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WAG

Wagner 7 at Florida Atlantic 42

FAU
2019 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2019 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadWAG aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreWAG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:40 · Eric Silvester punt for 47 yds, downed at the FlAtl 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 68Pregame prior+41.6Home team on offense+11.8Score differential+7.7Garbage-time factor+1.7Blowout margin+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:42: Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 37 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +0.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:40: Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 17 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +0.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:25: Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 28 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +0.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:13: Christian Alexander-Stevens pass complete to Joshua DeCambre for 32 yds for a TD, (Eric Silvester KICK) — WAG win probability +1.2 pts (now 2%) (top driver: WAG has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:50: Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 57 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +0.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WAG made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 12:01WAG 4th & 10 at WAG 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:24FAU 4th & 6 at FAU 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:38WAG 4th & 16 at WAG 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:46FAU 4th & 17 at FAU 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00WAG 4th & 2 at WAG 17, down 14
    Close callPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:40WAG 4th & 18 at WAG 35, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:13WAG 4th & 9 at FAU 32, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00WAG 4th & 11 at FAU 41, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:36FAU 4th & 20 at WAG 49, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:18WAG 4th & 5 at WAG 30, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00WAG 4th & 16 at WAG 24, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:10WAG 4th & 3 at FAU 25, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:17WAG 4th & 2 at FAU 2, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:54FAU 4th & 5 at FAU 20, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6WAG made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:01FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:42FAU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:40FAU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:25FAU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:13WAG Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:50FAU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:33FAU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1TD
10 plays · 53 yds · 2:5998% → 98%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+20
98.4%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 20 yds to the Wagn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
98.4%
Larry McCammon III run for 1 yd to the Wagn 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+3
98.4%
Larry McCammon III run for 3 yds to the Wagn 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+7
98.4%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 7 yds to the Wagn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
98.4%
Larry McCammon III run for 1 yd to the Wagn 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+9
98.4%
Larry McCammon III run for 9 yds to the Wagn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
98.4%
Larry McCammon III run for 5 yds to the Wagn 7Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+2
98.4%
Larry McCammon III run for 2 yds to the Wagn 5Similar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+5
98.2%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Raine for 5 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
98.2%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass incomplete to Joshua DeCambreSimilar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
98.2%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 10
OWN 15
0
98.2%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass incomplete to Joshua DeCambre WAGNER Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 12:01
4TH & 10
OWN 15
0
98.2%
Eric Silvester punt for 59 yds , Dante Cousart returns for no gain to the FlAtl 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-7
98.1%
Chris Robison sacked by Tevaughn Grant for a loss of 7 yards to the FlAtl 19Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 17
OWN 19
+2
98.1%
Chris Robison run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 15
OWN 21
+17
98.1%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Mitchell for 17 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
98.1%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 7 yds to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+2
98.1%
Larry McCammon III run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 1
OWN 47
-5
98.1%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (BJ Etienne) to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
98.1%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Tavaris HarrisonSimilar
Q1 11:24
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
98.1%
Matthew Hayball punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
97.8%
Dymitri McKenzie run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wagn 23Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+8
97.9%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass complete to Joshua DeCambre for 8 yds to the Wagn 31Similar
Q1 8:38
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+11
97.8%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass complete to Joshua DeCambre for 11 yds to the Wagn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
97.8%
Dymitri McKenzie run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wagn 40Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 12
OWN 40
0
97.8%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass incomplete to Ben SieczkowskiSimilar
Q1 8:38
3RD & 12
OWN 40
-5
97.9%
WAGNER Penalty, false start (Joshua DeCambre) to the Wagn 35Similar
Q1 8:38
3RD & 17
OWN 35
+1
97.9%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass complete to Ikechukwu Ogwuegbu for 1 yd to the Wagn 36Similar
Q1 8:38
4TH & 16
OWN 36
0
