Try the model
UAB

UAB 13 at Western Kentucky 20

WKU
2019 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2019 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:08 · John Haggerty punt for 32 yds, downed at the UAB 5
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+24.0+12.00−12.0−24.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 143Home team on offense+15.8Pregame prior−0.8Garbage-time factor+10.0Score differential+3.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.1Blowout margin−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:21: Spencer Brown run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK) — UAB win probability +6.2 pts (now 62%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:03: Ty Storey pass complete to Joshua Simon for 8 yds for a TD, (Cory Munson KICK) — WKU win probability +12.8 pts (now 55%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 2:05: Cory Munson 28 yd FG GOOD — WKU win probability +4.0 pts (now 57%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 3:36: Gaej Walker run for 3 yds to the WKent 37 — WKU win probability +8.0 pts (now 54%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:17: Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 7 yds for a TD, (Cory Munson KICK) — WKU win probability +24.8 pts (now 85%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5UAB made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 12:54UAB 4th & 4 at WKU 13, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.2%−<0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    56.7%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:16WKU 4th & 16 at WKU 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.8%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:26UAB 4th & 1 at WKU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    53.4%−1.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    53.0%−1.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:05WKU 4th & 9 at UAB 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.3%
    89% to make
    Punt
    44.9%−5.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:20UAB 4th & 13 at WKU 43, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.4%−1.0
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    46.4%
    28% to make
    Punt
    45.4%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:17UAB 4th & 14 at WKU 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−3.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.1%
    75% to make
    Punt
    32.8%−9.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:17WKU 4th & 4 at WKU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.1%−1.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:59WKU 4th & 2 at WKU 42, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.3%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00UAB 4th & 4 at UAB 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.7%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:10UAB 4th & 4 at UAB 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.5%−0.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:08WKU 4th & 17 at UAB 37, up 7
    Close callPunted · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.3%−2.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    85.6%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:11UAB 4th & 19 at WKU 47, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.2%−<0.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UAB made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 10:21UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:03WKU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 11:17WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.5%−0.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1FUMBLE
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
43.7%
Gaej Walker run for a loss of 6 yards to the WKent 19 Gaej Walker fumbled, recovered by UAB Starling Thomas VSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 2FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5856% → 56%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
43.7%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the WKent 14Similar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+1
43.7%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the WKent 13Similar
Q1 14:52
3RD & 4
OPP 13
0
43.7%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Gerrit Prince for no gain to the WKent 13Similar
Q1 12:54
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+31
44.0%
Nick Vogel 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 4 yds · 1:3844% → 44%
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
44.1%
Ty Storey run for no gain to the WKent 25Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
44.1%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 9 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
44.2%
Ty Storey run for 1 yd to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
44.3%
Ty Storey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
44.2%
Ty Storey run for 1 yd to the WKent 36 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 11:16
3RD & 9
OWN 36
-7
44.1%
Ty Storey sacked by Adrienne Talan for a loss of 7 yards to the WKent 29 Ty Storey fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 11:16
4TH & 16
OWN 29
0
43.9%
John Haggerty punt for 47 yds, downed at the UAB 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 4INT
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:0055% → 56%
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
44.6%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the UAB 25Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+7
44.6%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 7 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q1 9:58
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+6
44.4%
Tyler Johnston III run for 6 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
44.3%
Tyler Johnston III pass intercepted Kyle Bailey return for 13 yds to the UAB 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5FG
12 plays · 22 yds · 5:0846% → 47%
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
45.5%
Gaej Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 40Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+9
45.4%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 9 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+2
45.4%
Gaej Walker run for 2 yds to the UAB 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+12
45.7%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 12 yds to the UAB 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
45.7%
Ty Storey run for 5 yds to the UAB 12Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+6
45.7%
Ty Storey run for 6 yds to the UAB 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
45.7%
Ty Storey pass complete to Gaej Walker for no gain to the UAB 6Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
45.7%
Ty Storey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
45.4%
UAB Penalty, Defensive offside (Garrett Marino) to the UAB 3Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-15
45.8%
WALKER, G. rush for 3 yards to the UAB0, clock 03:40, PENALTY WKU face mask (MEREDITH, J.) 15 yards to the UAB18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
+1
45.0%
Gaej Walker run for 1 yd to the UAB 17Similar
Q1 2:55
4TH & 0
OPP 17
+35
47.0%
Cory Munson 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 6TD
18 plays · 80 yds · 7:2954% → 62%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
