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FIU

Florida International 31 at Louisiana Tech 43

LT
2019 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2019 · Joe Aillet Stadium
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Win probability · LT
modelLT aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playLT scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:47 · Tommy Heatherly punt for 50 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 10Pregame prior+18.9Home team on offense+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:52: James Morgan run for 15 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +12.6 pts (now 42%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 13:24: Anthony Jones run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +13.9 pts (now 50%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:57: James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 31 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +18.6 pts (now 55%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:16: Justin Henderson run for 6 yds for a TD, (Bailey Hale KICK) — LT win probability +14.9 pts (now 73%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:51: James Morgan pass complete to Anthony Jones for 1 yd for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +17.7 pts (now 20%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LT made the numbers' call on 5 of 6FIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:57LT 4th & 5 at LT 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:47FIU 4th & 10 at FIU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:11FIU 4th & 2 at LT 2, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    31.7%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    30.9%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:56LT 4th & 5 at FIU 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    65.3%−2.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:24FIU 4th & 1 at LT 19, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.9%−1.0
    77% to make
    Punt
    29.0%−3.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:32FIU 4th & 3 at LT 20, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.2%−0.6
    75% to make
    Punt
    22.6%−5.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:32LT 4th & 12 at LT 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%−1.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:52FIU 4th & 1 at LT 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    27.5%−1.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    21.5%−7.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:16FIU 4th & 16 at FIU 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%−3.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.5%
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:17LT 4th & 6 at FIU 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.2%
    68% to make
    Punt
    61.0%−11.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:17FIU 4th & 12 at FIU 27, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.3%−2.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:09LT 4th & 5 at FIU 7, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.8%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    75.6%−11.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:17LT 4th & 8 at FIU 11, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.2%
    87% to make
    Punt
    90.9%−2.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:17FIU 4th & 7 at FIU 46, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.8%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4FIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 9:26LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:52FIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:24FIU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:50LT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:57FIU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:16LT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:51FIU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.2%−0.9
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:46LT Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LTDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:0369% → 69%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
69.3%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 5 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
69.3%
Jaqwis Dancy run for no gain to the LaTch 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
69.3%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:57
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
69.1%
Brady Farlow punt for 43 yds, downed at the FlaIn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
69.2%
Napoleon Maxwell run for no gain to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q1 13:47
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
69.2%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:47
3RD & 10
OWN 27
0
69.2%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:47
4TH & 10
OWN 27
0
69.3%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 3INT
10 plays · 42 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+10
69.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 10 yds to the LaTch 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
69.1%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
69.1%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:53
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+13
69.0%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 13 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
69.3%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 6
50
+3
69.3%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q1 12:53
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+5
69.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Jaqwis Dancy for 5 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
69.3%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-3
69.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Smoke Harris for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 13
OPP 35
0
69.3%
J'Mar Smith pass intercepted David Reynolds return for no gain to the FlaIn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4FUMBLE
7 plays · 65 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
68.5%
James Morgan pass complete to Anthony Jones for 8 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+4
68.1%
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+43
68.1%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 43 yds to the LaTch 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
67.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 1 yd to the LaTch 9Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
67.9%
Anthony Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 10Similar
Q1 9:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
68.1%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 8 yds to the LaTch 2Similar
Q1 9:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
68.4%
Anthony Jones run for 1 yd Anthony Jones fumbled, forced by James Jackson, recovered by LaTch Aaron RobersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 5FG
13 plays · 73 yds · 5:4868% → 69%
Q1 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
68.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 10 yds to the LaTch 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
68.3%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 1 yd to the LaTch 31Similar
Q1 5:44
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+5
68.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Smoke Harris for 5 yds to the LaTch 36Similar
Q1 5:44
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+7
68.3%
J'Mar Smith run for 7 yds to the LaTch 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
68.9%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:44
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+29
68.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Malik Stanley for 29 yds to the FlaIn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
69.4%
J'Mar Smith run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q1 5:44
2ND & 6
OPP 24
0
69.4%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:44
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+12
69.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 12 yds to the FlaIn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-2
69.4%
Smoke Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q1 5:44
2ND & 12
OPP 14
+5
69.3%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 9Similar
Q1 5:44
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+2
69.1%
