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UTSA

UTSA 3 at North Texas 45

UNT
2019 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2019 · DATCU Stadium
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Win probability · UNT
modelUNT aheadUTSA aheadconfidence bandkey playUNT scoreUTSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:29 · Loren Easly run for no gain to the TexSA 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:21: DeAndre Torrey run for 13 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +3.4 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:16: Tre Siggers run for 25 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +5.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:26: Hunter Duplessis 25 yd FG GOOD — UTSA win probability +3.2 pts (now 8%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Ethan Mooney 31 yd FG GOOD — UNT win probability +3.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:40: Mason Fine pass complete to DeAndre Torrey for 9 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +2.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNT made the numbers' call on 5 of 6UTSA made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 11:43UTSA 4th & 1 at UTSA 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:57UTSA 4th & 11 at UNT 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.5%
    84% to make
    Punt
    12.9%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:57UNT 4th & 7 at UTSA 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.5%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    86.3%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:00UTSA 4th & 9 at UTSA 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:00UNT 4th & 10 at UNT 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00UTSA 4th & 1 at UTSA 36, down 7
    Close callPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.5%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:53UTSA 4th & 7 at UNT 40, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    5.8%−0.4
    34% to make
    Punt
    5.9%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:59UNT 4th & 3 at UTSA 23, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.9%−0.3
    70% to make
    Punt
    92.6%−2.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:26UTSA 4th & 8 at UNT 8, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.2%
    90% to make
    Punt
    3.0%−2.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:40UTSA 4th & 1 at UNT 27, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%−0.3
    62% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−1.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:40UTSA 4th & 12 at UNT 27, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%
    62% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:05UNT 4th & 9 at UNT 28, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:42UTSA 4th & 5 at UNT 39, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:48UTSA 4th & 1 at UTSA 48, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:41UNT 4th & 4 at UTSA 42, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:19UTSA 4th & 8 at UTSA 44, down 42
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:53UNT 4th & 3 at UTSA 15, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:46UTSA 4th & 2 at UTSA 25, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNT made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 11:43UNT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:21UNT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:16UNT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:40UNT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:12UNT Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:48UNT Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTSADrive 1INT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
89.7%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
89.7%
Frank Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
89.7%
Lowell Narcisse pass intercepted Nick Harvey return for no gain to the TexSA 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2TD
7 plays · 42 yds · 2:1790% → 89%
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
89.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 12 yds to the TexSA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
89.5%
Tre Siggers run for 11 yds to the TexSA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
89.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 5 yds to the TexSA 14Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 5
OPP 14
-5
89.5%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (Jacob Brammer) to the TexSA 19Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+9
89.5%
Tre Siggers run for 9 yds to the TexSA 10Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+9
89.4%
Tre Siggers run for 9 yds to the TexSA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.4%
Tre Siggers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 3MISSED FG
15 plays · 68 yds · 4:4611% → 12%
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
89.2%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the TexSA 20Similar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+6
89.2%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 6 yds to the TexSA 26Similar
Q1 11:43
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+3
89.2%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
89.2%
Lowell Narcisse run for 2 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+6
89.2%
Sincere McCormick run for 6 yds to the TexSA 37Similar
Q1 11:43
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+1
89.1%
Deven Boston run for 1 yd to the TexSA 38Similar
Q1 11:43
4TH & 1
OWN 38
+3
89.2%
Lowell Narcisse run for 3 yds to the TexSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
89.1%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Blaze Moorhead for 8 yds to the TexSA 49Similar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 2
OWN 49
0
89.1%
Lowell Narcisse pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:43
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+38
89.1%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Tariq Woolen for 25 yds to the NORTHTEXAS 26 for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, roughing passer (13 Yards) to the NoTex 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
