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FAU

Florida Atlantic 45 at Charlotte 27

CLT
2019 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2019 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
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Win probability · CLT
modelCLT aheadFAU aheadconfidence bandkey playCLT scoreFAU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 15:00 · Matthew Hayball punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Nafees Lyon at the Charl 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingOne-score game
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 110Home team on offense−9.6Score differential−5.4Garbage-time factor−2.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.4One-score game+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:26: Chris Reynolds pass complete to Jacob Hunt for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +11.1 pts (now 52%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q2 0:25: Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 18 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +11.0 pts (now 69%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:39: Chris Reynolds pass complete to Aaron McAllister for 16 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +14.8 pts (now 50%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. TD · Q3 6:25: Malcolm Davidson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +13.2 pts (now 74%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:12: Chris Robison pass complete to John Raine for 2 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +15.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLT made the numbers' call on 9 of 9FAU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00CLT 4th & 10 at CLT 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:01CLT 4th & 11 at CLT 24, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.7%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:17CLT 4th & 13 at FAU 41, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    48.7%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    48.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:26FAU 4th & 8 at CLT 13, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.8%
    85% to make
    Punt
    52.0%−3.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:26CLT 4th & 11 at CLT 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:15FAU 4th & 8 at CLT 13, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.9%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.3%
    85% to make
    Punt
    54.7%−3.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:34FAU 4th & 22 at FAU 8, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.9%−2.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00FAU 4th & 9 at FAU 32, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.6%−1.7
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:25CLT 4th & 7 at CLT 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.0%−1.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:12CLT 4th & 5 at CLT 30, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00FAU 4th & 22 at FAU 16, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%−3.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:52CLT 4th & 30 at CLT 15, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−3.8
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:51FAU 4th & 11 at FAU 44, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.3%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:34CLT 4th & 8 at CLT 21, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:14FAU 4th & 11 at FAU 33, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:33CLT 4th & 6 at CLT 37, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4FAU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 13:01FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    51.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:10FAU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    54.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    54.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:29CLT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:26CLT Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:25FAU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:39CLT Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:25FAU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 2:12FAU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 7:34FAU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:13CLT Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    1.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-3
49.1%
Chris Reynolds run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 20
0
49.1%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Benny LeMaySimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 20
+3
49.1%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Charl 23Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 23
+1
49.1%
Connor Bowler punt for 47 yds , Dante Cousart returns for 1 yd to the FlAtl 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 2TD
2 plays · 69 yds · 0:2451% → 51%
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+66
49.3%
Deangelo Antoine run for 66 yds to the Charl 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
48.9%
Larry McCammon III run for 3 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
49.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 4 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
49.1%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Cameron DollarSimilar
Q1 13:01
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-5
49.0%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Tim Bonner for a loss of 5 yards to the Charl 24Similar
Q1 13:01
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
48.9%
Connor Bowler punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Dante Cousart at the FlAtl 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 4INT
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
48.8%
Malcolm Davidson run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 6
OWN 47
0
48.8%
Chris Robison pass intercepted Jeff Gemmell return for no gain to the FlAtl 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:0250% → 49%
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
49.5%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass incomplete to TUCKER, Victor, PENALTY FAU holding (BROWN, Da'Von) 10 yards to the FAU38, 1ST DOWN CLT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-10
49.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 10 yards to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 20
OPP 48
-6
49.3%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Ray Ellis for a loss of 6 yards to the Charl 46Similar
Q1 11:19
3RD & 26
OWN 46
+13
49.0%
Benny LeMay run for 13 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q1 9:17
4TH & 13
OPP 41
0
49.0%
Connor Bowler punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:0051% → 57%
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+33
49.3%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 33 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-3
