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MRSH

Marshall 13 at Middle Tennessee 24

MTSU
2019 · Week 6 · Oct 5, 2019 · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
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Win probability · MTSU
modelMTSU aheadMRSH aheadconfidence bandkey playMTSU scoreMRSH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:57 · Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Xavier Gaines, broken up by Jovante Moffatt
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 134Pregame prior−4.5Home team on offense+1.6Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.4Score differential+0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:35: Chaton Mobley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Crews Holt KICK) — MTSU win probability +3.0 pts (now 41%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:42: Asher O'Hara run for 4 yds for a TD, (Crews Holt KICK) — MTSU win probability +11.9 pts (now 59%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:03: Justin Rohrwasser 24 yd FG GOOD — MRSH win probability +4.9 pts (now 50%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 0:22: Asher O'Hara run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 33 — MTSU win probability +9.2 pts (now 65%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:43: Asher O'Hara pass complete to Zack Dobson for 36 yds for a TD, (Crews Holt KICK) — MTSU win probability +16.1 pts (now 85%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MTSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8MRSH made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 14:55MRSH 4th & 1 at MRSH 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:40MTSU 4th & 5 at MTSU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:06MTSU 4th & 3 at MRSH 3, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.4%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    41.5%−2.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:19MTSU 4th & 3 at MTSU 46, up 3
    Close callPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.9%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:45MRSH 4th & 5 at MTSU 8, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.6%−<0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    48.5%−4.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:42MTSU 4th & 5 at MRSH 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.4%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.5%
    92% to make
    Punt
    42.2%−5.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:42MRSH 4th & 14 at MRSH 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%−2.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:21MRSH 4th & 2 at MTSU 13, down 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.1 ptsWent for it · 42.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.1%−1.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    42.2%
    85% to make
    Punt
    36.0%−6.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00MTSU 4th & 5 at MTSU 41, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%−0.9
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:20MRSH 4th & 1 at MTSU 7, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    39.6%−3.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    31.0%−11.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:35MTSU 4th & 20 at MRSH 39, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.9%−2.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    61.3%−0.3
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:57MRSH 4th & 3 at MTSU 24, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    40.3%−1.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    32.0%−9.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:43MRSH 4th & 10 at MTSU 27, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.4%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    16.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    12.8%−4.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:40MTSU 4th & 7 at MTSU 47, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:29MTSU 4th & 6 at MRSH 41, up 11
    Close callPunted · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    92.8%−0.5
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.8%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:29MRSH 4th & 2 at MTSU 47, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.4%−0.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:11MRSH 4th & 4 at MTSU 13, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.5%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    4.3%−1.3
    85% to make
    Punt
    3.4%−2.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MTSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3MRSH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:35MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:22MRSH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:42MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:43MTSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MRSHDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
35.3%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Talik Keaton for 8 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 2
OWN 31
0
35.2%
Isaiah Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+4
35.3%
Brenden Knox run for 4 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
35.2%
Isaiah Green run for 2 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+3
35.2%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the Marsh 40Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+4
35.2%
Isaiah Green run for 4 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q1 14:55
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
35.2%
Robert LeFevre punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MTnSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
36.6%
Chaton Mobley run for 11 yds to the MTnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
36.6%
Asher O'Hara pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+5
36.6%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 5 yds to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q1 11:40
3RD & 5
OWN 39
0
36.6%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Jimmy Marshall, broken up by Nazeeh JohnsonSimilar
Q1 11:40
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
36.5%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Talik Keaton at the Marsh 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 3INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
37.0%
Isaiah Green pass intercepted Jovante Moffatt return for no gain to the Marsh 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 4TD
5 plays · 39 yds · 1:4238% → 41%
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
37.7%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Ty Lee for 7 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+5
