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RICE

Rice 20 at UAB 35

UAB
2019 · Week 6 · Oct 5, 2019 · Legion Field
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Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:20 · Chris Barnes punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 114Pregame prior+11.0Home team on offense+8.6Score differential+2.8Garbage-time factor−0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:49: Wiley Green pass complete to Brad Rozner for 4 yds for a TD, (Chris Barnes KICK) — RICE win probability +10.3 pts (now 35%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:33: Kendall Parham 57 Yd pass from Tyler Johnston III (Nick Vogel Kick) — UAB win probability +13.4 pts (now 78%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:00: August Pitre III 3 Yd pass from Wiley Green (Chris Barnes PAT blocked) — RICE win probability +9.1 pts (now 33%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:17: Lucious Stanley run for 25 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK) — UAB win probability +9.6 pts (now 84%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:53: Lucious Stanley run for 7 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK) — UAB win probability +6.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 6 of 8RICE made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:32UAB 4th & 10 at UAB 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:44RICE 4th & 21 at RICE 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.2%−0.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:18UAB 4th & 5 at RICE 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    70.6%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    70.3%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:22RICE 4th & 2 at UAB 43, up 7
    Close callPunted · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    30.9%−0.9
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.2%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:39RICE 4th & 10 at UAB 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.3%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    23.3%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    23.1%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:02RICE 4th & 6 at RICE 49, down 1
    Close callWent for it · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    29.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:36UAB 4th & 5 at UAB 22, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.6%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:06RICE 4th & 11 at RICE 27, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%−2.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:20RICE 4th & 4 at RICE 31, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%−1.0
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:02UAB 4th & 1 at midfield, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    81.5%−2.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:09UAB 4th & 1 at RICE 9, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    82.7%−3.4
    89% to make
    Punt
    73.5%−12.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:22UAB 4th & 6 at UAB 44, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:39RICE 4th & 5 at RICE 20, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:04UAB 4th & 3 at UAB 35, up 15
    Close callPunted · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.8%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:51UAB 4th & 7 at RICE 42, up 15
    Close callPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    97.1%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:17RICE 4th & 17 at midfield, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 5 of 5RICE made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 14:09RICE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:45UAB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:34UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:49RICE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:33UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 4:00RICE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    29.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:17UAB Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:53UAB Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICEDrive 1TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5123% → 23%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
77.1%
GREEN, Wiley pass incomplete to ROZNER, Brad, QB hurry by MARINO, Garrett, PENALTY UAB holding (DANIELS, CD) 10 yards to the RICE35, 1ST DOWN RICE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
77.1%
Aston Walter run for 1 yd to the Rice 36Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+64
76.6%
Aston Walter run for 64 yds for a TD, (Chris Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:3777% → 76%
Q1 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.7%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
76.6%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the UAB 25Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
76.4%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:32
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
76.3%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rice 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 1 yds · 2:4024% → 25%
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
76.3%
Wiley Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:19
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
76.2%
Aston Walter run for 2 yds to the Rice 37Similar
Q1 12:35
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+10
75.8%
Clock 12:35, GREEN, Wiley pass incomplete to TRAMMELL, A., PENALTY UAB holding (BROOKS, A.J.) 10 yards to the RICE47, 1ST DOWN RICE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
75.6%
Aston Walter run for no gain to the Rice 47Similar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+1
75.2%
Aston Walter run for 1 yd to the Rice 48Similar
Q1 11:11
3RD & 9
OWN 48
-10
74.9%
Clock 11:11, GREEN, Wiley pass complete to BAILEY, Jake for 20 yards to the UAB32, out-of-bounds (CASH, Grayson), PENALTY RICE holding (ALLDREDGE, B.) 10 yards to the RICE38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:44
3RD & 19
OWN 38
-2
74.8%
Aston Walter run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 36Similar
Q1 10:44
4TH & 21
OWN 36
0
75.0%
Chris Barnes punt for 41 yds , Myron Mitchell returns for no gain to the UAB 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 4DOWNS
10 plays · 45 yds · 4:4575% → 72%
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
