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NEV

Nevada 37 at UTEP 21

UTEP
2019 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2019 · Sun Bowl
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Win probability · UTEP
modelUTEP aheadNEV aheadconfidence bandkey playUTEP scoreNEV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:52 · Kai Locksley sacked by Tristan Nichols for a loss of 8 yards to the UTEP 22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 149Pregame prior−1.1Home team on offense−38.0Score differential−17.3Garbage-time factor−16.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−10.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:49: Treyvon Hughes run for 6 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK) — UTEP win probability +9.7 pts (now 42%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:02: Cristian Solano pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 28 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK) — NEV win probability +12.0 pts (now 73%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:23: Cristian Solano pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 20 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK) — NEV win probability +7.0 pts (now 80%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:01: Kai Locksley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK) — UTEP win probability +19.4 pts (now 50%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:22: Kelton Moore run for 5 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton PAT BLOCKED) — NEV win probability +12.3 pts (now 83%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTEP made the numbers' call on 6 of 7NEV made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 15:00NEV 4th & 7 at NEV 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.9%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:10NEV 4th & 5 at NEV 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:51UTEP 4th & 11 at UTEP 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.0%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:04UTEP 4th & 1 at NEV 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    31.8%−1.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    29.4%−3.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:36UTEP 4th & 6 at UTEP 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00UTEP 4th & 1 at NEV 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    23.4%−2.7
    60% to make
    Punt
    17.5%−8.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:27UTEP 4th & 1 at NEV 2, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.5%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    23.8%−3.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    13.9%−13.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:49NEV 4th & 10 at UTEP 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%−2.4
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    44.0%−14.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:22UTEP 4th & 17 at UTEP 43, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−3.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.3%
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:52UTEP 4th & 20 at UTEP 30, down 16
    Close callWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%−0.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTEP made the numbers' call on 3 of 3NEV made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 8:10UTEP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:56NEV Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:49UTEP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:02NEV Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:23NEV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:01UTEP Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:22NEV Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    82.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:08NEV Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEVDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
17.5%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 3 yds to the Nevad 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
17.5%
Cristian Solano pass incomplete to Jaxson Kincaide, broken up by Denzel ChukwukeluSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
17.5%
Cristian Solano pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
-2
17.5%
Quinton Conaway punt for 40 yds , Justin Garrett returns for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 6:0318% → 23%
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
17.9%
Treyvon Hughes run for 6 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+17
17.9%
Treyvon Hughes run for 17 yds to the Nevad 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
18.0%
Brandon Jones run for 2 yds to the Nevad 45Similar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+9
18.0%
Josh Fields run for 9 yds to the Nevad 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
18.0%
Josh Fields run for 2 yds to the Nevad 34Similar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+3
18.0%
Brandon Jones run for 3 yds to the Nevad 31Similar
Q1 14:13
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+13
18.0%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 13 yds to the Nevad 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
18.0%
Treyvon Hughes run for 6 yds to the Nevad 12Similar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+8
18.0%
Treyvon Hughes run for 8 yds to the Nevad 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
23.4%
Treyvon Hughes run for 4 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
22.7%
Cristian Solano pass complete to Romeo Doubs for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 23Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+7
22.8%
Kelton Moore run for 7 yds to the Nevad 30Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
22.8%
Cristian Solano pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:10
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+5
23.0%
Quinton Conaway punt for 49 yds , Ykili Ross returns for 5 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
24.0%
Brandon Jones run for 4 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 6
OWN 30
0
24.0%
Josh Fields run for no gain to the UTEP 30Similar
Q1 6:51
3RD & 6
OWN 30
-15
23.7%
JONES, Brandon crossing pass complete to BUSEY, Alan for 7 yards to the UTEP37, PENALTY UTEP pass interference (BUSEY, Alan) 15 yards to the UTEP15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:51
3RD & 21
OWN 15
+10
23.6%
Brandon Jones run for 10 yds to the UTEP 25Similar
Q1 6:51
4TH & 11
OWN 25
+1
23.4%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 49 yds , Kaleb Fossum returns for 1 yd to the Nevad 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 5TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 3:5974% → 77%
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
26.3%
Cristian Solano pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 4 yds to the Nevad 31Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+17
26.1%
Cristian Solano pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 2 yds to the Nevad 33 for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, personal foul (Josh Ortega) to the Nevad 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-4