37.8%
Chaton Mobley run for 5 yds to the Marsh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+18
37.8%
Brad Anderson run for 18 yds to the Marsh 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
37.8%
Brad Anderson run for 8 yds to the Marsh 1Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
40.8%
Chaton Mobley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 5TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
37.7%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 75 yds for a TD, (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 6FG
12 plays · 72 yds · 4:1638% → 41%
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
37.8%
Asher O'Hara run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+27
37.8%
Asher O'Hara run for 27 yds to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
38.5%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Zack Dobson for 7 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+15
38.5%
O'HARA, Asher pass incomplete to ENGLAND-CHISOLM, PENALTY MAR pass interference (JACKSON, Chris) 15 yards to the MAR24, 1ST DOWN MT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
38.7%
Chaton Mobley run for 1 yd to the Marsh 23Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+3
38.7%
Asher O'Hara run for 3 yds to the Marsh 20Similar
Q1 8:22
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+15
38.4%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 15 yds to the Marsh 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
38.7%
Asher O'Hara run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 6Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
38.7%
Asher O'Hara run for 3 yds to the Marsh 3Similar
Q1 8:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
38.5%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Jimmy Marshall, broken up by Nazeeh JohnsonSimilar
Q1 4:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
40.8%
Crews Holt 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 7FUMBLE
7 plays · 36 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
40.8%
Isaiah Green run for 2 yds to the Marsh 27Similar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+33
40.8%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Broc Thompson for 33 yds to the MTnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
39.7%
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 9
OPP 39
0
39.7%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Willie JohnsonSimilar
Q1 4:06
3RD & 9
OPP 39
-5
39.8%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q1 4:06
3RD & 14
OPP 44
+1
40.7%
Isaiah Green run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 39 Isaiah Green fumbled, forced by DQ Thomas, recovered by MTnSt Reed BlankenshipSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0042% → 41%
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
41.6%
Asher O'Hara pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
41.5%
Brad Anderson run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q1 2:19
3RD & 3
OWN 46
0
41.8%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for no gain to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q1 2:19
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
41.1%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Talik Keaton at the Marsh 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 9FG
12 plays · 78 yds · 5:1558% → 59%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
42.1%
Brenden Knox run for no gain to the Marsh 14Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 14
-2
42.2%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tavin Richardson for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 12Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 12
+15
43.3%
GREEN, Isaiah pass incomplete to KEATON, Talik, PENALTY MT roughing passer (STARLING, J.) 15 yards to the MAR27, 1ST DOWN MAR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+14
42.4%
Isaiah Green run for 14 yds to the Marsh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
41.4%
Brenden Knox run for 10 yds to the MTnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
40.9%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Devin Miller for 6 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+11
40.8%
Isaiah Green run for 11 yds to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+19
40.4%
Isaiah Green run for 19 yds to the MTnSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
40.3%
Brenden Knox run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+6
40.5%
Brenden Knox run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 8Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 8
0
40.9%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Willie JohnsonSimilar
Q2 10:45
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+25
40.6%
Justin Rohrwasser 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 10MISSED FG
10 plays · 70 yds · 3:0343% → 45%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
42.9%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to CJ Windham for 7 yds to the MTnSt 32Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
44.0%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Ty Lee for 8 yds to the MTnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
44.2%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Jarrin PierceSimilar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+46
43.6%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 32 yds to the MIDDLETENN 28 for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, personal foul (Darius Hodge) to the Marsh 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
45.5%
Chaton Mobley run for 2 yds to the Marsh 12 for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, personal foul (Channing Hames) to the Marsh 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
45.5%
Chaton Mobley run for 2 yds to the Marsh 4Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
45.5%
Chaton Mobley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 5Similar
Q2 10:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
44.8%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Jarrin PierceSimilar
Q2 7:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
44.9%
Crews Holt 22 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0059% → 57%
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
41.2%
GREEN, Isaiah pass complete to LEVIAS, Armani for 9 yards to the MAR29 (THOMAS, DQ), PENALTY MAR holding (GAINES, Xavier) 10 yards to the MAR10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:42
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+6
41.4%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 6 yds to the Marsh 16Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 14
OWN 16
0
41.6%
Brenden Knox run for no gain to the Marsh 16Similar
Q2 7:42
3RD & 14
