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LT

Louisiana Tech 35 at Bowling Green 7

BGSU
2019 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2019 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
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Win probability · BGSU
modelBGSU aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playBGSU scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:35 · Darius Wade pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 147Pregame prior−11.8Home team on offense−19.9Score differential−10.0Garbage-time factor−6.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:14: Bryson Denley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nate Needham KICK) — BGSU win probability +2.1 pts (now 19%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:49: Jaqwis Dancy 8 Yd Run (Bailey Hale Kick) — LT win probability +4.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 6:35: Justin Henderson run for 1 yd to the LaTch 9 — LT win probability +3.5 pts (now 90%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 1:16: J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 9 yds to the LaTch 44 — LT win probability +3.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:49: Jaqwis Dancy run for 2 yds for a TD, (Bailey Hale KICK) — LT win probability +5.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BGSU made the numbers' call on 10 of 14LT made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 10:16BGSU 4th & 2 at BGSU 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:49LT 4th & 2 at LT 29, up 7
    Close callPunted · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.8%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:21BGSU 4th & 2 at BGSU 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.0%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:09LT 4th & 5 at LT 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.7%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:12BGSU 4th & 10 at LT 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    23.4%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    23.5%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:51LT 4th & 10 at LT 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.8%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00BGSU 4th & 8 at LT 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    23.8%−0.4
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:02LT 4th & 17 at LT 13, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.4%−1.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:50BGSU 4th & 3 at LT 3, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.0%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    25.1%−0.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    20.2%−5.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:42BGSU 4th & 14 at BGSU 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−0.9
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:32LT 4th & 19 at midfield, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.3%−1.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.5%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:25BGSU 4th & 9 at BGSU 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 14:55LT 4th & 7 at LT 49, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:39BGSU 4th & 4 at LT 8, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    15.4%−0.3
    90% to make
    Punt
    10.6%−5.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:35LT 4th & 14 at LT 4, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.6%−3.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.8%
    average punt
  16. Q3 5:33BGSU 4th & 2 at LT 13, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    14.8%−0.7
    85% to make
    Punt
    10.0%−5.5
    average punt
  17. Q3 3:06BGSU 4th & 8 at LT 8, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.7%
    90% to make
    Punt
    8.9%−4.8
    average punt
  18. Q3 2:35BGSU 4th & 9 at LT 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    13.8%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    13.3%−0.6
    average punt
  19. Q4 14:42BGSU 4th & 12 at BGSU 21, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−1.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 10:12BGSU 4th & 7 at BGSU 28, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  21. Q4 7:44BGSU 4th & 5 at LT 22, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    72% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.3
    average punt
  22. Q4 6:53LT 4th & 3 at BGSU 3, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BGSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1LT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 12:14BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:11LT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 10:23LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:49LT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:49LT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:19LT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 2:4617% → 19%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
16.6%
Davon Jones run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 35
-5
16.6%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (Julian Ortega-Jones) to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+59
16.6%
Darius Wade pass complete to Quintin Morris for 59 yds to the LaTch 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
16.6%
Davon Jones run for 1 yd to the LaTch 10Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 10
-5
16.6%
Bryson Denley run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 15 Bryson Denley fumbled, recovered by BwGrn Bryson DenleySimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 15
+13
16.6%
WADE, Darius pass incomplete to MORRIS, Quintin, PENALTY LATECH pass interference (SNEED, L'Jarius) 13 yards to the LATECH2, 1ST DOWN BGSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