97.9%
Eric Silvester punt for 44 yds, downed at the FlAtl 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
97.4%
Daniel Leconte run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q1 4:46
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+9
97.5%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 9 yds to the FlAtl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
97.5%
Daniel Leconte run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q1 4:46
2ND & 7
OWN 36
-10
97.5%
ROBISON, Chris pass complete to HARRISON, T for no gain to the FAU36 (ENSLEY, Javeon), PENALTY FAU holding (HARRISON, T) 10 yards to the FAU26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:46
2ND & 17
OWN 26
0
97.4%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to John RaineSimilar
Q1 4:46
3RD & 17
OWN 26
0
97.4%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Tavaris HarrisonSimilar
Q1 4:46
4TH & 17
OWN 26
+26
97.4%
Matthew Hayball punt for 36 yds, downed at the FLAATLANTC 38 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Defensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Wagn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 6INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
97.1%
Ikechukwu Ogwuegbu run for no gain to the Wagn 48Similar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
97.1%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass intercepted Rashad Smith return for no gain to the FlAtl 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 7TD
4 plays · 54 yds · 1:2697% → 98%
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-3
97.2%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 13
OWN 43
0
97.1%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Larry McCammon IIISimilar
Q1 2:08
3RD & 13
OWN 43
+20
97.1%
Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 20 yds to the Wagn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
97.7%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 37 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:423% → 3%
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-2
97.5%
Ikechukwu Ogwuegbu run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wagn 7Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 7
-3
97.5%
WAGNER Penalty, false start (Jeremiah Lorick) to the Wagn 4Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 4
+2
97.5%
Ikechukwu Ogwuegbu run for 2 yds to the Wagn 6Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 6
+11
97.5%
Christian Alexander-Stevens run for 11 yds to the Wagn 17Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 17
0
97.4%
Eric Silvester punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wagn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 9TD
6 plays · 40 yds · 1:4098% → 99%
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
97.6%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for no gain to the Wagn 40Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+4
97.6%
Larry McCammon III run for 4 yds to the Wagn 36Similar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+19
97.5%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 19 yds to the Wagn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
97.6%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to John MitchellSimilar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
97.6%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to John MitchellSimilar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 10
OPP 17
+17
98.5%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 17 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 10PUNT
12 plays · 10 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.4%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass incomplete to Justice StewartSimilar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.4%
Dymitri McKenzie run for no gain to the Wagn 25Similar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.4%
ALEXANDER-STEVE pass incomplete to STEWART,Justice, PENALTY FAU pass interference (TOOLEY, Chris) 8 yards to the WAGNER33, 1ST DOWN WAGNER, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
98.3%
Dymitri McKenzie run for 2 yds to the Wagn 35Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
98.3%
Dymitri McKenzie run for no gain to the Wagn 35Similar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+8
98.4%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass complete to Justice Stewart for 8 yds to the Wagn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-20
98.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 20 yards to the Wagn 23 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Wagn Christian Alexander-StevensSimilar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 30
OWN 23
+2
98.4%
Dymitri McKenzie run for 2 yds to the Wagn 25Similar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 28
OWN 25
+5
98.4%
ALEXANDER-STEVE sacked for loss of 9 yards to the WAGNER16 (BONNER, Tim), PENALTY FAU offside (JOYNER, Jaylen) 5 yards to the WAGNER30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 23
OWN 30
+5
98.4%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass complete to Dymitri McKenzie for 5 yds to the Wagn 35Similar
Q2 11:40
4TH & 18
OWN 35
0
98.4%
Eric Silvester punt for 47 yds, downed at the FlAtl 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 11TD
4 plays · 82 yds · 1:2399% → 100%
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+20
98.6%
Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 20 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+20
98.6%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Raine for 20 yds to the Wagn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+14
98.6%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Mitchell for 14 yds to the Wagn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
99.5%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 28 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 12TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:121% → 2%
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.5%
Dymitri McKenzie run for 2 yds to the Wagn 27Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
99.5%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass complete to Jeremiah Lorick for 1 yd to the Wagn 28Similar
Q2 4:25
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+9
99.5%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass complete to Jeremiah Lorick for 9 yds to the Wagn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+30
99.5%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass complete to Noah Ellison for 30 yds to the FlAtl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.4%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass incomplete to Joshua DeCambreSimilar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+5