25.6%
Cristian Solano pass complete to Dominic Christian for a loss of 4 yards to the Nevad 44Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 14
OWN 44
+27
26.3%
Cristian Solano pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 27 yds to the UTEP 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
25.0%
Cristian Solano run for 3 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 7
OPP 26
-5
25.0%
NEVADA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 31Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 12
OPP 31
+15
25.1%
Cristian Solano pass complete to Dominic Christian for 15 yds to the UTEP 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
25.0%
Toa Taua run for 9 yds to the UTEP 7Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 1
OPP 0
0
25.0%
TAUA, Toa rush left for 6 yards to the UTEP1 (PRINCE, Justin), PENALTY NEV holding off-setting, PENALTY UTEP face mask off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 1
OPP 7
+2
25.0%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the UTEP 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
23.4%
Toa Taua run for 5 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
25.8%
Kai Locksley pass intercepted Lawson Hall return for 2 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 7FUMBLE
5 plays · 31 yds · 0:0076% → 77%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
23.8%
Toa Taua run for 5 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+3
23.7%
Malik Henry pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 3 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+3
23.8%
Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
23.5%
Kelton Moore run for 2 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+20
23.5%
Malik Henry pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 20 yds Kaleb Fossum fumbled, forced by Miles Banks, recovered by UTEP Michael LewisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8TD
12 plays · 86 yds · 6:0527% → 42%
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+37
26.9%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Jess Trussell for 37 yds to the Nevad 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
28.5%
Josh Fields run for 5 yds to the Nevad 44Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+8
28.6%
Josh Fields run for 8 yds to the Nevad 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
28.6%
Josh Fields run for 3 yds to the Nevad 33Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+6
28.9%
Treyvon Hughes run for 6 yds to the Nevad 27Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 1
OPP 27
0
28.3%
Treyvon Hughes run for no gain to the Nevad 27Similar
Q2 9:04
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+9
30.3%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Jess Trussell for 9 yds to the Nevad 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
31.9%
Treyvon Hughes run for 2 yds to the Nevad 16Similar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+8
31.9%
JONES, Brandon sideline pass incomplete to TRUSSELL, Jess, QB hurry by HAMMOND, Sam, PENALTY NEV roughing passer (HAMMOND, Sam) 8 yards to the NEV8, 1ST DOWN UTEP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
31.9%
Josh Fields run for 2 yds to the Nevad 6Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
41.6%
Treyvon Hughes run for 6 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 9TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:4762% → 73%
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
38.4%
Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the Nevad 28Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
37.9%
Toa Taua run for 6 yds to the Nevad 34Similar
Q2 6:49
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
37.5%
Kelton Moore run for 1 yd to the Nevad 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
37.6%
Kelton Moore run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
50
+6
35.8%
Toa Taua run for 6 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 4
OPP 44
0
35.5%
Cristian Solano pass incomplete to Mar'Quette JacksonSimilar
Q2 3:54
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+14
40.7%
Cristian Solano pass complete to Cole Turner for 14 yds to the UTEP 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
38.9%
Cristian Solano run for 2 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+28
26.9%
Cristian Solano pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 28 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
33.6%
Brandon Jones pass intercepted Tyson Williams return for 14 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 11TD
3 plays · 22 yds · 0:2773% → 80%
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
26.8%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the UTEP 20Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 8
OPP 20
0
26.8%
Cristian Solano pass incomplete to Romeo DoubsSimilar
Q2 2:23
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+20
19.9%
Cristian Solano pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 20 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:4722% → 23%
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
22.3%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 11 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
22.9%
Brandon Jones pass incomplete to Justin GarrettSimilar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
22.6%
Brandon Jones pass incomplete to Josh FieldsSimilar
Q2 2:23
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+4
21.8%
Brandon Jones run for 4 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q2 1:36
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
23.1%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Kaleb Fossum at the Nevad 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 13INT
6 plays · 64 yds · 0:0078% → 81%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+16
22.3%
Cristian Solano run for 16 yds to the Nevad 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
20.8%
Cristian Solano pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 7 yds to the Nevad 45Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+9
20.2%
Cristian Solano pass complete to Jaxson Kincaide for 9 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
19.6%
SOLANO, C. crossing pass incomplete to COOKS, Elijah (ROGERS, Justin), PENALTY UTEP pass interference (ROSS, Ykili) 15 yards to the UTEP31, 1ST DOWN NEV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+17
19.0%
Cristian Solano run for 7 yds to the UTEP 24 for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, Defensive holding (Ykili Ross) to the UTEP 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+10
18.9%
Cristian Solano pass intercepted, touchback. Ykili Ross return for no gain UTEP Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Ykili Ross)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-2
22.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15TD
19 plays · 75 yds · 9:5923% → 50%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
22.9%
Treyvon Hughes run for 4 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
23.3%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Jess Trussell for 7 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