16.6%
Darius Wade run for no gain to the LaTch 2Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
16.6%
Bryson Denley run for 1 yd to the LaTch 1Similar
Q1 12:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
18.6%
Bryson Denley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nate Needham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2TD
4 plays · 60 yds · 0:5882% → 82%
Q1 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
18.5%
Justin Henderson run for 4 yds to the LaTch 44Similar
Q1 12:09
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+7
18.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 7 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
18.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 49 yds for a TD, (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3INT TD
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4319% → 18%
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
18.5%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Quintin MorrisSimilar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
18.5%
Davon Jones run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q1 10:23
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+36
17.7%
Darius Wade pass intercepted for a TD Amik Robertson return for 36 yds for a TD, (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
17.9%
Davon Jones run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q1 10:16
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+3
18.0%
Darius Wade run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q1 10:16
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+1
18.0%
Davon Jones run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q1 10:16
4TH & 2
OWN 42
0
17.9%
Matt Naranjo punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Cee Jay Powell at the LaTch 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
18.0%
HENDERSON, J. rush for no gain to the LATECH21 (BROOKS, Karl), PENALTY LATECH false start 5 yards to the LATECH16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 15
OWN 16
0
18.1%
Justin Henderson run for no gain to the LaTch 16Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 15
OWN 16
+12
18.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 12 yds to the LaTch 28Similar
Q1 8:49
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+1
18.0%
Justin Henderson run for 1 yd to the LaTch 29Similar
Q1 8:49
4TH & 2
OWN 29
0
18.2%
Brady Farlow punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
18.9%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Quintin MorrisSimilar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
18.8%
Darius Wade run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
19.2%
Grant Loy run for no gain to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q1 6:21
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
18.9%
Matt Naranjo punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Cee Jay Powell at the LaTch 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-6
19.0%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Melvin Jackson III for a loss of 6 yards to the LaTch 13Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 16
OWN 13
+3
19.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to DeAndre Marcus for 3 yds to the LaTch 16Similar
Q1 5:09
3RD & 13
OWN 16
+8
19.2%
J'Mar Smith run for 8 yds to the LaTch 24Similar
Q1 5:09
4TH & 5
OWN 24
0
19.3%
Brady Farlow punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
20.2%
Davon Jones run for 15 yds to the LaTch 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
20.6%
Davon Jones run for no gain to the LaTch 41Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
20.5%
Darius Wade run for no gain to the LaTch 41Similar
Q1 3:12
3RD & 10
OPP 41
0
20.2%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Quintin Morris, broken up by Aaron RobersonSimilar
Q1 3:12
4TH & 10
OPP 41
0
19.6%
Matt Naranjo punt for 31 yds, downed at the LaTch 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+15
19.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 15 yds to the LaTch 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
19.5%
Jaqwis Dancy run for no gain to the LaTch 25Similar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
19.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Isaiah GrahamSimilar
Q1 1:51
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
19.9%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Cee Jay Powell, broken up by Melvin Jackson IIISimilar
Q1 1:51
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
20.2%
Brady Farlow punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:2621% → 20%
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
20.5%
Darius Wade pass complete to Quintin Morris for no gain to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q1 0:26
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+17
20.5%
Davon Jones run for 2 yds to the LaTch 40 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the LaTch 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
21.3%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Quintin MorrisSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+2
21.3%
Darius Wade pass complete to Bryson Denley for 2 yds to the LaTch 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 43
0
21.1%
Darius Wade run for no gain to the LaTch 43 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
20.2%
Matt Naranjo punt for 33 yds, downed at the LaTch 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+10
20.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 10 yds to the LaTch 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-7
20.3%
SMITH, J'Mar pass complete to POWELL, Cee Jay for 48 yards to the BGSU32 (COLEMAN, Kholbe), PENALTY LATECH personal foul (KIRKPATRICK, D.) 7 yards to the LATECH13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 17
