Try the model
ARMY

Army 8 at Western Kentucky 17

WKU
2019 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2019 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadARMY aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreARMY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:34 · John Haggerty punt for 40 yds , Elijah Riley returns for no gain to the Army 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 104Home team on offense+11.7Pregame prior−3.8Garbage-time factor+6.5Score differential+1.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:46: Ty Storey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cory Munson KICK) — WKU win probability +6.1 pts (now 48%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 7:27: Cory Munson 22 yd FG GOOD — WKU win probability +10.2 pts (now 73%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 5:42: Timeout WESTRN KENTUCKY, clock 05:42 — WKU win probability +7.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:02: Ty Storey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cory Munson KICK) — WKU win probability +6.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:41: Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Malik Hancock for 8 yds for a TD, (M. Hancock Run For Two-point Conversion) — ARMY win probability +7.1 pts (now 10%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7ARMY made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00ARMY 4th & 2 at ARMY 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:00WKU 4th & 6 at WKU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:14ARMY 4th & 1 at ARMY 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.7%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:46ARMY 4th & 1 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    55.3%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00ARMY 4th & 1 at WKU 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    51.5%−1.5
    38% to make
    Punt
    51.5%−1.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00ARMY 4th & 11 at WKU 36, down 7
    Close callPunted · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.1%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    52.3%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.0%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:18WKU 4th & 6 at ARMY 27, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.4%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    49.5%
    62% to make
    Punt
    46.6%−2.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:12ARMY 4th & 2 at ARMY 35, down 7
    Close callPunted · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.6%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:15WKU 4th & 3 at ARMY 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    58.4%−1.4
    30% to make
    Punt
    58.4%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:06WKU 4th & 17 at ARMY 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.6%−2.5
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.1%
    60% to make
    Punt
    55.2%−3.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:27WKU 4th & 3 at ARMY 3, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 69.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.0%−1.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    59.8%−10.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:27ARMY 4th & 4 at ARMY 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%−1.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:34WKU 4th & 11 at WKU 25, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%−2.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:27ARMY 4th & 7 at WKU 7, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    11.1%−8.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:22WKU 4th & 1 at ARMY 47, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    94.6%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ARMY made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 4:46WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 4:02WKU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 1:41ARMY Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    5.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.5%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARMYDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
38.9%
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
38.9%
Sandon McCoy run for 4 yds to the Army 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
38.9%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 1 yd to the Army 33Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
38.9%
Zach Harding punt for 49 yds, downed at the WKent 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
39.7%
Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the WKent 22Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 6
OWN 22
0
39.7%
Ty Storey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 6
OWN 22
0
39.5%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jahcour PearsonSimilar
Q1 13:00
4TH & 6
OWN 22
+5
39.5%
John Haggerty punt for 58 yds , Elijah Riley returns for 5 yds to the Army 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
39.9%
Connor Slomka run for 2 yds to the Army 27Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
39.8%
Sandon McCoy run for 2 yds to the Army 29Similar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
39.9%
Connor Slomka run for 5 yds to the Army 34Similar
Q1 12:14
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
39.9%
Zach Harding punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 4TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 5:2441% → 48%
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
40.7%
Gaej Walker run for 3 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+10
40.7%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 10 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
41.0%
Jacquez Sloan run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 3
50
+2
41.2%
Gaej Walker run for 2 yds to the Army 48Similar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+2
41.1%
Ty Storey run for 2 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+22
41.2%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 22 yds to the Army 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
41.3%
Ty Storey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+6
41.3%
Jahcour Pearson run for 6 yds to the Army 18Similar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+16
41.2%
Gaej Walker run for 16 yds to the Army 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
41.3%
Jacquez Sloan run for 1 yd to the Army 1Similar
Q1 4:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
47.5%
Ty Storey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cory Munson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 5PUNT
16 plays · 39 yds · 4:4654% → 51%
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
46.2%
Sandon McCoy run for 2 yds to the Army 27Similar
Q1 4:46
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+14
46.1%
Artice Hobbs IV run for 14 yds to the Army 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
45.6%
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the Army 44Similar
Q1 4:46
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+4
45.3%
