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MASS

Massachusetts 21 at Louisiana Tech 69

LT
2019 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2019 · Joe Aillet Stadium
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Win probability · LT
modelLT aheadMASS aheadconfidence bandkey playLT scoreMASS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:27 · J'Mar Smith run for 6 yds to the UMass 6 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 44Pregame prior+44.8Home team on offense+5.6Score differential+3.8Blowout margin−0.1Garbage-time factor+1.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:52: Justin Henderson 4 Yd Run (Bailey Hale Kick) — LT win probability +0.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:24: Justin Henderson 3 Yd Run (Bailey Hale Kick) — LT win probability +0.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:57: J'Mar Smith pass complete to Justin Henderson for 1 yd for a TD, (Bailey Hale KICK) — LT win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:40: Randall West run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK) — MASS win probability +0.2 pts (now 1%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 2:20: J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 2 yds for a TD, (Bailey Hale KICK) — LT win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MASS made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 14:05MASS 4th & 10 at MASS 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:27MASS 4th & 10 at MASS 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:52MASS 4th & 13 at MASS 34, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:27LT 4th & 3 at MASS 12, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.0%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    96.9%−<0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    96.5%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:24MASS 4th & 5 at MASS 13, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:15MASS 4th & 3 at MASS 42, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:31MASS 4th & 6 at MASS 24, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:58LT 4th & 6 at LT 27, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:27MASS 4th & 8 at MASS 29, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:40LT 4th & 5 at MASS 5, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    92% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:40MASS 4th & 3 at MASS 36, down 41
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:49MASS 4th & 5 at LT 5, down 41
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    92% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:28MASS 4th & 15 at MASS 31, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:08LT 4th & 14 at MASS 44, up 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:38MASS 4th & 6 at MASS 45, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LT made the numbers' call on 9 of 9MASS made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 14:05LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:27LT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 8:52LT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 2:24LT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 14:15LT Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 10:57LT Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 9:40MASS Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 6:58MASS Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q2 2:20LT Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 7:04MASS Touchdown, down 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 6:49LT Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 11:28LT Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1INT TD
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:552% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
97.8%
Bilal Ally run for 12 yds to the UMass 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
97.8%
Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the UMass 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
97.8%
Bilal Ally run for no gain to the UMass 39Similar
Q1 14:05
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+42
97.7%
Amik Robertson 42 Yd Interception Return (Bailey Hale Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
97.7%
Michael Curtis pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 4 yds to the UMass 26Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 6
OWN 26
-3
97.7%
Cam Roberson run for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 23Similar
Q1 14:05
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+23
97.7%
Michael Curtis pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 23 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
97.7%
Cam Roberson run for 1 yd to the UMass 47Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 9
OWN 47
-1
97.7%
Michael Curtis pass complete to Kyle Horn for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 46Similar
Q1 14:05
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
97.7%
Michael Curtis pass incomplete to Samuel EmilusSimilar
Q1 14:05
4TH & 10
OWN 46
0
97.7%
George Georgopoulos punt for 45 yds, downed at the LaTch 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 3TD
4 plays · 91 yds · 1:4098% → 98%
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
97.5%
Smoke Harris run for 8 yds to the LaTch 17Similar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 2
OWN 17
+5
97.5%
SMITH, J'Mar pass complete to SMITH, J'Mar for loss of 2 yards to the LATECH15 (OGBONNA, C.), PENALTY UMASS offside 5 yards to the LATECH22, 1ST DOWN LATECH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
97.5%
Justin Henderson run for 4 yds to the LaTch 26Similar
Q1 10:27
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+74
97.5%
Justin Henderson 74 Yd Run (Bailey Hale Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.5%
Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q1 10:27
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-2
97.5%
Michael Curtis run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 25Similar
Q1 10:27
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
97.5%
Michael Curtis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:27
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
97.5%
George Georgopoulos punt for 36 yds, downed at the LaTch 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 5TD
3 plays · 61 yds · 0:4898% → 98%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
97.5%
Justin Henderson run for 2 yds to the LaTch 41Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+55
97.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 55 yds to the UMass 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.8%
Justin Henderson 4 Yd Run (Bailey Hale Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
