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CLT

Charlotte 23 at Florida International 48

FIU
2019 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2019 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadCLT aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreCLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:41 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:18: Napoleon Maxwell run for 13 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +7.8 pts (now 78%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:25: James Morgan pass complete to Anthony Jones for 5 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +9.5 pts (now 81%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:34: Anthony Jones 5 Yd Run (Jose Borregales PAT failed) — FIU win probability +8.3 pts (now 89%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:21: Benny LeMay 12 Yd Run (Jonathan Cruz PAT failed) — CLT win probability +6.8 pts (now 21%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:07: Anthony Jones 41 Yd Run (Jose Borregales Kick) — FIU win probability +9.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2CLT made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 10:56CLT 4th & 7 at FIU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.6%
    84% to make
    Punt
    33.1%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:56FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:29CLT 4th & 8 at CLT 15, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:51FIU 4th & 3 at CLT 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    68.1%−0.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    67.5%−1.0
    average punt
  5. Q3 11:34CLT 4th & 4 at FIU 41, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    11.3%−1.8
    32% to make
    Punt
    11.8%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q3 3:07CLT 4th & 8 at CLT 27, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−1.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  7. Q4 8:43CLT 4th & 2 at CLT 33, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%
    average punt
  8. Q4 6:48CLT 4th & 17 at CLT 29, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7CLT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 4:03FIU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:10CLT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:29FIU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:18FIU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:56CLT Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:25FIU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 11:34FIU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    89.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 5:21CLT Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    16.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 3:07FIU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 9:58FIU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLTDrive 1FG
9 plays · 61 yds · 4:0432% → 33%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
68.0%
Benny LeMay run for no gain to the Charl 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
68.0%
Chris Reynolds run for 5 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
68.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Benny LeMay for 5 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+48
68.0%
Benny LeMay run for 48 yds to the FlaIn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
68.0%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+1
68.0%
Aaron McAllister run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 15Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+3
68.0%
Aaron McAllister run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 14 Aaron McAllister fumbled, forced by Sage Lewis,Similar
Q1 10:56
4TH & 7
OPP 14
+31
67.1%
Jonathan Cruz 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q1 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
67.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Napoleon Maxwell for 4 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q1 10:56
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+2
67.2%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q1 10:56
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
67.1%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for no gain Maurice Alexander fumbled, forced by Henry Segura,Similar
Q1 10:56
4TH & 6
OWN 32
-4
66.9%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 53 yds , Nafees Lyon returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Charl 11 Nafees Lyon fumbled, recovered by Charl Nafees LyonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 3FUMBLE
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
67.0%
Benny LeMay run for 4 yds to the Charl 15Similar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+12
67.0%
Benny LeMay run for 12 yds to the Charl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
66.9%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass incomplete to TUCKER, Victor, PENALTY CLT ineligible downfield on pass (CARRIERE, Ryan) 5 yards to the CLT22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:44
1ST & 15
OWN 22
+8
67.0%
Chris Reynolds run for 8 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+10
66.9%
Chris Reynolds run for 10 yds to the Charl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
66.6%
Benny LeMay run for 4 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
66.6%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor Tucker, broken up by Stantley Thomas-Oliver IIISimilar
Q1 9:44
3RD & 6
OWN 44
-5
66.7%
Chris Reynolds run for a loss of 5 yards to the Charl 33 Chris Reynolds fumbled, forced by Alexy Jean-Baptiste, recovered by FlaIn Chris WhittakerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4TD
6 plays · 33 yds · 2:0367% → 69%
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+12
67.0%
James Morgan pass complete to David O'Meara for 12 yds to the Charl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
67.0%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds to the Charl 19Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+11
67.0%
Anthony Jones run for 11 yds to the Charl 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
67.0%
Anthony Jones run for no gain to the Charl 8Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
67.0%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds to the Charl 6Similar
Q1 4:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
68.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 6 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 5TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:5432% → 37%
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
68.0%
Chris Reynolds run for 2 yds to the Charl 27Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+13