OWN 16
0
42.4%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Talik KeatonSimilar
Q2 7:42
4TH & 14
OWN 16
0
43.1%
Robert LeFevre punt for 37 yds, downed at the MTnSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 12TD
6 plays · 53 yds · 1:5347% → 59%
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-3
47.2%
Jayy McDonald run for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 13
OWN 44
+18
45.9%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 18 yds to the Marsh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
47.7%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Ty Lee for 7 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 3
OPP 31
0
48.3%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to CJ WindhamSimilar
Q2 5:35
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+27
47.3%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 27 yds to the Marsh 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
59.2%
Asher O'Hara run for 4 yds for a TD, (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 13FG
18 plays · 68 yds · 3:3945% → 50%
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
55.5%
Brenden Knox run for 4 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
54.8%
Isaiah Green run for 6 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
54.8%
Isaiah Green run for 12 yds to the Marsh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+16
53.2%
Brenden Knox run for 16 yds to the MTnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
54.9%
Isaiah Green sacked by Khalil Brooks for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 12
OPP 39
+9
56.1%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Broc Thompson for 9 yds to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+9
56.7%
Isaiah Green run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
55.2%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+8
55.6%
Isaiah Green run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 13Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 2
OPP 13
0
55.6%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Broc ThompsonSimilar
Q2 0:21
4TH & 2
OPP 13
+6
56.6%
Jackson White pass complete to Devin Miller for 6 yds to the MTnSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
55.3%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Xavier GainesSimilar
Q2 0:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
50.4%
Justin Rohrwasser 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
54.3%
Chaton Mobley run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
52.4%
Asher O'Hara run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
53.7%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for no gain to the MTnSt 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
51.9%
Asher O'Hara run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
53.3%
Chaton Mobley run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+1
54.4%
Zack Dobson run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
53.0%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Yusuf AliSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 41
-8
51.2%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 40 yds , Talik Keaton returns for a loss of 8 yards to the Marsh 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16DOWNS
14 plays · 82 yds · 6:0147% → 46%
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+14
53.2%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 14 yds to the Marsh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
53.0%
Brenden Knox run for 5 yds to the Marsh 30Similar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
52.0%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Devin Miller for 4 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q3 12:21
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
51.8%
Brenden Knox run for 6 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
51.1%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 2 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+7
50.9%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tavin Richardson for 7 yds to the Marsh 49Similar
Q3 12:21
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+5
49.6%
Brenden Knox run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+18
49.0%
Brenden Knox run for 18 yds to the MTnSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+12
47.5%
Simino Walden run for 12 yds to the MTnSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
47.5%
Xavier Gaines run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 13Similar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+5
47.5%
Sheldon Evans run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 8Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+1
52.2%
Isaiah Green run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 7Similar
Q3 6:20
4TH & 1
OPP 7
0
53.9%
Brenden Knox run for no gain to the MTnSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 54 yds · 0:0060% → 59%
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+53
59.6%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to CJ Windham for 53 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
64.6%
Chaton Mobley run for 2 yds to the Marsh 38Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+9
64.4%
O'HARA, Asher pass incomplete to MARSHALL, Jimmy (JOHNSON, Nazeeh), PENALTY MAR pass interference (JOHNSON, Nazeeh) 9 yards to the MAR29, 1ST DOWN MT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
65.0%
Zack Dobson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 27Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 8
OPP 27
-1
65.0%
Asher O'Hara sacked by Koby Cumberlander for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 28Similar
Q3 5:35
3RD & 9
OPP 28
-11
63.6%
Asher O'Hara sacked by Kereon Merrell for a loss of 11 yards to the Marsh 39 Asher O'Hara fumbled, recovered by MTnSt Will Gilchrist , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 5:35
4TH & 20
OPP 39
0
59.1%
Matthew Stephenson punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 56 yds · 0:0041% → 45%
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
58.9%
Isaiah Green run for 4 yds to the Marsh 24Similar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
58.1%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Tavin RichardsonSimilar
Q3 2:57
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+33
60.4%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Talik Keaton for 33 yds to the MTnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
53.4%
Brenden Knox run for 12 yds to the MTnSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
51.8%
Brenden Knox run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 8
OPP 29
0
51.2%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Talik KeatonSimilar
Q3 2:57
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+5