J'Mar Smith run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 7Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+25
69.2%
Bailey Hale 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6FG
8 plays · 51 yds · 2:3231% → 35%
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
68.6%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
67.8%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+27
67.6%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 27 yds to the LaTch 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
66.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 7 yds to the LaTch 21Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+2
66.8%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the LaTch 19Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 1
OPP 19
0
67.3%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Austin Maloney, broken up by Michael SamSimilar
Q2 12:24
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+36
65.2%
Jose Borregales 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 2:5868% → 75%
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
67.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 4 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+4
67.8%
Justin Henderson run for 4 yds to the LaTch 37Similar
Q2 12:24
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+8
68.0%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 8 yds Adrian Hardy fumbled, forced by Stantley Thomas-Oliver III, recovered by LaTch Adrian Hardy for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+19
68.8%
J'Mar Smith run for 19 yds to the FlaIn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
69.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 5 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+29
75.2%
Justin Henderson run for 29 yds for a TD, (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8MISSED FG
11 plays · 57 yds · 3:5427% → 27%
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+14
73.2%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 14 yds to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
72.6%
D'Vonte Price run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+4
71.8%
D'Vonte Price run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+1
71.8%
James Morgan run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
71.7%
MORGAN,J pass incomplete to THORNTON,S, PENALTY LATECH personal foul (ROBERTSON, Amik) 15 yards to the LATECH38, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
71.4%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 11 yds to the LaTch 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
70.5%
Kaylan Wiggins run for 5 yds to the LaTch 22Similar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+4
70.5%
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the LaTch 18Similar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 1
OPP 18
-2
71.4%
Kaylan Wiggins sacked by Connor Taylor and Alex Zayed for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 20Similar
Q2 5:32
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+37
73.2%
Jose Borregales 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0075% → 74%
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+24
74.9%
Justin Henderson run for 24 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
76.2%
Justin Henderson run for 3 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 7
OWN 47
-5
76.2%
SMITH, J'Mar pass complete to STANLEY, Malik for 18 yards to the FIU35 (HALL,D;CUSHION,O), PENALTY LATECH ineligible downfield on pass (STALLWORTH, G.) 5 yards to the LATECH42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 12
OWN 42
0
75.5%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Malik StanleySimilar
Q2 5:32
3RD & 12
OWN 42
0
74.7%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q2 5:32
4TH & 12
OWN 42
0
73.9%
Brady Farlow punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Maurice Alexander at the FlaIn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 2:4525% → 42%
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
74.6%
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+17
74.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 17 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
72.9%
Anthony Jones run for 5 yds to the LaTch 48Similar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+10
72.5%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 10 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+14
72.5%
Anthony Jones run for 14 yds to the LaTch 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
71.3%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Maurice AlexanderSimilar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+5
71.5%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 5 yds to the LaTch 19Similar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+4
71.1%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 4 yds to the LaTch 15Similar
Q2 0:52
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+15
58.5%
James Morgan run for 15 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 11FG
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:5267% → 72%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
66.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 8 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+8
67.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 8 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
67.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Jaqwis Dancy for 5 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 5
OPP 34
0
67.9%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+7
66.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 7 yds to the FlaIn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+45
71.9%
Bailey Hale 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:3633% → 50%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
67.2%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+21
65.6%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 21 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+45
64.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 45 yds to the LaTch 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
50.3%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 13TD
12 plays · 86 yds · 4:3456% → 73%
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
55.6%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 7 yds to the LaTch 21Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+6
56.2%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 6 yds to the LaTch 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+23
56.2%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Malik Stanley for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
50
+14
59.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 14 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
59.7%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Isaiah GrahamSimilar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+2
59.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Malik Stanley for 2 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q3 13:24
3RD & 8
OPP 34
0
59.3%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q3 13:24
4TH & 8
OPP 34
+10
56.8%
SMITH, J'Mar sacked for loss of 2 yards to the FIU36 (WHITTAKER,C), PENALTY FIU holding (BROWN,I) 10 yards to the FIU24, 1ST DOWN LATECH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
61.3%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
61.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 6 yds to the FlaIn 6Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+6
72.5%
Justin Henderson run for 6 yds for a TD, (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 1:5335% → 55%
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
64.7%
James Morgan pass complete to Cadarius Gaskin for 18 yds to the LaTch 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
63.3%
D'Vonte Price run for no gain to the LaTch 42Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+11
63.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 11 yds to the LaTch 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
44.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 31 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 15TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:4151% → 73%
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
51.2%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 4 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
51.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Cee Jay PowellSimilar
Q3 6:57
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+54
50.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 54 yds to the FlaIn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
