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UNT

North Texas 38 at Charlotte 39

CLT
2019 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2019 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
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Win probability · CLT
modelCLT aheadUNT aheadconfidence bandkey playCLT scoreUNT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG-6.8CLT 7.1%Ethan Mooney 51 yd FG GOODAWAY 38 - HOME 33 · Q4 1:12
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:12 · Ethan Mooney 51 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 168Home team on offense−31.4Pregame prior−0.3Score differential−5.3Garbage-time factor−12.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−12.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:47: Chris Reynolds pass complete to Tyler Ringwood for 52 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +12.7 pts (now 33%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:07: Mason Fine pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 14 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +12.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:12: Chris Reynolds run for 29 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +17.1 pts (now 35%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:44: Benny LeMay run for 5 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed) — CLT win probability +27.3 pts (now 48%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. TD · Q4 0:18: Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 34 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed) — CLT win probability +73.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLT made the numbers' call on 6 of 7UNT made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00CLT 4th & 4 at CLT 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:35UNT 4th & 1 at CLT 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    57.2%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:27CLT 4th & 2 at UNT 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    43.2%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    42.3%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:48CLT 4th & 14 at CLT 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00CLT 4th & 1 at UNT 6, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.3%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    33.8%−1.5
    91% to make
    Punt
    29.6%−5.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:13UNT 4th & 3 at UNT 48, up 7
    Close callPunted · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.7%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:21CLT 4th & 3 at CLT 26, down 7
    Close callPunted · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:05UNT 4th & 14 at UNT 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.6%−1.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:04CLT 4th & 10 at CLT 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00UNT 4th & 8 at UNT 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.0%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:07CLT 4th & 2 at UNT 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    18.8%−2.3
    30% to make
    Punt
    19.5%−1.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:33UNT 4th & 17 at CLT 26, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.1%−3.1
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.3%
    64% to make
    Punt
    79.4%−7.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:12UNT 4th & 6 at CLT 34, up 2
    Close callKicked a field goal · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.0%−0.6
    47% to make
    Punt
    73.0%−7.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLT made the numbers' call on 5 of 6UNT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 4:48UNT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:03UNT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:13CLT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:15UNT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:47CLT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:07UNT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:12CLT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:31UNT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 11:41CLT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    21.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    20.9%−0.4
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 3:44CLT Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    37.0%−0.7
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    37.7%
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 0:18CLT Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    80.2%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    80.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLTDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
36.2%
Benny LeMay run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+11
36.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Tyler Ringwood for 11 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
36.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for no gain to the Charl 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
36.2%
Benny LeMay run for 4 yds to the Charl 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+2
36.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 2 yds to the Charl 41Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
36.2%
Brett Kean punt for 28 yds, downed at the NoTex 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2DOWNS
10 plays · 20 yds · 3:1263% → 62%
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-15
37.3%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the NoTex 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
37.4%
Loren Easly run for 1 yd to the NoTex 17Similar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+12
37.4%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 12 yds to the NoTex 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
37.4%
Mason Fine run for 3 yds to the NoTex 32Similar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+10
37.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 10 yds to the NoTex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
37.2%
Loren Easly run for 6 yds to the NoTex 48Similar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 4
OWN 48
-1
37.1%
Mason Fine pass complete to Nic Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 47Similar
Q1 11:47
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+4
37.2%
Mason Fine pass complete to Nic Smith for 4 yds to the Charl 49Similar
Q1 8:35
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
38.3%
Loren Easly run for no gain to the Charl 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 3DOWNS
5 plays · 33 yds · 0:0040% → 39%
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+24
39.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 24 yds to the NoTex 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
39.9%
Chris Reynolds run for 3 yds to the NoTex 24Similar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 7
OPP 24
0
39.9%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
Q1 8:27
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+5
39.6%
Chris Reynolds run for 5 yds to the NoTex 19Similar
Q1 8:27
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+1
39.4%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the NoTex 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4TD
5 plays · 82 yds · 1:4761% → 64%
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
39.4%
Loren Easly run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 17Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+3
39.5%
Tre Siggers run for 3 yds to the NoTex 20Similar
Q1 6:35
3RD & 8
OWN 20
+11
39.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 11 yds to the NoTex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
39.3%
Tre Siggers run for 5 yds to the NoTex 36Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+64
35.8%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 64 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:0037% → 36%
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
36.5%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the Charl 26 CHARLOTTE Penalty, face mask (13 yards) (Jalen Allen) to the Charl 13Similar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+1
36.4%
Chris Reynolds run for 1 yd to the Charl 14Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 21
OWN 14
0
36.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Noah Henderson for no gain to the Charl 14Similar
Q1 4:48
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+7
36.1%
Benny LeMay run for 7 yds to the Charl 21Similar
Q1 4:48
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+4
35.9%
Connor Bowler punt for 30 yds , Michael Lawrence returns for 4 yds to the Charl 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6TD
3 plays · 47 yds · 1:1165% → 70%
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
