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CLT

Charlotte 14 at Western Kentucky 30

WKU
2019 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2019 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
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Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadCLT aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreCLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Connor Bowler punt for 53 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 36Pregame prior+19.9Home team on offense−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Score differential−1.1Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:12: Ishod Finger run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +5.2 pts (now 29%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:45: Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 69 yds for a TD, (Cory Munson KICK) — WKU win probability +4.5 pts (now 77%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:00: Chris Reynolds pass complete to Benny LeMay for 47 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +7.0 pts (now 32%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 5:41: Cory Munson 48 yd FG GOOD — WKU win probability +4.7 pts (now 84%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:08: Lucky Jackson pass complete to Ty Storey for 8 yds for a TD, (Cory Munson KICK) — WKU win probability +7.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8CLT made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q2 15:00CLT 4th & 14 at CLT 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%−0.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.5%
    average punt
  2. Q2 4:08WKU 4th & 5 at CLT 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.7%
    62% to make
    Punt
    66.1%−3.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 2:40CLT 4th & 3 at CLT 32, down 3
    Close callPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:17WKU 4th & 6 at CLT 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%−1.3
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.8%
    70% to make
    Punt
    68.0%−3.9
    average punt
  5. Q3 14:55WKU 4th & 11 at WKU 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%−2.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.3%
    average punt
  6. Q3 14:03CLT 4th & 17 at CLT 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−3.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:45WKU 4th & 10 at CLT 14, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%−1.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.0%
    84% to make
    Punt
    63.9%−7.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:41WKU 4th & 12 at CLT 30, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%−1.7
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.8%
    56% to make
    Punt
    73.8%−1.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:09CLT 4th & 7 at CLT 28, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−1.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:03WKU 4th & 2 at CLT 21, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    82.9%−1.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    75.7%−8.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:18CLT 4th & 14 at CLT 43, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−0.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:56WKU 4th & 6 at CLT 30, up 16
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.3%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    95.9%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:56CLT 4th & 5 at CLT 35, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.0%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:09WKU 4th & 10 at CLT 39, up 16
    Close callPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    97.1%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.0%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:02CLT 4th & 13 at CLT 22, down 16
    Close callWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CLT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:12CLT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:52WKU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:45WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:00CLT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:08WKU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLTDrive 1TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 7:4824% → 29%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
76.1%
Benny LeMay run for 4 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
76.1%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Benny LeMaySimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+6
76.1%
Chris Reynolds run for 6 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
76.1%
Benny LeMay run for 6 yds to the Charl 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-2
76.1%
Benny LeMay run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+13
76.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 13 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+21
76.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 21 yds to the WKent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-2
76.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Micaleous Elder for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 29
+7
76.1%
Chris Reynolds run for 7 yds to the WKent 22Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+5
76.1%
Chris Reynolds run for 5 yds to the WKent 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
76.1%
Benny LeMay run for 5 yds to the WKent 12Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+8
76.1%
Benny LeMay run for 8 yds to the WKent 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
76.1%
Benny LeMay run for no gain to the WKent 4Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
70.9%
Ishod Finger run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 2TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:2072% → 73%
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
71.9%
Gaej Walker run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 23Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+12
71.8%
Ty Storey pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 12 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
72.0%
Ty Storey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
71.9%
Gaej Walker run for 9 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+4
72.3%
Ty Storey run for 4 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-3
72.5%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 45Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 13
OWN 45
+3
72.1%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 3 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+14
72.0%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 14 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+17
72.6%
Ty Storey pass complete to Joshua Simon for 17 yds to the Charl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
72.9%
Gaej Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 22Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 11
OPP 22
-8
72.9%
Ty Storey sacked by Alex Highsmith and Taylor Chandler for a loss of 8 yards to the Charl 30Similar
Q1 0:52
3RD & 19
OPP 30
+30
73.1%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 30 yds for a TD, (Cory Munson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:5228% → 28%
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
71.9%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Cameron DollarSimilar
Q1 0:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+26
72.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 26 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-15
70.7%
