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ARMY

Army 31 at UTSA 13

UTSA
2019 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2019 · Alamodome
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Win probability · UTSA
modelUTSA aheadARMY aheadconfidence bandkey playUTSA scoreARMY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:53 · Zach Potter punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTSA 40 UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the TexSA 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 62Pregame prior−27.0Home team on offense−6.6Score differential−4.2Garbage-time factor−2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:02: Lowell Narcisse run for 2 yds for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +15.6 pts (now 35%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 5:40: Frank Harris pass incomplete to Carlos Strickland II, broken up by Cedrick Cunningham — UTSA win probability +6.1 pts (now 35%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. TD · Q3 2:23: Jabari Laws run for 41 yds for a TD, (David Cooper KICK) — ARMY win probability +19.9 pts (now 85%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:43: Kell Walker run for 16 yds for a TD, (David Cooper KICK) UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined — ARMY win probability +10.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:50: Sincere McCormick run for 7 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed) — UTSA win probability +9.2 pts (now 15%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTSA made the numbers' call on 6 of 8ARMY made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:41ARMY 4th & 5 at UTSA 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    83.7%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:41UTSA 4th & 8 at UTSA 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00UTSA 4th & 17 at UTSA 22, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%−0.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:06ARMY 4th & 15 at ARMY 49, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.4%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:55UTSA 4th & 5 at UTSA 46, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:53ARMY 4th & 5 at ARMY 25, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.1%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:50UTSA 4th & 2 at UTSA 38, down 10
    Close callPunted · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.6%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:13UTSA 4th & 12 at ARMY 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−1.2
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    15.9%−2.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00UTSA 4th & 8 at ARMY 33, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.6%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    17.6%
    49% to make
    Punt
    17.4%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:02ARMY 4th & 14 at ARMY 36, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%−3.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:40UTSA 4th & 4 at UTSA 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    31.6%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:23UTSA 4th & 9 at UTSA 20, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTSA made the numbers' call on 1 of 2ARMY made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 14:07ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 8:02UTSA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:23ARMY Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:43ARMY Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:50UTSA Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    12.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    11.8%−0.4
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:23ARMY Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARMYDrive 1TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:5387% → 87%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+34
13.3%
Jabari Laws run for 34 yds to the TexSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
13.3%
Connor Slomka run for no gain to the TexSA 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+15
13.3%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the TexSA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
13.5%
Kell Walker run for 26 yds for a TD, (David Cooper KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 2FUMBLE
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
13.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Carlos Strickland II for 4 yds to the TexSA 29Similar
Q1 14:07
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+14
13.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 14 yds to the TexSA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-7
13.6%
Frank Harris sacked by Elijah Riley for a loss of 7 yards to the TexSA 39 Frank Harris fumbled, recovered by Army Kwabena Bonsu , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 3FG
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:3386% → 86%
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
13.7%
Jabari Laws run for 11 yds to the TexSA 28 for a 1ST down UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
13.7%
Jabari Laws run for no gain to the TexSA 28Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+3
13.7%
Artice Hobbs IV run for 3 yds to the TexSA 25Similar
Q1 13:14
3RD & 7
OPP 25
-10
13.7%
Laws, Jabari rush right for 9 yards to the UTSA16 (MARTEL, Andrew), PENALTY ARMY holding (Deaton, Jaxson) 10 yards to the UTSA35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:14
3RD & 17
OPP 35
+12
13.8%
Jabari Laws pass complete to Camden Harrison for 12 yds to the TexSA 23Similar
Q1 10:41
4TH & 5
OPP 23
+40
14.3%
David Cooper 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-3
14.4%
Sincere McCormick run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 16Similar
Q1 10:41
2ND & 13
OWN 16
-5
14.4%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 11Similar
Q1 10:41
2ND & 18
OWN 11
+7
14.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Brenden Brady for 7 yds to the TexSA 18Similar
Q1 10:41
3RD & 11
OWN 18
+5
14.3%
ARMY Penalty, offside defense (Amadeo West) to the TexSA 23Similar
Q1 10:41
3RD & 6
OWN 23
-2
14.3%
Frank Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 21Similar
Q1 10:41
4TH & 8
OWN 21
0
14.3%
Lucas Dean punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 5FUMBLE
10 plays · 51 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
14.7%
Connor Slomka run for 7 yds to the Army 47Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+3
14.7%
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
50
+3
14.7%
Jabari Laws run for 3 yds to the TexSA 47Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+3
14.7%
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the TexSA 44Similar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+7
14.8%
Kell Walker run for 7 yds to the TexSA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
14.7%
ARMY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 42Similar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 15
OPP 42
+9
14.8%
Jabari Laws run for 9 yds to the TexSA 33Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+8
14.6%
Jabari Laws run for 8 yds to the TexSA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
14.7%