48.7%
Chris Robison run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 13
50
+12
48.9%
Malcolm Davidson run for 12 yds to the Charl 38Similar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 1
OPP 38
-15
48.8%
DAVIDSON, Ma. rush for 6 yards to the CLT32 (HIGHSMITH, Alex), PENALTY FAU illegal block (BRYANT, Harriso) 15 yards to the FAU47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 16
OWN 47
+16
49.3%
Chris Robison pass complete to Larry McCammon III for 16 yds to the Charl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
48.7%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 4 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 6
OPP 33
0
48.6%
Larry McCammon III run for no gain to the Charl 33Similar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+30
48.8%
Chris Robison pass complete to Malcolm Davidson for 30 yds to the Charl 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
43.0%
Malcolm Davidson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Chris Robison pass to John Mitchell for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 7TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 2:4144% → 49%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
44.4%
Benny LeMay run for no gain to the Charl 21Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+11
44.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Tyler Ringwood for 11 yds to the Charl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
44.6%
Benny LeMay run for 7 yds to the Charl 39Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+2
45.0%
Benny LeMay run for 2 yds to the Charl 41Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+15
45.0%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Chris Tooley) to the FlAtl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
45.2%
Benny LeMay run for 14 yds to the FlAtl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
45.6%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 6 yds to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+24
49.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 24 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8FG
18 plays · 62 yds · 5:0353% → 57%
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
46.6%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 2 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
46.5%
Malcolm Davidson run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q1 3:29
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
46.4%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 5 yds to the FlAtl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
46.2%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 3 yds to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+6
45.8%
Larry McCammon III run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q1 3:29
3RD & 1
OWN 46
-5
45.9%
MCCAMMON, Larry rush for 3 yards to the FAU49 (GEMMELL, Jeff), PENALTY FAU offside (HARRISON, T) 5 yards to the FAU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:29
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+7
45.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to Dante Cousart for 7 yds to the FlAtl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
45.8%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (John Mitchell) to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 15
OWN 43
+4
46.2%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Mitchell for 4 yds to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+12
46.0%
Larry McCammon III run for 12 yds to the Charl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
45.5%
Larry McCammon III run for 3 yds to the Charl 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+23
44.2%
Nick Tronti run for 23 yds to the Charl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
43.9%
Nick Tronti run for 6 yds to the Charl 9Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 9
-1
43.9%
James Charles run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 10Similar
Q2 13:53
3RD & 5
OPP 10
-3
43.2%
Chris Robison sacked by Jacione Fugate for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 13Similar
Q2 13:26
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+31
43.1%
Vladimir Rivas 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0042% → 41%
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
41.8%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Charl 25Similar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
42.0%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Cameron Dollar, broken up by Zyon GilbertSimilar
Q2 13:26
3RD & 7
OWN 25
-4
41.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Benny LeMay for a loss of 4 yards to the Charl 21Similar
Q2 13:26
4TH & 11
OWN 21
0
41.1%
Connor Bowler punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dante Cousart at the FlAtl 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10MISSED FG
6 plays · 49 yds · 2:3358% → 59%
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
41.8%
Malcolm Davidson run for no gain to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+47
41.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Mitchell for 47 yds to the Charl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
41.3%
Chris Robison run for 2 yds to the Charl 13Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
41.3%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Deangelo Antoine, broken up by Jacione FugateSimilar
Q2 11:48
3RD & 8
OPP 13
0
41.6%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for no gain to the Charl 13Similar
Q2 9:15
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+31
41.4%
Vladimir Rivas 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 11INT
9 plays · 56 yds · 0:0040% → 43%
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
39.6%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Gage Welborn) to the Charl 15Similar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+20
39.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 20 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
40.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Micaleous Elder for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 33Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 12
OWN 33
-15
39.6%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass complete to DOLLAR, Cameron for 33 yards to the FAU34 (BROWN, Da'Von), PENALTY CLT illegal use of hands (EMMANUEL, D.) 15 yards to the CLT18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 27
OWN 18
-2
39.4%
Benny LeMay run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 20 Benny LeMay fumbled, forced by Noah Jefferson, recovered by Charl Benny LeMaySimilar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 25
OWN 20
+34
38.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 34 yds to the FlAtl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
41.6%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Cameron Clark) to the Charl 49Similar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 15
OWN 49
0
40.7%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Cameron DollarSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
42.6%