89.0%
Lowell Narcisse pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 10
OPP 13
-1
89.0%
Lowell Narcisse run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 14Similar
Q1 11:43
3RD & 11
OPP 14
0
89.1%
Lowell Narcisse pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:57
4TH & 11
OPP 14
+32
88.5%
Hunter Duplessis 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 35 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+20
88.6%
Tre Siggers run for 20 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
88.8%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 12 yds to the TexSA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
88.9%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jyaire ShorterSimilar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+3
88.9%
DeAndre Torrey run for 3 yds to the TexSA 45Similar
Q1 6:57
3RD & 7
OPP 45
0
88.8%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:57
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
88.5%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
88.2%
Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Joshua Cephus, broken up by Nick HarveySimilar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
88.3%
Brenden Brady run for 1 yd to the TexSA 21Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
88.4%
Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Brenden BradySimilar
Q1 5:00
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
88.6%
Lucas Dean punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
88.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 5 yds to the NoTex 46Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 5
OWN 46
-5
88.6%
Tre Siggers run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 30 Tre Siggers fumbled, forced by Andrew Martel, recovered by NoTex Manase Mose , return for a loss of 5 yards to the NoTex 30Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 21
OWN 30
+11
88.0%
Mason Fine pass complete to Deion Hair-Griffin for 11 yds to the NoTex 41Similar
Q1 4:00
4TH & 10
OWN 41
+2
87.9%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 47 yds , Sheldon Jones returns for 2 yds to the TexSA 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:0612% → 13%
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
87.6%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 17Similar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+10
87.6%
Sincere McCormick run for 10 yds to the TexSA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
87.5%
Sincere McCormick run for no gain to the TexSA 27Similar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+8
87.6%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 8 yds to the TexSA 35Similar
Q1 2:06
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+1
87.4%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 1 yd to the TexSA 36Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 36
+13
87.3%
Lucas Dean punt for 48 yds , Jaelon Darden returns for 13 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 3:2888% → 91%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
87.5%
DeAndre Torrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 28Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 11
OWN 28
0
87.4%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Deion Hair-GriffinSimilar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 11
OWN 28
+21
87.1%
Mason Fine pass complete to DeAndre Torrey for 21 yds to the NoTex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+17
87.9%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 17 yds to the TexSA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
88.1%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (Deion Hair-Griffin) to the TexSA 39Similar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 15
OPP 39
+1
87.8%
Tre Siggers run for 1 yd to the TexSA 38Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 14
OPP 38
+10
87.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Kelvin Smith for 10 yds to the TexSA 28Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 4
OPP 28
0
87.8%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to DeAndre Torrey, broken up by Kelechi NwachukuSimilar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 4
OPP 28
+15
87.4%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, roughing passer (Eric Banks) to the TexSA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
90.9%
DeAndre Torrey run for 13 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 9FUMBLE
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
89.6%
Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Joshua CephusSimilar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+6
89.7%
Sincere McCormick run for 6 yds to the TexSA 23Similar
Q2 11:21
3RD & 4
OWN 23
0
89.7%
Lowell Narcisse run for no gain to the TexSA 25 Lowell Narcisse fumbled, forced by LaDarius Hamilton, recovered by NoTex Jamie KingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
94.6%
Tre Siggers run for 25 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 11DOWNS
10 plays · 35 yds · 3:236% → 5%
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.2%
Lowell Narcisse run for 5 yds to the TexSA 30Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
94.1%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the TexSA 32Similar
Q2 10:16
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
94.1%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 5 yds to the TexSA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+20
94.0%
Sincere McCormick run for 20 yds to the NoTex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
93.8%
Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Zakhari FranklinSimilar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+2
94.0%
Brenden Brady run for 2 yds to the NoTex 41Similar
Q2 10:16
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+1
94.0%
Brenden Brady run for 1 yd to the NoTex 40Similar
Q2 6:53
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
94.6%
Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Sheldon JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 12MISSED FG
7 plays · 37 yds · 2:4896% → 96%
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
95.8%
DeAndre Torrey run for no gain to the NoTex 40Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
95.8%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+30