99.4%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass complete to Jeremiah Lorick for 5 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 5
OPP 28
-4
99.5%
Christian Alexander-Stevens sacked by Rashad Smith and Akileis Leroy for a loss of 4 yards to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q2 1:13
4TH & 9
OPP 32
+32
98.3%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass complete to Joshua DeCambre for 32 yds for a TD, (Eric Silvester KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13END OF HALF
11 plays · 37 yds · 0:5799% → 99%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Raine for 5 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+15
98.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 15 yds to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
98.9%
ROBISON, Chris pass incomplete to HARRISON, T, PENALTY FAU illegal formation off-setting, PENALTY WAGNER offside off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
99.0%
ROBISON, Chris rush for 3 yards to the FAU48, out-of-bounds (DANIEL, Drew), PENALTY FAU illegal formation 5 yards to the FAU40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 15
OWN 40
+15
99.0%
ROBISON, Chris sacked for no gain to the FAU40 (TEAM), PENALTY WAGNER personal foul 15 yards to the WAGNER45, 1ST DOWN FAU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+17
99.0%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Mitchell for 17 yds to the Wagn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-10
98.9%
ROBISON, Chris pass incomplete to MITCHELL, John, PENALTY FAU holding (WALTON, Brandon) 10 yards to the WAGNER38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 20
OPP 38
0
98.9%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to John MitchellSimilar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 20
OPP 38
0
98.9%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to John RaineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 14PUNT
12 plays · 34 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.4%
Dymitri McKenzie run for 1 yd to the Wagn 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
98.4%
Dymitri McKenzie run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wagn 25Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+12
98.4%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass complete to Joshua DeCambre for 12 yds to the Wagn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
98.3%
Dymitri McKenzie run for 3 yds to the Wagn 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
98.3%
Dymitri McKenzie run for no gain to the Wagn 40Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+5
98.3%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass complete to Jeremiah Lorick for 5 yds to the Wagn 45Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 45
+15
98.3%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the FlAtl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
98.2%
Ikechukwu Ogwuegbu pass incomplete to Jeremiah Lorick, broken up by Zyon GilbertSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-1
98.2%
Christian Alexander-Stevens run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 41
0
98.3%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass incomplete to Joshua DeCambreSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 11
OPP 41
0
98.4%
Eric Silvester punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Dante Cousart at the FlAtl 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 15PUNT
13 plays · 41 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
98.7%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 9Similar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 11
OWN 9
+8
98.7%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Raine for 8 yds to the FlAtl 17Similar
Q3 9:36
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+3
98.7%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Raine for 3 yds to the FlAtl 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.8%
Larry McCammon III run for no gain to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+15
98.8%
Chris Robison pass complete to Dante Cousart for 15 yds to the FlAtl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
98.8%
Chris Robison run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+2
98.8%
Chris Robison run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 38 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 9:36
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+23
98.8%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Mitchell for 23 yds to the Wagn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
98.8%
Chauncey Mason run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wagn 44Similar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 15
OPP 44
0
98.8%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to John Raine, broken up by Tre HubbardSimilar
Q3 9:36
3RD & 15
OPP 44
0
98.8%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Deangelo AntoineSimilar
Q3 9:36
4TH & 15
OPP 44
-5
98.7%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Wagn 49Similar
Q3 9:36
4TH & 20
OPP 49
0
98.7%
Matthew Hayball punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Lorick at the Wagn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
98.6%
Dymitri McKenzie run for 1 yd to the Wagn 16Similar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+9
98.6%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass complete to Jeremiah Lorick for 9 yds to the Wagn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.6%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass complete to Jeremiah Lorick for 1 yd to the Wagn 26Similar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
98.6%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass incomplete to Joshua DeCambreSimilar
Q3 5:18
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+4
98.6%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass complete to Jeremiah Lorick for 4 yds to the Wagn 30Similar
Q3 5:18
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+4
98.6%
Eric Silvester punt for 50 yds , Dante Cousart returns for 4 yds to the FlAtl 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 17TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 1:3799% → 100%
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
98.9%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Tavaris HarrisonSimilar
Q3 2:27
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+15
98.9%
WAGNER Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the FlAtl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
99.0%
