Try the model
MRSH

Marshall 36 at Florida Atlantic 31

FAU
2019 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2019 · FAU Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadMRSH aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreMRSH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDFGSAFETYTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:22 · Robert LeFevre punt for 20 yds, downed at the FlAtl 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 38Home team on offense+0.8Pregame prior+7.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:13: Brenden Knox run for 1 yd for a TD, (Justin Rohrwasser KICK) — MRSH win probability +15.4 pts (now 48%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 10:09: Chris Robison run for 1 yd for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +31.3 pts (now 72%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 9:15: Isaiah Green pass complete to Willie Johnson for 60 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Green pass to Xavier Gaines for Two-Point Conversion) — MRSH win probability +39.7 pts (now 76%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:36: Malcolm Davidson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +42.3 pts (now 71%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:36: Brenden Knox run for 17 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed) — MRSH win probability +49.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8MRSH made the numbers' call on 4 of 9
  1. Q1 11:38MRSH 4th & 2 at FAU 13, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.2%−0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    37.7%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:03MRSH 4th & 9 at MRSH 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:50FAU 4th & 10 at FAU 49, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.5%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:22MRSH 4th & 14 at MRSH 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.9%−0.6
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00FAU 4th & 3 at FAU 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:52MRSH 4th & 2 at MRSH 31, down 4
    Close callPunted · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.5%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:09FAU 4th & 12 at FAU 17, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%−1.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:30MRSH 4th & 15 at MRSH 34, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%−1.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:35FAU 4th & 17 at FAU 46, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%−1.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:04FAU 4th & 8 at MRSH 14, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    61.4%−4.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00FAU 4th & 6 at MRSH 23, tied
    Close callWent for it · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.4%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    61.6%
    70% to make
    Punt
    55.9%−5.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:10MRSH 4th & 8 at FAU 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%−1.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.9%
    90% to make
    Punt
    32.5%−11.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:18FAU 4th & 1 at MRSH 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    47.3%−5.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    46.5%−6.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:22MRSH 4th & 3 at MRSH 43, up 3
    Close callPunted · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%−0.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00MRSH 4th & 2 at MRSH 44, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 63.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.8%−1.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:15FAU 4th & 13 at FAU 34, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%−3.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:55MRSH 4th & 2 at MRSH 29, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.5%−2.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MRSH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 9:03FAU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:59FAU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:02MRSH Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:13MRSH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:09FAU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:15MRSH Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    62.6%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    62.7%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:36FAU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.6%−1.9
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:36MRSH Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    83.4%−1.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    84.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MRSHDrive 1FG
11 plays · 63 yds · 3:2241% → 42%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
58.7%
GREEN, Isaiah pass incomplete to LEVIAS, Armani, PENALTY FAU pass interference (TOOLEY, Chris) 15 yards to the MAR39, 1ST DOWN MAR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
58.7%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 6 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+14
58.7%
Isaiah Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 44 for a 1ST down FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Ahman Ross) to the FlAtl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
58.7%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Brenden Knox for 2 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+3
58.7%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+15
58.7%
GREEN, Isaiah pass incomplete to GAINES, Xavier, PENALTY FAU pass interference (DOTSON, Meiko) 15 yards to the FAU21, 1ST DOWN MAR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
58.7%
Isaiah Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
58.7%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Armani LeviasSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+8
58.7%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 8 yds to the FlAtl 13Similar
Q1 11:38
4TH & 2
OPP 13
+30
58.4%
Justin Rohrwasser 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 2TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:3559% → 60%
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
58.5%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Mitchell for 8 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+10
58.7%
Malcolm Davidson run for 10 yds to the FlAtl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
58.8%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 5 yds to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+16
58.8%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 16 yds to the Marsh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+14
58.9%
ROBISON, Chris pass incomplete to MITCHELL, John, PENALTY MAR pass interference (GILMORE, Steven) 14 yards to the MAR22, 1ST DOWN FAU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-1