95.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 30 yds to the TexSA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
95.9%
DeAndre Torrey run for 3 yds to the TexSA 27Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+5
95.9%
Tre Siggers run for 5 yds to the TexSA 22Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 2
OPP 22
-1
95.8%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 23Similar
Q2 3:59
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+40
96.2%
Ethan Mooney 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 13FG
13 plays · 69 yds · 3:335% → 8%
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
95.4%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Carlos Strickland II for 12 yds to the TexSA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
95.2%
Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Carlos Strickland II, broken up by Taylor RobinsonSimilar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+12
95.3%
Lowell Narcisse run for 12 yds to the TexSA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
95.2%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Brenden Brady for 12 yds to the NoTex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
95.0%
Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the NoTex 37Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+17
94.9%
Lowell Narcisse run for 17 yds to the NoTex 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
94.6%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the NoTex 18Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+8
94.6%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 8 yds to the NoTex 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
94.6%
Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the NoTex 9Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
95.0%
Lowell Narcisse run for 1 yd to the NoTex 8Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
95.3%
Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Sheldon JonesSimilar
Q2 0:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
92.1%
Hunter Duplessis 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 14FG
7 plays · 61 yds · 0:2693% → 97%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
93.4%
DeAndre Torrey run for 22 yds to the NoTex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
93.6%
DeAndre Torrey run for 9 yds to the TexSA 44Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+30
93.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to DeAndre Torrey for 30 yds to the TexSA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+31
97.1%
Ethan Mooney 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 15TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:2097% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
96.5%
Tre Siggers run for 7 yds to the NoTex 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+53
96.6%
Tre Siggers run for 53 yds to the TexSA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
96.8%
Tre Siggers run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 16Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 16
+7
96.7%
DeAndre Torrey run for 7 yds to the TexSA 9Similar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+9
99.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to DeAndre Torrey for 9 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 16DOWNS
12 plays · 48 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
99.2%
Sincere McCormick run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSA 21Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+1
99.2%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 1 yd to the TexSA 22Similar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+42
99.3%
Lowell Narcisse run for 42 yds to the NoTex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
99.2%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
99.1%
Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Tariq WoolenSimilar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+7
99.2%
Lowell Narcisse run for 7 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q3 12:40
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+2
98.7%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the NoTex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.1%
Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Sincere McCormick, broken up by Jamie KingSimilar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
99.1%
Lowell Narcisse run for no gain to the NoTex 25Similar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 10
OPP 25
-2
99.2%
Lowell Narcisse sacked by Dion Novil and Cam Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 27Similar
Q3 12:40
4TH & 12
OPP 27
0
98.9%
Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Zakhari FranklinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
99.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 2 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 8
OWN 29
-1
99.6%
DeAndre Torrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 28Similar
Q3 8:05
3RD & 9
OWN 28
0
99.6%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jyaire ShorterSimilar
Q3 8:05
4TH & 9
OWN 28
+9
99.5%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 40 yds , Sheldon Jones returns for 9 yds to the TexSA 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 18INT
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
99.6%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, roughing passer (LaDarius Hamilton) to the NoTex 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
99.6%
Lowell Narcisse sacked by Dayton LeBlanc and Tyreke Davis for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 45Similar
Q3 6:42
2ND & 11
OPP 45
0
99.5%
Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Carlos Strickland IISimilar
Q3 6:42
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+6
99.6%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Dywan Griffin for 6 yds to the NoTex 39Similar
Q3 6:42
4TH & 5
OPP 39
0
99.6%
Lowell Narcisse pass intercepted Makyle Sanders return for no gain to the NoTex 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 19TD
9 plays · 66 yds · 3:45100% → 100%
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
99.7%
Tre Siggers run for 8 yds to the NoTex 42Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+6
99.7%
