Try the model
MTSU

Middle Tennessee 20 at Charlotte 34

CLT
2019 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2019 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · CLT
modelCLT aheadMTSU aheadconfidence bandkey playCLT scoreMTSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Kyle Corbett punt for 69 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 122Home team on offense+30.3Score differential+19.8Garbage-time factor+10.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+13.5Pregame prior−1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+6.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:34: Chris Reynolds run for 19 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +3.8 pts (now 50%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:56: Aaron McAllister run for 5 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +7.8 pts (now 62%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Jonathan Cruz 38 yd FG GOOD — CLT win probability +2.8 pts (now 79%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:38: Chris Reynolds pass complete to Christian Roberson for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +14.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:46: Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 10 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK) — MTSU win probability +8.3 pts (now 11%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLT made the numbers' call on 3 of 7MTSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 8:54MTSU 4th & 9 at MTSU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:34CLT 4th & 1 at MTSU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    45.0%−0.5
    77% to make
    Punt
    43.5%−2.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:34MTSU 4th & 5 at MTSU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:56MTSU 4th & 15 at CLT 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%−1.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    40.3%−1.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:43CLT 4th & 18 at CLT 40, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.0%−2.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:49MTSU 4th & 14 at MTSU 4, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−3.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:05CLT 4th & 4 at MTSU 31, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.5%−0.9
    54% to make
    Punt
    67.5%−2.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00CLT 4th & 2 at MTSU 21, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.6%−0.9
    74% to make
    Punt
    70.2%−6.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:05CLT 4th & 5 at MTSU 32, up 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.6%−0.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    96.2%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00CLT 4th & 4 at CLT 31, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:46MTSU 4th & 2 at CLT 10, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%−0.3
    55% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%
    88% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−1.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:16CLT 4th & 10 at MTSU 27, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.7%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    98.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MTSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q1 11:27MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:54CLT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:34CLT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:56CLT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:38CLT Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:12MTSU Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    3.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:46MTSU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MTSUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:3357% → 57%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
43.3%
Zack Dobson run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
43.3%
Asher O'Hara run for no gain to the MTnSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
43.3%
Terelle West run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+30
43.3%
Asher O'Hara run for 30 yds to the Charl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
43.3%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jayy McDonald for 12 yds to the Charl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-2
43.3%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Zack Dobson for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 24
+5
43.3%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, encroachment (5 Yards) to the Charl 19Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+19
42.6%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Zack Dobson for 19 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:3343% → 46%
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
43.1%
Aaron McAllister run for 3 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+29
43.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 29 yds to the MTnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+18
43.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Tyler Ringwood for 18 yds to the MTnSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
43.6%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Tyler RingwoodSimilar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+6
43.6%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Ishod Finger for 6 yds to the MTnSt 19Similar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+6
43.5%
Aaron McAllister run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
43.6%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Micaleous Elder for 11 yds to the MTnSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
45.9%
Aaron McAllister run for 2 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
44.9%
Ty Lee run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q1 8:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-2
44.8%
Asher O'Hara run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q1 8:54
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
45.1%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Jimmy MarshallSimilar
Q1 8:54
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+15
45.3%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 49 yds , Nafees Lyon returns for 15 yds to the Charl 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 1:5046% → 50%
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+32
45.8%
Chris Reynolds run for 32 yds to the MTnSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
46.4%
Aaron McAllister run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 21Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 3
OPP 21
0
46.4%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Tyler RingwoodSimilar
Q1 7:24
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+2
46.1%
Aaron McAllister run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 19Similar
Q1 5:34
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+19