Connor Slomka run for 4 yds to the Army 48Similar
Q1 4:46
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+2
45.3%
Connor Slomka run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:46
4TH & 1
50
+3
45.7%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 3 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
45.1%
Artice Hobbs IV run for 3 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q1 4:46
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+3
45.1%
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the WKent 41Similar
Q1 4:46
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+3
45.3%
Kell Walker run for 3 yds to the WKent 38Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+3
48.3%
Sandon McCoy run for 3 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
46.8%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-15
46.8%
ARMY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 25
50
+6
48.6%
Kell Walker run for 6 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 19
OPP 44
+8
49.0%
Sandon McCoy run for 8 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 11
OPP 36
0
49.3%
Zach Potter punt for 35 yds, downed at the WKent 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 6DOWNS
12 plays · 72 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
50.6%
Gaej Walker run for 1 yd to the WKent 2Similar
Q2 13:18
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+6
50.4%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 6 yds to the WKent 8Similar
Q2 13:18
3RD & 3
OWN 8
+17
49.8%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 17 yds to the WKent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
50.8%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Gaej WalkerSimilar
Q2 13:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
50.7%
Ty Storey pass complete to Gaej Walker for 13 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
51.6%
Garland LaFrance run for 11 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
52.1%
Gaej Walker run for 7 yds to the Army 44Similar
Q2 13:18
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+13
52.3%
Gaej Walker run for 13 yds to the Army 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-2
52.4%
Jahcour Pearson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 33Similar
Q2 13:18
2ND & 12
OPP 33
+5
52.2%
Ty Storey pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 5 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q2 13:18
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+1
51.8%
Gaej Walker run for 1 yd to the Army 27Similar
Q2 13:18
4TH & 6
OPP 27
0
50.8%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson, broken up by Jabari MooreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0045% → 44%
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
55.0%
Connor Slomka run for 4 yds to the Army 31Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+2
54.5%
Sandon McCoy run for 2 yds to the Army 33Similar
Q2 7:12
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+2
55.1%
Kell Walker run for 2 yds to the Army 35Similar
Q2 7:12
4TH & 2
OWN 35
+1
55.6%
Zach Harding punt for 53 yds , Clayton Bush returns for 1 yd to the WKent 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 8MISSED FG
21 plays · 59 yds · 4:5558% → 61%
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
57.7%
Gaej Walker run for 6 yds to the WKent 19Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+7
57.7%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 7 yds to the WKent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
58.0%
Ty Storey run for 3 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+8
58.0%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 8 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
58.7%
Jacquez Sloan run for 14 yds to the Army 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-6
59.9%
Garland LaFrance run for a loss of 6 yards to the WKent 45Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 16
OWN 45
+2
58.4%
Ty Storey pass complete to Gaej Walker for 2 yds to the WKent 47Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 14
OWN 47
+11
61.0%
Ty Storey run for 11 yds to the Army 42Similar
Q2 1:15
4TH & 3
OPP 42
+6
62.0%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 6 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
63.9%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jacquez SloanSimilar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+6
63.8%
Gaej Walker run for 6 yds to the Army 30Similar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+9
63.5%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 9 yds to the Army 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-9
65.5%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for a loss of 9 yards to the Army 30Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 19
OPP 30
+2
62.9%
Gaej Walker run for 2 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 17
OPP 28
0
62.5%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q2 0:06
4TH & 17
OPP 28
+46
60.7%
Cory Munson 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 9END OF HALF
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
61.8%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 5 yds to the Army 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 10FG
16 plays · 74 yds · 7:3361% → 73%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
61.4%
Gaej Walker run for 8 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+2
62.6%
Gaej Walker run for 2 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
61.7%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Gaej Walker, broken up by Elijah RileySimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-1
61.4%
Ty Storey sacked by Edriece Patterson and Cole Christiansen for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 32
+15
60.1%
Ty Storey run for 15 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
63.6%
Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the Army 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+6
63.7%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 6 yds to the Army 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+24
63.9%
Ty Storey run for 9 yds to the Army 34 for a 1ST down ARMY Penalty, targeting (Jeremiah Lowery) to the Army 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
64.1%
Ty Storey pass complete to Joshua Simon for no gain to the Army 19Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+9
64.1%
Ty Storey pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 9 yds to the Army 10Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+3
63.1%
Ty Storey run for 3 yds to the Army 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
64.1%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Quin Jernighan, broken up by Elijah RileySimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
64.1%
Jahcour Pearson run for 2 yds to the Army 5Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
63.2%
Gaej Walker run for 2 yds to the Army 3Similar
Q3 7:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+22
73.3%
Cory Munson 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0028% → 26%
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
72.5%
Kell Walker run for 2 yds to the Army 27Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
72.3%