35.1%
Loren Easly run for 3 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q1 2:14
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+4
35.1%
Loren Easly run for 4 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q1 1:03
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+40
30.2%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 40 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 7TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:5032% → 40%
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
31.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 7 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q1 1:03
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+12
32.0%
Benny LeMay run for 12 yds to the Charl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
32.5%
Benny LeMay run for 4 yds to the Charl 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+3
32.3%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the NoTex 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+23
32.2%
Chris Reynolds run for 23 yds to the NoTex 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
32.8%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+11
32.7%
Benny LeMay run for 11 yds to the NoTex 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
32.8%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the NoTex 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+6
32.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 6 yds to the NoTex 8Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+2
32.4%
Benny LeMay run for 2 yds to the NoTex 6Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+2
32.3%
Benny LeMay run for 2 yds to the NoTex 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
32.8%
Ishod Finger run for 3 yds to the NoTex 1Similar
Q2 10:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
39.6%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:0064% → 65%
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
35.9%
Mason Fine pass complete to Nic Smith for 16 yds to the NoTex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
34.6%
Nic Smith run for 2 yds to the NoTex 43Similar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
34.7%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jaelon DardenSimilar
Q2 10:13
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+5
35.1%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 5 yds to the NoTex 48Similar
Q2 10:13
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
35.5%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Nafees Lyon at the Charl 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0036% → 35%
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
35.9%
Benny LeMay run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 18Similar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 11
OWN 18
+5
35.7%
Benny LeMay run for 5 yds to the Charl 23Similar
Q2 8:21
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+3
35.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 3 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q2 8:21
4TH & 3
OWN 26
-4
34.9%
Connor Bowler punt for 50 yds for a 1ST down , Jaelon Darden returns for a loss of 4 yards to the NoTex 22 for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the NoTex 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
34.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Deonte Simpson for 8 yds to the NoTex 18Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+1
34.1%
Loren Easly run for 1 yd to the NoTex 19Similar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+2
34.6%
Tre Siggers run for 2 yds to the NoTex 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
34.5%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Deonte SimpsonSimilar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+27
34.7%
Tre Siggers run for 27 yds to the NoTex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
32.7%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jaelon Darden, broken up by Jacione FugateSimilar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+1
32.7%
Loren Easly run for 1 yd to the NoTex 49Similar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 9
OWN 49
0
33.1%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Greg WhiteSimilar
Q2 6:05
4TH & 9
OWN 49
-5
34.4%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 44Similar
Q2 6:05
4TH & 14
OWN 44
+36
35.2%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 36 yds , Nafees Lyon returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
34.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 6 yds to the Charl 25Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+9
35.2%
Benny LeMay run for 9 yds to the Charl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
35.2%
Benny LeMay run for no gain to the Charl 34Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
35.2%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Benny LeMaySimilar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
34.0%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Ishod FingerSimilar
Q2 3:04
4TH & 10
OWN 34
0
33.7%
Kyle Corbett punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Nick Harvey at the NoTex 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 12TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 0:5268% → 79%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
32.2%
Mason Fine pass complete to Kelvin Smith for 3 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+5
31.8%
Mason Fine pass complete to Tre Siggers for 5 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+9
31.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Kelvin Smith for 9 yds to the NoTex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
20.8%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 57 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13END OF HALF
5 plays · 37 yds · 0:1423% → 25%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
23.4%
Benny LeMay run for 9 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+12
24.3%
Benny LeMay run for 12 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
24.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 10 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST down lat. to Victor Tucker for 6 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
21.6%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jaelon DardenSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-1
21.9%
Tre Siggers run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 28
+16
22.4%
FINE, Mason pass incomplete to OGUNMAKIN, A. (OSBORNE, M.), PENALTY CLT pass interference (OSBORNE, M.) 16 yards to the NT44, 1ST DOWN NT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
20.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to Kelvin Smith for 7 yds to the Charl 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 49
0
20.3%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 49
-5
20.8%
Mason Fine sacked by Markees Watts for a loss of 5 yards to the NoTex 46Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 46
0
21.9%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 53 yds, downed at the Charl 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15TD
9 plays · 99 yds · 4:0521% → 33%
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
20.9%
Benny LeMay run for 5 yds to the Charl 6Similar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 5
OWN 6
+21
20.8%
Benny LeMay run for 21 yds to the Charl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-9
19.9%
Brett Kean sacked by Tyreke Davis for a loss of 9 yards to the Charl 18Similar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 19
OWN 18
+18
19.6%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Tre' Goode for 18 yds to the Charl 36Similar
Q3 11:27
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+3
20.6%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Charl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
20.9%
Ishod Finger run for 1 yd to the Charl 40Similar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+8
20.6%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 8 yds to the Charl 48Similar
Q3 8:47
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+52
33.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Tyler Ringwood for 52 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 16TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 2:4072% → 87%
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
28.2%
Tre Siggers run for 4 yds to the NoTex 39Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+13
27.0%
Tre Siggers run for 13 yds to the Charl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
26.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 14 yds to the Charl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
25.9%
Mason Fine sacked by Alex Highsmith for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 35Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 11
OPP 0
0
25.7%