Benny LeMay run for no gain to the Charl 49 CHARLOTTE Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Charl 36Similar
Q1 0:52
1ST & 25
OWN 36
+5
71.9%
Chris Reynolds run for 5 yds to the Charl 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 41
+6
71.3%
Benny LeMay run for 6 yds to the Charl 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 47
0
71.6%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 47
0
72.2%
Connor Bowler punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 4TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 1:1672% → 77%
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
72.2%
Gaej Walker run for 5 yds to the WKent 25Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+6
72.4%
Gaej Walker run for 6 yds to the WKent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+69
76.9%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 69 yds for a TD, (Cory Munson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 5TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:4424% → 32%
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
76.3%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the Charl 26Similar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+31
76.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 31 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
75.0%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Ishod FingerSimilar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+4
75.1%
Chris Reynolds run for 4 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q2 12:44
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+8
75.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 8 yds to the WKent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-10
74.3%
LEMAY, Benny rush for 2 yards to the WKU29 (KEY, D.), PENALTY CLT holding (CLARK, Cameron) 10 yards to the WKU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:44
1ST & 20
OPP 41
-6
75.6%
Chris Reynolds sacked by DeAngelo Malone for a loss of 6 yards to the WKent 47Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 26
OPP 47
+47
68.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Benny LeMay for 47 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 6FG
13 plays · 48 yds · 4:5271% → 73%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
71.1%
Gaej Walker run for 6 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
71.9%
Ty Storey run for 3 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
71.4%
Ty Storey run for 3 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
71.7%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jacquez SloanSimilar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
71.5%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 1 yd to the WKent 38Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+11
71.0%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 11 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
72.7%
Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the Charl 47Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+15
73.0%
STOREY, T. pass incomplete to PEARSON, J., PENALTY CLT pass interference (PITMAN, Jonnie) 15 yards to the CLT32, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
73.4%
Gaej Walker run for no gain to the Charl 32Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+5
73.4%
Ty Storey pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 5 yds to the Charl 27Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 5
OPP 27
0
72.8%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jahcour PearsonSimilar
Q2 4:08
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+45
72.6%
Cory Munson 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 1:2828% → 28%
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
71.7%
Benny LeMay run for 4 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q2 4:08
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
71.2%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q2 4:08
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
71.7%
Chris Reynolds run for no gain to the Charl 32Similar
Q2 2:40
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+8
72.5%
Connor Bowler punt for 40 yds , Roger Cray returns for 8 yds to the WKent 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 8MISSED FG
12 plays · 41 yds · 2:1572% → 74%
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
72.3%
Gaej Walker run for 7 yds to the WKent 43Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+19
73.5%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 19 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
73.9%
Gaej Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 39Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+5
73.7%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 5 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+7
74.5%
Ty Storey run for 7 yds to the Charl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-7
75.7%
Ty Storey sacked by Alex Highsmith for a loss of 7 yards to the Charl 38 Ty Storey fumbled, recovered by WKent Ty Storey , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 21
OPP 38
+10
73.6%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 10 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 11
OPP 28
+5
73.9%
Gaej Walker run for 5 yds to the Charl 23Similar
Q2 0:17
4TH & 6
OPP 23
+41
74.0%
Cory Munson 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 9END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
75.3%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Charl 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0071% → 69%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
71.2%
Gaej Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 21Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 11
OWN 21
0
71.0%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jahcour PearsonSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 11
OWN 21
0
69.8%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Joshua Simon, broken up by Lance McMillanSimilar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 11
OWN 21
+6
69.2%
John Haggerty punt for 47 yds , Nafees Lyon returns for 6 yds to the Charl 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0031% → 27%
Q3 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-10
69.5%
LEMAY, Benny rush for 6 yards to the CLT44, out-of-bounds (KEY, D.), PENALTY CLT holding (TIMMONS, J.) 10 yards to the CLT28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:03
1ST & 20
OWN 28
0
70.9%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
Q3 14:03
2ND & 20
OWN 28
0
71.3%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor Tucker, broken up by Ta'Corian DardenSimilar
Q3 14:03
3RD & 20
OWN 28
+3
72.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Benny LeMay for 3 yds to the Charl 31Similar
Q3 14:03
4TH & 17
OWN 31
0
72.8%
Connor Bowler punt blocked by A.J. Brathwaite Jr. blocked by A.J. Brathwaite Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 12FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:5475% → 77%
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
74.9%
Ty Storey pass complete to Joshua Simon for 5 yds to the Charl 9Similar
Q3 12:39
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+1
74.9%
Gaej Walker run for 1 yd to the Charl 8Similar
Q3 12:39
3RD & 4
OPP 8
-6
73.9%
Ty Storey sacked by Jonnie Pitman for a loss of 6 yards to the Charl 14Similar
Q3 10:45
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+32
76.9%
Cory Munson 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13INT
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:0925% → 25%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
74.7%
Chris Reynolds run for 3 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
74.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 6 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
