Try the model
UTEP

UTEP 13 at Southern Miss 31

USM
2019 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2019 · M. M. Roberts Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · USM
modelUSM aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playUSM scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:25 · Mitchell Crawford punt for 29 yds, downed at the SoMis 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 120Pregame prior+25.2Home team on offense+17.5Score differential+6.7Garbage-time factor+5.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:07: Jack Abraham pass complete to Jordan Mitchell for 22 yds for a TD, (Andrew Stein KICK) — USM win probability +2.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:16: Gavin Baechle 46 yd FG GOOD — UTEP win probability +1.1 pts (now 4%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Andrew Stein 38 yd FG GOOD — USM win probability +2.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:55: Kai Locksley run for 63 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK) — UTEP win probability +2.8 pts (now 8%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:35: Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 6 yds for a TD, (Andrew Stein KICK) — USM win probability +4.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USM made the numbers' call on 3 of 4UTEP made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00UTEP 4th & 9 at UTEP 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:26UTEP 4th & 6 at UTEP 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:31UTEP 4th & 5 at UTEP 49, down 14
    Close callPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:27USM 4th & 10 at USM 37, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:02UTEP 4th & 5 at USM 11, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    4.9%−1.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:39UTEP 4th & 11 at UTEP 24, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:16UTEP 4th & 12 at USM 29, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.5%
    58% to make
    Punt
    4.1%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:55USM 4th & 3 at USM 27, up 18
    Close callPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:25UTEP 4th & 10 at USM 39, down 18
    Close callPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    4.0%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:19USM 4th & 7 at UTEP 25, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.0%
    66% to make
    Punt
    96.3%−1.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:19UTEP 4th & 10 at UTEP 48, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:20USM 4th & 4 at USM 34, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:24UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 39, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.0%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:33UTEP 4th & 20 at UTEP 30, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USM made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UTEP made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:35USM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:31USM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:07USM Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:55UTEP Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:35USM Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTEPDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
96.2%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Jess Trussell for 3 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 31
-2
96.2%
Treyvon Hughes run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 29
0
96.2%
Brandon Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 29
+2
96.2%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 43 yds , Jaylond Adams returns for 2 yds to the SoMis 30 Jaylond Adams fumbled, recovered by SoMis Jaylond AdamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 2TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 1:4096% → 96%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
95.9%
De'Michael Harris run for 7 yds to the SoMis 37Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 3
OWN 37
-5
95.9%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 32Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 8
OWN 32
-6
95.9%
Jack Abraham sacked by Praise Amaewhule for a loss of 6 yards to the SoMis 26Similar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 14
OWN 26
+74
95.7%
Jack Abraham pass complete to De'Michael Harris for 74 yds for a TD, (Andrew Stein KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
95.7%
UTEP Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 17Similar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 15
OWN 17
0
95.7%
Brandon Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 15
OWN 17
+9
95.7%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Jess Trussell for 9 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
Q1 11:26
3RD & 6
OWN 26
0
95.7%
Brandon Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:26
4TH & 6
OWN 26
0
95.8%
TEAM punt blocked by Jordan Mitchell blocked by Jordan MitchellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 4TD
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:4196% → 96%
Q1 10:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
95.7%
Steven Anderson run for no gain to the UTEP 2Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
95.9%
De'Michael Harris run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andrew Stein KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+21
95.8%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 21 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
95.8%
Treyvon Hughes run for 3 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
95.7%
Brandon Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:31
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+2
95.8%
Brandon Jones run for 2 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q1 9:31
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
95.8%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jaylond Adams at the SoMis 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 24 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-4
95.8%
De'Michael Harris run for a loss of 4 yards to the SoMis 9Similar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 14
OWN 9
+8
95.8%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jordan Mitchell for 8 yds to the SoMis 17Similar
Q1 7:27
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+8
95.8%
Jack Abraham run for 8 yds to the SoMis 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
95.8%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 20Similar
Q1 7:27
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
95.8%
Kevin Perkins run for 2 yds to the SoMis 22Similar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+15
95.8%
ABRAHAM, Jack deep pass incomplete to JONES, Tim, PENALTY UTEP pass interference (LOWE, Duron) 15 yards to the USM37, 1ST DOWN USM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
95.8%
Kevin Perkins run for no gain to the SoMis 37Similar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
95.8%
Jack Abraham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:27
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
95.8%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Jordan MitchellSimilar
Q1 7:27
4TH & 10
OWN 37
+8
95.7%
Zac Everett punt for 48 yds , Justin Garrett returns for 8 yds to the UTEP 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 7FG
13 plays · 66 yds · 4:455% → 6%
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
95.3%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Alan Busey for 11 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
