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UAB

UAB 33 at UTSA 14

UTSA
2019 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2019 · Alamodome
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Win probability · UTSA
modelUTSA aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playUTSA scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:01 · Lucas Dean punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 43 , Myron Mitchell returns for 15 yds to the UAB 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 140Pregame prior−6.4Home team on offense−22.7Score differential−7.8Garbage-time factor−8.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:01: Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins for 67 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK) — UAB win probability +4.6 pts (now 78%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:02: Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +6.8 pts (now 30%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:57: Lowell Narcisse run for 4 yds for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +14.9 pts (now 39%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  4. TD · Q3 6:00: Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 25 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK) — UAB win probability +10.7 pts (now 81%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 11:01: Nick Vogel 43 yd FG GOOD — UAB win probability +12.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTSA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UAB made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00UTSA 4th & 13 at UTSA 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:51UAB 4th & 12 at UTSA 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.5%
    85% to make
    Punt
    75.0%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:21UAB 4th & 1 at UTSA 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    74.8%−0.2
    70% to make
    Punt
    74.1%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00UTSA 4th & 3 at UAB 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.8%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    28.2%−0.5
    45% to make
    Punt
    27.9%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:38UAB 4th & 4 at UTSA 13, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.6%−0.5
    85% to make
    Punt
    65.3%−4.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:38UTSA 4th & 10 at UTSA 25, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%−1.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:13UAB 4th & 5 at UTSA 5, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.6%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.2%
    92% to make
    Punt
    70.5%−4.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00UAB 4th & 11 at UAB 29, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:06UTSA 4th & 7 at UTSA 21, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%−1.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:00UTSA 4th & 9 at UTSA 15, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−1.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:04UTSA 4th & 1 at UAB 6, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.6%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    18.3%−4.3
    91% to make
    Punt
    7.5%−15.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00UAB 4th & 6 at UTSA 35, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    80.6%−0.8
    45% to make
    Punt
    79.5%−1.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:01UAB 4th & 9 at UTSA 25, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.8%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.5%
    66% to make
    Punt
    72.9%−8.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:01UTSA 4th & 15 at UTSA 20, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%−1.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTSA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UAB made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 14:01UAB Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:02UTSA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:57UTSA Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:00UAB Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:20UAB Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTSADrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
19.5%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
19.5%
Lowell Narcisse run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
19.5%
Lowell Narcisse pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
-5
19.5%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 22Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
19.5%
Lucas Dean punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 2FG
9 plays · 46 yds · 3:5080% → 78%
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
20.1%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Kendall Parham for 14 yds to the TexSA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
20.1%
Tyler Johnston III run for 8 yds to the TexSA 37Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+15
20.1%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins for 15 yds to the TexSA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
20.1%
Jonathan Haden run for 4 yds to the TexSA 18Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+7
20.1%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Kendall Parham for 7 yds to the TexSA 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-2
20.1%
Jonathan Haden run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 13Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 12
OPP 13
0
20.1%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 12
OPP 13
0
20.1%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:51
4TH & 12
OPP 13
+31
21.9%
Nick Vogel 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 3FUMBLE
7 plays · 40 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
21.8%
Sincere McCormick run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 24Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
21.8%
Lowell Narcisse pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+35
21.6%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Carlos Strickland II for 35 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-3
22.2%
Lowell Narcisse run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 44Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 13
OPP 44
-4
22.0%
Sincere McCormick run for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 48Similar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 17
OPP 48
+7
21.8%
Lowell Narcisse run for 7 yds to the UAB 35 Lowell Narcisse fumbled, forced by Kristopher Moll, recovered by UAB TD MarshallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 4DOWNS
7 plays · 42 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+18
22.7%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Kendall Parham for 18 yds to the TexSA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-4
22.3%
Lucious Stanley run for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 49Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 14
OWN 49
+19
22.7%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Kendall Parham for 19 yds to the TexSA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
22.2%
Lucious Stanley run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 34Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 12
OPP 34
+11
22.3%
Lucious Stanley run for 11 yds to the TexSA 23Similar
Q1 7:21
3RD & 1
OPP 23
0
22.3%
Lucious Stanley run for no gain to the TexSA 23Similar
Q1 7:21
4TH & 1
OPP 23
0
22.6%
Dylan Hopkins run for no gain to the TexSA 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 5DOWNS
10 plays · 44 yds · 3:2924% → 26%
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
24.3%
Sincere McCormick run for 5 yds to the TexSA 28Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 5
OWN 28
0
24.4%
Lowell Narcisse pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:29
