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FAU

Florida Atlantic 41 at Ball State 31

BALL
2019 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2019 · Scheumann Stadium
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Win probability · BALL
modelBALL aheadFAU aheadconfidence bandkey playBALL scoreFAU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFUMBLETDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:49 · Ryan Rimmler 40 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 91Home team on offense+4.2Score differential+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.1Pregame prior−3.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:09: Chris Robison pass complete to John Mitchell for 4 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +15.3 pts (now 63%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:23: Larry McCammon III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +14.7 pts (now 78%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:06: Chris Robison pass complete to John Mitchell for 24 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas PAT MISSED) — FAU win probability +10.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:36: Drew Plitt pass complete to Malik Dunner for 19 yds for a TD, (Ryan Rimmler KICK) — BALL win probability +11.0 pts (now 27%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:26: James Charles run for 4 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +11.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BALL made the numbers' call on 6 of 8FAU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00FAU 4th & 2 at FAU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:14BALL 4th & 11 at BALL 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:27FAU 4th & 1 at FAU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    54.1%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 11:27FAU 4th & 18 at FAU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%−0.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:08BALL 4th & 3 at FAU 46, down 7
    Close callPunted · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    43.6%−0.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.1%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:52BALL 4th & 8 at FAU 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    47.3%−2.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:48FAU 4th & 10 at BALL 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    48.1%−0.5
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    48.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:49BALL 4th & 9 at FAU 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    49.6%−5.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:55BALL 4th & 11 at FAU 44, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%−1.0
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    42.4%−1.7
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:20FAU 4th & 3 at BALL 26, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    56.5%−1.0
    64% to make
    Punt
    49.3%−8.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:33FAU 4th & 3 at FAU 39, up 11
    Close callPunted · 74.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.6%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:47BALL 4th & 11 at BALL 11, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%−2.2
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00FAU 4th & 12 at FAU 23, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.7%−4.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:17BALL 4th & 2 at BALL 44, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.9%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:17BALL 4th & 6 at FAU 28, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    6.7%
    60% to make
    Punt
    2.9%−3.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:34FAU 4th & 10 at FAU 23, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BALL made the numbers' call on 3 of 3FAU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 6:16FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:59BALL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:57FAU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:09FAU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:23FAU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:06FAU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:36BALL Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:26FAU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:52BALL Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.5%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
43.5%
Larry McCammon III run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
43.5%
Chris Robison run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+4
43.5%
Chris Robison pass complete to Larry McCammon III for 4 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
43.5%
Matthew Hayball punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Riley Miller at the BalSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
44.0%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Caleb Huntley for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 22Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 11
OWN 22
0
44.0%
Caleb Huntley run for no gain to the BalSt 22Similar
Q1 13:14
3RD & 11
OWN 22
0
43.9%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Antwan DavisSimilar
Q1 13:14
4TH & 11
OWN 22
+52
43.9%
Nathan Snyder punt for 52 yds , Dante Cousart returns for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
44.5%
Larry McCammon III run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
44.4%
Chris Robison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
44.6%
Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 6 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q1 11:27
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+8
44.6%
Larry McCammon III run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
44.2%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Tavaris HarrisonSimilar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-5
44.3%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (Brandon Walton) to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 15
OWN 37
0
44.5%
Chris Robison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 15
OWN 37
-3
44.6%
Chris Robison sacked by Jordan Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q1 11:27
4TH & 18
OWN 34
0
44.7%
Matthew Hayball punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Riley Miller at the BalSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 4FUMBLE
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
45.2%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+15
45.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Walter Fletcher for 15 yds to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
45.7%
Walter Fletcher run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 44Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+4
45.4%
Malik Dunner run for a loss of 8 yards to the BalSt 31 Malik Dunner fumbled, recovered by FlAtl Rashad Smith , return for 4 yds to the BalSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 5TD
6 plays · 31 yds · 1:3756% → 59%
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
44.4%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 6 yds to the BalSt 25Similar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+9
44.3%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Mitchell for 9 yds to the BalSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
44.3%
James Charles run for 4 yds to the BalSt 12Similar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+5
44.3%
James Charles run for 5 yds to the BalSt 7Similar
Q1 7:53
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+3
44.6%
Chris Robison run for 3 yds to the BalSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
41.3%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Raine for 4 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:0042% → 43%
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
42.4%
Caleb Huntley run for 22 yds to the BalSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
43.2%
Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the BalSt 48Similar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 9
OWN 48
-5
43.2%
BALL ST Penalty, false start (Curtis Blackwell) to the BalSt 43Similar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 14
OWN 43
0
42.6%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Riley MillerSimilar
Q1 6:08
3RD & 14
OWN 43
+11
42.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 11 yds to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q1 6:08
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
42.9%
Drew Plitt punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 7FUMBLE TD
9 plays · 35 yds · 2:5358% → 55%
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
41.8%
Larry McCammon III run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
41.4%
Chris Robison run for no gain to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
41.7%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Raine for 7 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
41.2%
Chris Robison pass complete to Dante Cousart for 7 yds to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+4
41.0%
Chris Robison pass complete to Dante Cousart for 4 yds to the FlAtl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
41.0%
Larry McCammon III run for no gain to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+8
41.0%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 8 yds to the BalSt 43Similar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+6
40.9%
Kelvin Dean Jr. run for 6 yds to the BalSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+60
44.9%
Kelvin Dean Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards Kelvin Dean Jr. fumbled, forced by Chris Crumb, recovered by BalSt Jordan Williams , return for 60 yds, (Ryan Rimmler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8FUMBLE
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
46.4%
Chris Robison pass complete to Willie Wright for 4 yds Willie Wright fumbled, forced by Bryce Cosby, recovered by BalSt Jordan WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 9TD
1 play · 14 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
53.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 14 yds for a TD, (Ryan Rimmler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:0248% → 55%
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
52.0%
Larry McCammon III run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q1 0:59
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
52.0%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Harrison BryantSimilar
Q1 0:59
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+16
52.5%
Chris Robison run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 27 for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, personal foul (James Jennette III) to the FlAtl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
51.3%
Chris Robison run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+13
51.3%
Larry McCammon III run for 13 yds to the BalSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
51.0%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Mitchell for 11 yds to the BalSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-3
50.3%
Larry McCammon III run for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 33Similar
Q2 13:57
2ND & 13
OPP 33
+33
45.0%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Mitchell for 33 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 11FG
8 plays · 62 yds · 2:0548% → 50%
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
47.9%
Caleb Huntley run for 6 yds to the BalSt 31Similar
Q2 13:57
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
48.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
Q2 13:57
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+51
48.2%
Drew Plitt run for 51 yds to the FlAtl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
50.1%
Walter Fletcher run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 13Similar
Q2 13:57
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
50.1%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Antwan DavisSimilar
Q2 13:57
3RD & 8
OPP 13
0
49.5%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz TylerSimilar
Q2 11:52
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+30
50.2%
Ryan Rimmler 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 12PUNT
12 plays · 39 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
50.1%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Tavaris HarrisonSimilar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+5
50.3%
James Charles run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 23Similar
Q2 11:48
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+18
50.7%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 18 yds to the FlAtl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
48.8%
Larry McCammon III run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 13
OWN 38
-3
49.8%
Chris Robison pass complete to Dante Cousart for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q2 11:48
3RD & 16
OWN 35
+22
51.1%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Mitchell for 22 yds to the BalSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
48.2%
ROBISON, Chris pass complete to MITCHELL, John for 6 yards to the BALL37, out-of-bounds (ALBRIGHT, C.;THOMAS, Jaylin), PENALTY FAU illegal motion 5 yards to the BALL48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 15
OPP 48
0
48.9%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Harrison BryantSimilar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 15
OPP 48
+1
49.2%
James Charles run for 1 yd to the BalSt 47Similar
Q2 11:48
3RD & 14
OPP 47
+4
49.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to Larry McCammon III for 4 yds to the BalSt 43Similar
Q2 11:48
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
50.3%
Matthew Hayball punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Riley Miller at the BalSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 13MISSED FG
15 plays · 67 yds · 5:5252% → 56%
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+19
52.0%
Caleb Huntley run for 19 yds to the BalSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
52.4%
Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the BalSt 30Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 9
OWN 30
-2
52.3%
Drew Plitt sacked by Tim Bonner for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 28Similar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 11
OWN 28
+23
51.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 23 yds to the FlAtl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
54.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Hassan Littles for 4 yds to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+2
54.5%
Walter Fletcher run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+6
54.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 6 yds to the FlAtl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
54.6%
Drew Plitt run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 6
OPP 33
-3
55.1%
Caleb Huntley run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 9
OPP 36
+12
53.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 12 yds to the FlAtl 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
55.1%
Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 22Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 8
OPP 22
-8
55.1%
Drew Plitt sacked by Leighton McCarthy for a loss of 8 yards to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 16
OPP 30
+7
52.7%
Drew Plitt run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 23Similar
Q2 1:49
4TH & 9
OPP 23
+40
55.9%
Ryan Rimmler 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 14TD
12 plays · 77 yds · 1:4045% → 63%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
54.8%
Chris Robison pass complete to Larry McCammon III for 5 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+17
54.2%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Mitchell for 17 yds to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
51.5%
Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 11 yds to the BalSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+18
50.3%