Connor Slomka run for 12 yds to the TexSA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
14.7%
Connor Slomka run for 4 yds to the TexSA 9 Connor Slomka fumbled, forced by Jarrod Carter-McLin, recovered by TexSA Ladarian McFarlandSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 13 yds · 3:1216% → 16%
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-4
15.8%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the TexSA 5Similar
Q1 3:12
1ST & 14
OWN 5
+7
15.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 7 yds to the TexSA 12Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+4
15.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Carlos Strickland II for 4 yds to the TexSA 16Similar
Q1 3:12
3RD & 3
OWN 16
+13
15.7%
Deven Boston run for 13 yds to the TexSA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-8
16.1%
Frank Harris run for 2 yds to the TexSA 31 UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the TexSA 21Similar
Q1 0:54
1ST & 18
OWN 21
+3
15.7%
Deven Boston run for 3 yds to the TexSA 24Similar
Q1 0:54
2ND & 15
OWN 24
+8
15.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Blaze Moorhead for 8 yds to the TexSA 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 32
-10
15.9%
Frank Harris sacked by Jake Ellington and Arik Smith for a loss of 10 yards to the TexSA 22Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 22
0
15.5%
Lucas Dean punt for 53 yds, downed at the Army 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
16.7%
Jabari Laws run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 23Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+17
16.8%
Artice Hobbs IV run for 17 yds to the Army 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
16.1%
Connor Slomka run for no gain to the Army 40Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+6
16.3%
Jabari Laws pass complete to Kjetil Cline for 6 yds to the Army 46Similar
Q2 14:06
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+8
16.3%
Connor Slomka run for 8 yds to the TexSA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
16.1%
Jabari Laws run for no gain to the TexSA 46Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-4
16.1%
Jabari Laws run for a loss of 4 yards to the Army 49 Jabari Laws fumbled, forced by Brandon Matterson,Similar
Q2 14:06
3RD & 15
OWN 49
0
16.7%
Jabari Laws run for no gain to the Army 49Similar
Q2 14:06
4TH & 15
OWN 49
0
17.0%
Zach Potter punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
16.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 10 yds to the TexSA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
16.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 11 yds to the TexSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
17.2%
Lowell Narcisse run for 5 yds to the TexSA 46Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 5
OWN 46
0
17.4%
Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Sheldon JonesSimilar
Q2 8:55
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
17.1%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua CephusSimilar
Q2 8:55
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
16.7%
Lucas Dean punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
16.9%
Connor Slomka run for 2 yds to the Army 22Similar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+3
17.0%
Jabari Laws run for 3 yds to the Army 25Similar
Q2 6:53
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
17.1%
Jabari Laws run for no gain to the Army 25Similar
Q2 6:53
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+45
17.6%
Zach Potter punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTSA 40 UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the TexSA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
17.0%
Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the TexSA 34Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+4
17.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Gavin Sharp for 4 yds to the TexSA 38Similar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 2
OWN 38
0
17.4%
Deven Boston run for no gain to the TexSA 38Similar
Q2 4:50
4TH & 2
OWN 38
+6
17.0%
Lucas Dean punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Army 31 , Akyah Miranda returns for 6 yds to the Army 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 11FUMBLE
2 plays · -8 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
17.1%
Connor Slomka run for 2 yds to the Army 33Similar
Q2 2:49
2ND & 8
OWN 33
-10
17.1%
Jabari Laws run for a loss of 10 yards to the Army 23 Jabari Laws fumbled, forced by Eric Banks, recovered by TexSA De'Marco GuidrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 12MISSED FG
5 plays · -2 yds · 2:0120% → 16%
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
19.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Blaze Moorhead for 3 yds to the Army 20Similar
Q2 2:14
2ND & 7
OPP 20
-3
19.5%
Frank Harris sacked by Jacob Covington for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 23Similar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 10
OPP 23
-3
17.7%
Frank Harris sacked by Cole Christiansen for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 25 Frank Harris fumbled, recovered by TexSA Frank Harris , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 0:13
4TH & 12
OPP 25
+42
16.4%
Hunter Duplessis 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
16.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 14TD
15 plays · 65 yds · 6:5817% → 35%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
17.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 9 yds to the TexSA 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+11
18.1%
Sincere McCormick run for 11 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
18.5%
Frank Harris run for 7 yds to the Army 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+3
18.6%
Frank Harris run for 3 yds to the Army 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
19.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 2 yds to the Army 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
19.4%
Frank Harris run for no gain to the Army 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+5
18.3%
Frank Harris run for 5 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 28
-5
17.4%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, false start (Spencer Burford) to the Army 33Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 33
+12
17.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Gavin Sharp for 12 yds to the Army 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
19.4%
Frank Harris run for 3 yds to the Army 18Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 18
-3
19.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sheldon Jones for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 21Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+19
18.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Carlos Strickland II for 19 yds to the Army 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
19.4%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Carlos Strickland IISimilar
Q3 8:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
35.0%
Lowell Narcisse run for 2 yds for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0072% → 70%
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
28.0%
Kell Walker run for 15 yds to the Army 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
26.0%