97.7%
Michael Curtis pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 4 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+1
97.6%
Michael Curtis run for 1 yd to the UMass 31Similar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+6
97.6%
Michael Curtis pass complete to Cam Roberson for 6 yds to the UMass 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-4
97.6%
Michael Curtis sacked by Courtney Wallace for a loss of 4 yards to the UMass 33Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 14
OWN 33
+1
97.7%
Michael Curtis pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 1 yd to the UMass 34Similar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 13
OWN 34
0
97.7%
Michael Curtis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:52
4TH & 13
OWN 34
0
97.7%
George Georgopoulos punt for 33 yds, downed at the LaTch 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7TD
15 plays · 67 yds · 4:0398% → 98%
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
97.7%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Cee Jay PowellSimilar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+23
97.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 23 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
97.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Smoke Harris for 6 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 4
OPP 38
-10
97.8%
SMITH, J'Mar pass complete to HARRIS, Smoke for 6 yards to the UMASS32 (MCCUBREY, C.;MANGRAM, Martin), PENALTY LATECH illegal block (STANLEY, Malik) 10 yards to the UMASS48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 14
OPP 48
+14
97.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 14 yds to the UMass 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
97.8%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+15
97.8%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, personal foul (Billy Wooden) to the UMass 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
97.8%
DeAndre Marcus run for 6 yds to the UMass 13Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 4
OPP 13
0
97.8%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q1 6:27
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+1
97.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Smoke Harris for 1 yd to the UMass 12Similar
Q1 6:27
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+6
97.8%
J'Mar Smith run for 6 yds to the UMass 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
97.8%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Isaiah GrahamSimilar
Q1 2:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
97.9%
DeAndre Marcus run for 3 yds to the UMass 3Similar
Q1 2:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.3%
Justin Henderson 3 Yd Run (Bailey Hale Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
98.6%
Michael Curtis pass complete to Zak Simon for 3 yds to the UMass 11Similar
Q1 2:24
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+2
98.6%
Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the UMass 13Similar
Q1 2:24
3RD & 5
OWN 13
0
98.6%
Michael Curtis pass incomplete to Samuel EmilusSimilar
Q1 2:24
4TH & 5
OWN 13
0
98.6%
George Georgopoulos punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9TD
6 plays · 28 yds · 1:4498% → 99%
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
98.4%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian Hardy, broken up by Isaiah RodgersSimilar
Q1 0:59
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+7
98.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 7 yds to the UMass 21Similar
Q1 0:59
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+3
98.4%
Justin Henderson run for 3 yds to the UMass 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
98.8%
Justin Henderson run for 1 yd to the UMass 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 17
0
98.7%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 9
OPP 17
+17
98.7%
Griffin Hebert 17 Yd pass from J'Mar Smith (Bailey Hale Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 10DOWNS
8 plays · 31 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
99.0%
Michael Curtis run for 4 yds to the UMass 17Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+3
99.0%
Bilal Ally run for 3 yds to the UMass 20Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+15
99.0%
CURTIS, Michael pass incomplete to DINGLE, Brennon, PENALTY LATECH unsportsmanlike conduct (ROBERTSON, Amik) 15 yards to the UMASS35, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.0%
Michael Curtis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-4
99.0%
Michael Curtis run for a loss of 4 yards to the UMass 31Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 14
OWN 31
+11
99.0%
Bilal Ally run for 11 yds to the UMass 42Similar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 3
OWN 42
+2
98.9%
Michael Curtis run for 2 yds to the UMass 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 11TD
5 plays · 44 yds · 1:1699% → 99%
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+25
98.7%
J'Mar Smith run for 25 yds to the UMass 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
98.7%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Smoke HarrisSimilar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
98.7%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+18
98.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 18 yds to the UMass 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Justin Henderson for 1 yd for a TD, (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12TD
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:171% → 1%
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
99.2%
Michael Curtis pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 9 yds to the LaTch 2Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 1
OPP 2
+1
99.1%
Cam Roberson run for 1 yd to the LaTch 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.9%
Randall West run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 13FUMBLE
2 plays · 41 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+39
98.8%
DeAndre Marcus run for 39 yds DeAndre Marcus fumbled, forced by Josh Wallace, recovered by UMass Josh WallaceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.2%
Cam Roberson run for 4 yds to the UMass 24Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
99.3%
Randall West pass incomplete to Josiah JohnsonSimilar
Q2 9:31
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
99.3%
Randall West pass incomplete to Josiah JohnsonSimilar
Q2 9:31
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
99.3%
George Georgopoulos punt for 40 yds , Smoke Harris returns for no gain to the LaTch 36 Smoke Harris fumbled, recovered by UMass Tanner DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15TD
5 plays · 36 yds · 1:471% → 1%
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