59.0%
Chris Robison run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 23Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 11
OPP 23
+22
59.0%
Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 22 yds to the Marsh 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
59.0%
Malcolm Davidson run for no gain to the Marsh 1Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
60.3%
Chris Robison run for 1 yd for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
59.8%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Brenden Knox for 4 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-7
59.6%
Isaiah Green sacked by Tim Bonner for a loss of 7 yards to the Marsh 22Similar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+4
60.1%
Brenden Knox run for 4 yds to the Marsh 26Similar
Q1 9:03
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
60.2%
Robert LeFevre punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
60.0%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to John MitchellSimilar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-3
59.9%
Chris Robison run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 13
OWN 32
+17
59.6%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Mitchell for 17 yds to the FlAtl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
60.6%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to John MitchellSimilar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
60.5%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Deangelo Antoine, broken up by Micah AbrahamSimilar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
60.0%
Chris Robison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:50
4TH & 10
OWN 49
+12
59.6%
Matthew Hayball punt for 41 yds , Talik Keaton returns for 12 yds to the Marsh 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:0040% → 39%
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+18
60.3%
Sheldon Evans run for 18 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
59.6%
Sheldon Evans run for no gain to the Marsh 40Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-8
59.8%
Isaiah Green sacked by Caliph Brice for a loss of 8 yards to the Marsh 32Similar
Q1 5:22
3RD & 18
OWN 32
+4
60.7%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Talik Keaton for 4 yds to the Marsh 36Similar
Q1 5:22
4TH & 14
OWN 36
0
60.9%
Robert LeFevre punt for 20 yds, downed at the FlAtl 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6TD
3 plays · 56 yds · 1:0062% → 66%
Q1 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-6
61.5%
Chris Robison sacked by Jamare Edwards and Tavante Beckett for a loss of 6 yards to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q1 2:59
2ND & 16
OWN 38
+61
60.7%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Raine for 61 yds to the Marsh 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
65.6%
Larry McCammon III run for 1 yd for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 7TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:5735% → 40%
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
64.8%
GREEN, Isaiah pass incomplete to LEVIAS, Armani, PENALTY FAU pass interference (TOOLEY, Chris) 13 yards to the MAR38, 1ST DOWN MAR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
64.3%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the Marsh 41Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
64.2%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Armani LeviasSimilar
Q1 1:02
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+59
59.9%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 59 yds for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0261% → 60%
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
60.5%
Malcolm Davidson run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q1 1:02
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
60.5%
Chris Robison run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q1 1:02
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+7
59.8%
Chris Robison pass complete to Malcolm Davidson for 7 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
59.9%
Matthew Hayball punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Talik Keaton at the Marsh 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
60.6%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Willie JohnsonSimilar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
60.7%
Isaiah Green run for no gain to the Marsh 23Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+8
61.3%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 8 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 2
OWN 31
0
61.2%
Robert LeFevre punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0061% → 60%
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
60.8%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Tavaris HarrisonSimilar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-2
60.7%
Malcolm Davidson run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 17Similar
Q2 13:09
3RD & 12
OWN 17
0
59.9%
Chris Robison run for no gain to the FlAtl 17Similar
Q2 13:09
4TH & 12
OWN 17
0
59.5%
Matthew Hayball punt for 44 yds, downed at the Marsh 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0040% → 38%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
59.9%
Sheldon Evans run for 5 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 5
OWN 44
-9
59.4%
Xavier Gaines run for 1 yd to the Marsh 45 MARSHALL Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Marsh 35Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 14
OWN 35
0
61.2%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Willie JohnsonSimilar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 14
OWN 35
-1
61.9%
Sheldon Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 34Similar
Q2 11:30
4TH & 15
OWN 34
0
62.3%
Robert LeFevre punt for 48 yds, downed at the FlAtl 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:0061% → 60%
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
61.4%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 1 yd to the FlAtl 19Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 9
OWN 19
0
61.3%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Deangelo AntoineSimilar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+34
60.3%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 34 yds to the Marsh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-11
63.3%
Chris Robison sacked by Koby Cumberlander for a loss of 11 yards to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 21
OWN 42
+4
61.7%
Chris Robison run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 17
OWN 46
0
61.0%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Malcolm DavidsonSimilar
Q2 9:35
4TH & 17
OWN 46
0
60.2%
Matthew Hayball punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Talik Keaton at the Marsh 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 13INT
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:0038% → 37%
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
61.8%