Chris Reynolds pass intercepted, touchback. Meiko Dotson return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:0062% → 60%
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
38.1%
Daniel Leconte run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 19Similar
Q2 5:34
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
38.5%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Deangelo AntoineSimilar
Q2 5:34
3RD & 11
OWN 19
-11
39.1%
Chris Robison sacked by DJ Anderson for a loss of 11 yards to the FlAtl 8 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 5:34
4TH & 22
OWN 8
+7
39.8%
Matthew Hayball punt for 40 yds , Nafees Lyon returns for 7 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13TD
4 plays · 41 yds · 1:0739% → 52%
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
39.2%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Jacob HuntSimilar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+12
39.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 12 yds to the FlAtl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+28
40.4%
Cameron Dollar pass complete to Chris Reynolds for 28 yds to the FlAtl 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
51.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Jacob Hunt for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 14TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:0154% → 69%
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
45.7%
Chris Robison run for no gain to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
46.1%
James Charles run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q2 3:26
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
45.6%
James Charles run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q2 3:26
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+5
46.2%
ROBISON, Chris pass incomplete to MITCHELL, John, PENALTY CLT offside (STEWART, Demond) 5 yards to the FAU39, 1ST DOWN FAU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-3
43.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 13
OWN 36
0
46.0%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to John MitchellSimilar
Q2 3:26
3RD & 13
OWN 36
+19
46.8%
Malcolm Davidson run for 19 yds to the Charl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+25
43.1%
Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 25 yds to the Charl 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
41.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Raine for 2 yds to the Charl 18Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+18
30.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 18 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15INT
4 plays · 18 yds · 0:0034% → 35%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+18
34.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 18 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
35.1%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-2
34.9%
Chris Reynolds pass intercepted Zyon Gilbert return for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-2
34.0%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:0065% → 64%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+13
35.2%
James Charles run for 13 yds to the FlAtl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
34.7%
James Charles run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 18Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+4
35.0%
James Charles run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 22Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 22
+9
35.6%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Mitchell for 9 yds to the FlAtl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
34.1%
James Charles run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
34.3%
Malcolm Davidson run for no gain to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 32
0
35.4%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to John Raine, broken up by Marquavis GibbsSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 32
0
36.1%
Matthew Hayball punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Nafees Lyon at the Charl 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 18TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 3:0732% → 50%
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
31.9%
Chris Reynolds run for 3 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q3 11:46
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+4
32.1%
Chris Reynolds run for 4 yds to the Charl 37Similar
Q3 11:46
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+6
31.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Benny LeMay for 6 yds to the Charl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+35
33.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 35 yds to the FlAtl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
35.6%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Cameron Dollar, broken up by Zyon GilbertSimilar
Q3 11:46
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+6
35.5%
Benny LeMay run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 16Similar
Q3 8:39
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+16
50.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Aaron McAllister for 16 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 19TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1456% → 74%
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
44.1%
Nick Tronti run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-1
42.5%
Nick Tronti run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q3 8:39
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
43.3%
Nick Tronti run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+57
42.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 57 yds to the Charl 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
39.5%
Malcolm Davidson run for 2 yds to the Charl 4Similar
Q3 6:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
26.3%
Malcolm Davidson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
27.4%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
27.2%
Aaron McAllister run for 3 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q3 6:25
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
26.3%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Cameron DollarSimilar
Q3 6:25
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
25.5%
Connor Bowler punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Dante Cousart at the FlAtl 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 21TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 3:1073% → 91%
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
27.5%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 9 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+2
26.2%
Nick Tronti run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
26.2%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (John Raine) to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q3 5:22
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+6
27.9%
James Charles run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+10
26.4%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Mitchell for 10 yds to the Charl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+41
