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FIU

Florida International 17 at Middle Tennessee 50

MTSU
2019 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2019 · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
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Win probability · MTSU
modelMTSU aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playMTSU scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:34 · Tommy Heatherly punt for 31 yds, downed at the MTnSt 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 136Home team on offense+26.2Score differential+17.5Pregame prior−2.1Garbage-time factor+5.4Blowout margin+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:28: James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 23 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +9.8 pts (now 55%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:07: Asher O'Hara run for 6 yds for a TD, (Crews Holt KICK) — MTSU win probability +10.5 pts (now 60%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 10:30: Crews Holt 30 yd FG GOOD — MTSU win probability +6.7 pts (now 67%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:26: Terelle West run for 2 yds for a TD, (Crews Holt KICK) — MTSU win probability +13.2 pts (now 85%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:26: Asher O'Hara run for 2 yds for a TD, (Crews Holt PAT MISSED) — MTSU win probability +9.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MTSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7FIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 14:57FIU 4th & 3 at FIU 25, tied
    Close callPunted · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:00MTSU 4th & 5 at FIU 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    49.4%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    49.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00FIU 4th & 1 at MTSU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    42.3%−1.8
    28% to make
    Punt
    42.8%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:50FIU 4th & 24 at MTSU 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−2.1
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.2%
    56% to make
    Punt
    38.2%−1.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:50MTSU 4th & 7 at MTSU 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%−0.8
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:27MTSU 4th & 4 at MTSU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:03MTSU 4th & 5 at FIU 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    53.0%−1.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.6%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:30MTSU 4th & 5 at FIU 13, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.4%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.7%
    85% to make
    Punt
    56.7%−7.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:30FIU 4th & 1 at FIU 34, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%−1.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:20FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 25, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.3%−0.8
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    17.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:34FIU 4th & 7 at FIU 28, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:09MTSU 4th & 1 at MTSU 47, up 26
    Close callPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:55FIU 4th & 10 at FIU 16, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:32MTSU 4th & 12 at MTSU 42, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:33FIU 4th & 15 at FIU 30, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:24FIU 4th & 10 at FIU 22, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MTSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7FIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 5:00FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:50MTSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:18MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:28FIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:07MTSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:26MTSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:26MTSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:05MTSU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:30MTSU Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
42.8%
Anthony Jones run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q1 14:57
2ND & 4
OWN 24
-3
42.8%
Anthony Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q1 14:57
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+5
42.8%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q1 14:57
3RD & 2
OWN 26
-1
42.8%
Anthony Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q1 14:57
4TH & 3
OWN 25
0
42.8%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 0:0043% → 44%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
43.4%
Asher O'Hara pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+7
43.4%
Asher O'Hara run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+5
43.4%
Jayy McDonald run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
43.5%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Brad Anderson for 4 yds to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+2
43.6%
Terelle West run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 4
50
+6
43.5%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 6 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
43.6%
Zack Dobson run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+3
43.6%
Brad Anderson run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 3
OPP 37
-2
43.6%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q1 13:00
4TH & 5
OPP 39
0
43.5%
Matthew Stephenson punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:2256% → 59%
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
44.5%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 5 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+30
44.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 30 yds to the MTnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
43.8%
James Morgan pass complete to D'Vonte Price for 14 yds to the MTnSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
43.6%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Austin Maloney, broken up by Chris StampsSimilar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+7
43.6%
Anthony Jones run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+6
44.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 6 yds to the MTnSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
44.0%
Anthony Jones run for no gain to the MTnSt 18Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
44.0%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Shemar ThorntonSimilar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+18
40.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 18 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 4TD
8 plays · 82 yds · 3:0242% → 49%
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
41.9%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Ty LeeSimilar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+10
41.9%
Asher O'Hara run for 10 yds to the MTnSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
42.1%
Zack Dobson run for 10 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
42.4%
Jayy McDonald run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+53
42.8%
Asher O'Hara run for 53 yds to the FlaIn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
43.7%
Zack Dobson run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 1Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
49.1%
Terelle West run for 1 yd for a TD, (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5FUMBLE
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
46.0%
Napoleon Maxwell run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 23 Napoleon Maxwell fumbled, forced by Tyshun Render, recovered by MTnSt Tyshun RenderSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 6TD
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:2549% → 54%
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
49.2%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Ty Lee for 9 yds to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+5