Isaiah Green run for a loss of 4 yards to the Marsh 16Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+3
62.2%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 3 yds to the Marsh 19Similar
Q2 6:48
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+3
63.0%
Isaiah Green pass intercepted Akileis Leroy return for 3 yds to the Marsh 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 14FG
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:1466% → 70%
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
65.6%
Nick Tronti run for 3 yds to the Marsh 23Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+7
65.6%
Nick Tronti run for 7 yds to the Marsh 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
65.6%
Nick Tronti run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 17Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+3
65.6%
Malcolm Davidson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 14Similar
Q2 5:18
3RD & 8
OPP 14
0
64.8%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to John Raine, broken up by Brandon DraytonSimilar
Q2 3:04
4TH & 8
OPP 14
+32
69.5%
Vladimir Rivas 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 15TD
12 plays · 93 yds · 2:5131% → 48%
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+43
68.8%
Brenden Knox run for 43 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
50
+4
65.8%
Brenden Knox run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+3
65.9%
Isaiah Green run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+3
66.1%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
65.8%
GREEN, Isaiah pass incomplete to JOHNSON, Willie, PENALTY FAU offside (BONNER, Tim) 5 yards to the FAU35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 5
OPP 35
+31
64.2%
Brenden Knox run for 31 yds to the FlAtl 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
64.2%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 1Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
65.8%
Brenden Knox run for no gain to the FlAtl 1Similar
Q2 0:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
52.3%
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd for a TD, (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
60.4%
Malcolm Davidson run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 17DOWNS
10 plays · 45 yds · 0:0059% → 60%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
58.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 11 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
59.9%
Malcolm Davidson run for no gain to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+14
59.5%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+6
61.8%
Larry McCammon III run for 6 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+17
62.2%
Larry McCammon III run for 17 yds to the Marsh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
62.8%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to John MitchellSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-5
62.7%
Chris Robison sacked by Tyler Brown for a loss of 5 yards to the Marsh 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 32
+9
59.8%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 9 yds to the Marsh 23Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 23
-7
59.9%
Chris Robison sacked by Channing Hames for a loss of 7 yards to the Marsh 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18FG
12 plays · 62 yds · 5:2745% → 53%
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
54.9%
Brenden Knox run for 4 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+10
53.9%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Devin Miller for 10 yds Devin Miller fumbled, forced by Akileis Leroy, recovered by Marsh Willie Johnson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-4
52.2%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Xavier Gaines for a loss of 4 yards Xavier Gaines fumbled, forced by James Pierre, recovered by Marsh Xavier GainesSimilar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 14
OWN 43
+21
54.6%
Brenden Knox run for 21 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
51.8%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Xavier GainesSimilar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+10
51.8%
Isaiah Green run for 10 yds to the FlAtl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+21
50.3%
Brenden Knox run for 21 yds to the FlAtl 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
50.3%
Sheldon Evans run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 1 Sheldon Evans fumbled, forced by Zyon Gilbert, recovered by Marsh Alex MolletteSimilar
Q3 11:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
50.3%
Brenden Knox run for no gain to the FlAtl 1Similar
Q3 11:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-14
51.7%
MARSHALL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Isaiah Green) to the FlAtl 15Similar
Q3 11:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+7
53.7%
Brenden Knox run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 8Similar
Q3 6:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
46.8%
Justin Rohrwasser 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 19DOWNS
10 plays · 32 yds · 1:5250% → 49%
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
49.9%
Chris Robison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
49.6%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Harrison Bryant, broken up by Omari CobbSimilar
Q3 6:10
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+23
47.6%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 23 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
54.2%
ROBISON, Chris pass complete to ANTOINE, Dea for 16 yards to the MAR29 (DRAYTON, B.), PENALTY FAU ineligible downfield on pass (WALTON, Brandon) 5 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:10
1ST & 15
50
0
51.2%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Deangelo AntoineSimilar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 15
50
+9
50.6%
Larry McCammon III run for 9 yds to the Marsh 41Similar
Q3 4:18
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+5
50.7%
Nick Tronti run for 5 yds to the Marsh 36Similar
Q3 4:18
4TH & 1
OPP 36
0
48.6%
Malcolm Davidson run for no gain to the Marsh 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
42.0%
Brenden Knox run for 2 yds to the Marsh 38Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+2
41.1%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 2 yds to the Marsh 40Similar
Q3 3:22
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+3
41.5%
Isaiah Green run for 3 yds to the Marsh 43Similar
Q3 3:22
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
43.1%
Robert LeFevre punt for 53 yds, downed at the FlAtl 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 21SF
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:3644% → 36%
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
43.6%
Larry McCammon III run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 6Similar
Q3 0:52
2ND & 8
OWN 6
-6
35.9%
Chris Robison sacked by Tyler Brown for a loss of 6 yards for a SAFETY FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:5267% → 66%