49.9%
Chris Reynolds run for 19 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0051% → 50%
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
49.4%
Asher O'Hara run for 10 yds to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
49.2%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Ty Lee for 3 yds to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-2
48.9%
Asher O'Hara sacked by Markees Watts for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q1 5:34
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+4
49.6%
Asher O'Hara run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q1 5:34
4TH & 5
OWN 40
+23
49.6%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 49 yds , Nafees Lyon returns for 23 yds to the Charl 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6TD
10 plays · 66 yds · 4:1051% → 62%
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
51.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Micaleous Elder for 7 yds to the Charl 41Similar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+6
52.3%
Chris Reynolds run for 6 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+18
52.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 18 yds to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
52.5%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Cameron DollarSimilar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+11
52.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Ishod Finger for 11 yds to the MTnSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
52.5%
Ishod Finger run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 19Similar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+1
52.5%
Aaron McAllister run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 18Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+5
54.0%
Aaron McAllister run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
54.5%
Aaron McAllister run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 5Similar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+5
62.3%
Aaron McAllister run for 5 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+36
59.4%
Asher O'Hara run for 36 yds to the Charl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
58.4%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Brad Anderson for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 40Similar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 11
OPP 40
-5
58.7%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Charl 45Similar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 16
OPP 45
+1
59.1%
Brad Anderson run for 1 yd to the Charl 44Similar
Q2 13:56
3RD & 15
OPP 44
0
59.5%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Zack DobsonSimilar
Q2 13:56
4TH & 15
OPP 44
0
59.9%
Matthew Stephenson punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Nafees Lyon at the Charl 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:0063% → 62%
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+12
63.4%
Chris Reynolds run for 12 yds to the Charl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
63.5%
Aaron McAllister run for 4 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+18
63.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 18 yds to the Charl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
64.6%
Aaron McAllister run for 1 yd to the Charl 49Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 9
OWN 49
-9
64.6%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Khalil Brooks for a loss of 9 yards to the Charl 40Similar
Q2 11:43
3RD & 18
OWN 40
0
63.3%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Cameron Dollar, broken up by Desmond AndersonSimilar
Q2 11:43
4TH & 18
OWN 40
0
62.4%
Kyle Corbett punt for 52 yds, downed at the MTnSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
66.3%
Ty Lee run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 12Similar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 6
OWN 12
-4
65.9%
Asher O'Hara run for a loss of 4 yards to the MTnSt 8Similar
Q2 7:49
3RD & 10
OWN 8
-4
66.8%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (Matt Martin) to the MTnSt 4Similar
Q2 7:49
3RD & 14
OWN 4
0
66.8%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Zack Dobson, broken up by Jonnie PitmanSimilar
Q2 7:49
4TH & 14
OWN 4
+7
67.0%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 52 yds , Nafees Lyon returns for 7 yds to the MTnSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10MISSED FG
6 plays · 18 yds · 3:0969% → 71%
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
69.1%
Aaron McAllister run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+5
69.2%
Aaron McAllister run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
69.2%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Aaron McAllisterSimilar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+5
69.1%
Chris Reynolds run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 32Similar
Q2 6:14
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+1
68.6%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Ishod Finger for 1 yd to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q2 3:05
4TH & 4
OPP 31
+48
70.6%
Jonathan Cruz 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 11INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0031% → 30%
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
69.5%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Jarrin Pierce, broken up by Marquill OsborneSimilar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
69.8%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Jarrin Pierce, broken up by Marquill OsborneSimilar
Q2 3:05
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
70.3%
Asher O'Hara pass intercepted Jacione Fugate return for no gain to the MTnSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 12FG
10 plays · 20 yds · 2:4773% → 79%
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
73.1%
Micaleous Elder run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+5
73.0%
Chris Reynolds run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 35Similar
Q2 2:47
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+6
72.4%
Chris Reynolds run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
73.1%
Ishod Finger run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 25Similar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+1
73.1%
Chris Reynolds run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+3
75.4%
Ishod Finger run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 21Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 21
+38
78.5%
Jonathan Cruz 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:2279% → 94%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
78.9%
Aaron McAllister run for 5 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
78.9%
Aaron McAllister run for 2 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
78.3%
Chris Reynolds run for 4 yds to the Charl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
79.1%
Aaron McAllister run for 8 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+24
79.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 24 yds to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
79.7%