25.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 41 yds to the Charl 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
25.1%
James Charles run for 3 yds to the Charl 5Similar
Q3 5:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
25.1%
James Charles run for 3 yds to the Charl 2Similar
Q3 2:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
9.5%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Raine for 2 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
14.5%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Tyler Ringwood, broken up by Zyon GilbertSimilar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
14.3%
Chris Reynolds run for 5 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q3 2:12
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
14.6%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Cameron DollarSimilar
Q3 2:12
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
14.3%
Connor Bowler punt for 42 yds, downed at the FlAtl 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 1:0890% → 90%
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
9.9%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Tavaris HarrisonSimilar
Q3 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+1
10.0%
Malcolm Davidson run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q3 1:08
3RD & 9
OWN 29
-13
10.3%
Chris Robison sacked by Henry Segura for a loss of 13 yards to the FlAtl 16Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 22
OWN 16
0
9.9%
Matthew Hayball punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Cameron Dollar at the Charl 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -20 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
12.4%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Cameron Dollar, broken up by Chris TooleySimilar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-10
12.3%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Ray Ellis for a loss of 10 yards to the Charl 25Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 20
OWN 25
-10
11.8%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass complete to LEMAY, Benny for 21 yards to the CLT46 (YOUNG, Teja), PENALTY CLT holding (EMMANUEL, D.) 10 yards to the CLT15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 30
OWN 15
0
11.8%
Ishod Finger run for no gain to the Charl 15Similar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 30
OWN 15
0
11.8%
Connor Bowler punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dante Cousart at the FlAtl 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0093% → 92%
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
7.2%
Malcolm Davidson run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 8
OWN 47
-8
7.2%
Nick Tronti sacked by Alex Highsmith for a loss of 8 yards to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q4 12:51
3RD & 16
OWN 39
+5
7.7%
ROBISON, Chris pass complete to HARRISON, T for 7 yards to the FAU46, out-of-bounds, PENALTY CLT offside (WATTS, Markees) 5 yards to the FAU44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:51
3RD & 11
OWN 44
0
7.6%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Deangelo Antoine, broken up by Jacione FugateSimilar
Q4 12:51
4TH & 11
OWN 44
0
8.1%
Matthew Hayball punt for 33 yds, downed at the Charl 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 26INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
6.4%
Brett Kean pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
6.3%
Brett Kean pass incomplete to Tyler Ringwood, broken up by Chris TooleySimilar
Q4 10:52
3RD & 10
OWN 23
0
6.2%
Brett Kean pass intercepted Meiko Dotson return for no gain to the Charl 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 27TD
5 plays · 45 yds · 2:5894% → 99%
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+22
5.8%
Malcolm Davidson run for 22 yds to the Charl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
5.8%
Malcolm Davidson run for 9 yds to the Charl 14Similar
Q4 10:32
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+5
5.8%
James Charles run for 5 yds to the Charl 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
5.8%
James Charles run for 8 yds to the Charl 1Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.2%
James Charles run for 1 yd for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:002% → 1%
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
1.5%
Benny LeMay run for no gain to the Charl 19Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-4
1.5%
Benny LeMay run for a loss of 4 yards to the Charl 15Similar
Q4 7:34
3RD & 14
OWN 15
+6
1.4%
Brett Kean run for 6 yds to the Charl 21Similar
Q4 7:34
4TH & 8
OWN 21
0
1.4%
Connor Bowler punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Dante Cousart at the FlAtl 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
0.9%
Daniel Leconte run for no gain to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
1.0%
Daniel Leconte run for no gain to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q4 5:14
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+4
1.0%
Nick Tronti run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q4 5:14
4TH & 6
OWN 38
-5
0.9%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (Tim Bonner) to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q4 5:14
4TH & 11
OWN 33
0
1.0%
Matthew Hayball punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Nafees Lyon at the Charl 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 30TD
11 plays · 67 yds · 2:141% → 2%
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
0.9%
Ishod Finger run for 2 yds to the Charl 35Similar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
0.9%
Brett Kean pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
Q4 2:27
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+2
0.9%
Brett Kean pass complete to Jacob Hunt for 2 yds to the Charl 37Similar
Q4 1:33
4TH & 6
OWN 37
+37
0.7%
Brett Kean pass complete to Victor Tucker for 37 yds to the FlAtl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
0.9%
Brett Kean pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 9 yds to the FlAtl 17Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+2
0.9%
Brett Kean run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
0.9%
Brett Kean pass incomplete to Cameron DollarSimilar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+3
0.9%
Ishod Finger run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 12Similar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+7
0.8%
Brett Kean run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
2.2%
Ishod Finger run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 31END OF GAME
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
0.9%
Justin Agner run for 2 yds to the Charl 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:12
Chris Robison pass complete to John Raine for 2 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)
-15.6
TD · Q3 8:39
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Aaron McAllister for 16 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)
+14.8
TD · Q3 6:25
Malcolm Davidson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)
-13.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com