Artice Hobbs IV run for 3 yds to the Army 30Similar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+1
72.8%
Sandon McCoy run for 1 yd to the Army 31Similar
Q3 7:27
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+6
73.8%
Zach Harding punt for 49 yds , Clayton Bush returns for 6 yds to the WKent 37 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, illegal block (A.J. Brathwaite Jr.) to the WKent 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:0075% → 73%
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+13
74.9%
Gaej Walker run for 13 yds to the WKent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
75.3%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 3 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+2
75.3%
Ty Storey pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 2 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q3 5:34
3RD & 5
OWN 31
-6
74.5%
Ty Storey sacked by Elijah Riley for a loss of 6 yards to the WKent 25Similar
Q3 5:34
4TH & 11
OWN 25
0
72.8%
John Haggerty punt for 40 yds , Elijah Riley returns for no gain to the Army 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13MISSED FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 4:5025% → 20%
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
75.4%
Connor Slomka run for 2 yds to the Army 37Similar
Q3 3:17
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+4
75.2%
Sandon McCoy run for 4 yds to the Army 41Similar
Q3 3:17
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+31
74.6%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Artice Hobbs IV for 31 yds to the WKent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
71.1%
Sandon McCoy run for 5 yds to the WKent 23Similar
Q3 3:17
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+4
71.1%
Malik Hancock run for 4 yds to the WKent 19Similar
Q3 3:17
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+4
72.7%
Sandon McCoy run for 4 yds to the WKent 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
71.1%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 5 yds to the WKent 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+6
75.4%
Sandon McCoy run for 6 yds to the WKent 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
75.4%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for no gain to the WKent 4Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-3
75.4%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 7Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
77.0%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to Kjetil ClineSimilar
Q4 13:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
80.2%
David Cooper 24 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 14TD
18 plays · 80 yds · 9:2582% → 98%
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
81.9%
Gaej Walker run for 6 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+2
82.1%
Gaej Walker run for 2 yds to the WKent 28Similar
Q4 13:27
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+5
81.3%
Ty Storey run for 5 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
82.2%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 7 yds to the WKent 40Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+5
83.3%
Gaej Walker run for 5 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
83.4%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 3 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+2
83.3%
Ty Storey run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:27
3RD & 5
50
+7
82.4%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 7 yds to the Army 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
83.6%
Ty Storey run for 4 yds to the Army 39Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+4
83.6%
Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the Army 35Similar
Q4 13:27
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+7
83.0%
Ty Storey run for 7 yds to the Army 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
83.8%
Gaej Walker run for 2 yds to the Army 26Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+7
83.8%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 7 yds to the Army 19Similar
Q4 5:42
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+2
91.6%
Ty Storey run for 2 yds to the Army 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
91.9%
Gaej Walker run for 8 yds to the Army 9Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+8
91.9%
Gaej Walker run for 8 yds to the Army 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.0%
Ty Storey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cory Munson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 2:213% → 10%
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.5%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
97.5%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Camden Harrison for 14 yds to the Army 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
97.3%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to Artice Hobbs IV, broken up by Devon KeySimilar
Q4 4:02
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+8
97.3%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Camden Harrison for 8 yds to the Army 47Similar
Q4 4:02
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+15
97.3%
Hopkins Jr., K. pass incomplete to Distefano, D., PENALTY WKU roughing passer (JONES, J.) 15 yards to the WKU38, 1ST DOWN ARMY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
97.1%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 9 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q4 4:02
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+10
96.7%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Michael Roberts for 10 yds to the WKent 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
96.7%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to Brandon Walters, broken up by Devon KeySimilar
Q4 4:02
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
96.8%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to Brandon WaltersSimilar
Q4 4:02
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+11
97.1%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 11 yds to the WKent 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
96.7%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to Camden HarrisonSimilar
Q4 1:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
89.6%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Malik Hancock for 8 yds for a TD, (M. Hancock Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 16END OF GAME
9 plays · 9 yds · 0:1695% → 96%
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
94.9%
Gaej Walker run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 4
50
+1
95.6%
Gaej Walker run for 1 yd to the Army 49Similar
Q4 1:27
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+2
96.1%
Ty Storey run for 2 yds to the Army 47Similar
Q4 1:22
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+2
95.9%
Ty Storey run for 2 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
96.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q3 7:27
Cory Munson 22 yd FG GOOD
+10.2
KEY PLAY · Q4 5:42
Timeout WESTRN KENTUCKY, clock 05:42
+7.8
TD · Q4 1:41
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Malik Hancock for 8 yds for a TD, (M. Hancock Run For Two-point Conversion)
-7.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com