FINE, Mason pass incomplete to PIRTLE, Jason, PENALTY CLT pass interference off-setting, PENALTY NT ineligible downfield on pass off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 11
OPP 35
0
26.0%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Michael Lawrence, broken up by Marquill OsborneSimilar
Q3 8:47
3RD & 11
OPP 35
+11
26.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 11 yds to the Charl 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+10
25.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Kelvin Smith for 10 yds to the Charl 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
12.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 14 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5516% → 35%
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
16.4%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Cameron DollarSimilar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+25
16.2%
Chris Reynolds run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
50
+6
18.2%
Chris Reynolds run for 6 yds to the NoTex 44Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 4
OPP 44
0
18.8%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Cameron DollarSimilar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+2
18.3%
Benny LeMay run for 2 yds to the NoTex 42Similar
Q3 6:07
4TH & 2
OPP 42
+13
18.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Christian Roberson for 13 yds to the NoTex 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
35.3%
Chris Reynolds run for 29 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 18TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4174% → 90%
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
25.9%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 6 yds to the NoTex 31Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
24.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to Austin Ogunmakin for 7 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
23.8%
Tre Siggers run for 14 yds to the Charl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
23.1%
Loren Easly run for 5 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+9
22.8%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 9 yds to the Charl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
10.2%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 34 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:5013% → 23%
Q3 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
12.9%
Benny LeMay run for 4 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
12.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 11 yds to the Charl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
13.8%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+16
14.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 16 yds to the NoTex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
14.7%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the NoTex 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+7
14.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Benny LeMay for 7 yds to the NoTex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
15.2%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Tre' Goode, broken up by Makyle SandersSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
15.1%
Benny LeMay run for no gain to the NoTex 31Similar
Q4 11:41
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+31
22.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Benny LeMay for 31 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 20MISSED FG
15 plays · 52 yds · 5:0883% → 89%
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
17.5%
Tre Siggers run for 13 yds to the NoTex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
16.4%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jason Pirtle, broken up by Jeff GemmellSimilar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+11
16.6%
Tre Siggers run for 11 yds to the NoTex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
14.8%
Tre Siggers run for no gain to the NoTex 46Similar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
14.9%
Loren Easly run for 2 yds to the NoTex 48Similar
Q4 11:41
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+20
15.1%
Mason Fine pass complete to Greg White for 20 yds to the Charl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
13.8%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (Manase Mose) to the Charl 37Similar
Q4 11:41
1ST & 15
OPP 37
0
14.5%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Greg WhiteSimilar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 15
OPP 37
+18
14.7%
Tre Siggers run for 18 yds to the Charl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
13.6%
Tre Siggers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 20Similar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 11
OPP 20
0
13.9%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Greg White, broken up by Marquill OsborneSimilar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 11
OPP 20
-15
10.9%
FINE, Mason pass complete to DARDEN, Jaelon for 20 yards to the CLT0, clock 07:35, PENALTY NT illegal cut 15 yards to the CLT35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 26
OPP 35
+9
11.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Nic Smith for 9 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q4 6:33
4TH & 17
OPP 26
+43
11.4%
Ethan Mooney 43 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by nullSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 21TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 2:4915% → 48%
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+14
14.8%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass incomplete to TUCKER, Victor, PENALTY NT pass interference (ROBINSON, T.) 14 yards to the CLT37, 1ST DOWN CLT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
15.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
50
+22
18.3%
Benny LeMay run for 22 yds to the NoTex 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
21.0%
Ishod Finger run for 7 yds to the NoTex 21Similar
Q4 6:33
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+3
21.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 3 yds to the NoTex 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+13
21.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 13 yds to the NoTex 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
48.2%
Benny LeMay run for 5 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 22FG
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:3276% → 93%
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
23.7%
Tre Siggers run for 1 yd to the NoTex 44Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+18
23.8%
Tre Siggers run for 18 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
22.6%
Tre Siggers run for no gain to the Charl 38Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+4
22.8%
Tre Siggers run for 4 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 6
OPP 34
0
13.9%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jaelon DardenSimilar
Q4 1:12
4TH & 6
OPP 34
+51
7.1%
Ethan Mooney 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 23TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 0:5418% → 90%
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
17.8%
Chris Reynolds run for 4 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
18.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 5 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q4 1:12
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
19.2%
Benny LeMay run for 5 yds to the Charl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
19.7%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Cameron Dollar, broken up by Larry Nixon IIISimilar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-10
19.7%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass incomplete, PENALTY CLT holding (ALLEN, Jalen) 10 yards to the CLT29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 20
OWN 29
+37
17.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Tyler Ringwood for 37 yds to the NoTex 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
90.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 34 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 24FUMBLE
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:1433% → 31%
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
67.1%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jaelon Darden, broken up by Jonnie PitmanSimilar
Q4 0:18
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+10
68.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:04
1ST & 10
50
-10
68.7%
Mason Fine sacked by Markees Watts for a loss of 10 yards to the NoTex 43 Mason Fine fumbled, recovered by Charl Jeff Gemmell , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:18
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 34 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+73.2
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+31.3
TD · Q4 3:44
Benny LeMay run for 5 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+27.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com