67.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 13 yds to the Charl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+35
67.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Benny LeMay for 35 yds to the FlaIn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
66.5%
Aaron McAllister run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+11
66.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Aaron McAllister for 11 yds to the FlaIn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
62.6%
Aaron McAllister run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 2:4164% → 69%
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+14
64.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 14 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
65.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 4
OWN 48
0
65.6%
James Morgan pass incomplete to David O'MearaSimilar
Q1 1:10
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+13
65.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 13 yds to the Charl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
65.6%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 3 yds to the Charl 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+27
65.6%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 27 yds to the Charl 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
66.1%
Anthony Jones run for 5 yds to the Charl 4Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
69.2%
Kaylan Wiggins run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK) CHARLOTTE Penalty, OF ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0032% → 31%
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
67.6%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Charl 16Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+4
67.6%
Ishod Finger run for 4 yds to the Charl 20Similar
Q2 13:29
3RD & 3
OWN 20
0
68.0%
Chris Reynolds run for no gain to the Charl 20Similar
Q2 13:29
4TH & 3
OWN 20
-5
68.6%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Charl 15Similar
Q2 13:29
4TH & 8
OWN 15
0
68.7%
Connor Bowler punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8TD
9 plays · 50 yds · 2:1669% → 78%
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
50
+5
68.9%
MORGAN,J pass incomplete to THORNTON,S, PENALTY CLT OF (HIGHSMITH, Alex) 5 yards to the CLT45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:34
1ST & 5
OPP 45
+3
69.1%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the Charl 42Similar
Q2 10:34
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+7
69.1%
Anthony Jones run for 7 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
69.5%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 15 yds to the Charl 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
69.5%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the Charl 18Similar
Q2 10:34
2ND & 8
OPP 18
-1
69.5%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 9 yds to the Charl 9 FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Offensive holding (Shemar Thornton) to the Charl 19Similar
Q2 10:34
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+6
69.5%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 6 yds to the Charl 13Similar
Q2 8:18
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+13
77.9%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 13 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 9TD
13 plays · 79 yds · 5:2224% → 32%
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
76.2%
LEMAY, Benny rush for 4 yards to the CLT25 (REYNOLDS,D), PENALTY FIU OF (JEAN, A) 5 yards to the CLT26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 5
OWN 26
+4
75.6%
Benny LeMay run for 4 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+5
75.3%
Chris Reynolds run for 5 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
75.8%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Cameron DollarSimilar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+11
76.0%
Chris Reynolds run for 11 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
75.1%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Charl 49Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+5
74.8%
Benny LeMay run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q2 8:18
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+4
74.8%
Benny LeMay run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
74.7%
Benny LeMay run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 11
OPP 43
0
75.1%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Tyler RingwoodSimilar
Q2 8:18
3RD & 11
OPP 0
0
74.8%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass incomplete to GOODE, Tre' (MCCRAY,B), PENALTY CLT IF off-setting, PENALTY FIU holding off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 11
OPP 43
+43
68.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Benny LeMay for 43 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 2:3170% → 81%
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
69.6%
Maurice Alexander run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+34
69.8%
James Morgan sacked by Markees Watts for a loss of 8 yards to the Charl 47 James Morgan fumbled, recovered by FlaIn D'Vonte Price , return for 0 yards for a 1ST down , return for 34 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
71.7%
D'Vonte Price run for 4 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+3
71.8%
D'Vonte Price run for 3 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 3
OPP 40
0
71.5%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IV, broken up by Marquill OsborneSimilar
Q2 0:51
4TH & 3
OPP 40
+27
70.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 27 yds to the Charl 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
73.2%
D'Vonte Price run for 5 yds to the Charl 8Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+3
73.2%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the Charl 5Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+5
81.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Anthony Jones for 5 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
80.9%
Benny LeMay run for 5 yds to the Charl 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:2680% → 89%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
79.8%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+22
79.7%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 22 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
80.8%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 6 yds to the Charl 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+13
80.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 13 yds to the Charl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
80.9%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+8
80.9%