46.3%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Myron Mitchell, broken up by Dionté RuffinSimilar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+16
46.4%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 16 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
45.8%
Spencer Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 35Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+10
46.3%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Kevin Davis for 10 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q1 2:50
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+1
45.3%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
45.1%
Spencer Brown run for 12 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
44.7%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 39
0
44.7%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+6
45.0%
Tyler Johnston III run for 6 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q2 13:26
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+4
46.1%
Tyler Johnston III run for 4 yds to the WKent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
44.3%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 4 yds to the WKent 25Similar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+7
44.3%
Spencer Brown run for 7 yds to the WKent 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
44.3%
Spencer Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 20Similar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 12
OPP 20
+15
44.6%
JOHNSTON III, T pass incomplete to WATKINS, Austin, PENALTY WKU pass interference (KEY, D.) 15 yards to the WKU5, 1ST DOWN UAB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
44.3%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the WKent 2Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
38.0%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7TD
12 plays · 68 yds · 3:1140% → 55%
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
40.4%
Ty Storey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:14
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+5
40.2%
Gaej Walker run for 5 yds to the WKent 37Similar
Q2 10:14
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+21
40.1%
Ty Storey run for 6 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
42.4%
Ty Storey run for 7 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q2 10:14
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+15
43.3%
STOREY, T. pass incomplete, PENALTY UAB roughing passer (WILDER, Noah) 15 yards to the UAB20, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
44.4%
Gaej Walker run for 2 yds to the UAB 18Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
43.4%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jahcour PearsonSimilar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+10
42.2%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 10 yds to the UAB 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
54.9%
Ty Storey pass complete to Joshua Simon for 8 yds for a TD, (Cory Munson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8INT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
48.4%
Jonathan Haden run for 5 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+8
47.7%
Jonathan Haden run for 8 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
47.3%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
47.7%
Tyler Johnston III pass intercepted Jeremy Darvin return for 5 yds to the UAB 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9FG
8 plays · 18 yds · 3:1056% → 57%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
55.7%
Gaej Walker run for 1 yd to the UAB 26Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 9
OPP 26
-6
55.7%
Ty Storey pass incomplete WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, intentional grounding (Ty Storey) to the UAB 32Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 15
OPP 32
+23
53.0%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 23 yds to the UAB 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
55.7%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q2 5:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-10
55.7%
STOREY, T. rush for no gain to the UAB9 (WILDER, Noah), PENALTY WKU holding (JOEST, S.) 10 yards to the UAB19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 19
+4
54.9%
Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the UAB 15Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+6
53.0%
Ty Storey pass complete to Joshua Simon for 6 yds to the UAB 9Similar
Q2 2:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+28
57.0%
Cory Munson 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10INT
9 plays · 30 yds · 1:4041% → 40%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
58.6%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins for 12 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+21
57.1%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Kendall Parham for 21 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
54.7%
Tyler Johnston III run for 2 yds to the WKent 38Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 8
OPP 38
-11
54.8%
Tyler Johnston III sacked by DeAngelo Malone for a loss of 11 yards to the WKent 49Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 19
OPP 49
-10
58.1%
JOHNSTON III, T rush for 10 yards to the WKU39 (DARDEN, T.), PENALTY UAB holding (RAGLAND, Colby) 10 yards to the UAB41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 29
OWN 41
+16
58.8%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Lucious Stanley for 16 yds to the WKent 43Similar
Q2 0:20
4TH & 13
OPP 43
+1
59.8%
Tyler Johnston III pass intercepted Kyle Bailey return for 1 yd to the WKent 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
57.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12FG
13 plays · 55 yds · 5:4346% → 50%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
54.5%
Tyler Johnston III run for 5 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
53.7%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 9 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
52.7%
Tyler Johnston III run for 1 yd to the UAB 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+11
53.0%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins for 11 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
51.3%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the WKent 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+19
51.6%
Tyler Johnston III run for 19 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+14
50.2%
Spencer Brown run for 14 yds to the WKent 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-5
49.9%
UAB Penalty, false start (Adrienne Talan) to the WKent 21Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 21
+5
50.2%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the WKent 16Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-4
49.9%
Spencer Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 20Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 20
0
52.9%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Myron MitchellSimilar
Q3 9:17
4TH & 14
OPP 20
+38
50.5%
Nick Vogel 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
52.4%
Ty Storey run for 6 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
54.1%
Ty Storey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:17
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
51.7%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Joshua SimonSimilar
Q3 9:17
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
50.8%
John Haggerty punt for 48 yds, downed at the UAB 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 14INT
