Try the model
LT

Louisiana Tech 23 at Rice 20

RICE
2019 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2019 · Rice Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:00 · Brady Farlow punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 127Pregame prior−5.5Home team on offense−1.5Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential−4.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.3Time remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:25: Aston Walter run for 2 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK) — RICE win probability +6.1 pts (now 39%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:23: Justin Henderson run for 26 yds for a TD, (Bailey Hale KICK) — LT win probability +16.9 pts (now 61%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 2:51: Chris Barnes 37 yd FG GOOD — RICE win probability +24.4 pts (now 86%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 1:10: Bailey Hale 31 yd FG GOOD — LT win probability +21.3 pts (now 53%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Chris Barnes 36 Yd Field Goal — RICE win probability +29.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 10 of 11LT made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00LT 4th & 11 at LT 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.2%
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:25LT 4th & 4 at LT 45, down 7
    Close callPunted · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.9%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:52RICE 4th & 1 at RICE 27, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.6%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:29LT 4th & 14 at LT 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%−1.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:02RICE 4th & 3 at LT 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    47.9%−1.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    47.3%−1.7
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:20RICE 4th & 6 at LT 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.5%
    79% to make
    Punt
    52.8%−7.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:20LT 4th & 7 at LT 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.1%−1.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:34RICE 4th & 13 at LT 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%−2.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:06LT 4th & 3 at LT 37, down 7
    Close callPunted · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.6%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:06RICE 4th & 4 at RICE 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%−1.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00RICE 4th & 11 at RICE 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−2.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:55LT 4th & 3 at midfield, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%−2.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:36RICE 4th & 4 at RICE 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%−0.8
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:00LT 4th & 12 at LT 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−5.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:35RICE 4th & 2 at LT 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    52.5%−4.4
    54% to make
    Punt
    48.4%−8.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:51RICE 4th & 5 at LT 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.0%
    77% to make
    Punt
    29.7%−25.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:10LT 4th & 10 at RICE 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−20.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.7%
    85% to make
    Punt
    8.5%−28.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:10RICE 4th & 3 at RICE 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.9%−3.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:31LT 4th & 10 at LT 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.1%−13.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.3%
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:00RICE 4th & 2 at LT 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%−13.5
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.9%
    80% to make
    Punt
    36.5%−29.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RICE made the numbers' call on 2 of 2LT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:58RICE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:32LT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:25RICE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:23LT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LTDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
22.8%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 1 yd to the LaTch 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
22.8%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Griffin HebertSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+5
22.8%
RICE Penalty, Defensive offside (Tyrae Thornton) to the LaTch 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 32
-7
22.8%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Myles Adams for a loss of 7 yards to the LaTch 25Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 25
+13
22.8%
Brady Farlow punt for 34 yds , Austin Trammell returns for 13 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2TD
6 plays · 46 yds · 3:0924% → 27%
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
24.0%
Charlie Booker run for 3 yds to the LaTch 43Similar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+7
24.0%
Wiley Green pass complete to August Pitre III for 7 yds to the LaTch 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-14
24.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 14 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 24
50
+18
23.8%
Wiley Green pass complete to Brad Rozner for 18 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
Q1 13:07
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+16
23.9%
Wiley Green pass complete to Brad Rozner for 16 yds to the LaTch 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
27.4%
Aston Walter run for 16 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 3TD
14 plays · 73 yds · 6:2673% → 73%
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
26.7%
Justin Henderson run for 7 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+3
26.5%
Justin Henderson run for 3 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
