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OHIO

Ohio 31 at Marshall 33

MRSH
2019 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2019 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:13 · Robert LeFevre punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+20.0+10.00−10.0−20.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 106Pregame prior+8.3Home team on offense+9.0Garbage-time factor+4.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.0Score differential+1.5Blowout margin−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:09: Nathan Rourke pass complete to De'Montre Tuggle for 18 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +9.0 pts (now 41%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:12: Isaiah Green pass complete to Devin Miller for 22 yds for a TD, (Justin Rohrwasser KICK) — MRSH win probability +8.2 pts (now 76%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:03: Nathan Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 7 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +15.8 pts (now 41%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:14: Nathan Rourke run for 72 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +34.3 pts (now 67%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:45: Isaiah Green pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 43 yds for a TD, (Justin Rohrwasser PAT MISSED) — MRSH win probability +23.1 pts (now 70%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 5 of 7OHIO made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 12:45OHIO 4th & 4 at OHIO 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:07MRSH 4th & 6 at MRSH 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.3%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:51OHIO 4th & 4 at MRSH 27, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.7%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    33.9%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:55MRSH 4th & 5 at OHIO 21, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    62.3%−1.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:12OHIO 4th & 7 at OHIO 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:54MRSH 4th & 8 at OHIO 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.9%−1.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    67.0%−5.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00OHIO 4th & 8 at OHIO 47, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:13MRSH 4th & 2 at MRSH 26, up 10
    Close callPunted · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.6%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:03MRSH 4th & 3 at MRSH 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.0%−0.6
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:59MRSH 4th & 12 at OHIO 37, up 3
    Close callPunted · 65.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%−0.7
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    66.1%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    65.8%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00OHIO 4th & 9 at OHIO 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%−1.7
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:48MRSH 4th & 5 at MRSH 37, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:45OHIO 4th & 8 at OHIO 35, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−2.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4OHIO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:45MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:09OHIO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:18MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:09OHIO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:12MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:03OHIO Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:14OHIO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:45MRSH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    69.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.8%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MRSHDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1568% → 68%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
67.6%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 4 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+15
67.6%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Corey Gammage for 15 yds to the Marsh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
67.6%
Isaiah Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+1
67.6%
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd to the Marsh 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+29
67.6%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tavin Richardson for 29 yds to the Ohio 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
68.4%
Xavier Gaines run for 26 yds for a TD, (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
68.0%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
68.0%
Nathan Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+4
68.0%
Nathan Rourke run for 4 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
Q1 12:45
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
68.1%
Michael Farkas punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:0069% → 68%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+16
68.5%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Talik Keaton for 16 yds to the Marsh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
68.5%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 4 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 6
OWN 32
0
68.6%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Brenden Knox, broken up by Jared DorsaSimilar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
68.4%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete MARSHALL Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 11:07
4TH & 6
OWN 32
+19
68.3%
Robert LeFevre punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 33 for a 1ST down , Jerome Buckner returns for 19 yds to the MARSHALL 49 for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Marsh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4FG
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:0032% → 33%
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
68.0%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 7 yds to the Marsh 26Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 3
OPP 26
-5
67.9%
OHIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 31Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+4
68.0%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to O'Shaan Allison for 4 yds to the Marsh 27Similar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 4
OPP 27
0
68.2%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to O'Shaan AllisonSimilar
Q1 7:51
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+44
67.5%
Louie Zervos 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 5FG
11 plays · 54 yds · 3:5668% → 70%
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
67.7%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 8 yds to the Marsh 33Similar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+2
68.0%
Brenden Knox run for 2 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
67.8%
Isaiah Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+13
67.7%
Brenden Knox run for 13 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
68.2%
Brenden Knox run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 8
50
+24
68.3%
Xavier Gaines run for 24 yds to the Ohio 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
68.5%
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd to the Ohio 25Similar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 9
OPP 25
0
68.5%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Corey GammageSimilar
Q1 7:51
3RD & 9
OPP 25
+4
68.3%
Brenden Knox run for 4 yds to the Ohio 21Similar
Q1 3:55
4TH & 5