9 plays · 30 yds · 0:0051% → 54%
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
49.2%
Tyler Johnston III run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 20Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+5
49.6%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Thair Blakes for 5 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q3 8:23
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+10
50.3%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 10 yds to the UAB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
48.4%
Spencer Brown run for 9 yds to the UAB 44Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+4
45.5%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the UAB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
45.8%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 7
OPP 49
-4
45.4%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Spencer Brown for 11 yds to the UAB 38 UAB Penalty, illegal block (Kendall Parham) to the UAB 47Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+4
47.1%
Tyler Johnston III run for 4 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q3 8:23
3RD & 7
OPP 49
0
45.9%
Tyler Johnston III pass intercepted Trae Meadows return for no gain to the WKent 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:3754% → 53%
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
53.9%
Gaej Walker run for 3 yds to the WKent 37Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+5
54.9%
Ty Storey run for 5 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q3 2:59
3RD & 2
OWN 42
0
55.0%
Ty Storey run for no gain to the WKent 42Similar
Q3 2:59
4TH & 2
OWN 42
0
52.8%
John Haggerty punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3151% → 48%
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
48.9%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the UAB 24Similar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+3
48.2%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q3 1:31
3RD & 3
OWN 27
-1
48.5%
Tyler Johnston III run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 26Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
52.1%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 36 yds, downed at the WKent 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17TD
8 plays · 62 yds · 3:3156% → 85%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
56.0%
Gaej Walker run for 3 yds to the WKent 41Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
57.3%
Ty Storey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+18
54.3%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 18 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+12
59.1%
Ty Storey pass complete to Joshua Simon for 12 yds to the UAB 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
60.3%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 2 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+17
60.3%
Ty Storey pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 17 yds to the UAB 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
60.3%
Ty Storey run for 3 yds to the UAB 7Similar
Q4 11:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
85.1%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 7 yds for a TD, (Cory Munson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0722% → 19%
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.7%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Myron MitchellSimilar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
80.1%
Jonathan Haden run for 6 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
79.7%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Kendall Parham, broken up by Dionté RuffinSimilar
Q4 11:10
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+4
80.9%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 48 yds , Clayton Bush returns for 4 yds to the WKent 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 38 yds · 2:1684% → 84%
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+40
83.9%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 50 yds to the WESTERNKY 25 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive holding (Jacquez Sloan) to the UAB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
86.7%
Gaej Walker run for 1 yd to the UAB 34Similar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+4
86.6%
STOREY, T. pass incomplete to LANE, X., PENALTY UAB pass interference (MARSHALL, TD) 4 yards to the UAB30, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-10
86.7%
STOREY, T. rush for 18 yards to the UAB12 (STREET, Jarrion;WRIGHT, Alex), PENALTY WKU holding (MEREDITH, J.) 10 yards to the UAB40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 20
OPP 40
+6
85.9%
Ty Storey pass complete to Gaej Walker for 6 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 14
OPP 34
+4
87.0%
Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q4 8:08
3RD & 10
OPP 30
-7
86.9%
Ty Storey sacked by Jordan Smith for a loss of 7 yards to the UAB 37Similar
Q4 8:08
4TH & 17
OPP 37
0
84.3%
John Haggerty punt for 32 yds, downed at the UAB 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 20DOWNS
14 plays · 43 yds · 4:2715% → 9%
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+15
85.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins for 15 yds to the UAB 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
85.0%
Tyler Johnston III run for 4 yds to the UAB 24Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+15
84.0%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins for 15 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
82.3%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Spencer Brown for 5 yds to the UAB 44Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 5
OWN 44
0
81.4%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the UAB 44Similar
Q4 6:38
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+6
82.0%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
50
0
80.4%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Austin Watkins, broken up by Trae MeadowsSimilar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 10
50
+8
81.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Markus Grossman for 8 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q4 6:38
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+4
80.0%
Tyler Johnston III run for 4 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-9
80.1%
Tyler Johnston III sacked by Jeremy Darvin for a loss of 9 yards to the WKent 47Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 19
OPP 47
0
83.1%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Kendall ParhamSimilar
Q4 6:38
3RD & 19
OPP 47
0
84.7%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Austin Watkins, broken up by Omari AlexanderSimilar
Q4 2:11
4TH & 19
OPP 47
-5
91.4%
Tyler Johnston III sacked by DeAngelo Malone for a loss of 5 yards to the UAB 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21END OF GAME
3 plays · -11 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
95.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 12
50
-3
95.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 47Similar
Q4 2:07
3RD & 15
OWN 47
-6
94.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the WKent 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:17
Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 7 yds for a TD, (Cory Munson KICK)
+24.8
TD · Q2 7:03
Ty Storey pass complete to Joshua Simon for 8 yds for a TD, (Cory Munson KICK)
+12.8
KEY PLAY · Q3 3:36
Gaej Walker run for 3 yds to the WKent 37
+8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com