Larry McCammon III run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q3 2:27
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+1
99.0%
Larry McCammon III run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q3 0:50
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+57
99.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 57 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · -1 yds · 0:500% → 0%
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.9%
WAGNER Penalty, false start (Tyler Piekarz) to the Wagn 20Similar
Q3 0:50
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+8
99.9%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass complete to Joshua DeCambre for 8 yds to the Wagn 28Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass incomplete to Ben SieczkowskiSimilar
Q3 0:50
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+2
99.9%
ALEXANDER-STEVE pass incomplete to DeCAMBRE, Joshu, PENALTY FAU pass interference (PIERRE, James) 2 yards to the WAGNER30, 1ST DOWN WAGNER, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
99.9%
Prince Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wagn 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass incomplete to Joshua DeCambreSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass incomplete to Joshua DeCambreSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 29
-5
99.9%
WAGNER Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Wagn 24Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 24
+1
99.9%
Eric Silvester punt for 46 yds , Dante Cousart returns for 1 yd to the FlAtl 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 19TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 3:06100% → 100%
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
99.9%
Larry McCammon III run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q4 14:39
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+1
99.9%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Willie Wright for 1 yd to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q4 14:39
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+7
99.9%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Larry McCammon III for 7 yds to the FlAtl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
99.9%
Larry McCammon III run for 15 yds to the Wagn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
99.9%
Daniel Leconte run for 4 yds to the Wagn 40Similar
Q4 14:39
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+7
99.9%
Daniel Leconte run for 7 yds to the Wagn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-10
99.9%
TRONTI, Nick rush for 11 yards to the WAGNER22 (PORTER, Jordan), PENALTY FAU holding (WEBER, Nick) 10 yards to the WAGNER43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:39
1ST & 20
OPP 43
+35
99.9%
Nick Tronti run for 35 yds to the Wagn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
99.9%
Daniel Leconte run for 5 yds to the Wagn 3Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Nick Tronti run for 3 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 20DOWNS
17 plays · 73 yds · 7:160% → 0%
Q4 11:33
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+8
99.9%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass complete to Noah Ellison for 8 yds to the FlAtl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass incomplete to Joshua DeCambreSimilar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+5
99.9%
Prince Hall run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q4 11:33
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+2
99.9%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass complete to Jeremiah Lorick for 2 yds to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Christian Alexander-Stevens run for no gain to the Wagn 25Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+29
99.9%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass complete to Joshua DeCambre for 29 yds to the FlAtl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
99.9%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass complete to Noah Ellison for 6 yds to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q4 7:10
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+11
99.9%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass complete to Joshua DeCambre for 11 yds to the FlAtl 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
99.9%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass incomplete to Joshua DeCambreSimilar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+13
99.9%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass complete to Joshua DeCambre for 13 yds to the FlAtl 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
Prince Hall run for no gain to the FlAtl 1Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass incomplete to Ben SieczkowskiSimilar
Q4 7:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
99.9%
Ben Sieczkowski run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 2Similar
Q4 4:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.9%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass incomplete to Joshua DeCambreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 1:17100% → 100%
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+7
100.0%
Daniel Leconte run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 9Similar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 3
OWN 9
+1
100.0%
Daniel Leconte run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 10Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 2
OWN 10
+5
100.0%
Kelvin Dean Jr. run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
100.0%
Kelvin Dean Jr. run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 18Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+3
100.0%
Nick Tronti run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 4
OWN 21
-1
100.0%
Nick Tronti run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q4 2:54
4TH & 5
OWN 20
+4
100.0%
Matthew Hayball punt for 44 yds , Jeremiah Lorick returns for 4 yds to the Wagn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 22END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
100.0%
Prince Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wagn 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:13
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass complete to Joshua DeCambre for 32 yds for a TD, (Eric Silvester KICK)
-1.2
TD · Q2 11:40
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 17 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)
+0.9
TD · Q2 4:25
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 28 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)
+0.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com