49.2%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the FlaIn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
49.2%
Brad Anderson run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 5Similar
Q1 0:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
54.7%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 5 yds for a TD, (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
Q1 0:18
1ST & GOAL
50
-5
53.6%
HOLT, Crews kickoff 44 yards to the FIU6, ALEXANDER,M return to the FIU10 (PATTERSON, D.), PENALTY MT offside 5 yards to the MT45, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7MISSED FG
16 plays · 45 yds · 5:2347% → 43%
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
52.7%
Anthony Jones run for 13 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
52.2%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Shemar ThorntonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
52.3%
Anthony Jones run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
52.2%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Maurice Alexander, broken up by Decorian PattersonSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 43
+5
53.1%
HEATHERLY,T punt 57 yards to the MT0, touchback, PENALTY MT roughing the kicker 5 yards to the FIU48, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
51.6%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
51.3%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IV, broken up by Chris StampsSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+6
51.6%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 6 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+2
52.1%
James Morgan run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+25
51.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 25 yds to the MTnSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-4
50.5%
Anthony Jones run for a loss of 4 yards to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 20
+5
51.1%
Anthony Jones run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 15Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 15
0
51.5%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:56
4TH & 9
OPP 15
-15
55.7%
BORREGALES,J field goal attempt from 32 GOOD, clock 09:56, PENALTY FIU face mask 15 yards to the MT30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:50
4TH & 24
OPP 30
+47
57.4%
Jose Borregales 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0057% → 56%
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
57.2%
Brad Anderson run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+5
57.4%
Brad Anderson run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 2
OWN 38
-5
57.8%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
56.6%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Ty Lee, broken up by Josh TurnerSimilar
Q2 9:50
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
55.8%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 12 yds, downed at the MTnSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9TD
4 plays · 45 yds · 0:4745% → 55%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+22
55.4%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Austin Maloney for 22 yds to the MTnSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
54.2%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Anthony JonesSimilar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
54.4%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Shemar Thornton, broken up by Tyshun RenderSimilar
Q2 7:28
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+23
44.7%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 23 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 2:0150% → 50%
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
50.2%
Asher O'Hara run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-3
50.1%
Asher O'Hara run for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 17 Asher O'Hara fumbled,Similar
Q2 7:28
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+14
49.1%
Asher O'Hara run for 14 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q2 5:27
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+9
50.4%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 40 yds , Maurice Alexander returns for 9 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11FUMBLE
5 plays · 29 yds · 0:0053% → 55%
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
46.6%
James Morgan pass complete to D'Vonte Price for 4 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+8
45.7%
Anthony Jones run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
50
+1
44.9%
Anthony Jones run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 49Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+4
45.1%
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 45Similar
Q2 5:14
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+5
45.2%
James Morgan run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 33 James Morgan fumbled, forced by Malik Manciel, recovered by MTnSt Khalil BrooksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
52.6%
Asher O'Hara run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+8
54.5%
Asher O'Hara run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
54.6%
Terelle West run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 5
OPP 46
0
55.2%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Jimmy MarshallSimilar
Q2 3:03
3RD & 5
OPP 46
0
54.6%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Ty Lee, broken up by Dorian HallSimilar
Q2 3:03
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
53.0%
Asher O'Hara punt for 41 yds, downed at the FlaIn 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13FG
10 plays · 79 yds · 1:1651% → 62%
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+8
49.5%
Anthony Jones run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 2
OWN 13
+28
48.5%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 28 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
45.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 6 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+23
44.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 23 yds to the MTnSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
43.1%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 6 yds to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+3
42.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 3 yds to the MTnSt 21Similar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+5
43.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 5 yds to the MTnSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+33
38.2%
Jose Borregales 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+16
44.6%
Jayy McDonald run for 16 yds to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 15TD
10 plays · 60 yds · 2:4747% → 60%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
47.0%
Asher O'Hara run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
48.1%
Asher O'Hara run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+14
48.2%
Terelle West run for 14 yds to the FlaIn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
49.3%
Terelle West run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+5
49.3%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+5
49.3%
Asher O'Hara run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
49.3%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Ty LeeSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+6
49.3%
Asher O'Hara run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 6Similar
Q3 12:07
3RD & 4
OPP 6
+6
59.8%
Asher O'Hara run for 6 yds for a TD, (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 17FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2961% → 67%
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-3
61.2%
Asher O'Hara run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 13
OPP 21
+8
60.8%
Brad Anderson run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 5
OPP 13
0
59.9%
Brad Anderson run for no gain to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q3 10:30
4TH & 5
OPP 13
+30
66.6%
Crews Holt 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
64.8%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