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
33.2%
Sheldon Evans run for 3 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
Q3 0:52
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+2
32.0%
Sheldon Evans run for 2 yds to the Marsh 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+3
31.8%
Isaiah Green run for 3 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
33.6%
Robert LeFevre punt for 47 yds, downed at the FlAtl 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 23TD
12 plays · 91 yds · 3:5535% → 72%
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
34.5%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Tavaris HarrisonSimilar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+8
34.2%
Malcolm Davidson run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 17Similar
Q4 14:04
3RD & 2
OWN 17
+10
33.8%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 10 yds to the FlAtl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
36.4%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 11 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
38.1%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 14 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
41.1%
ROBISON, Chris pass incomplete to HARRISON, T, PENALTY MAR pass interference (GILMORE, Steven) 15 yards to the MAR33, 1ST DOWN FAU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
43.6%
Chris Robison pass complete to James Brunson for 10 yds to the Marsh 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
43.6%
Larry McCammon III run for 3 yds to the Marsh 20Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 7
OPP 20
-3
43.6%
Chris Robison sacked by Brandon Drayton for a loss of 3 yards to the Marsh 23Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+22
40.7%
Malcolm Davidson run for 22 yds to the Marsh 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
72.0%
Chris Robison run for 1 yd for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 24TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5437% → 76%
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.0%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Devin MillerSimilar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
63.4%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tavin Richardson for 15 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
23.7%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Willie Johnson for 60 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Green pass to Xavier Gaines for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:0031% → 29%
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
31.3%
Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 12 yds to the FlAtl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
32.5%
Malcolm Davidson run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
34.2%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to John MitchellSimilar
Q4 9:15
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
31.6%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Deangelo AntoineSimilar
Q4 9:15
4TH & 8
OWN 39
-5
29.5%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (Jordan Helm) to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q4 9:15
4TH & 13
OWN 34
0
28.5%
Matthew Hayball punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Talik Keaton at the Marsh 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0075% → 74%
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
25.5%
Brenden Knox run for 4 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 6
OWN 25
0
24.4%
Isaiah Green run for no gain to the Marsh 25Similar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+4
25.8%
Isaiah Green run for 4 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
Q4 7:55
4TH & 2
OWN 29
+2
26.4%
Robert LeFevre punt for 42 yds , Dante Cousart returns for 2 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 27TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 2:0626% → 71%
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
26.2%
Chris Robison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
25.9%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Harrison BryantSimilar
Q4 5:42
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+18
23.8%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Mitchell for 18 yds to the FlAtl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+24
29.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Mitchell for 24 yds to the Marsh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-10
33.8%
Chris Robison sacked by Omari Cobb for a loss of 10 yards to the Marsh 37Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 20
OPP 37
+35
28.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 35 yds to the Marsh 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
71.2%
Malcolm Davidson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 28TD
13 plays · 77 yds · 3:0040% → 96%
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
60.0%
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd to the Marsh 24Similar
Q4 3:36
2ND & 9
OWN 24
0
60.5%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Xavier GainesSimilar
Q4 3:36
3RD & 9
OWN 24
+17
62.5%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Corey Gammage for 17 yds to the Marsh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
55.6%
Isaiah Green run for no gain to the Marsh 41Similar
Q4 3:36
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+9
56.9%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Devin Miller for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:36
3RD & 1
50
+30
54.0%
Brenden Knox run for 30 yds to the FlAtl 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-15
50.8%
MARSHALL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct ball on FAU35 (Josh Ball) to the FlAtl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
51.5%
Brenden Knox run for 10 yds to the FlAtl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
50.8%
Brenden Knox run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q4 3:36
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+4
50.8%
Brenden Knox run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 17Similar
Q4 0:36
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+17
4.5%
Brenden Knox run for 17 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 29INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
14.6%
Chris Robison pass intercepted Steven Gilmore return for no gain to the Marsh 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 30END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
4.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:36
Brenden Knox run for 17 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-49.9
TD · Q4 3:36
Malcolm Davidson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)
+42.3
TD · Q4 9:15
Isaiah Green pass complete to Willie Johnson for 60 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Green pass to Xavier Gaines for Two-Point Conversion)
-39.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com