OPP 21
+38
70.1%
Justin Rohrwasser 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6TD
9 plays · 59 yds · 4:4631% → 37%
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
69.3%
O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the Ohio 45Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+5
69.0%
O'Shaan Allison run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:55
3RD & 1
50
+1
68.9%
O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd to the Marsh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
68.8%
O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+19
68.8%
O'Shaan Allison run for 19 yds to the Marsh 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
68.2%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 5 yds to the Marsh 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+1
68.0%
O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd to the Marsh 20Similar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+20
63.1%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Shane Hooks for 20 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 7TD
11 plays · 69 yds · 4:5166% → 73%
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
65.9%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Corey GammageSimilar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+5
65.8%
Brenden Knox run for 5 yds to the Marsh 36Similar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+36
65.7%
Brenden Knox run for 36 yds to the Ohio 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
67.6%
Brenden Knox run for 10 yds to the Ohio 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
67.6%
Sheldon Evans run for 1 yd to the Ohio 17Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+3
67.6%
Sheldon Evans run for 3 yds to the Ohio 14Similar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+8
67.1%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 8 yds to the Ohio 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
67.6%
Brenden Knox run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 7Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
67.6%
Isaiah Green run for 5 yds to the Ohio 2Similar
Q2 9:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
72.8%
Brenden Knox run for 2 yds for a TD, (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:0929% → 41%
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
71.2%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 9 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+9
70.0%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 9 yds to the Ohio 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+36
70.3%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 36 yds to the Marsh 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
68.3%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 3 yds to the Marsh 18Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 7
OPP 18
0
68.3%
Nathan Rourke run for no gain to the Marsh 18Similar
Q2 6:09
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+18
59.3%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to De'Montre Tuggle for 18 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 9TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5765% → 76%
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
64.6%
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd to the Marsh 26Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+17
64.5%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Corey Gammage for 17 yds to the Marsh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
66.3%
Brenden Knox run for 6 yds to the Marsh 49Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+16
66.7%
Brenden Knox run for 16 yds to the Ohio 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
67.5%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Corey Gammage for 8 yds to the Ohio 27Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+5
67.5%
Sheldon Evans run for 5 yds to the Ohio 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
75.7%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Devin Miller for 22 yds for a TD, (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.7%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Isiah CoxSimilar
Q2 3:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
72.9%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to O'Shaan Allison for 3 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q2 3:12
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
73.4%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Isiah Cox, broken up by Chris JacksonSimilar
Q2 3:12
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
74.0%
Michael Farkas punt for 37 yds, downed at the Marsh 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 11FG
8 plays · 45 yds · 1:3674% → 77%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+27
73.8%
Brenden Knox run for 27 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
75.5%
Brenden Knox run for 8 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+8
75.6%
Sheldon Evans run for 8 yds to the Ohio 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
75.6%
Sheldon Evans run for 2 yds to the Ohio 20Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 8
OPP 20
0
75.7%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Talik KeatonSimilar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 8
OPP 20
0
74.8%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Armani LeviasSimilar
Q2 0:54
4TH & 8
OPP 20
+37
76.5%
Justin Rohrwasser 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12MISSED FG
13 plays · 46 yds · 0:5325% → 24%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
75.5%
O'Shaan Allison run for 6 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+12
76.5%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 12 yds to the Ohio 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
76.0%
OHIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 41Similar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 15
OWN 41
0
78.2%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Isiah CoxSimilar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 15
OWN 41
+32
78.4%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Jerome Buckner for 32 yds to the Marsh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
73.9%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+1
74.4%
Nathan Rourke run for 1 yd to the Marsh 26Similar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+43
76.2%
Louie Zervos 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
79.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
76.4%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 20 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
75.1%
Nathan Rourke run for 4 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 49
-5
74.6%
OHIO Penalty, false start (Shane Hooks) to the Ohio 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 44
0
75.5%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Shane Hooks, broken up by Jaylon McClain-SappSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 44
+3
76.4%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 3 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
76.8%
Michael Farkas punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Talik Keaton at the Marsh 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
78.2%
Sheldon Evans run for 3 yds to the Marsh 21Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 7
OWN 21
0
78.1%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Xavier GainesSimilar
Q3 13:13
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+5
77.2%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 5 yds to the Marsh 26Similar
Q3 13:13
4TH & 2
OWN 26
0
76.6%
Robert LeFevre punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 3:5622% → 41%
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