23.5%
Treyvon Hughes run for 1 yd to the UTEP 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+3
23.4%
Treyvon Hughes run for 3 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+23
23.2%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 23 yds to the Nevad 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
25.6%
Brandon Jones run for 7 yds to the Nevad 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+2
26.6%
Brandon Jones run for 2 yds to the Nevad 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 28
0
25.5%
Kai Locksley run for no gain to the Nevad 28Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+1
24.5%
Kai Locksley run for 1 yd to the Nevad 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
26.6%
Kai Locksley run for 2 yds to the Nevad 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+14
26.6%
Kai Locksley run for 14 yds to the Nevad 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
26.6%
Treyvon Hughes run for 1 yd to the Nevad 10Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+2
30.7%
Kai Locksley run for 2 yds to the Nevad 8Similar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 7
OPP 8
+6
29.0%
Kai Locksley run for 6 yds to the Nevad 2Similar
Q3 7:27
4TH & 1
OPP 2
+1
27.7%
Treyvon Hughes run for 1 yd to the Nevad 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
30.7%
Treyvon Hughes run for no gain to the Nevad 1Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
50.1%
Kai Locksley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 16FG
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:1261% → 67%
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
39.4%
Cristian Solano run for 15 yds to the Nevad 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
36.9%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 5 yds to the Nevad 45Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+47
36.1%
Cristian Solano run for 47 yds to the UTEP 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
34.0%
Cristian Solano run for 3 yds to the UTEP 5Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
34.0%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 3 yds to the UTEP 2Similar
Q3 5:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-10
35.6%
Jaxson Kincaide run for no gain to the UTEP 2 NEVADA Penalty, Offensive holding (Jake Nelson) to the UTEP 12Similar
Q3 5:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+2
35.8%
Cristian Solano run for 2 yds to the UTEP 10Similar
Q3 1:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
32.6%
Brandon Talton 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0036% → 34%
Q3 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+7
35.5%
Josh Fields run for 7 yds to the UTEP 14Similar
Q3 1:38
2ND & 3
OWN 14
-4
36.0%
Kai Locksley sacked by Dom Peterson for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 10Similar
Q3 1:38
3RD & 7
OWN 10
0
34.4%
Kai Locksley pass intercepted Jordan Lee return for no gain to the UTEP 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 18TD
4 plays · 15 yds · 1:3871% → 83%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
29.0%
John Humphrey run for 7 yds to the UTEP 8Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+3
29.0%
Kelton Moore run for 3 yds to the UTEP 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
29.0%
Kelton Moore run for no gain to the UTEP 5Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
16.7%
Kelton Moore run for 5 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
20.4%
Treyvon Hughes run for 2 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
20.9%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Devaughn CooperSimilar
Q4 13:22
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+10
19.3%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Tre'Shon Wolf for 10 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
21.3%
Treyvon Hughes run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
50
-10
23.2%
Kai Locksley run for no gain to the 50 yard line UTEP Penalty, Offensive holding (Ruben Guerra) to the UTEP 40Similar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 20
OWN 40
+3
21.0%
Kai Locksley run for 3 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 17
OWN 43
0
21.0%
Kai Locksley pass complete to James Tupou for no gain to the UTEP 43Similar
Q4 13:22
3RD & 17
OWN 43
0
20.0%
Kai Locksley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:22
4TH & 17
OWN 43
0
19.2%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 27 yds, downed at the Nevad 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 20TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 4:4486% → 99%
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
13.6%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 4 yds to the Nevad 34Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+21
13.4%
Cristian Solano pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 21 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
12.0%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 1 yd to the UTEP 44Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
12.1%
Cristian Solano run for no gain to the UTEP 44Similar
Q4 8:52
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+41
12.4%
Cristian Solano pass complete to Toa Taua for 41 yds to the UTEP 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
9.7%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the UTEP 1Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
9.9%
NEVADA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 6Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
9.9%
Cristian Solano run for 5 yds to the UTEP 1Similar
Q4 4:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.3%
Kelton Moore run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21DOWNS
8 plays · -3 yds · 2:163% → 2%
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
3.3%
Josh Fields run for 4 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
3.3%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 11 yds to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
3.3%
Josh Fields run for 4 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 6
OWN 44
-5
3.4%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Josh Fields for a loss of 5 yards to the UTEP 39Similar
Q4 4:08
3RD & 11
OWN 39
-9
3.3%
Brandon Jones sacked by Tristan Nichols for a loss of 9 yards to the UTEP 30Similar
Q4 1:52
4TH & 20
OWN 30
-8
2.4%
Kai Locksley sacked by Tristan Nichols for a loss of 8 yards to the UTEP 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · 0 yds · 1:0299% → 99%
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
0.8%
Roger Neal run for 1 yd to the UTEP 21Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 9
OPP 21
0
0.8%
Roger Neal run for no gain to the UTEP 21Similar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 9
OPP 21
-1
0.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:01
Kai Locksley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)
+19.4
TD · Q4 13:22
Kelton Moore run for 5 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton PAT BLOCKED)
-12.3
TD · Q2 3:02
Cristian Solano pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 28 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK)
-12
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com