74.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Kendall Parham for 6 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q1 9:28
2ND & 4
OWN 29
0
74.3%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Myron MitchellSimilar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+8
74.1%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins for 8 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
73.8%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 5 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+9
74.0%
Tyler Johnston III run for 9 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
73.9%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 12 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
73.6%
Jonathan Haden run for 2 yds to the Rice 35Similar
Q1 6:44
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+4
73.6%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 4 yds to the Rice 31Similar
Q1 5:58
3RD & 4
OPP 31
-1
72.8%
Jonathan Haden run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 32Similar
Q1 5:18
4TH & 5
OPP 32
0
72.0%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Myron MitchellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 25 yds · 1:4829% → 30%
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+17
71.1%
Wiley Green run for 2 yds to the Rice 34 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, personal foul (Kristopher Moll) to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
70.4%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 4 yds to the UAB 47Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+1
69.8%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 1 yd to the UAB 46Similar
Q1 3:22
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+3
69.4%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 3 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q1 3:22
4TH & 2
OPP 43
0
69.8%
Adam Nunez punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 6TD
7 plays · 95 yds · 2:4169% → 74%
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
69.4%
Lucious Stanley run for 1 yd to the UAB 6Similar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+5
68.9%
Lucious Stanley run for 5 yds to the UAB 11Similar
Q1 1:03
3RD & 4
OWN 11
+7
68.0%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins for 7 yds to the UAB 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+36
68.3%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 36 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
69.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Myron MitchellSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
69.3%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Kendall ParhamSimilar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+46
73.7%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Kendall Parham for 46 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7FUMBLE
7 plays · 28 yds · 1:2928% → 30%
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
71.6%
Wiley Green pass complete to Brad Rozner for 10 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
71.1%
Charlie Booker run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:38
2ND & 9
50
-6
71.0%
Wiley Green sacked by Tony Fair for a loss of 6 yards to the Rice 44 Wiley Green fumbled, recovered by Rice Wiley Green , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 14:38
3RD & 15
OWN 44
+15
72.3%
UAB Penalty, personal foul (TD Marshall) to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
69.9%
Cameron Montgomery run for 8 yds to the UAB 33 Cameron Montgomery fumbled, forced by Grayson Cash, recovered by UAB Alex WrightSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8TD
2 plays · 67 yds · 0:2673% → 78%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+31
72.7%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Lucious Stanley for 16 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST down RICE Penalty, personal foul (Treshawn Chamberlain) to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
78.3%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins for 36 yds for a TD RICE Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:4523% → 35%
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
76.7%
Charlie Booker run for 3 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+36
76.4%
Wiley Green pass complete to Austin Trammell for 36 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
75.1%
Charlie Booker run for no gain to the UAB 36Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
76.0%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q2 10:43
3RD & 10
OPP 36
0
76.5%
Wiley Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:39
4TH & 10
OPP 36
+20
77.5%
Wiley Green pass complete to Austin Trammell for 20 yds to the UAB 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
75.1%
Tom Stewart run for 5 yds to the UAB 11Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+2
75.0%
Aston Walter run for 2 yds to the UAB 9Similar
Q2 8:33
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+5
75.2%
Tom Stewart run for 5 yds to the UAB 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
65.0%
Wiley Green pass complete to Brad Rozner for 4 yds for a TD, (Chris Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10TD
1 play · 57 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
78.3%
Kendall Parham 57 Yd pass from Tyler Johnston III (Nick Vogel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 11TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:3322% → 33%
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
77.6%
Wiley Green pass complete to Brad Rozner for 13 yds to the Rice 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
76.8%
Wiley Green pass complete to Aston Walter for a loss of 5 yards to the Rice 33Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 15
OWN 33
+15
77.9%
Clock 06:26, GREEN, Wiley pass incomplete to ROZNER, Brad, PENALTY UAB pass interference (BYNUM, Devodric) 15 yards to the RICE48, 1ST DOWN RICE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
76.1%
Aston Walter run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 8
50
0
75.8%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q2 5:32
3RD & 8
50
+35
76.7%
Wiley Green pass complete to Austin Trammell for 35 yds to the UAB 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
74.4%
Aston Walter run for 9 yds to the UAB 6Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 1
OPP 6
+3
74.4%
GREEN, Wiley pass incomplete to ROZNER, Brad (BYNUM, Devodric), PENALTY UAB illegal use of hands (BYNUM, Devodric) 3 yards to the UAB3, 1ST DOWN RICE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