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+9
24.0%
Lowell Narcisse run for 9 yds to the TexSA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
24.6%
Lowell Narcisse run for 4 yds to the TexSA 41Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+2
25.1%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the TexSA 43Similar
Q1 3:29
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+15
24.9%
Lowell Narcisse run for 15 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
25.4%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
27.2%
Lowell Narcisse pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+5
27.0%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Tariq Woolen for 5 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 35
+2
26.4%
Lowell Narcisse run for 2 yds to the UAB 33 UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 6TD
1 play · 67 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+67
21.7%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins for 67 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 7TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 1:5922% → 30%
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+18
21.5%
Lowell Narcisse run for 3 yds to the TexSA 29 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Fitzgerald Mofor) to the TexSA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
22.0%
Dywan Griffin run for 7 yds to the UAB 49Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+30
22.4%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 15 yds to the UAB 34 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, roughing passer (Noah Wilder) to the UAB 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+12
23.5%
Sincere McCormick run for 12 yds to the UAB 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
23.5%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the UAB 4Similar
Q2 12:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
30.3%
Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8FG
11 plays · 74 yds · 6:2473% → 76%
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
27.3%
Tyler Johnston III run for 8 yds to the UAB 21Similar
Q2 12:02
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+10
26.8%
Lucious Stanley run for 10 yds to the UAB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
26.9%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 6 yds to the UAB 37Similar
Q2 12:02
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+10
26.4%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins for 10 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
26.0%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Kendall Parham for 15 yds to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+19
25.8%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 19 yds to the TexSA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
25.4%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 3 yds to the TexSA 16Similar
Q2 12:02
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+2
25.4%
Tyler Johnston III run for 2 yds to the TexSA 14Similar
Q2 12:02
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+1
25.9%
Tyler Johnston III run for 1 yd to the TexSA 13Similar
Q2 5:38
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+31
24.0%
Nick Vogel 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
26.3%
Sincere McCormick run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 22Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
26.0%
Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Carlos Strickland II, broken up by Dy'jonn TurnerSimilar
Q2 5:38
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+3
25.4%
Lowell Narcisse run for 3 yds to the TexSA 25Similar
Q2 5:38
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+4
25.1%
Lucas Dean punt for 40 yds , Myron Mitchell returns for 4 yds to the UAB 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10FG
10 plays · 56 yds · 3:5177% → 80%
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
23.4%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins for 18 yds to the TexSA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+14
22.9%
Jonathan Haden run for 14 yds to the TexSA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
22.7%
Jonathan Haden run for 1 yd to the TexSA 28Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+21
22.8%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins for 13 yds to the TexSA 15 for a 1ST down UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Cassius Grady) to the TexSA 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-15
22.7%
MITCHELL, Myron rush reverse for no gain to the UTSA7 (WISDOM, Rashad), PENALTY UAB targeting (TALAN, Adrienne) 15 yards to the UTSA22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 22
+9
22.7%
Lucious Stanley run for 9 yds to the TexSA 13Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+4
22.8%
Lucious Stanley run for 4 yds to the TexSA 9Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
22.9%
Tyler Johnston III run for 4 yds to the TexSA 5Similar
Q2 0:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
20.4%
Nick Vogel 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
23.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0079% → 77%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
21.4%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Hayden Pittman for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 29
0
22.0%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Myron MitchellSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 29
0
22.6%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Myron MitchellSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 29
0
23.0%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 53 yds , Sheldon Jones returns for no gain to the TexSA 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0023% → 21%
Q3 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
22.5%
Sincere McCormick run for no gain to the TexSA 18Similar
Q3 14:06
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+3
22.5%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 21Similar
Q3 14:06
3RD & 7
OWN 21
0
21.7%
Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Tariq Woolen, broken up by Hayden PittmanSimilar
Q3 14:06
4TH & 7
OWN 21
0
21.2%
Lucas Dean punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Myron Mitchell at the UAB 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 14FUMBLE
1 play · 9 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
20.4%
Tyler Johnston III run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line Tyler Johnston III fumbled, forced by Antonio Parks, recovered by TexSA Kevin Nelson , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 15TD
10 plays · 50 yds · 3:3725% → 39%
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
50
0
24.6%
Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Brenden BradySimilar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 10
50
+25
24.1%
Lowell Narcisse run for 25 yds to the UAB 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
26.0%
Sheldon Jones pass incomplete to Lowell NarcisseSimilar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+4
25.9%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Kirk Johnson Jr. for 4 yds to the UAB 21Similar
Q3 12:34
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+4
24.7%
Lowell Narcisse run for 4 yds to the UAB 17Similar
Q3 10:29
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+8
22.9%
DUPLESSIS, H. field goal attempt from 34 GOOD, clock 10:29, PENALTY UAB personal foul (HADEN, Jonathan) 8 yards to the UAB9, 1ST DOWN UTSA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
25.4%
Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the UAB 8Similar
Q3 10:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
25.4%
Lowell Narcisse run for 4 yds to the UAB 4Similar
Q3 8:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
39.0%
Lowell Narcisse run for 4 yds for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 16TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 2:5768% → 81%
