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RICE

Rice 27 at UTSA 31

UTSA
2019 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2019 · Alamodome
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Win probability · UTSA
modelUTSA aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playUTSA scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:07 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:59: Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 8 yds for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +4.6 pts (now 45%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:16: Wiley Green pass complete to August Pitre III for 2 yds for a TD, (Chris Barnes KICK) — RICE win probability +12.6 pts (now 65%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:50: Wiley Green pass intercepted for a TD Rashad Wisdom return for 34 yds for a TD, (Lucas Dean intercepted ) — UTSA win probability +11.1 pts (now 52%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:50: DUPLESSIS, H. kick attempt good, PENALTY UTSA holding 10 yards to the RICE13, NO PLAY. — UTSA win probability +16.4 pts (now 69%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 9:02: Chris Barnes 37 yd FG GOOD — UTSA win probability +7.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTSA made the numbers' call on 3 of 5RICE made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00UTSA 4th & 8 at UTSA 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:03RICE 4th & 10 at UTSA 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.8%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    58.6%−1.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00RICE 4th & 5 at RICE 47, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:16UTSA 4th & 1 at UTSA 10, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.5%−1.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:32UTSA 4th & 12 at UTSA 35, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%−1.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.4%
    average punt
  6. Q3 8:58UTSA 4th & 8 at RICE 17, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.6%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.7%
    80% to make
    Punt
    66.3%−7.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:44RICE 4th & 3 at RICE 32, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%−0.5
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:50UTSA 4th & 6 at UTSA 31, up 11
    Numbers favored punt by 1.7 ptsWent for it · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.8%−1.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    76.6%
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:02RICE 4th & 8 at UTSA 19, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.3%
    77% to make
    Punt
    7.9%−4.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 0:49RICE 4th & 25 at UTSA 41, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    3.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTSA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2RICE made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 0:59UTSA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:16RICE Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 14:50UTSA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTSADrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
36.5%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 13 yds to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
36.5%
Lowell Narcisse pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
36.5%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the TexSA 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
36.5%
Lowell Narcisse pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
36.5%
Lucas Dean punt for 44 yds, downed at the Rice 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2FG
13 plays · 71 yds · 7:2363% → 61%
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
37.1%
Wiley Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+8
37.1%
Wiley Green pass complete to Brad Rozner for 8 yds to the Rice 24Similar
Q1 13:26
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+4
37.1%
Aston Walter run for 4 yds to the Rice 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
37.0%
Aston Walter run for 6 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 4
OWN 34
-1
37.0%
Aston Walter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 33Similar
Q1 13:26
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+8
37.1%
Wiley Green pass complete to Austin Trammell for 8 yds to the Rice 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
36.9%
Wiley Green pass complete to Brad Rozner for 10 yds to the TexSA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+26
36.9%
JoVoni Johnson run for 26 yds to the TexSA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+10
36.8%
Aston Walter run for 10 yds to the TexSA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-4
36.8%
Tom Stewart run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSA 17Similar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 14
OPP 17
+4
36.9%
Wiley Green pass complete to Brad Rozner for 4 yds to the TexSA 13Similar
Q1 13:26
3RD & 10
OPP 13
0
36.9%
Wiley Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:03
4TH & 10
OPP 13
+31
38.7%
Chris Barnes 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 3TD
14 plays · 60 yds · 5:0439% → 45%
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
39.2%
Brenden Brady run for 6 yds to the TexSA 46Similar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 4
OWN 46
0
39.4%
Lowell Narcisse pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:03
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+4
39.2%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Carlos Strickland II for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
50
+16
39.5%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Carlos Strickland II for 16 yds to the Rice 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
39.9%
Brenden Brady run for 1 yd to the Rice 33Similar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+7
39.9%
Lowell Narcisse run for 7 yds to the Rice 26Similar
Q1 6:03
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+4
39.5%
Lowell Narcisse run for 4 yds to the Rice 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
40.0%
Brenden Brady run for 4 yds to the Rice 18Similar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+3
40.0%
Brenden Brady run for 3 yds to the Rice 15Similar
Q1 6:03
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+5
39.5%
Brenden Brady run for 5 yds to the Rice 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
40.0%
Lowell Narcisse pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
40.0%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the Rice 8Similar
Q1 0:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
44.5%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 8 yds for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 22 yds · 0:5957% → 55%
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
43.3%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Austin Trammell, broken up by Cassius GradySimilar
Q1 0:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
43.4%
Aston Walter run for 8 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+9
44.7%
Wiley Green pass complete to Brad Rozner for 9 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
44.0%
Wiley Green pass complete to Austin Trammell for 5 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 47
-5
43.8%