53.9%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 5 yds to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q3 2:57
4TH & 3
OPP 24
0
55.3%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Xavier Gaines, broken up by Jovante MoffattSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 19TD
8 plays · 76 yds · 2:3965% → 85%
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
64.5%
Asher O'Hara run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+17
66.5%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Zack Dobson for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+2
68.7%
Brad Anderson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+6
68.6%
Asher O'Hara run for 6 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+6
67.7%
Asher O'Hara run for 6 yds to the Marsh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
69.0%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Yusuf AliSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
68.7%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to CJ Windham, broken up by Chris JacksonSimilar
Q4 12:43
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+36
84.8%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Zack Dobson for 36 yds for a TD, (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 20DOWNS
7 plays · 53 yds · 0:0018% → 19%
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.1%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Willie JohnsonSimilar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+48
82.5%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Willie Johnson for 48 yds to the MTnSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
75.6%
Brenden Knox run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 25Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 8
OPP 25
-12
75.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 12 yards to the MTnSt 37Similar
Q4 12:43
3RD & 20
OPP 37
+10
81.3%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Willie Johnson for 10 yds to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q4 12:43
4TH & 10
OPP 27
+5
80.6%
Jackson White pass complete to Garet Morrell for 5 yds to the MTnSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
88.6%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to CJ Windham for 11 yds to the MTnSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
89.0%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Jarrin PierceSimilar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+11
88.8%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 11 yds to the MTnSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
89.9%
Chaton Mobley run for no gain to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+3
89.6%
Brad Anderson run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q4 9:40
3RD & 7
OWN 47
0
89.2%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to DJ England-Chisolm, broken up by Nazeeh Johnson MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 9:40
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
88.1%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Talik Keaton at the Marsh 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 22INT
5 plays · 38 yds · 0:0010% → 13%
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
90.0%
Isaiah Green run for 5 yds to the Marsh 19Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+6
89.8%
Brenden Knox run for 6 yds to the Marsh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
89.9%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 6 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+21
88.0%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Willie Johnson for 21 yds to the MTnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
87.1%
Isaiah Green pass intercepted Jovante Moffatt return for no gain to the MTnSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:4693% → 95%
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
93.4%
Asher O'Hara run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+11
94.0%
Asher O'Hara run for 11 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
94.1%
Asher O'Hara run for 1 yd to the Marsh 44Similar
Q4 4:29
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+3
95.3%
Asher O'Hara run for 3 yds to the Marsh 41Similar
Q4 4:29
3RD & 6
OPP 41
0
95.1%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Chaton MobleySimilar
Q4 4:29
4TH & 6
OPP 41
+8
94.7%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 37 yds , Talik Keaton returns for 8 yds to the Marsh 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 24INT
13 plays · 75 yds · 2:184% → 4%
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+15
96.4%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tavin Richardson for 15 yds to the Marsh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
96.2%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Xavier Gaines, broken up by DQ ThomasSimilar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+18
96.4%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 18 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
95.8%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Corey GammageSimilar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
95.8%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Broc Thompson for 2 yds to the Marsh 47Similar
Q4 3:29
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+6
95.8%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Brenden Knox for 6 yds to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q4 3:29
4TH & 2
OPP 47
+9
95.7%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Broc Thompson for 9 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+19
95.3%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Talik Keaton for 19 yds to the MTnSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
94.6%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Talik KeatonSimilar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-5
94.7%
Isaiah Green sacked by Tyshun Render for a loss of 5 yards to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q4 1:11
3RD & 15
OPP 24
+11
96.7%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Sheldon Evans for 11 yds to the MTnSt 13Similar
Q4 1:11
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+3
96.5%
Isaiah Green pass intercepted Asher O'Hara return for 3 yds to the MTnSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · -4 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-4
97.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the MTnSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:43
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Zack Dobson for 36 yds for a TD, (Crews Holt KICK)
+16.1
TD · Q2 3:42
Asher O'Hara run for 4 yds for a TD, (Crews Holt KICK)
+11.9
KEY PLAY · Q3 0:22
Asher O'Hara run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 33
+9.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com