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-4
32.5%
Tyler Johnston III run for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 23Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 14
OWN 23
+3
33.8%
Tyler Johnston III run for 3 yds to the UAB 26Similar
Q3 8:57
3RD & 11
OWN 26
0
34.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Lucious StanleySimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
30.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Kendall ParhamSimilar
Q3 7:06
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+44
33.1%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins for 44 yds to the TexSA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-10
29.7%
HADEN, Jonathan rush left for no gain to the UTSA15 (DANTZLER, L.), PENALTY UAB holding 10 yards to the UTSA25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 20
OPP 25
+25
19.0%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 25 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
20.3%
Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Carlos Strickland IISimilar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+4
20.3%
Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the TexSA 18Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 6
OWN 18
-3
19.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 15Similar
Q3 6:00
4TH & 9
OWN 15
0
19.2%
Lucas Dean punt for 52 yds, downed at the UAB 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 18INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
20.2%
Tyler Johnston III pass intercepted Jarrod Carter-McLin return for 2 yds to the UAB 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 19DOWNS
9 plays · 18 yds · 2:1125% → 23%
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
24.7%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Carlos Strickland II for 6 yds to the UAB 21Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+6
24.7%
Sincere McCormick run for 6 yds to the UAB 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
24.7%
Lowell Narcisse run for no gain to the UAB 15Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+5
24.7%
UAB Penalty, offside defense (Jordan Smith) to the UAB 10Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 5
OPP 10
0
24.7%
Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Carlos Strickland IISimilar
Q3 2:29
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+4
25.6%
Lowell Narcisse run for 4 yds to the UAB 6Similar
Q3 2:04
4TH & 1
OPP 6
-3
23.0%
Sincere McCormick run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 20FG
14 plays · 66 yds · 6:0081% → 95%
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+17
19.2%
Lucious Stanley run for 17 yds to the UAB 27 Lucious Stanley fumbled, forced by Cassius Grady, recovered by UAB for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+24
16.9%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 24 yds to the TexSA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
14.9%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the TexSA 47Similar
Q3 2:01
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+3
15.0%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Thair Blakes for 3 yds to the TexSA 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+5
14.8%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, offside defense (Jaylon Haynes) to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
14.3%
Jonathan Haden run for 1 yd to the TexSA 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+3
14.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the TexSA 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 35
0
14.3%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Myron Mitchell, broken up by Kelechi NwachukuSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 35
+9
16.4%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Kendall Parham for 9 yds to the TexSA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-6
13.6%
Tyler Johnston III run for a loss of 6 yards to the TexSA 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 32
0
14.1%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Myron Mitchell, broken up by Kelechi NwachukuSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 16
OPP 32
+2
14.7%
Tyler Johnston III run for 2 yds to the TexSA 30Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 14
OPP 30
+5
17.6%
TEAM rush for loss of 15 yards to the UTSA45 (WISDOM, Rashad), PENALTY UTSA offside defense 5 yards to the UTSA25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:01
4TH & 9
OPP 25
+43
5.1%
Nick Vogel 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
14.0%
McCORMICK, S. rush over right end for 3 yards to the UTSA28, out-of-bounds (BOLER, Will), PENALTY UTSA holding (SHARP, Gavin) 10 yards to the UTSA15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+5
13.8%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 5 yds to the TexSA 20Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
13.5%
Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Carlos Strickland IISimilar
Q4 11:01
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
13.1%
Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Dywan Griffin, broken up by Spencer BrownSimilar
Q4 11:01
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+15
13.1%
Lucas Dean punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 43 , Myron Mitchell returns for 15 yds to the UAB 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 22TD
7 plays · 57 yds · 3:5596% → 99%
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
3.6%
Lucious Stanley run for 11 yds to the TexSA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
3.4%
Lucious Stanley run for 10 yds to the TexSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
3.3%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 37Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 11
OPP 37
+3
3.4%
Tyler Johnston III run for 3 yds to the TexSA 34Similar
Q4 9:15
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+15
3.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Markus Grossman for 15 yds to the TexSA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+14
3.1%
Lucious Stanley run for 14 yds to the TexSA 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
1.4%
Lucious Stanley run for 5 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 23FUMBLE
5 plays · 27 yds · 0:002% → 3%
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
2.3%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Tariq Woolen for 9 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+9
2.3%
Lowell Narcisse run for 9 yds to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
2.3%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Kirk Johnson Jr. for 15 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-7
2.5%
Lowell Narcisse sacked by Jordan Smith for a loss of 7 yards to the TexSA 49 Lowell Narcisse fumbled, recovered by UAB Kristopher Moll , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 24END OF GAME
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
1.6%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the TexSA 47Similar
Q4 3:54
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+7
1.6%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 7 yds to the TexSA 40Similar
Q4 3:54
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+6
1.4%
Lucious Stanley run for 6 yds to the TexSA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
1.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the TexSA 34Similar
Q4 3:54
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-2
1.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 36Similar
Q4 3:54
3RD & 12
OPP 36
-2
1.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:57
Lowell Narcisse run for 4 yds for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK)
+14.9
FG · Q4 11:01
Nick Vogel 43 yd FG GOOD
-12.5
TD · Q3 6:00
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 25 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)
-10.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com