99.2%
Bilal Ally run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 37Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 11
OPP 37
+24
99.2%
Randall West pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 24 yds to the LaTch 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-2
99.1%
Randall West pass complete to Bilal Ally for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 15Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 12
OPP 15
+3
99.1%
Randall West pass complete to Bilal Ally for 3 yds to the LaTch 12Similar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 9
OPP 12
+12
99.0%
Randall West pass complete to Kyle Horn for 12 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.1%
J'Mar Smith run for no gain to the LaTch 23Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+4
99.1%
J'Mar Smith run for 4 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 6
OWN 27
0
99.1%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian Hardy, broken up by Chinedu OgbonnaSimilar
Q2 6:58
4TH & 6
OWN 27
0
99.0%
Brady Farlow punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Rodgers at the UMass 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17INT
5 plays · 29 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.2%
Randall West run for no gain to the UMass 38Similar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+12
99.2%
Randall West pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
50
0
99.1%
Randall West pass incomplete to Josiah JohnsonSimilar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 10
50
+17
99.2%
Randall West pass complete to Cam Roberson for 17 yds to the LaTch 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.1%
Randall West pass intercepted Connor Taylor return for no gain to the LaTch 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 18TD
4 plays · 72 yds · 1:5199% → 100%
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
99.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 6 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+34
99.3%
J'Mar Smith run for 34 yds to the UMass 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+30
99.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Justin Henderson for 30 yds to the UMass 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 2 yds for a TD, (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 1:530% → 0%
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
99.6%
Cam Roberson run for 1 yd to the UMass 17Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+5
99.6%
Cam Roberson run for 5 yds to the UMass 22Similar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+5
99.6%
Randall West run for 5 yds to the UMass 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.6%
Randall West pass incomplete to Josiah JohnsonSimilar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
99.6%
Randall West pass incomplete to Josiah JohnsonSimilar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+2
99.6%
Cam Roberson run for 2 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q2 0:27
4TH & 8
OWN 29
0
99.6%
George Georgopoulos punt for 24 yds, downed at the LaTch 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 20FG
5 plays · 29 yds · 0:20100% → 100%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+21
99.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 21 yds to the UMass 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.6%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+8
99.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 8 yds to the UMass 24Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+42
99.7%
Bailey Hale 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 21FG
13 plays · 78 yds · 4:20100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
99.7%
Justin Henderson run for 5 yds to the LaTch 22Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+6
99.7%
Justin Henderson run for 6 yds to the LaTch 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.7%
Adrian Hardy pass incomplete to Wayne ToussantSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+13
99.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Malik Stanley for 13 yds to the LaTch 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
99.7%
Justin Henderson run for 10 yds to the UMass 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+25
99.7%
Justin Henderson run for 25 yds to the UMass 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
99.7%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Malik StanleySimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+17
99.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 17 yds to the UMass 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.7%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Malik StanleySimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
99.7%
Israel Tucker run for 2 yds to the UMass 5Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.7%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Griffin HebertSimilar
Q3 10:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
99.8%
Bailey Hale 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-4
99.8%
Cam Roberson run for a loss of 4 yards to the UMass 25Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 14
OWN 25
+11
99.8%
Randall West pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 11 yds to the UMass 36Similar
Q3 10:40
3RD & 3
OWN 36
0
99.8%
Randall West pass incomplete to Zak Simon, broken up by Milton WilliamsSimilar
Q3 10:40
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
99.8%
George Georgopoulos punt for 31 yds, downed at the LaTch 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 23INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
99.8%
DeAndre Marcus run for 5 yds to the LaTch 38Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 5
OWN 38
-2
99.8%
DeAndre Marcus run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 36Similar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
99.8%
Westin Elliott pass intercepted Chinedu Ogbonna return for no gain to the LaTch 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 24TD
3 plays · 49 yds · 1:120% → 0%
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-4
99.8%
Randall West sacked by Tristan Allen for a loss of 4 yards to the UMass 47Similar
Q3 8:16
2ND & 14
OWN 47
+2
99.8%
Randall West run for 2 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q3 7:04
3RD & 12
OWN 49
+51
99.8%
Bilal Ally run for 51 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 25TD
2 plays · 30 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
99.8%
DeAndre Marcus run for 30 yds for a TD, (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 26DOWNS
13 plays · 59 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.8%
Randall West pass incomplete to Kyle HornSimilar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+10