RICE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Rice 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+5
44.4%
Wiley Green pass complete to Austin Trammell for 5 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 47
0
43.9%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Austin Trammell, broken up by Jaylon HaynesSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
45.0%
Chris Barnes punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSA 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 5INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
46.0%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, false start (-1 Yards) to the TexSA 2Similar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 11
OWN 2
+2
46.0%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 2 yds to the TexSA 4Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+1
45.9%
Lowell Narcisse pass intercepted Naeem Smith return for 1 yd to the TexSA 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q2 11:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
44.5%
Aston Walter run for no gain to the TexSA 1Similar
Q2 11:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
44.5%
Wiley Green run for no gain to the TexSA 1 Wiley Green fumbled, recovered by TexSA Jaylon HaynesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0047% → 46%
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
46.9%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 4Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+4
46.7%
Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the TexSA 8Similar
Q2 10:16
3RD & 3
OWN 8
+2
46.0%
Lowell Narcisse run for 2 yds to the TexSA 10Similar
Q2 10:16
4TH & 1
OWN 10
0
45.6%
Lucas Dean punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8FUMBLE
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
47.2%
GREEN, Wiley deep out pass complete to ROZNER, Brad for 39 yards to the UTSA12 (GRADY, Cassius), PENALTY RICE ineligible downfield on pass (BRADLEY, Jack) 5 yards to the RICE44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 15
OWN 44
0
48.6%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 15
OWN 44
0
48.8%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q2 7:58
3RD & 15
OWN 44
+19
49.4%
Wiley Green pass complete to Austin Trammell for 19 yds to the TexSA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
47.0%
TEAM run for no gain to the TexSA 37 TEAM fumbled, recovered by TexSA Trevor HarmansonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0051% → 49%
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-15
51.1%
NARCISSE, L. sideline pass complete to McCORMICK, S. for 4 yards to the UTSA41 (THORNTON, Tyrae), PENALTY UTSA personal foul (DAVIS, Kevin) 15 yards to the UTSA22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:32
1ST & 25
OWN 22
+10
50.1%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 10 yds to the TexSA 32Similar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 15
OWN 32
+5
50.1%
Lowell Narcisse run for 5 yds to the TexSA 37Similar
Q2 6:32
3RD & 10
OWN 37
-2
49.7%
Lowell Narcisse sacked by Blaze Alldredge for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 35Similar
Q2 6:32
4TH & 12
OWN 35
0
48.9%
Lucas Dean punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 3:4948% → 65%
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
51.8%
Aston Walter run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 20Similar
Q2 4:05
2ND & 12
OWN 20
+8
52.1%
Aston Walter run for 8 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q2 4:05
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+10
51.9%
Wiley Green pass complete to Brad Rozner for 10 yds to the Rice 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+55
50.3%
Wiley Green pass complete to Brad Rozner for 55 yds to the TexSA 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
47.8%
Aston Walter run for 1 yd to the TexSA 6Similar
Q2 4:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
47.8%
Tom Stewart run for 4 yds to the TexSA 2Similar
Q2 0:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
35.5%
Wiley Green pass complete to August Pitre III for 2 yds for a TD, (Chris Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 11END OF HALF
4 plays · 33 yds · 0:1140% → 43%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+33
39.7%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 33 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
43.4%
Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Sheldon Jones, broken up by Prudy CalderonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+34
52.4%
Wiley Green pass intercepted for a TD Rashad Wisdom return for 34 yds for a TD, (Lucas Dean intercepted )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 13TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q3 14:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-10
68.8%
DUPLESSIS, H. kick attempt good, PENALTY UTSA holding 10 yards to the RICE13, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:1733% → 36%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
66.6%
Aston Walter run for 35 yds to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
64.2%
Aston Walter run for 1 yd to the TexSA 39Similar
Q3 14:50
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+20
64.2%
Tom Stewart run for 20 yds to the TexSA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
64.3%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Brad Rozner for 19 yds for a TD, (Chris Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 15FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 3:3570% → 73%
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
69.5%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Carlos Strickland II for 18 yds to the TexSA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
70.9%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the TexSA 45Similar
Q3 12:33
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+9
70.9%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Gavin Sharp for 9 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
71.2%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q3 12:33
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+2
71.1%
Lowell Narcisse run for 2 yds to the Rice 42Similar
Q3 12:33
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+10
70.1%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Carlos Strickland II for 10 yds to the Rice 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+13
71.2%
Brenden Brady run for 13 yds to the Rice 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
71.2%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the Rice 17Similar
Q3 12:33
2ND & 8
OPP 17
0
71.2%
Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Blaze Moorhead, broken up by George NyakwolSimilar
Q3 12:33
3RD & 8
OPP 17
0
70.3%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for no gain to the Rice 17Similar
Q3 8:58
4TH & 8
OPP 17
+34
72.9%
Hunter Duplessis 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:1428% → 23%
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
71.8%
Aston Walter run for 2 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
71.6%
Aston Walter run for 6 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q3 7:44
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-1
75.4%
JoVoni Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 32Similar
Q3 7:44
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
76.6%
Chris Barnes punt for 66 yds, downed at the TexSA 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