67.0%
August Pitre III 3 Yd pass from Wiley Green (Chris Barnes PAT blocked)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12INT
8 plays · 30 yds · 2:2372% → 74%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
72.0%
Lucious Stanley run for 2 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
72.0%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins for 10 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
72.8%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Hayden PittmanSimilar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
72.4%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Myron MitchellSimilar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+17
71.4%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins for 17 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
74.4%
Lucious Stanley run for 1 yd to the Rice 45Similar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
73.8%
Tyler Johnston III pass intercepted George Nyakwol return for no gain to the Rice 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 13DOWNS
13 plays · 26 yds · 1:2830% → 29%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-10
70.5%
GREEN, Wiley pass incomplete to PITRE III, A., PENALTY RICE holding (LEVERETT, Nick) 10 yards to the RICE13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 20
OWN 13
0
70.7%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 20
OWN 13
+13
70.9%
Wiley Green pass complete to Aston Walter for 13 yds to the Rice 26Similar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+8
71.3%
Charlie Booker run for 8 yds to the Rice 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
70.0%
Wiley Green pass complete to Jake Bailey for 3 yds to the Rice 37Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
69.5%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Brad RoznerSimilar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+8
70.5%
Wiley Green run for 8 yds to the Rice 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
68.3%
Wiley Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
68.8%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Jake BaileySimilar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+4
69.5%
Charlie Booker run for 4 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
71.4%
Tom Stewart pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:1972% → 70%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-1
71.7%
Lucious Stanley run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 16Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 11
OWN 16
-7
71.4%
Tyler Johnston III sacked by Naeem Smith for a loss of 7 yards to the UAB 9Similar
Q3 14:36
3RD & 18
OWN 9
+13
70.1%
Lucious Stanley run for 13 yds to the UAB 22Similar
Q3 14:36
4TH & 5
OWN 22
0
69.8%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:4330% → 28%
Q3 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
70.3%
Aston Walter run for 1 yd to the Rice 29Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 9
OWN 29
0
70.1%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Brad RoznerSimilar
Q3 13:06
3RD & 9
OWN 29
-2
71.2%
Wiley Green pass complete to Aston Walter for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 27Similar
Q3 13:06
4TH & 11
OWN 27
0
72.4%
Chris Barnes punt for 50 yds, downed at the UAB 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 16TD
6 plays · 77 yds · 3:0971% → 84%
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+22
71.1%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 22 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
73.2%
Lucious Stanley run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 5
50
+3
73.3%
Lucious Stanley run for 3 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q3 10:39
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+19
72.8%
Dylan Hopkins run for 19 yds to the Rice 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
74.2%
Lucious Stanley run for 3 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+25
83.8%
Lucious Stanley run for 25 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5719% → 19%
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.6%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
80.7%
Aston Walter run for 6 yds to the Rice 31Similar
Q3 8:27
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
80.7%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q3 8:20
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
81.4%
Chris Barnes punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 18INT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:5083% → 85%
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
83.4%
Lucious Stanley run for 8 yds to the UAB 49Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+1
84.0%
Jonathan Haden run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:49
3RD & 1
50
0
82.9%
Dylan Hopkins run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:02
4TH & 1
50
+2
83.5%
Lucious Stanley run for 2 yds to the Rice 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
85.4%
Tyler Johnston III pass intercepted Treshawn Chamberlain return for no gain to the Rice 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19FUMBLE
3 plays · 10 yds · 1:2818% → 17%
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
81.8%
Aston Walter run for 5 yds to the Rice 13Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+2
82.1%
Aston Walter run for 2 yds to the Rice 15Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 3
OWN 15
+3
83.0%
Aston Walter run for 3 yds to the Rice 18 Aston Walter fumbled, forced by Jordan Smith, recovered by UAB Fitzgerald MoforSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 20TD
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:4487% → 94%
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-4
86.9%
Lucious Stanley run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 22Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 14
OPP 22
0
86.6%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Austin WatkinsSimilar
Q3 2:48
3RD & 14
OPP 22
+13
85.8%
Lucious Stanley run for 13 yds to the Rice 9Similar
Q3 2:09
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+1
85.8%
Lucious Stanley run for 1 yd to the Rice 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
87.7%
Lucious Stanley run for 1 yd to the Rice 7Similar
Q3 0:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
94.1%
Lucious Stanley run for 7 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 21FUMBLE
4 plays · 20 yds · 0:538% → 9%
Q3 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
91.7%