99.8%
Bilal Ally run for 10 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
99.8%
Gilberto Torres run for 7 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+1
99.8%
Gilberto Torres run for 1 yd to the LaTch 46Similar
Q3 6:49
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+5
99.8%
Gilberto Torres run for 5 yds to the LaTch 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+23
99.8%
Randall West pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 23 yds to the LaTch 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
99.8%
Randall West pass complete to Kyle Horn for 4 yds to the LaTch 14Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+7
99.8%
Randall West pass complete to Kyle Horn for 7 yds to the LaTch 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
99.8%
Randall West run for 3 yds to the LaTch 4Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
99.8%
Gilberto Torres run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 5Similar
Q3 6:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.8%
Randall West pass incomplete to Gilberto TorresSimilar
Q3 6:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.7%
Randall West pass incomplete to Gilberto TorresSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 27TD
12 plays · 95 yds · 6:12100% → 100%
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+8
99.9%
Israel Tucker run for 8 yds to the LaTch 13Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 2
OWN 13
+4
99.9%
Israel Tucker run for 4 yds to the LaTch 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
99.8%
Israel Tucker run for 7 yds to the LaTch 24Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+7
99.9%
Israel Tucker run for 7 yds to the LaTch 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
99.9%
Israel Tucker run for 6 yds to the LaTch 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+7
99.9%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 7 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
99.9%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 2 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+36
99.9%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Joshua Matthews for 36 yds to the UMass 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
99.9%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 3 yds to the UMass 15Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+2
99.9%
DeAndre Marcus run for 2 yds to the UMass 13Similar
Q4 11:28
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+13
99.9%
Tahj Magee 13 Yd pass from Aaron Allen (Bailey Hale Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 28PUNT
12 plays · 27 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
99.9%
Gilberto Torres run for 2 yds to the UMass 6Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+4
99.9%
Randall West pass complete to Melvin Hill for 4 yds to the UMass 10Similar
Q4 11:28
3RD & 4
OWN 10
+15
99.9%
Randall West pass complete to Zak Simon for 15 yds to the UMass 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Gilberto Torres run for 3 yds to the UMass 28Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Gilberto Torres run for no gain to the UMass 28Similar
Q4 11:28
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
99.9%
Randall West pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 8 yds to the UMass 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-11
99.9%
WEST, Randall pass complete to SIMON, Zak for 5 yards to the UMASS41 (CALHOUN, B.), PENALTY UMASS unsportsmanlike conduct (SIMON, Zak) 11 yards to the UMASS25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:28
1ST & 21
OWN 25
-5
99.9%
Gilberto Torres run for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 20Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 26
OWN 20
+11
99.9%
Gilberto Torres run for 11 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q4 11:28
3RD & 15
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Gilberto Torres run for no gain to the UMass 31Similar
Q4 11:28
4TH & 15
OWN 31
0
99.9%
George Georgopoulos punt for 39 yds, downed at the LaTch 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 29PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
99.9%
Westin Elliott pass complete to Tahj Magee for 16 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
99.9%
DeAndre Marcus run for 14 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-3
99.9%
Westin Elliott sacked by Cole McCubrey for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 43Similar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 13
OPP 43
+4
99.9%
Elijah Hines run for 4 yds to the UMass 39Similar
Q4 7:08
3RD & 9
OPP 39
-5
99.9%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UMass 44Similar
Q4 7:08
3RD & 14
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Westin Elliott pass incomplete to Elijah HinesSimilar
Q4 7:08
4TH & 14
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Brady Farlow punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Josiah Johnson at the UMass 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 30PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
100.0%
Randall West pass complete to Zak Simon for 7 yds to the UMass 18Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 3
OWN 18
0
100.0%
Gilberto Torres run for no gain to the UMass 18Similar
Q4 3:38
3RD & 3
OWN 18
+5
100.0%
Randall West pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 5 yds to the UMass 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+18
100.0%
Randall West pass complete to Zak Simon for 18 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
100.0%
Randall West pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 4 yds Brennon Dingle fumbled, recovered by UMass Brennon DingleSimilar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Randall West pass incomplete to Melvin HillSimilar
Q4 3:38
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Randall West pass incomplete to Josiah JohnsonSimilar
Q4 3:38
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
100.0%
George Georgopoulos punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 31END OF GAME
3 plays · 20 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+14
100.0%
Elijah Hines run for 14 yds to the LaTch 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
100.0%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the LaTch 24Similar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+11
100.0%
Elijah Hines run for 11 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:57
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Justin Henderson for 1 yd for a TD, (Bailey Hale KICK)
+0.5
TD · Q1 2:24
Justin Henderson 3 Yd Run (Bailey Hale Kick)
+0.4
TD · Q1 8:52
Justin Henderson 4 Yd Run (Bailey Hale Kick)
+0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com