Jabari Laws run for 6 yds to the Army 46Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 4
OWN 46
-4
25.9%
Jabari Laws run for a loss of 4 yards to the Army 42Similar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 8
OWN 42
-6
27.1%
Jabari Laws sacked by Rashad Wisdom for a loss of 6 yards to the Army 36Similar
Q3 8:02
4TH & 14
OWN 36
+3
30.0%
Zach Harding punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSA 23 , Sheldon Jones returns for 3 yds to the TexSA 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 16FUMBLE
7 plays · 33 yds · 0:0031% → 35%
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
31.1%
Brenden Brady run for no gain to the TexSA 23Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+2
30.8%
Frank Harris run for 2 yds to the TexSA 25Similar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 8
OWN 25
-1
29.4%
Frank Harris sacked by Jeremiah Lowery for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 24Similar
Q3 5:40
4TH & 9
OWN 24
+5
28.6%
DEAN, Lucas punt 31 yards to the ARMY45, out-of-bounds, PENALTY ARMY roughing the kicker 5 yards to the UTSA29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:40
4TH & 4
OWN 29
+22
29.1%
Lucas Dean pass complete to Rashad Wisdom for 22 yds to the Army 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
35.2%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Carlos Strickland II, broken up by Cedrick CunninghamSimilar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+7
34.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 7 yds Joshua Cephus fumbled, forced by Javhari Bourdeau, recovered by Army Jacob Covington , return for 15 yds to the TexSA 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 17TD
1 play · 41 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
14.8%
Jabari Laws run for 41 yds for a TD, (David Cooper KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0016% → 14%
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
16.1%
Brenden Brady run for 4 yds to the TexSA 23Similar
Q3 2:23
2ND & 6
OWN 23
-4
16.3%
Sheldon Jones run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSA 19Similar
Q3 2:23
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+1
15.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Deven Boston for 1 yd to the TexSA 20Similar
Q3 2:23
4TH & 9
OWN 20
0
14.4%
Lucas Dean punt for 50 yds, downed at the Army 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 19TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 4:3184% → 96%
Q3 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
16.4%
Artice Hobbs IV run for 9 yds to the Army 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+3
15.3%
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the Army 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+19
15.3%
Jabari Laws run for 19 yds to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
14.9%
Artice Hobbs IV run for 3 yds to the TexSA 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+6
14.8%
Jabari Laws run for 6 yds to the TexSA 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+2
14.9%
Connor Slomka run for 2 yds to the TexSA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
14.3%
ARMY Penalty, false start (JB Hunter) to the TexSA 33Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 33
+16
14.4%
Kell Walker run for 16 yds to the TexSA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
14.3%
Sandon McCoy run for 1 yd to the TexSA 16Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+16
4.3%
Kell Walker run for 16 yds for a TD, (David Cooper KICK) UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 20TD
7 plays · 32 yds · 1:536% → 15%
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
5.8%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Carlos Strickland IISimilar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+8
5.6%
Sincere McCormick run for 8 yds to the Army 24Similar
Q4 10:43
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+4
5.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Blaze Moorhead for 4 yds to the Army 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
5.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 6 yds to the Army 14Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+7
5.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Gavin Sharp for 7 yds to the Army 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
15.1%
Sincere McCormick run for 7 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 21TD
15 plays · 70 yds · 7:2790% → 99%
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
9.8%
Jabari Laws run for 2 yds to the Army 32Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+3
9.8%
Artice Hobbs IV run for 3 yds to the Army 35Similar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+13
10.2%
Artice Hobbs IV run for 13 yds to the Army 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
8.9%
Jabari Laws run for 9 yds to the TexSA 43Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+3
8.8%
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
8.8%
Jabari Laws run for 5 yds to the TexSA 35Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+1
8.8%
Connor Slomka run for 1 yd to the TexSA 34Similar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+6
8.9%
Artice Hobbs IV run for 6 yds to the TexSA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
5.9%
Connor Slomka run for 4 yds to the TexSA 24Similar
Q4 3:41
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+11
5.9%
Sandon McCoy run for 11 yds to the TexSA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
5.9%
Jabari Laws run for 8 yds to the TexSA 5Similar
Q4 3:41
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+2
5.9%
Connor Slomka run for 2 yds to the TexSA 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
1.0%
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds for a TD, (David Cooper KICK) UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 22INT
10 plays · 54 yds · 1:081% → 2%
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
1.4%
Frank Harris run for 1 yd to the TexSA 26Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
1.4%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Carlos Strickland IISimilar
Q4 1:23
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+11
1.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Carlos Strickland II for 11 yds to the TexSA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
1.4%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua CephusSimilar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
1.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Blaze Moorhead for 5 yds to the TexSA 42Similar
Q4 1:23
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+37
1.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Leroy Watson for 37 yds to the Army 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
1.8%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Carlos Strickland IISimilar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
1.7%
Frank Harris pass intercepted, touchback. Javhari Bourdeau return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:23
Jabari Laws run for 41 yds for a TD, (David Cooper KICK)
-19.9
TD · Q3 8:02
Lowell Narcisse run for 2 yds for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK)
+15.6
TD · Q4 10:43
Kell Walker run for 16 yds for a TD, (David Cooper KICK) UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined
-10
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com