Tom Stewart run for 8 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q3 0:14
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+10
91.2%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Austin Trammell for 10 yds to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
91.2%
Tom Stewart run for no gain to the UAB 40 Tom Stewart fumbled, forced by Kristopher Moll, recovered by UAB Noah Wilder UAB Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the UAB 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3194% → 94%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-8
94.3%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for a loss of 8 yards to the UAB 32Similar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 18
OWN 32
+2
94.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q4 13:22
3RD & 16
OWN 34
+10
94.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 10 yds to the UAB 44Similar
Q4 13:22
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
94.3%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:507% → 6%
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
92.9%
Aston Walter run for 5 yds to the Rice 20Similar
Q4 12:29
2ND & 5
OWN 20
0
92.8%
Wiley Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:46
3RD & 5
OWN 20
0
93.6%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Austin Trammell, broken up by Will BolerSimilar
Q4 11:39
4TH & 5
OWN 20
0
93.7%
Adam Nunez punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2795% → 96%
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
95.2%
Dylan Hopkins run for 3 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+1
95.7%
Lucious Stanley run for 1 yd to the UAB 32Similar
Q4 10:04
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+3
95.7%
Dylan Hopkins run for 3 yds to the UAB 35 UAB Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 10:04
4TH & 3
OWN 35
+3
95.6%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 54 yds , Austin Trammell returns for 3 yds to the Rice 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 25FUMBLE
6 plays · 43 yds · 1:596% → 6%
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
94.5%
Wiley Green pass complete to Aston Walter for 8 yds to the Rice 22Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+5
94.0%
Wiley Green run for 5 yds to the Rice 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
94.6%
Clock 08:17, GREEN, Wiley pass incomplete to ROZNER, Brad, PENALTY UAB pass interference (THOMAS V, S.) 15 yards to the RICE42, 1ST DOWN RICE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
94.3%
Aston Walter run for 1 yd to the Rice 43Similar
Q4 7:36
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+15
94.4%
Clock 07:36, GREEN, Wiley pass incomplete to ROZNER, Brad, PENALTY UAB pass interference (THOMAS V, S.) 15 yards to the UAB42, 1ST DOWN RICE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
94.3%
Wiley Green run for no gain to the UAB 43 Wiley Green fumbled, recovered by UAB Fish McWilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 3:2497% → 97%
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
96.6%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the UAB 48Similar
Q4 6:34
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+2
96.7%
Dylan Hopkins run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:11
3RD & 3
50
+5
96.9%
RICE Penalty, Defensive offside (Trey Schuman) to the Rice 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
97.3%
Dylan Hopkins run for 1 yd to the Rice 44Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+2
97.3%
Lucious Stanley run for 2 yds to the Rice 42Similar
Q4 3:58
3RD & 7
OPP 42
0
97.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:51
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
97.2%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 27DOWNS
17 plays · 16 yds · 2:243% → 2%
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
96.8%
Wiley Green pass complete to Jake Bailey for 8 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+3
96.4%
Wiley Green pass complete to Jake Bailey for 3 yds to the Rice 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
96.5%
Wiley Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
96.8%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Charlie BookerSimilar
Q4 2:41
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
97.0%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Austin Trammell, broken up by Dy'jonn TurnerSimilar
Q4 2:36
4TH & 10
OWN 31
+16
97.0%
GREEN, Wiley rush for 1 yard to the RICE32 (MOLL, K.), PENALTY UAB illegal use of hands 16 yards to the RICE47, 1ST DOWN RICE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-7
96.4%
Wiley Green sacked by Noah Wilder for a loss of 7 yards to the Rice 40Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 17
OWN 40
+12
97.6%
Wiley Green pass complete to Austin Trammell for 12 yds to the UAB 48Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 5
OPP 48
-10
97.4%
Clock 02:00, GREEN, Wiley pass complete to TRAMMELL, A. for 22 yards to the UAB26, out-of-bounds (BOLER, Will), PENALTY RICE holding 10 yards to the RICE42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 15
OWN 42
0
97.7%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q4 1:48
4TH & 15
OWN 42
+15
97.8%
GREEN, Wiley pass incomplete to ROZNER, Brad, PENALTY UAB pass interference (THOMAS V, S.) 15 yards to the UAB43, 1ST DOWN RICE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
97.4%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Brad RoznerSimilar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
97.4%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q4 1:27
3RD & 10
OPP 43
-7
97.5%
Wiley Green sacked by Kristopher Moll and Noah Wilder for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:17
4TH & 17
50
-14
97.9%
Wiley Green sacked by Kristopher Moll for a loss of 14 yards to the Rice 36 RICE Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 28END OF GAME
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-15
98.8%
UAB drive start at 01:14, PENALTY UAB unsportsmanlike conduct 15 yards to the UAB49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
98.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 48Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 11
OWN 48
-1
98.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:33
Kendall Parham 57 Yd pass from Tyler Johnston III (Nick Vogel Kick)
+13.4
TD · Q2 7:49
Wiley Green pass complete to Brad Rozner for 4 yds for a TD, (Chris Barnes KICK)
-10.3
TD · Q3 9:17
Lucious Stanley run for 25 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)
+9.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com