73.8%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Charl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
76.9%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass incomplete to ELDER, M., PENALTY WKU pass interference (CRAY, R.) 15 yards to the WKU48, 1ST DOWN CLT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
74.8%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the WKent 47Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 9
OPP 47
0
74.8%
Chris Reynolds pass intercepted Roger Cray return for no gain to the WKent 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 14FG
5 plays · 44 yds · 2:0179% → 84%
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+46
78.8%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 46 yds to the Charl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
81.2%
Gaej Walker run for 3 yds to the Charl 25Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 7
OPP 25
-5
81.2%
Ty Storey sacked by Markees Watts for a loss of 5 yards to the Charl 30Similar
Q3 7:42
3RD & 12
OPP 30
0
79.3%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Quin JernighanSimilar
Q3 5:41
4TH & 12
OPP 30
+48
84.1%
Cory Munson 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:3217% → 12%
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
83.2%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
83.0%
Chris Reynolds run for no gain to the Charl 28Similar
Q3 5:41
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
83.7%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Cameron DollarSimilar
Q3 4:09
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
87.7%
Connor Bowler punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Roger Cray at the WKent 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 16TD
10 plays · 67 yds · 3:5586% → 96%
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+21
86.0%
Gaej Walker run for 6 yds to the Charl 39 for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, personal foul (Jeff Gemmell) to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
87.1%
Gaej Walker run for 2 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 8
OPP 44
0
87.1%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jacquez SloanSimilar
Q3 4:03
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+15
86.5%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jahcour Pearson, broken up by Jonnie Pitman for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Marquill Osborne) to the Charl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
87.8%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jacquez SloanSimilar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+1
87.6%
Ty Storey run for 1 yd to the Charl 28Similar
Q3 4:03
3RD & 9
OPP 28
+7
86.8%
Ty Storey pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 7 yds to the Charl 21Similar
Q3 4:03
4TH & 2
OPP 21
+8
86.3%
Ty Storey run for 8 yds to the Charl 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
87.8%
Ty Storey pass complete to Gaej Walker for 5 yds to the Charl 8Similar
Q3 0:08
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+8
95.5%
Lucky Jackson pass complete to Ty Storey for 8 yds for a TD, (Cory Munson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17PUNT
12 plays · 18 yds · 2:506% → 3%
Q3 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.6%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
93.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Micaleous Elder for 5 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
93.4%
Chris Reynolds run for 7 yds to the Charl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
93.3%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Ishod FingerSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+10
93.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 10 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
93.3%
Chris Reynolds run for 4 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
96.9%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
Q4 12:18
3RD & 6
OPP 49
-10
97.0%
LEMAY, Benny rush for 11 yards to the WKU38, out-of-bounds (STAPLES, M.), PENALTY CLT holding (EMMANUEL, D.) 10 yards to the CLT41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:18
3RD & 16
OWN 41
+2
97.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Benny LeMay for 2 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q4 12:18
4TH & 14
OWN 43
0
97.4%
Connor Bowler punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 18MISSED FG
8 plays · 50 yds · 4:0496% → 97%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
96.3%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 9 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+17
96.5%
Gaej Walker run for 17 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
96.6%
Gaej Walker run for 5 yds to the Charl 49Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+15
96.6%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 15 yds to the Charl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
96.7%
Gaej Walker run for 1 yd to the Charl 33Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+3
96.7%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 3 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 6
OPP 30
0
96.7%
Ty Storey pass complete to Gaej Walker for no gain to the Charl 30Similar
Q4 6:56
4TH & 6
OPP 30
+48
97.1%
Cory Munson 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:002% → 1%
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
98.5%
Chris Reynolds run for 5 yds to the Charl 35Similar
Q4 6:56
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
98.7%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Cameron DollarSimilar
Q4 6:56
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
98.7%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor Tucker, broken up by Devon KeySimilar
Q4 6:56
4TH & 5
OWN 35
+4
98.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Tyler Ringwood for 4 yds to the Charl 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:5798% → 98%
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
97.6%
Gaej Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 40Similar
Q4 6:06
2ND & 11
OPP 40
-1
97.6%
Gaej Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 41Similar
Q4 6:06
3RD & 12
OPP 41
+2
97.4%
Ty Storey run for 2 yds to the Charl 39Similar
Q4 4:09
4TH & 10
OPP 39
0
98.2%
John Haggerty punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Nafees Lyon at the Charl 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+17
99.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 17 yds to the Charl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
Q4 4:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.1%
Chris Reynolds run for 7 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q4 4:02
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-10
99.1%
Chris Reynolds sacked by DeAngelo Malone for a loss of 10 yards to the Charl 22Similar
Q4 4:02
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+9
99.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Ishod Finger for 9 yds to the Charl 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · -8 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-2
98.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 33Similar
Q4 2:02
2ND & 12
OPP 33
-2
98.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 35Similar
Q4 2:02
3RD & 14
OPP 35
-4
98.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Charl 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:08
Lucky Jackson pass complete to Ty Storey for 8 yds for a TD, (Cory Munson KICK)
+7.7
TD · Q2 9:00
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Benny LeMay for 47 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)
-7
TD · Q1 7:12
Ishod Finger run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)
-5.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com