlAtl 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 23 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+23
36.8%
James Charles run for 23 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 69 yds · 0:5863% → 75%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
36.8%
Chauncey Mason run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+15
36.5%
ROBISON, Chris pass incomplete to ANTOINE, Da., PENALTY WKU pass interference (DAVIS, C.) 15 yards to the FAU49, 1ST DOWN FAU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
35.2%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Tavaris Harrison, broken up by Trae MeadowsSimilar
Q3 13:53
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+51
24.7%
Chris Robison pass complete to Willie Wright for 51 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
27.5%
Ty Storey pass intercepted James Pierre return for no gain to the WKent 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 18DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0076% → 74%
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
24.2%
Larry McCammon III run for no gain to the WKent 38Similar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-7
24.2%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 3 yds to the WKent 35 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the WKent 45Similar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 17
OPP 45
+2
24.4%
Chris Robison pass complete to Larry McCammon III for 2 yds to the WKent 43Similar
Q3 13:42
3RD & 15
OPP 43
+9
25.0%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Mitchell for 9 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q3 13:42
4TH & 6
OPP 34
+5
26.0%
Chris Robison pass complete to Chauncey Mason for 5 yds to the WKent 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19DOWNS
7 plays · 41 yds · 0:0025% → 26%
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
25.2%
Gaej Walker run for 3 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+20
25.4%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 20 yds to the FlAtl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
27.4%
Gaej Walker run for 12 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
27.3%
Ty Storey pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 5 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 5
OPP 31
0
28.2%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q3 11:35
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+1
27.5%
Gaej Walker run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q3 11:35
4TH & 4
OPP 30
0
26.4%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Quin JernighanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
19.9%
Chauncey Mason run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
19.7%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Harrison BryantSimilar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
20.2%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Deangelo AntoineSimilar
Q3 8:40
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
20.7%
Matthew Hayball punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Roger Cray at the WKent 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 4:1921% → 39%
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
21.2%
Ty Storey pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 19 yds to the WKent 37 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, illegal block (Lucky Jackson) to the WKent 27Similar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 1
OWN 27
+6
22.4%
Ty Storey pass complete to Steven Witchoskey for 6 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
21.7%
Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the WKent 37Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+8
22.3%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 8 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+45
23.4%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 45 yds to the FlAtl 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
24.9%
Ty Storey run for no gain to the FlAtl 10Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
24.9%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jacquez SloanSimilar
Q3 8:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
23.7%
STOREY, T. pass complete to SLOAN, J. for 8 yards to the FAU2 (SMITH, Rashad;LEROY, Akileis), PENALTY FAU offside defense (BONNER, Tim) 5 yards to the FAU5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
38.8%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 5 yds for a TD (Cory Munson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 22PUNT
12 plays · 48 yds · 3:3769% → 72%
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-2
31.3%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 10Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 12
OWN 10
0
31.6%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Deangelo AntoineSimilar
Q3 3:37
3RD & 12
OWN 10
+11
32.6%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 11 yds to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q3 3:37
4TH & 1
OWN 21
+8
33.1%
Matthew Hayball run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
30.3%
Larry McCammon III run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+2
29.9%
Larry McCammon III run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q3 3:37
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+25
30.4%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 25 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
27.9%
Larry McCammon III run for 1 yd to the WKent 40Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 9
OPP 40
0
27.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for no gain to the WKent 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 40
0
26.1%
Deangelo Antoine run for no gain to the WKent 40Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 40
0
28.1%
Matthew Hayball punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Roger Cray at the WKent 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 23FG
11 plays · 85 yds · 4:1830% → 41%
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
29.9%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jacquez Sloan, broken up by Zyon GilbertSimilar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+10
29.9%
Ty Storey pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 10 yds to the WKent 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+15
30.2%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 15 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
31.0%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 2 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+9
31.2%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 9 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+16
33.5%
Jacquez Sloan run for 16 yds to the FlAtl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+29
35.5%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 29 yds to the FlAtl 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
37.4%
Ty Storey run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 10Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 6
OPP 10
0
37.4%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 6
OPP 10
0
35.2%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Quin JernighanSimilar
Q4 9:51
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+28
41.0%
Cory Munson 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 24MISSED FG
11 plays · 69 yds · 3:3268% → 74%
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
31.7%
James Charles run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
50
+4
28.0%
James Charles run for 4 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+9
28.1%
Chauncey Mason run for 9 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
28.0%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 9 yds to the WKent 28Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+6
26.3%
Chauncey Mason run for 6 yds to the WKent 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+16
26.3%
Chauncey Mason run for 16 yds to the WKent 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
26.3%
Chauncey Mason run for 3 yds to the WKent 3Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
26.3%
Chauncey Mason run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 6Similar
Q4 9:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
28.0%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Tavaris HarrisonSimilar
Q4 6:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+39
26.0%
Vladimir Rivas 24 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by null Devon Key return for 39 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 25INT
1 play · 39 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+30
41.5%
Ty Storey pass intercepted James Pierre return for 30 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 26TD
11 plays · 59 yds · 3:5777% → 95%
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
23.1%
James Charles run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+6
23.1%
James Charles run for 6 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
22.1%
Nick Tronti run for 2 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+3
22.1%
Chauncey Mason run for 3 yds to the WKent 43Similar
Q4 6:07
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+10
22.6%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 10 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
20.8%
James Charles run for 1 yd to the WKent 32Similar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+10
12.2%
Nick Tronti run for 10 yds to the WKent 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
12.0%
James Charles run for no gain to the WKent 22Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+22
4.8%
Nick Tronti run for 22 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 27INT
13 plays · 52 yds · 1:225% → 3%
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
4.6%
Ty Storey pass complete to Joshua Simon for 7 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 3
OWN 27
0
4.9%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jahcour Pearson, broken up by Tim BonnerSimilar
Q4 2:04
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
4.9%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jahcour Pearson, broken up by Akileis LeroySimilar
Q4 2:04
4TH & 3
OWN 27
+3
4.4%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 3 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
4.8%
Ty Storey pass complete to Gaej Walker for 9 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+7
5.5%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 7 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
5.3%
Ty Storey pass complete to Joshua Simon for 5 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q4 0:42
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+21
3.1%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 21 yds to the FlAtl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
4.0%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Joshua Simon, broken up by Zyon GilbertSimilar
Q4 0:42
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
3.8%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jahcour PearsonSimilar
Q4 0:42
3RD & 10
OPP 28
0
3.2%
Ty Storey pass intercepted, touchback. Zyon Gilbert return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 28END OF GAME
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
3.8%
James Charles run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:46
Ty Storey pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 5 yds for a TD (Cory Munson KICK)
+15.1
TD · Q2 0:46
Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 9 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)
-12.9
TD · Q2 5:16
Larry McCammon III run for 11 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)
-11.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com