Tre Siggers run for 6 yds to the NoTex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
99.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Deonte Simpson for 12 yds to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
99.7%
DeAndre Torrey run for 7 yds to the TexSA 33Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 3
OPP 33
0
99.7%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jaelon DardenSimilar
Q3 4:57
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+3
99.7%
Loren Easly run for 3 yds to the TexSA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
99.7%
Loren Easly run for 4 yds to the TexSA 26Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+6
99.7%
Loren Easly run for 6 yds to the TexSA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
99.8%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 20 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 20FUMBLE
10 plays · 26 yds · 1:120% → 0%
Q3 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.8%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 6 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
Q3 1:12
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
99.8%
Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Tariq WoolenSimilar
Q3 0:27
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
99.9%
Lowell Narcisse run for 7 yds to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
99.9%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Carlos Strickland II for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+4
99.9%
Lowell Narcisse run for 4 yds to the TexSA 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+12
99.9%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 12 yds to the NoTex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Sheldon JonesSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Deven Boston run for no gain to the NoTex 49 Deven Boston fumbled, recovered by NoTex KD DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 21TD
8 plays · 51 yds · 2:59100% → 100%
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
99.9%
Loren Easly run for 3 yds to the TexSA 48Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+20
99.9%
Jason Bean run for 20 yds to the TexSA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
99.9%
Jason Bean run for 1 yd to the TexSA 27Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 9
OPP 27
0
99.9%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:47
3RD & 9
OPP 27
+10
99.9%
Nic Smith run for 10 yds to the TexSA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
99.9%
Nic Smith run for 1 yd to the TexSA 16Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+13
99.9%
Jason Bean run for 13 yds to the TexSA 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Jason Bean pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 3 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 22DOWNS
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Kirk Johnson Jr. for 8 yds to the TexSA 33Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
99.9%
Brenden Brady run for 6 yds to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Lowell Narcisse pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+8
99.9%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 8 yds to the TexSA 47Similar
Q4 10:48
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+1
99.9%
Brenden Brady run for 1 yd to the TexSA 48Similar
Q4 10:48
4TH & 1
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Sheldon JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 23DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
99.9%
Nic Smith run for 5 yds to the TexSA 43Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+1
99.9%
Nic Smith run for 1 yd to the TexSA 42Similar
Q4 8:41
3RD & 4
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Loren Easly run for no gain to the TexSA 42Similar
Q4 8:41
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Deonte SimpsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 24DOWNS
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Tariq WoolenSimilar
Q4 7:19
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+2
100.0%
Cordale Grundy run for 2 yds to the TexSA 44Similar
Q4 7:19
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
100.0%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Tariq WoolenSimilar
Q4 7:19
4TH & 8
OWN 44
-9
100.0%
Cordale Grundy sacked by Asher Frow for a loss of 9 yards to the TexSA 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 25DOWNS
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:27100% → 100%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+13
100.0%
Austin Aune pass complete to Greg White for 13 yds to the TexSA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
99.9%
Evan Johnson run for 3 yds to the TexSA 19Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+2
99.9%
Evan Johnson run for 2 yds to the TexSA 17Similar
Q4 5:53
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+2
99.9%
Nic Smith run for 2 yds to the TexSA 15Similar
Q4 5:53
4TH & 3
OPP 15
-2
99.9%
Nic Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
100.0%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Leroy WatsonSimilar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+4
100.0%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 4 yds to the TexSA 21Similar
Q4 3:46
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+4
100.0%
Cordale Grundy run for 4 yds to the TexSA 25Similar
Q4 3:46
4TH & 2
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Lucas Dean punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoTex 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 27END OF GAME
4 plays · 18 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
100.0%
Evan Johnson run for 7 yds to the TexSA 49Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+2
100.0%
Evan Johnson run for 2 yds to the TexSA 47Similar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+9
100.0%
Loren Easly run for 9 yds to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
100.0%
Loren Easly run for no gain to the TexSA 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:16
Tre Siggers run for 25 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)
+5
TD · Q2 11:21
DeAndre Torrey run for 13 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)
+3.4
FG · Q2 0:00
Ethan Mooney 31 yd FG GOOD
+3.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com