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LT

Louisiana Tech 42 at UTEP 21

UTEP
2019 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2019 · Sun Bowl
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Win probability · UTEP
modelUTEP aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playUTEP scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:58 · Brady Farlow punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTEP 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+55.5+27.80−27.8−55.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 97Home team on offense−32.2Pregame prior−22.9Score differential−16.2Garbage-time factor−5.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:35: Treyvon Hughes run for 5 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK) — UTEP win probability +5.0 pts (now 17%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:45: J'Mar Smith pass complete to Malik Stanley for 9 yds for a TD, (Bailey Hale KICK) — LT win probability +1.3 pts (now 86%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:27: J'Mar Smith pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 23 yds for a TD, (Bailey Hale KICK) — LT win probability +3.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:27: Justin Henderson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Bailey Hale KICK) — LT win probability +4.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:58: J'Mar Smith pass complete to Bobby Holly for 5 yds for a TD, (Bailey Hale KICK) — LT win probability +2.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTEP made the numbers' call on 6 of 7LT made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 15:00LT 4th & 1 at LT 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:50UTEP 4th & 5 at UTEP 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00LT 4th & 1 at UTEP 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    79.5%−0.8
    40% to make
    Punt
    79.4%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:10UTEP 4th & 4 at LT 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    14.0%−0.3
    51% to make
    Punt
    13.5%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q3 15:00UTEP 4th & 10 at LT 47, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:58LT 4th & 10 at LT 43, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:16UTEP 4th & 10 at UTEP 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  8. Q4 15:00UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 43, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:49LT 4th & 7 at LT 40, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:25UTEP 4th & 12 at UTEP 43, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:51UTEP 4th & 6 at UTEP 46, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTEP made the numbers' call on 2 of 3LT made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 7:41LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:35UTEP Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:45LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:27LT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:27LT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:58LT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:07LT Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:49UTEP Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:51UTEP Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LTDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
9.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 11 yds to the LaTch 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
9.5%
Justin Henderson run for 5 yds to the LaTch 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+3
9.5%
Justin Henderson run for 3 yds to the LaTch 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+1
9.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Smoke Harris for 1 yd to the LaTch 45Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
9.5%
Brady Farlow punt for 30 yds, downed at the UTEP 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
10.4%
Treyvon Hughes run for 3 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
10.4%
Treyvon Hughes run for 2 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
10.3%
Kai Locksley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:50
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
10.3%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 43 yds, downed at the LaTch 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 3TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 3:1789% → 89%
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
11.1%
Justin Henderson run for 7 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+9
11.0%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Justin Henderson for 9 yds to the LaTch 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
11.0%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Malik Stanley for 11 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
10.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 1 yd to the UTEP 45Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+12
10.9%
J'Mar Smith run for 12 yds to the UTEP 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+20
10.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 20 yds to the UTEP 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+12
10.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 12 yds to the UTEP 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
11.0%
Israel Tucker run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4TD
13 plays · 84 yds · 6:0211% → 17%
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+11
11.4%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Tre'Shon Wolf for 11 yds to the UTEP 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+16
11.5%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Justin Garrett for 16 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-3
11.7%
Kai Locksley sacked by Milton Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 40Similar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 13
OWN 40
+10
11.5%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Jess Trussell for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:37
3RD & 3
50
+12
11.7%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Justin Garrett for 12 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
11.8%
Kai Locksley sacked by Willie Baker for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 39Similar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+6
11.8%
Treyvon Hughes run for 6 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q1 7:37
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+6
11.8%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Alan Busey for 6 yds to the LaTch 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
11.9%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Justin Garrett for 7 yds to the LaTch 20Similar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+15
11.9%
Treyvon Hughes run for 15 yds to the LaTch 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
11.9%
Treyvon Hughes run for no gain to the LaTch 5Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
17.0%
Treyvon Hughes run for 5 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 5TD
16 plays · 81 yds · 6:4585% → 86%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
15.5%
Justin Henderson run for no gain to the LaTch 19Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-10
15.5%
SMITH, J'Mar crossing pass incomplete to POWELL, Cee Jay, dropped pass, PENALTY LATECH holding 10 yards to the LATECH9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 20
OWN 9
+16
15.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 16 yds to the LaTch 25Similar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+9
15.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 9 yds to the LaTch 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