64.4%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IVSimilar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
65.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 6 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q3 10:30
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
65.4%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 45 yds, downed at the MTnSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 79 yds · 2:2869% → 85%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-10
68.9%
DOBSON, Zack rush for 18 yards to the MT39, out-of-bounds (CUSHION,O), PENALTY MT holding 10 yards to the MT11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 20
OWN 11
+9
68.7%
Asher O'Hara run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+10
68.7%
Asher O'Hara run for 10 yds to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+65
68.9%
Terelle West run for 65 yds to the FlaIn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
72.1%
Asher O'Hara run for no gain to the FlaIn 5Similar
Q3 6:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
85.4%
Terelle West run for 2 yds for a TD, (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · -16 yds · 0:0019% → 18%
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
81.5%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+1
81.5%
Anthony Jones run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 6
OWN 25
0
81.9%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IVSimilar
Q3 6:20
4TH & 6
OWN 25
-15
82.3%
Tommy Heatherly run for a loss of 15 yards to the FlaIn 5 Tommy Heatherly fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Kevin OliverSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 21TD
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1687% → 96%
Q3 4:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
86.8%
Brad Anderson run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 4Similar
Q3 4:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
86.8%
Brad Anderson run for no gain to the FlaIn 4Similar
Q3 4:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
86.3%
O'HARA, Asher pass incomplete to PIERCE, Jarrin, PENALTY FIU offside 2 yards to the FIU2, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
95.5%
Asher O'Hara run for 2 yds for a TD, (Crews Holt PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:525% → 4%
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.9%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Anthony JonesSimilar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.0%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q3 2:34
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
95.9%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IVSimilar
Q3 2:34
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
95.9%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 31 yds, downed at the MTnSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 23TD
9 plays · 59 yds · 4:1597% → 100%
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
96.5%
Jayy McDonald run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 48 MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Offensive holding (Jarrin Pierce) to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
96.5%
Jayy McDonald run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
96.5%
Asher O'Hara run for no gain to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q3 2:20
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+5
96.5%
O'HARA, Asher pass incomplete to MARSHALL, Jimmy (HALL,D), PENALTY FIU offside 5 yards to the FIU49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:20
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+2
96.5%
Terelle West run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
97.7%
Asher O'Hara run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+4
97.8%
Asher O'Hara run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+1
97.7%
Asher O'Hara run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
99.5%
Terelle West run for 37 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24FUMBLE
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
99.6%
Anthony Jones run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+22
99.7%
Anthony Jones run for 22 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.6%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Shemar Thornton, broken up by Desmond AndersonSimilar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
99.6%
TEAM run for no gain to the MTnSt 38 TEAM fumbled, recovered by MTnSt Jordan BranchSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 99%
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
99.5%
Brad Anderson run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+1
99.5%
Brad Anderson run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q4 12:09
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+3
99.5%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Brad Anderson for 3 yds to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q4 12:09
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
99.4%
Asher O'Hara punt for 37 yds, downed at the FlaIn 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
99.8%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IV, broken up by Kendricks GladneySimilar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
99.8%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Darrius Scott, broken up by Decorian PattersonSimilar
Q4 9:55
3RD & 10
OWN 16
0
99.8%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Sterling PalmerSimilar
Q4 9:55
4TH & 10
OWN 16
0
99.8%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ty Lee at the MTnSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.6%
Tyrese Johnson run for no gain to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q4 9:32
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+2
99.6%
Jayy McDonald run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q4 9:32
3RD & 8
OWN 46
-4
99.6%
Chase Cunningham run for a loss of 4 yards to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q4 9:32
4TH & 12
OWN 42
0
99.6%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Maurice Alexander at the FlaIn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 28PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
99.8%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+2
99.9%
Kaylan Wiggins run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q4 7:33
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+13
99.9%
Kaylan Wiggins run for 13 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.8%
D'Vonte Price run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-3
99.8%
Kaylan Wiggins run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q4 7:33
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.9%
Josh Turner run for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaIn 30 D'Vonte Price D'Vonte PriceSimilar
Q4 7:33
4TH & 15
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 62 yds, downed at the MTnSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 29TD
1 play · 92 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+92
99.9%
Jayy McDonald run for 92 yds for a TD, (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 30PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
100.0%
D'Vonte Price run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+7
100.0%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q4 3:24
3RD & 4
OWN 28
-6
100.0%
Kaylan Wiggins run for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q4 3:24
4TH & 10
OWN 22
0
100.0%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 60 yds, downed at the MTnSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 31END OF GAME
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
100.0%
Jayy McDonald run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 23Similar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+3
100.0%
Jayy McDonald run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:26
Terelle West run for 2 yds for a TD, (Crews Holt KICK)
+13.2
TD · Q3 12:07
Asher O'Hara run for 6 yds for a TD, (Crews Holt KICK)
+10.5
TD · Q2 7:28
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 23 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)
-9.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com