57.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 8 yds to the FlaIn 9Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 2
OPP 9
0
57.8%
Justin Henderson run for no gain to the FlaIn 9Similar
Q3 6:57
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+3
55.4%
Justin Henderson run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
57.8%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Griffin HebertSimilar
Q3 4:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
72.6%
Justin Henderson run for 6 yds for a TD, (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0033% → 31%
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
67.1%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 19 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
63.9%
Anthony Jones run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
64.2%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Shemar Thornton, broken up by Amik RobertsonSimilar
Q3 4:16
3RD & 9
OWN 45
-7
65.6%
James Morgan sacked by Ezekiel Barnett for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q3 4:16
4TH & 16
OWN 38
0
69.1%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 57 yds, downed at the LaTch 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 17FG
11 plays · 71 yds · 4:1367% → 80%
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+8
67.3%
Justin Henderson run for 8 yds to the LaTch 13Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 2
OWN 13
+5
67.7%
Justin Henderson run for 5 yds to the LaTch 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
68.0%
Justin Henderson run for 7 yds to the LaTch 25Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+2
68.7%
J'Mar Smith run for 2 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+13
67.2%
J'Mar Smith run for 13 yds to the LaTch 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+22
70.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Smoke Harris for 22 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
72.0%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
72.9%
Jaqwis Dancy run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 29
0
72.8%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 29
+5
70.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Jaqwis Dancy for 5 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q4 13:17
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+41
79.6%
Bailey Hale 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:0027% → 25%
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+12
72.6%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 12 yds to the FlaIn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
72.1%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Shemar ThorntonSimilar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-2
72.7%
James Morgan sacked by Milton Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q4 13:17
3RD & 12
OWN 27
0
74.5%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IVSimilar
Q4 13:17
4TH & 12
OWN 27
0
75.3%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 44 yds, downed at the LaTch 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 19FG
12 plays · 64 yds · 7:1081% → 91%
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
81.1%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 2 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+10
81.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 10 yds to the LaTch 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
82.9%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 1 yd to the LaTch 42Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+8
82.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Jaqwis Dancy for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:19
3RD & 1
50
+3
82.4%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+16
83.4%
J'Mar Smith run for 16 yds to the FlaIn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
83.9%
J'Mar Smith run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+15
83.9%
Justin Henderson run for 15 yds to the FlaIn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
83.9%
J'Mar Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 11
OPP 13
0
83.9%
Justin Henderson run for no gain to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q4 12:19
3RD & 11
OPP 13
+6
82.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 6 yds to the FlaIn 7Similar
Q4 5:09
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+25
91.2%
Bailey Hale 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20INT
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:009% → 11%
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
91.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 14 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
89.5%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 7 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q4 5:09
2ND & 3
OWN 46
0
89.3%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Shemar Thornton, broken up by Connor TaylorSimilar
Q4 5:09
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+5
89.5%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 5 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
88.8%
James Morgan pass intercepted Michael Sam return for 18 yds to the FlaIn 31 FLORIDA INTL Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the FlaIn 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 21FG
11 plays · 33 yds · 1:3693% → 98%
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-15
92.7%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Collin Scott) to the LaTch 43Similar
Q4 3:53
1ST & 25
OPP 44
+12
92.5%
Justin Henderson run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q4 3:53
2ND & 13
OPP 32
+19
92.6%
Justin Henderson run for 19 yds to the FlaIn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
92.8%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+4
95.2%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 8Similar
Q4 2:27
3RD & 5
OPP 8
-3
95.1%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Richard Dames for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 11Similar
Q4 2:17
4TH & 8
OPP 11
+29
97.7%
Bailey Hale 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22TD
12 plays · 72 yds · 1:262% → 20%
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
98.1%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 15 yds to the FlaIn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
98.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 3 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 7
OWN 46
0
97.9%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IVSimilar
Q4 2:17
3RD & 7
OWN 46
0
98.0%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Shemar Thornton, broken up by Amik RobertsonSimilar
Q4 2:17
4TH & 7
OWN 46
+25
98.1%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 25 yds to the LaTch 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
97.4%
James Morgan pass complete to Anthony Jones for 15 yds to the LaTch 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+10
97.4%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 10 yds to the LaTch 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
97.4%
MORGAN,J pass incomplete to ALEXANDER,M, PENALTY LATECH pass interference (SNEED, L'Jarius) 2 yards to the LATECH2, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
97.3%
MORGAN,J pass incomplete to JONES,A, PENALTY LATECH personal foul (MASON, K.) 1 yards to the LATECH1, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
79.6%
James Morgan pass complete to Anthony Jones for 1 yd for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24END OF GAME
6 plays · 41 yds · 0:002% → 3%
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
98.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Napoleon Maxwell for 9 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q4 0:46
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+4
97.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 4 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
98.1%
James Morgan pass complete to Napoleon Maxwell for 10 yds to the LaTch 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+18
97.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 18 yds to the LaTch 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
97.3%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Shemar Thornton, broken up by Amik RobertsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:57
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 31 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)
-18.6
TD · Q4 0:51
James Morgan pass complete to Anthony Jones for 1 yd for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)
-17.7
TD · Q3 4:16
Justin Henderson run for 6 yds for a TD, (Bailey Hale KICK)
+14.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com