95.3%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Forest McKeeSimilar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+21
95.3%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Jess Trussell for 21 yds to the SoMis 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
95.2%
Kai Locksley run for 6 yds to the SoMis 39Similar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 4
OPP 39
-2
95.1%
Treyvon Hughes run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 41Similar
Q1 0:57
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+7
95.2%
Kai Locksley run for 7 yds to the SoMis 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+18
95.0%
Kai Locksley run for 18 yds to the SoMis 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
94.9%
Kai Locksley run for 5 yds to the SoMis 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 11
0
94.9%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Devaughn Cooper, broken up by Rachuan MitchellSimilar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 5
OPP 11
0
95.0%
Kai Locksley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:02
4TH & 5
OPP 11
+28
94.4%
Gavin Baechle 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 8FUMBLE
8 plays · 64 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
94.5%
ABRAHAM, Jack deep pass incomplete to ADAMS, Jaylond, PENALTY USM holding 10 yards to the USM15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+2
94.5%
Steven Anderson run for 2 yds to the SoMis 17Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+61
94.5%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 61 yds to the UTEP 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-10
94.8%
HARRIS, D. rush left for 3 yards to the UTEP19 (LEWIS, Michael), PENALTY USM holding (CLOPTON, Trace) 10 yards to the UTEP32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 20
OPP 32
0
94.7%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Quez Watkins, broken up by Praise AmaewhuleSimilar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 20
OPP 32
0
94.6%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Jordan MitchellSimilar
Q2 14:02
3RD & 20
OPP 32
+21
94.5%
De'Michael Harris run for 21 yds to the UTEP 30 De'Michael Harris fumbled, forced by Michael Lewis, recovered by UTEP Justin Rogers , return for 19 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · -6 yds · 1:126% → 5%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-15
94.5%
UTEP Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the UTEP 15Similar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
94.6%
Josh Fields run for 1 yd to the UTEP 16Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+8
94.6%
Kavika Johnson run for 8 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
Q2 10:39
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+1
94.4%
Kai Locksley run for 1 yd to the UTEP 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
94.5%
Kai Locksley run for 2 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-3
94.5%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Josh Fields for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 24Similar
Q2 10:39
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
94.7%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Jacob CowingSimilar
Q2 10:39
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
94.7%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 54 yds , Jaylond Adams returns for no gain to the SoMis 22 Jaylond Adams fumbled, recovered by SoMis Jaylond AdamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 10TD
14 plays · 78 yds · 5:2794% → 97%
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
94.3%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Kevin Perkins for 3 yds to the SoMis 25Similar
Q2 8:34
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+5
94.3%
Kevin Perkins run for 5 yds to the SoMis 30Similar
Q2 8:34
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+6
94.2%
Jack Abraham pass complete to De'Michael Harris for 6 yds to the SoMis 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
94.5%
Kevin Perkins run for 15 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
94.6%
Steven Anderson run for 5 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q2 8:34
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+2
94.7%
Steven Anderson run for 2 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q2 8:34
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+6
94.6%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 6 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
94.6%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 3 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q2 8:34
2ND & 7
OPP 33
0
94.7%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Jordan MitchellSimilar
Q2 4:27
3RD & 7
OPP 33
-5
93.9%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 38Similar
Q2 4:27
3RD & 12
OPP 38
+15
93.8%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 15 yds to the UTEP 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
94.2%
De'Michael Harris run for 1 yd to the UTEP 22Similar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+22
96.7%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jordan Mitchell for 22 yds for a TD, (Andrew Stein KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11FG
13 plays · 36 yds · 2:515% → 4%
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
95.5%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Tre'Shon Wolf for 13 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
95.4%
Kai Locksley sacked by Eriq Kitchen for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 46Similar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+9
96.9%
Kai Locksley run for 9 yds to the SoMis 45Similar
Q2 2:17
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+18
94.9%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 18 yds to the SoMis 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
95.6%
Kai Locksley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+8
95.8%
Kai Locksley run for 8 yds to the SoMis 19Similar
Q2 2:17
3RD & 2
OPP 19
0
94.1%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Jacob CowingSimilar
Q2 2:17
4TH & 2
OPP 19
-5
94.4%
UTEP Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 24Similar
Q2 2:17
4TH & 7
OPP 24
-5
96.6%
UTEP Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 29Similar
Q2 0:16
4TH & 12
OPP 29
+46
96.0%
Gavin Baechle 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 12FG
3 plays · 29 yds · 0:1696% → 97%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+29
96.0%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 29 yds to the UTEP 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+38
96.5%
Andrew Stein 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
95.6%
De'Michael Harris run for 7 yds to the SoMis 27Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 3
OWN 27
0
95.6%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Quez WatkinsSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
95.5%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Kevin Perkins, broken up by Duron LoweSimilar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
95.2%
Zac Everett punt for 36 yds , Justin Garrett returns for no gain to the UTEP 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14TD
1 play · 63 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+63
92.5%
Kai Locksley run for 63 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 15TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 4:3093% → 97%
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+14
92.9%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Neil McLaurin for 14 yds to the SoMis 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