16.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Smoke Harris for 2 yds to the LaTch 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+18
16.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Smoke Harris for 18 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
15.5%
Justin Henderson run for 5 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+1
15.4%
Justin Henderson run for 1 yd to the UTEP 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+3
15.6%
Justin Henderson run for 3 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+1
16.0%
J'Mar Smith run for 1 yd to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+16
15.5%
Israel Tucker run for 16 yds to the UTEP 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
15.2%
Israel Tucker run for 1 yd to the UTEP 19Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+10
15.2%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Malik Stanley for 10 yds to the UTEP 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
15.2%
Israel Tucker run for no gain to the UTEP 9Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
13.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Malik Stanley for 9 yds for a TD, (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6FUMBLE
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0015% → 17%
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+23
15.3%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Justin Garrett for 23 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
16.4%
Treyvon Hughes run for 11 yds to the LaTch 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-21
16.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 21 yards to the UTEP 41 TEAM fumbled, recovered by LaTch Milton WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7TD
6 plays · 41 yds · 1:5486% → 90%
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
14.4%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Cee Jay PowellSimilar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
14.4%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Smoke HarrisSimilar
Q2 8:21
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+12
14.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 12 yds to the UTEP 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
14.2%
Israel Tucker run for 5 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+1
14.2%
Justin Henderson run for 1 yd to the UTEP 23Similar
Q2 6:27
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+23
10.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 23 yds for a TD, (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8FUMBLE
9 plays · 59 yds · 2:0811% → 12%
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+30
11.2%
Josh Fields run for 30 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
12.0%
Josh Fields run for 4 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+3
12.3%
Josh Fields run for 3 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 3
OPP 31
-1
12.0%
Kai Locksley run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 32Similar
Q2 4:10
4TH & 4
OPP 32
+7
11.6%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Tre'Shon Wolf for 7 yds to the LaTch 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
12.1%
Treyvon Hughes run for 6 yds to the LaTch 19Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+8
12.1%
Kai Locksley run for 8 yds to the LaTch 9 Kai Locksley fumbled, forced by Ezekiel Barnett, recovered by LaTch Amik RobertsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9TD
10 plays · 91 yds · 2:2789% → 95%
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+34
11.0%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Justin Henderson for 19 yds to the LaTch 28 for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, personal foul (Josh Caldwell) to the LaTch 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
10.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 12 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
10.2%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Malik Stanley for 9 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+3
10.1%
Justin Henderson run for 3 yds to the UTEP 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+14
10.1%
SMITH, J'Mar sideline pass incomplete to HARDY, Adrian, PENALTY UTEP pass interference (CALDWELL, Josh) 14 yards to the UTEP19, 1ST DOWN LATECH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
10.1%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Smoke HarrisSimilar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+10
10.2%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Justin Henderson for 10 yds to the UTEP 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
10.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Smoke Harris for 6 yds to the UTEP 3Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
5.1%
Justin Henderson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-4
7.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
6.8%
Treyvon Hughes run for 1 yd to the UTEP 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
6.7%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Alan BuseySimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+16
6.7%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 16 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
7.4%
Treyvon Hughes run for 1 yd to the UTEP 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 43
0
7.3%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Tre'Shon Wolf, broken up by Amik RobertsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+10
7.1%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Alan Busey for 10 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
7.6%
Kai Locksley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
7.6%
Kai Locksley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
7.4%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Jacob CowingSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
7.2%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 24 yds, downed at the LaTch 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:0895% → 95%
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+10
4.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Justin Henderson for 10 yds to the LaTch 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
4.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 10 yds to the LaTch 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-10
4.6%
Justin Henderson run for no gain to the LaTch 43 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (Ethan Reed) to the LaTch 33Similar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 20
OWN 33
+12
4.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Justin Henderson for 12 yds to the LaTch 45Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+2
4.5%
Israel Tucker run for 2 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q3 9:58
3RD & 6
OWN 47
-4
4.3%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Denzel Chukwukelu for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 43Similar
Q3 9:58
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
4.6%
Brady Farlow punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTEP 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
6.1%
Kai Locksley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
6.0%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Jacob Cowing, broken up by L'Jarius SneedSimilar
Q3 9:16
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
5.9%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Alan BuseySimilar
Q3 9:16
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
5.9%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 26 yds, downed at the LaTch 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14TD
6 plays · 51 yds · 2:4596% → 99%
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