26.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 14 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
26.3%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (Adrian Hardy) to the LaTch 46Similar
Q1 9:58
1ST & 15
OWN 46
-5
26.6%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Anthony Ekpe for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 41 J'Mar Smith fumbled, recovered by LaTch Gewhite Stallworth , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 20
OWN 41
+20
26.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 20 yds to the Rice 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
26.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Smoke Harris for 3 yds to the Rice 36Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+7
26.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 7 yds to the Rice 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
26.1%
RICE Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Rice 24Similar
Q1 9:58
1ST & 5
OPP 24
+11
26.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 11 yds to the Rice 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
26.1%
Justin Henderson run for 2 yds to the Rice 11Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+2
26.1%
Justin Henderson run for 2 yds to the Rice 9Similar
Q1 3:32
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+9
27.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 9 yds for a TD, (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 5:0729% → 39%
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
28.7%
Wiley Green pass complete to Austin Trammell for 4 yds to the Rice 39Similar
Q1 3:32
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+7
29.4%
Wiley Green pass complete to Jordan Myers for 7 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
29.5%
Charlie Booker run for 5 yds to the LaTch 49Similar
Q1 3:32
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+10
29.7%
Wiley Green pass complete to Brad Rozner for 10 yds to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
29.7%
Wiley Green run for 8 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q1 3:32
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+7
30.0%
Charlie Booker run for 7 yds to the LaTch 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
32.5%
Charlie Booker run for 5 yds to the LaTch 19Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+16
32.5%
Charlie Booker run for 16 yds to the LaTch 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
32.5%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Charlie BookerSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
32.5%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Michael Sam) to the LaTch 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
38.7%
Aston Walter run for 2 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
36.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Griffin HebertSimilar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
36.8%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q2 13:25
3RD & 10
OWN 16
+23
37.4%
J'Mar Smith run for 8 yds to the LaTch 24 for a 1ST down RICE Penalty, personal foul (Trey Schuman) to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
35.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Smoke Harris for 6 yds to the LaTch 45Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 4
OWN 45
0
35.2%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian Hardy, broken up by Tyrae ThorntonSimilar
Q2 13:25
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
35.4%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Cee Jay Powell, broken up by Prudy CalderonSimilar
Q2 13:25
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
36.6%
Brady Farlow punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0039% → 38%
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
38.7%
Aston Walter run for 5 yds to the Rice 23Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 5
OWN 23
0
38.7%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q2 11:52
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+4
38.0%
Aston Walter run for 4 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q2 11:52
4TH & 1
OWN 27
0
37.5%
Chris Barnes punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Cee Jay Powell at the LaTch 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0061% → 60%
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
39.0%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 10 yds to the LaTch 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
38.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Smoke Harris for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 40Similar
Q2 10:29
2ND & 11
OWN 40
-14
38.9%
J'Mar Smith sacked by De'Braylon Carroll for a loss of 14 yards to the LaTch 26Similar
Q2 10:29
3RD & 25
OWN 26
+11
40.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 11 yds to the LaTch 37Similar
Q2 10:29
4TH & 14
OWN 37
0
40.5%
Brady Farlow punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8INT
16 plays · 70 yds · 7:5244% → 53%
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
43.5%
Tom Stewart run for 8 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+9
44.5%
Aston Walter run for 9 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
45.0%
Tom Stewart run for 3 yds to the Rice 45Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+2
45.2%
Aston Walter run for 2 yds to the Rice 46 Aston Walter fumbled, forced by Darryl Lewis, recovered by Rice Jordan MyersSimilar
Q2 8:02
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+12
44.2%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Brad Rozner for 12 yds to the LaTch 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
45.5%
Tom Stewart sacked by James Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 43 Tom Stewart fumbled, recovered by Rice Clay Servin , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+3
45.1%
Aston Walter run for 3 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
Q2 8:02
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+5
44.6%
Aston Walter run for 5 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q2 8:02
4TH & 3
OPP 35
+8
43.5%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Austin Trammell for 8 yds to the LaTch 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
45.6%
Tom Stewart run for 7 yds to the LaTch 20Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+12
45.6%
Aston Walter run for 12 yds to the LaTch 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
45.6%
Charlie Booker run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 9Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