92.9%
Kevin Perkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 31Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+3
92.9%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Neil McLaurin for 3 yds to the SoMis 34Similar
Q3 13:05
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+27
92.6%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 22 yds to the SOUMISS 44 for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Denzel Chukwukelu) to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+29
93.4%
Kevin Perkins run for 29 yds to the UTEP 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
93.4%
Kevin Perkins run for 4 yds to the UTEP 16Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 6
OPP 16
-3
93.4%
Chandler Rogers run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 19Similar
Q3 13:05
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+11
93.1%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jordan Mitchell for 11 yds to the UTEP 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
93.3%
De'Michael Harris run for 2 yds to the UTEP 6Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
97.3%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 6 yds for a TD, (Andrew Stein KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 51 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
96.5%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 9 yds to the UTEP 19Similar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 1
OWN 19
0
96.3%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Jayson VanHookSimilar
Q3 8:25
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+2
96.5%
Treyvon Hughes run for 2 yds to the UTEP 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+13
96.4%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Alan Busey for 13 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+27
96.2%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Alan Busey for 27 yds to the SoMis 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-13
96.0%
Kai Locksley sacked by Darius Kennedy for a loss of 13 yards to the UTEP 48Similar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 23
OWN 48
+10
96.4%
Kai Locksley run for 10 yds to the SoMis 42Similar
Q3 8:25
3RD & 13
OPP 42
+3
96.3%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 3 yds to the SoMis 39Similar
Q3 8:25
4TH & 10
OPP 39
0
96.2%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 29 yds, downed at the SoMis 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 17MISSED FG
13 plays · 65 yds · 5:5397% → 98%
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
97.3%
Kevin Perkins run for 6 yds to the SoMis 16Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 4
OWN 16
-5
97.3%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jordan Mitchell for 6 yds to the SoMis 22 SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jaylond Adams) to the SoMis 11Similar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
97.3%
De'Michael Harris run for 7 yds to the SoMis 18Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 3
OWN 18
-9
97.4%
HARRIS, D. rush up middle for 18 yards to the USM36, out-of-bounds (ROGERS, Justin), PENALTY USM illegal block (CLOPTON, Trace) 9 yards to the USM9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 12
OWN 9
+36
96.5%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 36 yds to the SoMis 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
97.5%
Kevin Perkins run for 6 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+2
97.9%
Kevin Perkins run for 2 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+2
97.9%
Jack Abraham run for 2 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+17
97.9%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Cole Cavallo for 17 yds to the UTEP 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
97.9%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Quez WatkinsSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+3
97.9%
De'Michael Harris run for 3 yds to the UTEP 25Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 25
0
97.9%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Neil McLaurin, broken up by Dylan ParseeSimilar
Q4 12:19
4TH & 7
OPP 25
+42
98.1%
Andrew Stein 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
97.5%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 23 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
97.3%
Brandon Jones pass incomplete to Alan Busey, broken up by Ky'el HembySimilar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
97.3%
Brandon Jones pass incomplete, broken up by Eriq KitchenSimilar
Q4 12:19
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
97.4%
Brandon Jones pass incomplete to Walter Dawn Jr.Similar
Q4 12:19
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
97.5%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jaylond Adams at the SoMis 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
98.1%
De'Michael Harris run for 11 yds to the SoMis 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
98.1%
Kevin Perkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the SoMis 25Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 13
OWN 25
+4
98.0%
Jaylond Adams run for 4 yds to the SoMis 29Similar
Q4 11:20
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+5
98.0%
De'Michael Harris run for 5 yds to the SoMis 34Similar
Q4 11:20
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
98.0%
Zac Everett punt for 36 yds , Walter Dawn Jr. returns for no gain to the UTEP 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 0 yds · 1:512% → 3%
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
97.6%
Josh Fields run for 3 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+2
97.6%
Josh Fields run for 2 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q4 8:24
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+4
97.6%
Brandon Jones run for 4 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q4 8:24
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+1
97.6%
Brandon Jones run for 1 yd to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-6
97.2%
Brandon Jones sacked by Jacques Turner and Darius Kennedy for a loss of 6 yards to the UTEP 34Similar
Q4 6:33
2ND & 16
OWN 34
0
97.4%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Josh Fields for no gain to the UTEP 34Similar
Q4 6:33
3RD & 16
OWN 34
-4
97.5%
Brandon Jones sacked by Ty'Ree Evans for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 30Similar
Q4 6:33
4TH & 20
OWN 30
0
97.5%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 29 yds, downed at the SoMis 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 21END OF GAME
7 plays · 36 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
98.6%
Darius Maberry run for no gain to the SoMis 41Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
98.6%
Darius Maberry run for 4 yds to the SoMis 45Similar
Q4 4:35
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+9
98.6%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 9 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
98.6%
Darius Maberry run for 3 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+12
98.6%
Darius Maberry run for 12 yds to the UTEP 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
98.6%
Chandler Rogers run for 9 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 1
OPP 22
-1
98.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:35
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 6 yds for a TD, (Andrew Stein KICK)
+4
TD · Q3 13:55
Kai Locksley run for 63 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)
-2.8
TD · Q2 3:07
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jordan Mitchell for 22 yds for a TD, (Andrew Stein KICK)
+2.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com