Anthony Jones run for 8 yds to the Charl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
80.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 11 yds to the Charl 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
80.8%
Anthony Jones run for 6 yds to the Charl 5Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+5
89.1%
Anthony Jones 5 Yd Run (Jose Borregales PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:1312% → 21%
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
88.2%
Chris Reynolds run for 11 yds to the Charl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
87.5%
Benny LeMay run for 4 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+13
87.5%
Benny LeMay run for 13 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
86.8%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+6
86.9%
Aaron McAllister run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q3 11:34
3RD & 1
OPP 38
-10
86.6%
LEMAY, Benny rush for no gain to the FIU38 (JACKSON,D), PENALTY CLT holding (ALLEN, Jalen) 10 yards to the FIU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:34
3RD & 11
OPP 48
+7
87.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Benny LeMay for 7 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q3 11:34
4TH & 4
OPP 41
+4
87.3%
Benny LeMay run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
86.7%
Aaron McAllister run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+15
86.9%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass incomplete to DOLLAR, Cameron (BROWN,I), PENALTY FIU pass interference (BROWN,I) 15 yards to the FIU21, 1ST DOWN CLT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+14
85.7%
Benny LeMay run for 14 yds to the FlaIn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
85.7%
LEMAY, Benny rush for 2 yards to the FIU5 (LEWIS,S;JACKSON,D), PENALTY CLT IF 5 yards to the FIU12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
78.9%
Benny LeMay 12 Yd Run (Jonathan Cruz PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1484% → 95%
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
84.0%
Anthony Jones run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
84.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
84.1%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Austin Maloney, broken up by Lance McMillanSimilar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+20
83.9%
D'Vonte Price run for 20 yds to the Charl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
85.0%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 4 yds to the Charl 41Similar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+41
94.9%
Anthony Jones 41 Yd Run (Jose Borregales Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.4%
Benny LeMay run for 2 yds to the Charl 27Similar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
93.3%
Benny LeMay run for no gain to the Charl 27Similar
Q3 3:07
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
93.6%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor Tucker, broken up by Rishard DamesSimilar
Q3 3:07
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
93.6%
Connor Bowler punt for 44 yds, downed at the FlaIn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 6:2495% → 100%
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
95.2%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q3 1:22
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+5
95.2%
D'Vonte Price run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+4
96.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Offensive holding (Tony Gaiter IV) to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+22
96.1%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 22 yds to the Charl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
96.1%
D'Vonte Price run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+2
96.1%
D'Vonte Price run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
96.2%
James Morgan run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 32
+7
96.2%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 7 yds to the Charl 25Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+8
96.1%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 8 yds to the Charl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
96.2%
D'Vonte Price run for 4 yds to the Charl 13Similar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+13
99.6%
Anthony Jones 13 Yd Run (Jose Borregales Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 4 yds · 3:101% → 0%
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.4%
Aaron McAllister run for 5 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
99.4%
Brett Kean run for 3 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q4 9:58
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
99.4%
Brett Kean pass incomplete to Tyler Ringwood, broken up by Tevin JonesSimilar
Q4 8:43
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+3
99.6%
Brett Kean run for 3 yds to the Charl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.6%
Brett Kean pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-1
99.6%
Brett Kean pass complete to Aaron McAllister for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 35Similar
Q4 8:43
3RD & 11
OWN 35
-6
99.6%
Brett Kean sacked by Alexy Jean-Baptiste and Kevin Oliver for a loss of 6 yards to the Charl 29Similar
Q4 6:48
4TH & 17
OWN 29
0
99.6%
Connor Bowler punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18END OF GAME
10 plays · 40 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.8%
D'Vonte Price run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+5
99.8%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q4 6:41
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+4
99.8%
Kaylan Wiggins run for 4 yds to the Charl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
99.8%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 5 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+1
99.8%
Kaylan Wiggins run for 1 yd to the Charl 42Similar
Q4 6:41
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+9
99.8%
Lexington Joseph run for 9 yds to the Charl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
99.8%
Lexington Joseph run for 9 yds to the Charl 24Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+4
99.8%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 4 yds to the Charl 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
99.8%
Lexington Joseph run for 2 yds to the Charl 18Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 8
OPP 18
-2
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:07
Anthony Jones 41 Yd Run (Jose Borregales Kick)
+9.9
TD · Q2 0:25
James Morgan pass complete to Anthony Jones for 5 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)
+9.5
TD · Q3 11:34
Anthony Jones 5 Yd Run (Jose Borregales PAT failed)
+8.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com