54.0%
Charlie Booker run for 4 yds to the LaTch 5Similar
Q2 0:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
52.6%
Tom Stewart pass intercepted, touchback. Darryl Lewis return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9END OF HALF
1 play · 12 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
49.7%
Justin Henderson run for 12 yds to the LaTch 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10MISSED FG
10 plays · 57 yds · 4:4052% → 57%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
52.0%
Aston Walter run for 5 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
52.5%
Aston Walter run for 7 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
53.0%
Wiley Green pass complete to Jake Bailey for 5 yds to the Rice 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+8
54.3%
Wiley Green pass complete to Brad Rozner for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+28
54.5%
Aston Walter run for 28 yds to the LaTch 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
54.9%
Charlie Booker run for 3 yds to the LaTch 19Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+1
54.9%
Charlie Booker run for 1 yd to the LaTch 18Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 18
0
53.9%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Austin Trammell, broken up by Ezekiel BarnettSimilar
Q3 10:20
4TH & 6
OPP 18
+36
57.4%
Will Harrison 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0044% → 42%
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
55.6%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 3 yds to the LaTch 23Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
55.7%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Jaqwis DancySimilar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
56.9%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:20
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
57.9%
Brady Farlow punt for 22 yds, downed at the LaTch 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0063% → 58%
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
63.0%
Aston Walter run for 2 yds to the LaTch 43Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 8
OPP 43
-5
62.9%
Aston Walter run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 48 Aston Walter fumbled, forced by Courtney Wallace, recovered by Rice Shea BakerSimilar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 13
OPP 48
0
59.9%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q3 9:34
4TH & 13
OPP 48
0
58.0%
Adam Nunez punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Cee Jay Powell at the LaTch 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
58.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Justin Henderson for 9 yds to the LaTch 21Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 1
OWN 21
+9
56.9%
Justin Henderson run for 9 yds to the LaTch 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
57.3%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian Hardy, broken up by Tyrae ThorntonSimilar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+7
57.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Justin Henderson for 7 yds to the LaTch 37Similar
Q3 8:06
3RD & 3
OWN 37
0
56.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Griffin Hebert, broken up by George NyakwolSimilar
Q3 8:06
4TH & 3
OWN 37
+2
58.5%
Brady Farlow punt for 41 yds , Austin Trammell returns for 2 yds to the Rice 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0063% → 61%
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-10
63.0%
RICE Penalty, Offensive holding (Nahshon Ellerbe) to the Rice 14Similar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+11
62.6%
Wiley Green pass complete to Austin Trammell for 11 yds to the Rice 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
63.0%
Aston Walter run for 5 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
63.5%
Aston Walter run for 1 yd to the Rice 31Similar
Q3 8:06
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
62.2%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Brad Rozner, broken up by Amik RobertsonSimilar
Q3 8:06
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+2
61.2%
Chris Barnes punt for 47 yds , Cee Jay Powell returns for 2 yds to the LaTch 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 15TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 2:5838% → 61%
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+20
62.2%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Wayne Toussant for 20 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
59.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 5 yds to the LaTch 49Similar
Q3 4:21
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+6
58.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 6 yds to the Rice 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
58.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 10 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
56.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Justin Henderson for 3 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q3 4:21
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+6
55.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Wayne Toussant for 6 yds to the Rice 26Similar
Q3 1:23
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+26
38.6%
Justin Henderson run for 26 yds for a TD, (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:2347% → 45%
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
47.2%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Aston Walter, broken up by James JacksonSimilar
Q3 1:23
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+3
47.0%
Charlie Booker run for 3 yds to the Rice 24Similar
Q3 1:23
3RD & 7
OWN 24
-4
45.1%
Charlie Booker run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 20Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 20
0
44.6%
Adam Nunez punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0059% → 58%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
40.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Justin Henderson for 8 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 2
OPP 49
0
39.0%
Justin Henderson run for no gain to the Rice 49Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 2
OPP 49
-1
40.2%
Justin Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 3
50
0
42.3%
Brady Farlow punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0049% → 46%
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
49.3%
Charlie Booker run for 4 yds to the Rice 14Similar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+2