3.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Smoke Harris for 10 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-8
3.8%
Justin Henderson run for 2 yds to the UTEP 39 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (Willie Allen) to the UTEP 49Similar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 18
OPP 49
0
3.8%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 18
OPP 49
+13
3.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Justin Henderson for 13 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q3 8:43
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+31
3.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 31 yds to the UTEP 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
0.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Bobby Holly for 5 yds for a TD, (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15FUMBLE
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+13
2.6%
Kai Locksley run for 13 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
2.6%
Kai Locksley sacked by Amik Robertson for a loss of 6 yards to the UTEP 26 Kai Locksley fumbled, recovered by LaTch Deshon Hall , return for 0 yards , return for 2 yds to the UTEP 26 Deshon Hall fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 16TD
8 plays · 26 yds · 2:5199% → 100%
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-9
0.9%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Adrian Hynson for a loss of 9 yards to the UTEP 35Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 19
OPP 35
-10
0.9%
SMITH, J'Mar sideline pass complete to HEBERT, Griffin for no gain to the UTEP35 (ROSS, Ykili), PENALTY LATECH holding (ROSSELL, Biron) 10 yards to the UTEP45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 29
OPP 45
+11
0.9%
Justin Henderson run for 11 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q3 4:58
3RD & 18
OPP 34
+20
0.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 20 yds to the UTEP 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
0.9%
Justin Henderson run for 12 yds to the UTEP 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
0.9%
HENDERSON, J. rush over right guard for 1 yard to the UTEP1, PENALTY UTEP offside (SIMPSON,Dedrick) 1 yards to the UTEP1, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
0.9%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Israel TuckerSimilar
Q3 2:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.4%
Justin Henderson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17TD
17 plays · 81 yds · 7:110% → 0%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
0.4%
Josh Fields run for 9 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 1
OWN 28
0
0.4%
Josh Fields run for no gain to the UTEP 28Similar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+6
0.4%
Treyvon Hughes run for 6 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
0.4%
Josh Fields run for 4 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 38
0
0.3%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Walter Dawn Jr.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+5
0.3%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Tre'Shon Wolf for 5 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+2
0.3%
Kai Locksley run for 2 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+21
0.3%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Tre'Shon Wolf for 21 yds to the LaTch 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
0.3%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Kavika Johnson for 4 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+7
0.3%
Kai Locksley run for 7 yds to the LaTch 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
0.3%
Reynaldo Flores run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 24Similar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 11
OPP 24
+19
0.3%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Alan Busey for 19 yds to the LaTch 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
0.3%
Treyvon Hughes run for 1 yd to the LaTch 4Similar
Q4 13:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
0.3%
Treyvon Hughes run for 3 yds to the LaTch 1Similar
Q4 9:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.3%
Kai Locksley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
0.3%
Justin Henderson run for 12 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
0.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 7 yds to the LaTch 44Similar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 3
OWN 44
-4
0.2%
Justin Henderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 40Similar
Q4 9:49
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
0.3%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Justin HendersonSimilar
Q4 9:49
4TH & 7
OWN 40
+11
0.3%
Brady Farlow punt for 47 yds , Justin Garrett returns for 11 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
0.2%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 4 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 6
OWN 28
0
0.1%
Reynaldo Flores run for no gain to the UTEP 28Similar
Q4 7:25
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+17
0.1%
LOCKSLEY, Kai deep pass incomplete to BUSEY, Alan (WILLIAMSON, B.), PENALTY LATECH pass interference (BALDWIN, Trey) 17 yards to the UTEP45, 1ST DOWN UTEP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
0.2%
Kai Locksley sacked by Tristan Allen for a loss of 5 yards to the UTEP 43 Kai Locksley fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 12
OWN 43
0
0.1%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Tre'Shon WolfSimilar
Q4 7:25
3RD & 12
OWN 43
0
0.1%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Tre'Shon WolfSimilar
Q4 7:25
4TH & 12
OWN 43
0
0.1%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 20INT
3 plays · 31 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+26
0.2%
Israel Tucker run for 26 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
0.1%
Israel Tucker run for 5 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 5
OPP 40
0
0.1%
Aaron Allen pass intercepted Justin Rogers return for no gain to the UTEP 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 1:320% → 1%
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
0.1%
LOCKSLEY, Kai sacked for no gain to the UTEP27 (BARNETT, E.), PENALTY LATECH face mask (BARNETT, E.) 15 yards to the UTEP42, 1ST DOWN UTEP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
0.1%
Kai Locksley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+2
0.1%
Josh Fields run for 2 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q4 4:23
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+2
0.1%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Justin Garrett for 2 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q4 2:51
4TH & 6
OWN 46
+54
0.9%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 54 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 22Uncategorized
9 plays · 31 yds · 1:09100% → 100%
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
0.5%
DeAndre Marcus run for 5 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+8
0.4%
DeAndre Marcus run for 8 yds to the LaTch 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-3
0.3%
DeAndre Marcus run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 39Similar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 13
OWN 39
+8
0.3%
DeAndre Marcus run for 8 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+13
0.3%
DeAndre Marcus run for 13 yds to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 1:35
Treyvon Hughes run for 5 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)
+5
TD · Q2 0:27
Justin Henderson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Bailey Hale KICK)
-4
TD · Q2 6:27
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 23 yds for a TD, (Bailey Hale KICK)
-3.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com