Aaron McAllister run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+14
79.6%
Aaron McAllister run for 14 yds to the MTnSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
79.7%
Aaron McAllister run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 16Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+8
79.7%
Aaron McAllister run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 8Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+4
79.1%
Ishod Finger run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
79.7%
Ishod Finger run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 1Similar
Q3 8:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Christian Roberson for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 14FUMBLE
8 plays · 53 yds · 2:397% → 6%
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
93.3%
Terelle West run for 11 yds to the MTnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
93.1%
Terelle West run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q3 8:38
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+5
93.0%
Terelle West run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
93.1%
Jayy McDonald run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q3 8:38
2ND & 12
OWN 46
-4
93.1%
Asher O'Hara run for a loss of 4 yards to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q3 5:59
3RD & 16
OWN 42
+32
94.3%
Asher O'Hara run for 32 yds to the Charl 22 Asher O'Hara fumbled, forced by Brelin Faison-Walden, recovered by Charl Nafees LyonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15FG
8 plays · 46 yds · 3:4096% → 100%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
96.0%
Aaron McAllister run for 3 yds to the Charl 25Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+11
96.0%
Chris Reynolds run for 11 yds to the Charl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+27
96.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 27 yds to the MTnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
96.4%
Aaron McAllister run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 3
OPP 30
0
96.3%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Marquavis GibbsSimilar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 3
OPP 30
-2
96.2%
Ishod Finger run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 32Similar
Q3 2:05
4TH & 5
OPP 32
+49
99.6%
Jonathan Cruz 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 16TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:530% → 3%
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.6%
Ty Lee run for 15 yds to the MTnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+36
99.6%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Tyrese Johnson for 36 yds to the Charl 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
99.5%
Asher O'Hara run for 6 yds to the Charl 18Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+11
99.4%
Asher O'Hara run for 11 yds to the Charl 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
96.6%
Asher O'Hara run for 7 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:1299% → 99%
Q3 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.5%
Aaron McAllister run for no gain to the Charl 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
98.6%
Aaron McAllister run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 24Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+7
98.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Micaleous Elder for 7 yds to the Charl 31Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
98.5%
Kyle Corbett punt for 69 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 18TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 4:322% → 11%
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
98.0%
Ty Lee run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+34
97.9%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 34 yds to the Charl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
97.8%
Terelle West run for 3 yds to the Charl 36Similar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+7
97.7%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 7 yds to the Charl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
97.5%
Terelle West run for no gain to the Charl 29Similar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
97.6%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Isiah UptonSimilar
Q4 13:18
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+11
97.8%
Asher O'Hara run for 11 yds to the Charl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
97.5%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Jarrin PierceSimilar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+9
97.6%
Asher O'Hara run for 9 yds to the Charl 9Similar
Q4 13:18
3RD & 1
OPP 9
-1
97.7%
Terelle West run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 10Similar
Q4 8:46
4TH & 2
OPP 10
+10
89.4%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 10 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19DOWNS
20 plays · 48 yds · 8:3097% → 99%
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.5%
Ishod Finger run for no gain to the Charl 25Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
96.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 14 yds to the Charl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
96.9%
Ishod Finger run for 1 yd to the Charl 40Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+8
96.8%
Ishod Finger run for 8 yds to the Charl 48Similar
Q4 8:46
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+4
96.7%
Ishod Finger run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
96.9%
Ishod Finger run for no gain to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
98.2%
Chris Reynolds run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q4 5:11
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+5
98.1%
Chris Reynolds run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
98.6%
Chris Reynolds run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+5
98.8%
Ishod Finger run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 34Similar
Q4 4:12
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+7
98.8%
Chris Reynolds run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
98.9%
Ishod Finger run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 3
OPP 20
-5
98.9%
Chris Reynolds run for a loss of 5 yards to the MTnSt 25Similar
Q4 4:12
3RD & 8
OPP 25
-2
98.8%
Ishod Finger run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q4 0:16
4TH & 10
OPP 27
0
99.2%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor Tucker, broken up by Gregory Grate Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 20END OF GAME
1 play · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
98.6%
Jayy McDonald run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:38
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Christian Roberson for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)
+14.5
TD · Q4 8:46
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 10 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)
-8.3
TD · Q2 13:56
Aaron McAllister run for 5 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)
+7.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com