78.5%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+14
78.3%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 14 yds to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
77.5%
O'Shaan Allison run for 3 yds to the Ohio 45Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+4
77.0%
Nathan Rourke run for 4 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+22
77.1%
Nathan Rourke run for 22 yds to the Marsh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+22
75.0%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 22 yds to the Marsh 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
59.3%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 7 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0067% → 66%
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
67.3%
Sheldon Evans run for 3 yds to the Marsh 28Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
67.3%
Isaiah Green run for 2 yds to the Marsh 30Similar
Q3 8:03
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+2
66.5%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Devin Miller for 2 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q3 8:03
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+7
65.9%
Robert LeFevre punt for 35 yds , Jerome Buckner returns for 7 yds to the Ohio 46 Jerome Buckner fumbled, forced by Steven Gilmore, recovered by Marsh Armani LeviasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:0071% → 66%
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
71.1%
Sheldon Evans run for 9 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+2
71.0%
Xavier Gaines run for 2 yds to the Ohio 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
72.0%
Sheldon Evans run for 1 yd to the Ohio 34Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 9
OPP 34
0
71.7%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Corey GammageSimilar
Q3 5:59
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+2
70.2%
Sheldon Evans run for 2 yds to the Ohio 32Similar
Q3 5:59
4TH & 7
OPP 32
-5
68.0%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (Levi Brown) to the Ohio 37Similar
Q3 5:59
4TH & 12
OPP 37
0
66.4%
Robert LeFevre punt for 35 yds, downed at the Ohio 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:4832% → 31%
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
67.6%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 3 yds to the Ohio 5Similar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+9
68.0%
Nathan Rourke run for 9 yds to the Ohio 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+14
67.0%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 14 yds to the Ohio 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
65.8%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 2 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 8
OWN 30
-1
65.9%
De'Montre Tuggle run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 29
0
67.9%
Nathan Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 29
0
69.1%
Michael Farkas punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Talik Keaton at the Marsh 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0067% → 65%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
67.3%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Talik KeatonSimilar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+2
66.7%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 2 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+3
65.8%
Sheldon Evans run for 3 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
65.4%
Robert LeFevre punt for 54 yds, downed at the Ohio 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21TD
5 plays · 91 yds · 2:1732% → 67%
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
68.5%
De'Montre Tuggle run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 8 OHIO Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 11
OWN 8
+4
69.0%
O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the Ohio 12Similar
Q4 13:31
3RD & 7
OWN 12
+7
69.8%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to O'Shaan Allison for 7 yds to the Ohio 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
67.6%
O'Shaan Allison run for 9 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+72
33.3%
Nathan Rourke run for 72 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 22TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:2941% → 70%
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
41.1%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 8 yds to the Marsh 33Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
44.2%
Sheldon Evans run for 4 yds to the Marsh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
42.7%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Artie Henry for no gain to the Marsh 37Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+18
42.2%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Artie Henry for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 48 for a 1ST down to Sheldon Evans for 18 yds to the Ohio 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
47.2%
Isaiah Green run for 6 yds to the Ohio 42Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 4
OPP 42
-1
47.4%
Willie Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 43Similar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+43
70.4%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 43 yds for a TD, (Justin Rohrwasser PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:0036% → 33%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
64.4%
Nathan Rourke run for 2 yds to the Ohio 23Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
64.9%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Ryan LuehrmanSimilar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+10
66.4%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to De'Montre Tuggle for 10 yds to the Ohio 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
62.6%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to DL KnockSimilar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+2
63.5%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 2 yds to the Ohio 35Similar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
64.9%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Isiah Cox, broken up by Jaylon McClain-SappSimilar
Q4 7:45
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
66.8%
Michael Farkas punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Talik Keaton at the Marsh 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 24END OF GAME
14 plays · 66 yds · 4:2571% → 89%
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
71.1%
Sheldon Evans run for 4 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+16
71.5%
Sheldon Evans run for 16 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
74.5%
Isaiah Green run for 5 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+7
75.3%
Sheldon Evans run for 7 yds to the Ohio 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
75.4%
Sheldon Evans run for 2 yds to the Ohio 38Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+20
79.3%
Isaiah Green run for 20 yds to the Ohio 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
83.3%
Sheldon Evans run for 4 yds to the Ohio 14Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+12
85.4%
Isaiah Green run for 12 yds to the Ohio 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
88.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 4Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
88.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:14
Nathan Rourke run for 72 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)
-34.3
TD · Q4 7:45
Isaiah Green pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 43 yds for a TD, (Justin Rohrwasser PAT MISSED)
+23.1
TD · Q3 8:03
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 7 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)
-15.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com