OWN 13
+3
20.3%
J'Mar Smith run for 3 yds to the LaTch 16Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 14
OWN 16
-2
20.4%
J'Mar Smith sacked by David Konowalski for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 14Similar
Q2 14:02
3RD & 16
OWN 14
-1
20.7%
J'Mar Smith sacked by DeMontae Haigler for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 13Similar
Q2 14:02
4TH & 17
OWN 13
0
21.0%
Brady Farlow punt, downed at the LaTch 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 12DOWNS
9 plays · 23 yds · 0:0024% → 22%
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
23.5%
Bryson Denley run for 9 yds to the LaTch 20Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 1
OPP 20
+8
23.5%
Davon Jones run for 8 yds to the LaTch 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
23.5%
Davon Jones run for 1 yd to the LaTch 11Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+3
23.5%
Davon Jones run for 3 yds to the LaTch 8Similar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 6
OPP 8
+6
22.8%
Darius Wade run for 6 yds to the LaTch 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
23.5%
Andrew Clair run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 3Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
23.5%
Darius Wade run for 2 yds to the LaTch 5 Darius Wade fumbled, forced by James Jackson, recovered by BwGrn Quintin MorrisSimilar
Q2 10:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
22.8%
Darius Wade run for 2 yds to the LaTch 3Similar
Q2 10:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
22.1%
Jordan Wayne-Prather run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 13TD
4 plays · 94 yds · 1:4079% → 86%
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
21.1%
Justin Henderson run for 3 yds to the LaTch 9Similar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+75
21.3%
Justin Henderson run for 75 yds to the BwGrn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
19.2%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Justin Henderson for 8 yds to the BwGrn 8Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 2
OPP 8
+8
14.5%
Jaqwis Dancy 8 Yd Run (Bailey Hale Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
15.7%
Darius Wade run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 37Similar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+3
16.0%
Andrew Clair run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q2 5:42
3RD & 4
OWN 40
-10
16.2%
WADE, Darius rush for 5 yards to the BGSU45 (BALDWIN, Trey), PENALTY BGSU holding 10 yards to the BGSU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:42
3RD & 14
OWN 30
0
15.1%
Darius Wade pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:42
4TH & 14
OWN 30
+7
15.1%
Matt Naranjo punt for 50 yds , Cee Jay Powell returns for 7 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 15PUNT
12 plays · 23 yds · 2:5485% → 86%
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
15.1%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 3 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
15.2%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q2 4:26
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+19
15.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 19 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
14.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Jaqwis Dancy for 8 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+2
14.4%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-10
14.4%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Kholbe Coleman for a loss of 10 yards to the LaTch 49Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 20
OWN 49
-8
13.8%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Jerry Roberts for a loss of 8 yards to the LaTch 41Similar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 28
OWN 41
+9
13.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:32
4TH & 19
50
0
13.9%
Brady Farlow punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 1:0015% → 15%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
14.6%
Darius Wade pass complete to Andrew Clair for 3 yds to the BwGrn 16Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+10
14.6%
Darius Wade pass complete to Quintin Morris for 10 yds to the BwGrn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
14.7%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Jordan Wayne-PratherSimilar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+3
14.6%
Darius Wade pass complete to Jordan Wayne-Prather for 3 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 7
OWN 29
-2
15.2%
Darius Wade pass complete to Andrew Clair for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q2 0:25
4TH & 9
OWN 27
0
15.3%
Matt Naranjo punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 17END OF HALF
1 play · 11 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
14.4%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 11 yds to the LaTch 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
14.1%
Justin Henderson run for 2 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+14
14.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 14 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
13.3%
Justin Henderson run for no gain to the LaTch 46Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+3
13.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 3 yds to the LaTch 49Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 7
OWN 49
0
13.5%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Cee Jay Powell, broken up by Jamari BozemanSimilar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
14.3%
Brady Farlow punt for 50 yds, downed at the BwGrn 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 19DOWNS
19 plays · 91 yds · 5:4114% → 14%
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
13.9%
Andrew Clair run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 4Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+1