49.3%
Charlie Booker run for 2 yds to the Rice 16Similar
Q4 12:36
3RD & 4
OWN 16
0
47.3%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q4 12:36
4TH & 4
OWN 16
0
45.9%
Chris Barnes punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Michael Sam at the LaTch 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0056% → 51%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
44.2%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (Willie Allen) to the LaTch 31Similar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+3
45.8%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 3 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 12
OWN 34
0
46.1%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Jaqwis DancySimilar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 12
OWN 34
0
47.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q4 11:00
4TH & 12
OWN 34
0
49.2%
Brady Farlow punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 20FG
17 plays · 53 yds · 7:0951% → 86%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
51.4%
Charlie Booker run for 6 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 4
OWN 34
-3
53.9%
Charlie Booker run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 31Similar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+15
49.6%
Wiley Green pass complete to Austin Trammell for 15 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
56.0%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Brad Rozner, broken up by Amik RobertsonSimilar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
54.0%
Charlie Booker run for no gain to the Rice 46Similar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+15
51.5%
Wiley Green pass complete to Austin Trammell for 15 yds to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
57.3%
Charlie Booker run for 4 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+2
58.7%
Charlie Booker run for 2 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+2
56.6%
Charlie Booker run for 2 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q4 8:35
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+7
53.6%
Charlie Booker run for 7 yds to the LaTch 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-3
58.7%
Wiley Green run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 27 Wiley Green fumbled, recovered by Rice Wiley GreenSimilar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 13
OPP 27
+4
57.4%
Charlie Booker run for 4 yds to the LaTch 23Similar
Q4 3:01
3RD & 9
OPP 23
+4
60.7%
Aston Walter run for 4 yds to the LaTch 19Similar
Q4 2:51
4TH & 5
OPP 19
+37
85.9%
Chris Barnes 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 21FG
9 plays · 56 yds · 1:4126% → 53%
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+22
73.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 22 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+22
68.0%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 22 yds to the Rice 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
64.4%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Cee Jay Powell, broken up by George NyakwolSimilar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+12
65.0%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 12 yds to the Rice 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
64.4%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Griffin HebertSimilar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
64.4%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Griffin Hebert, broken up by Treshawn ChamberlainSimilar
Q4 2:51
3RD & 10
OPP 13
0
68.0%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q4 1:10
4TH & 10
OPP 13
+31
46.7%
Bailey Hale 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:0058% → 56%
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
57.5%
RICE Penalty, illegal procedure (Justin Gooseberry) to the Rice 20Similar
Q4 1:10
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+4
57.0%
Wiley Green pass complete to August Pitre III for 4 yds to the Rice 24Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
56.7%
Wiley Green pass complete to Jake Bailey for 6 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+2
56.5%
Wiley Green pass complete to Aston Walter for 2 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q4 1:10
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
55.9%
Adam Nunez punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Cee Jay Powell at the LaTch 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0050% → 45%
Q4 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
50.2%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Isaiah Graham, broken up by Prudy CalderonSimilar
Q4 0:31
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
51.3%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:31
3RD & 10
OWN 29
0
53.0%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian Hardy, broken up by Tyrae ThorntonSimilar
Q4 0:31
4TH & 10
OWN 29
+16
55.2%
Brady Farlow punt for 36 yds , Austin Trammell returns for 16 yds to the LaTch 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 24END OF HALF TD
10 plays · 0 yds · 15:0465% → 71%
Q4 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
64.7%
Dylan Silcox pass incomplete to August Pitre III, broken up by Michael SamSimilar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+36
93.9%
Chris Barnes 36 Yd Field Goal Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
84.6%
Aston Walter run for 6 yds to the LaTch 19Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
84.6%
Aston Walter run for 6 yds to the LaTch 19Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+3
84.6%
Aston Walter run for 3 yds to the LaTch 16Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
70.9%
J'Mar Smith run for 9 yds to the Rice 16Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 16
0
70.9%
Justin Henderson run for no gain to the Rice 16Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
70.9%
J'Mar Smith run for 9 yds to the Rice 16Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 12
0
70.9%
Justin Henderson run for no gain to the Rice 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 25TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
OT 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+4
12.1%
Justin Henderson run for no gain to the Rice 12 Justin Henderson run for 4 yds to the Rice 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Chris Barnes 36 Yd Field Goal
+29.2
FG · Q4 2:51
Chris Barnes 37 yd FG GOOD
+24.4
FG · Q4 1:10
Bailey Hale 31 yd FG GOOD
-21.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com