76.6%
Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Blaze MoorheadSimilar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+6
76.5%
NARCISSE, L. sideline pass incomplete to WOOLEN, Tariq (THORNTON, Tyrae), PENALTY RICE pass interference (THORNTON, Tyrae) 6 yards to the UTSA8, 1ST DOWN UTSA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+19
76.6%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Tariq Woolen for 19 yds to the TexSA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
77.2%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the TexSA 29Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 8
OWN 29
-5
77.1%
NARCISSE, L. slant pass complete to MOORHEAD, Blaze for 16 yards to the UTSA45 (RICHARDSON, I.;SMITH, Naeem), PENALTY UTSA ineligible downfield on pass (MAKA, Ahofitu) 5 yards to the UTSA24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 13
OWN 24
+1
76.7%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Dywan Griffin for 1 yd to the TexSA 25Similar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 12
OWN 25
+6
75.9%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 6 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
Q3 6:50
4TH & 6
OWN 31
-9
75.7%
Dadrian Taylor run for a loss of 9 yards to the TexSA 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18TD
3 plays · 22 yds · 0:4723% → 21%
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+21
76.6%
Aston Walter run for 21 yds to the TexSA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
79.1%
Aston Walter run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 19TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:2082% → 86%
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
82.2%
Sincere McCormick run for 32 yds to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+26
83.1%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Carlos Strickland II for 26 yds to the Rice 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
83.5%
Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Joshua CephusSimilar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+14
83.5%
Lowell Narcisse run for 14 yds to the Rice 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
83.8%
Sincere McCormick run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 6Similar
Q3 0:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
85.6%
Sincere McCormick run for 6 yds for a TD, (Lowell Narcisse pass to Sheldon Jones for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 20FG
14 plays · 56 yds · 6:4715% → 9%
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
85.1%
Aston Walter run for 3 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q3 0:49
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
84.4%
Aston Walter run for 1 yd to the Rice 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+11
85.5%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Austin Trammell for 11 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
84.1%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Brad Rozner for 13 yds to the TexSA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
82.7%
Aston Walter run for 5 yds to the TexSA 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+10
82.4%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Brad Rozner for 10 yds to the TexSA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-8
81.9%
Tom Stewart run for a loss of 8 yards to the TexSA 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 18
OPP 40
+7
84.1%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Austin Trammell for 7 yds to the TexSA 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 33
+12
83.7%
Charlie Booker run for 12 yds to the TexSA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
81.6%
Charlie Booker run for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSA 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 26
0
83.1%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 26
+7
84.3%
Tom Stewart run for 7 yds to the TexSA 19Similar
Q4 9:02
4TH & 8
OPP 19
+37
91.4%
Chris Barnes 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 21TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 3:5691% → 95%
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
91.1%
Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the TexSA 22Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+14
91.0%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Tariq Woolen for 14 yds to the TexSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+30
91.4%
Sincere McCormick run for 30 yds to the Rice 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
92.1%
Sincere McCormick run for 9 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+2
92.2%
Brenden Brady run for 2 yds to the Rice 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
92.2%
Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Sheldon JonesSimilar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+3
92.0%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Brenden Brady for 3 yds to the Rice 20Similar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+12
92.0%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Carlos Strickland II for 12 yds to the Rice 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
94.6%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 8 yds for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 22FUMBLE
13 plays · 29 yds · 4:175% → 3%
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
94.7%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Austin Trammell for 4 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
94.2%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Austin Trammell for 7 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
94.1%
Charlie Booker run for 2 yds to the Rice 38Similar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
94.0%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to August Pitre III, broken up by Rashad WisdomSimilar
Q4 5:06
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+9
94.3%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Austin Trammell for 9 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
93.9%
Tom Stewart pass complete to August Pitre III for 8 yds to the TexSA 45Similar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+19
93.2%
Tom Stewart run for 4 yds to the TexSA 41 for a 1ST down UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, personal foul (Trevor Harmanson) to the TexSA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
92.5%
Tom Stewart run for 2 yds to the TexSA 24Similar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 8
OPP 24
-3
92.5%
Charlie Booker run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 27Similar
Q4 0:49
3RD & 11
OPP 27
-14
96.8%
Tom Stewart sacked by DeQuarius Henry for a loss of 14 yards to the TexSA 41Similar
Q4 0:49
4TH & 25
OPP 41
+11
97.5%
Tom Stewart run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSA 31 Tom Stewart fumbled, recovered by TexSA Eric Banks UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Eric Banks) to the TexSA 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
97.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:50
DUPLESSIS, H. kick attempt good, PENALTY UTSA holding 10 yards to the RICE13, NO PLAY.
+16.4
TD · Q2 0:16
Wiley Green pass complete to August Pitre III for 2 yds for a TD, (Chris Barnes KICK)
-12.6
TD · Q3 14:50
Wiley Green pass intercepted for a TD Rashad Wisdom return for 34 yds for a TD, (Lucas Dean intercepted )
+11.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com