13.8%
Andrew Clair run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 5Similar
Q3 11:27
3RD & 6
OWN 5
+9
14.0%
Darius Wade pass complete to Quintin Morris for 9 yds to the BwGrn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
14.5%
Andrew Clair run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 13Similar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 11
OWN 13
0
14.4%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Andrew ClairSimilar
Q3 11:27
3RD & 11
OWN 13
+21
14.1%
Darius Wade pass complete to Julian Ortega-Jones for 21 yds to the BwGrn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
14.8%
Andrew Clair run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 4
OWN 40
0
15.4%
Andrew Clair run for no gain to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q3 11:27
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+9
15.3%
Darius Wade pass complete to RB Marlow III for 9 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+21
16.0%
Darius Wade run for 21 yds to the LaTch 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
16.7%
Darius Wade pass complete to Jordan Wayne-Prather for 1 yd to the LaTch 29Similar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 9
OPP 29
0
16.5%
Darius Wade pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:27
3RD & 9
OPP 29
+15
16.0%
Darius Wade pass complete to RB Marlow III for 15 yds to the LaTch 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
16.9%
Darius Wade run for 1 yd to the LaTch 13Similar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+4
16.9%
Davon Jones run for 4 yds to the LaTch 9Similar
Q3 11:27
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+1
16.3%
Darius Wade pass complete to Davon Jones for 1 yd to the LaTch 8Similar
Q3 6:39
4TH & 4
OPP 8
0
13.7%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Quintin Morris, broken up by Michael SamSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
10.2%
Justin Henderson run for 1 yd to the LaTch 9Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 9
OWN 9
0
10.3%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Griffin HebertSimilar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 9
OWN 9
0
10.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Cee Jay PowellSimilar
Q3 6:35
4TH & 9
OWN 9
-5
10.8%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, delay of game (Brady Farlow) to the LaTch 4Similar
Q3 6:35
4TH & 14
OWN 4
+11
10.8%
Brady Farlow punt for 46 yds , Jake Rogers returns for 11 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 21MISSED FG
11 plays · 31 yds · 2:2713% → 12%
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
13.4%
Darius Wade run for 4 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q3 5:33
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+14
14.1%
Darius Wade pass complete to Quintin Morris for 14 yds to the LaTch 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
14.1%
Davon Jones run for 4 yds to the LaTch 17Similar
Q3 5:33
2ND & 6
OPP 17
0
14.1%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Julian Ortega-JonesSimilar
Q3 5:33
3RD & 6
OPP 17
-10
13.6%
WADE, Darius rush for loss of 2 yards to the LATECH19 (MASON, K.), PENALTY BGSU holding (NEVEROV, Sam) 10 yards to the LATECH27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:33
3RD & 16
OPP 27
+14
12.7%
Darius Wade pass complete to Julian Ortega-Jones for 14 yds to the LaTch 13Similar
Q3 5:33
4TH & 2
OPP 13
+9
13.5%
Andrew Clair run for 9 yds to the LaTch 4 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-4
14.1%
Andrew Clair run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 8Similar
Q3 5:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
14.1%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Quintin MorrisSimilar
Q3 5:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
13.6%
Darius Wade pass incomplete, broken up by Michael SamSimilar
Q3 3:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
12.2%
Nate Needham 25 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 22FUMBLE
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
9.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Smoke Harris for 7 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+5
9.2%
Justin Henderson run for 5 yds to the LaTch 36 Justin Henderson fumbled, forced by Nico Lautanen, recovered by BwGrn David KonowalskiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
12.5%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Andrew ClairSimilar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-2
12.4%
Darius Wade pass complete to Quintin Morris for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 38Similar
Q3 2:35
3RD & 12
OPP 38
-5
11.8%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (Derek Downs) to the LaTch 43Similar
Q3 2:35
3RD & 17
OPP 43
+8
11.5%
Darius Wade pass complete to Austin Dorris for 8 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q3 2:35
4TH & 9
OPP 35
0
11.9%
Darius Wade pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 24TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:2792% → 99%
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
8.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 9 yds to the LaTch 44Similar
Q3 1:16
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+41
7.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 41 yds to the BwGrn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
7.0%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 12Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+10
6.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 10 yds to the BwGrn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
1.3%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 2 yds for a TD, (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
2.9%
Andrew Clair run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 12
OWN 21
0
2.8%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to RB Marlow IIISimilar
Q4 14:42
4TH & 12
OWN 21
+2
2.8%
Matt Naranjo punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 47 , Cee Jay Powell returns for 2 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q4 14:42
3RD & 12
OWN 21
0
2.8%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Austin Dorris, broken up by Aaron RobersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 26TD
8 plays · 53 yds · 3:3599% → 100%
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
1.4%
J'Mar Smith run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q4 13:54
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+9
1.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Jaqwis Dancy for 9 yds to the BwGrn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
1.4%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian Hardy, broken up by Jerry McBride IIISimilar
Q4 13:54
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+7
1.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Jaqwis Dancy for 7 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q4 11:57
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+3
1.2%
J'Mar Smith run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
1.1%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+27
0.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Smoke Harris for 27 yds for a TD, (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
0.1%
Andrew Clair run for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 22Similar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+6
0.1%
Darius Wade pass complete to Andrew Clair for 6 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q4 10:12
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
0.1%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Andrew ClairSimilar
Q4 10:12
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+51
0.1%
Matt Naranjo punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Cee Jay Powell at the BOWLGREEN 31 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (Praise Okorie) to the LaTch 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 28INT
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
0.3%
DeAndre Marcus run for 2 yds to the LaTch 23Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 8
OWN 23
-7
0.3%
Westin Elliott run for a loss of 7 yards to the LaTch 16 Westin Elliott fumbled, recovered by LaTch Westin ElliottSimilar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 15
OWN 16
0
0.3%
Westin Elliott pass intercepted Brandon Perce return for no gain to the LaTch 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 29DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
0.1%
Bryson Denley run for 2 yds to the LaTch 25Similar
Q4 7:44
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+3
0.1%
Bryson Denley run for 3 yds to the LaTch 22Similar
Q4 7:44
3RD & 5
OPP 22
0
0.1%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Bryson DenleySimilar
Q4 7:44
4TH & 5
OPP 22
0
0.1%
Darius Wade pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 30DOWNS
13 plays · 73 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
0.2%
Aaron Allen run for 5 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
Q4 6:53
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+4
0.2%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Smoke Harris for 4 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q4 6:53
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+2
0.2%
DeAndre Marcus run for 2 yds to the LaTch 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
0.2%
Aaron Allen run for 2 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q4 6:53
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+24
0.2%
DeAndre Marcus run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, personal foul (Brandon Perce) to the BwGrn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+19
0.2%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Smoke Harris for 19 yds to the BwGrn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-14
0.2%
DeAndre Marcus run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 21 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Biron Rossell) to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q4 6:53
2ND & 24
OPP 36
+11
0.2%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Malik Stanley for 11 yds to the BwGrn 25Similar
Q4 6:53
3RD & 13
OPP 25
+16
0.2%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Malik Stanley for 16 yds to the BwGrn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
0.2%
Aaron Allen run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 4Similar
Q4 6:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-6
0.1%
Aaron Allen run for a loss of 6 yards to the BwGrn 10 Aaron Allen fumbled, recovered by LaTch Aaron AllenSimilar
Q4 6:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
0.2%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Smoke Harris for 7 yds to the BwGrn 3Similar
Q4 6:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
0.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 31END OF GAME
3 plays · 21 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+7
0.1%
Nigel Sealey run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 12Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 3
OWN 12
+14
0.0%
Nigel Sealey run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 11 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Ezekiel Barnett) to the BwGrn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
0.1%
Nigel Sealey run for no gain to the BwGrn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:49
Jaqwis Dancy run for 2 yds for a TD, (Bailey Hale KICK)
-5.3
TD · Q2 5:49
Jaqwis Dancy 8 Yd Run (Bailey Hale Kick)
-4.7
KEY PLAY · Q3 1:16
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 9 yds to the LaTch 44
-3.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com