Larry McCammon III run for 18 yds to the BalSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
48.6%
Larry McCammon III run for 5 yds to the BalSt 21Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+8
48.6%
Larry McCammon III run for 8 yds to the BalSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
48.6%
Larry McCammon III run for no gain to the BalSt 13Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+4
51.0%
Chris Robison run for 4 yds to the BalSt 9Similar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+5
52.6%
ROBISON, Chris pass incomplete to BRYANT, Harriso, PENALTY BALL face mask (UZODINMA, A.) 5 yards to the BALL4, 1ST DOWN FAU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
37.3%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Mitchell for 4 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
44.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 0:0044% → 43%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
43.5%
Justin Hall run for 15 yds to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
45.8%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz TylerSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+12
44.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 12 yds to the FlAtl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
46.9%
PLITT, Drew pass incomplete to MILLER, Riley, PENALTY BALL ineligible downfield on pass (SLAVEN, Kaleb) 5 yards to the FAU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 15
OPP 48
0
45.1%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 15
OPP 48
+4
44.8%
Walter Fletcher run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 11
OPP 44
0
44.4%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin Hall, broken up by Meiko Dotson BALL ST Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
42.6%
Nathan Snyder punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Dante Cousart at the FlAtl 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 17DOWNS
6 plays · 61 yds · 0:0058% → 59%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+52
41.8%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 52 yds to the BalSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
38.1%
MCCAMMON, Larry rush for 3 yards to the BALL30 (COSBY, Bryce;WHITE, Jacob), PENALTY FAU illegal formation 5 yards to the BALL38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 15
OPP 38
+10
39.4%
Chris Robison pass complete to Larry McCammon III for 10 yds to the BalSt 28Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 5
OPP 28
-2
37.8%
Larry McCammon III run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 30Similar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+4
39.4%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Mitchell for 4 yds to the BalSt 26Similar
Q3 13:20
4TH & 3
OPP 26
+2
41.2%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Raine for 2 yds John Raine fumbled, forced by Amechi Uzodinma II, recovered by FlAtlSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 18FUMBLE
5 plays · 76 yds · 0:0043% → 49%
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
42.8%
Caleb Huntley run for no gain to the BalSt 24Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+46
42.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 46 yds to the FlAtl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
48.7%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Caleb HuntleySimilar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+13
48.6%
Caleb Huntley run for 13 yds to the FlAtl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+13
48.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 13 yds Caleb Huntley fumbled, forced by Da'Von Brown, recovered by FlAtl Rashad SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:3059% → 78%
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+48
41.5%
Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 48 yds to the BalSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
37.4%
Larry McCammon III run for 7 yds to the BalSt 25Similar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+4
37.0%
Chris Robison pass complete to Dante Cousart for 4 yds to the BalSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+15
37.0%
Larry McCammon III run for 15 yds to the BalSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
37.0%
Larry McCammon III run for 5 yds to the BalSt 1Similar
Q3 7:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
22.3%
Larry McCammon III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 20INT
5 plays · 27 yds · 0:0026% → 27%
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+27
25.8%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 27 yds to the FlAtl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
28.2%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 7
OPP 40
-3
28.2%
Drew Plitt sacked by Akileis Leroy for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q3 7:19
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+3
27.1%
Drew Plitt pass intercepted James Pierre return for 3 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
24.0%
Chris Robison pass complete to James Charles for 4 yds to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q3 5:33
2ND & 6
OWN 36
-1
23.2%
Chris Robison pass complete to Dante Cousart for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q3 5:33
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+4
24.4%
Chris Robison run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 39 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 5:33
4TH & 3
OWN 39
0
24.4%
Matthew Hayball punt for 49 yds, downed at the BalSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0023% → 21%
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
22.6%
Walter Fletcher run for 7 yds to the BalSt 19Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 3
OWN 19
0
23.1%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Nolan GivanSimilar
Q3 3:47
3RD & 3
OWN 19
-8
21.8%
Drew Plitt sacked by Leighton McCarthy and Ray Ellis for a loss of 8 yards to the BalSt 11 BALL ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 3:47
4TH & 11
OWN 11
0
20.9%
Nathan Snyder punt for 14 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BalSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 23TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:4880% → 91%
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
20.0%
Willie Wright run for 1 yd to the BalSt 24Similar
Q3 2:54
2ND & 9
OPP 24
0
20.0%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to John RaineSimilar
Q3 2:06
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+24
9.1%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Mitchell for 24 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 24TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:3014% → 27%
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
13.7%
Walter Fletcher run for 2 yds to the BalSt 27Similar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+26
13.6%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 11 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST down FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, personal foul (James Pierre) to the FlAtl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
15.6%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 15 yds to the FlAtl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+13
16.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 13 yds to the FlAtl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
27.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Malik Dunner for 19 yds for a TD, (Ryan Rimmler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 0:3677% → 75%
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
23.4%
Chris Robison pass complete to Deangelo Antoine for 2 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
22.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to James Charles for 6 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
23.2%
Larry McCammon III run for no gain to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
-5
24.2%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, delay of game (Matthew Hayball) to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
-5
24.7%
HAYBALL, Matt punt 43 yards to the BALL29, fair catch by MILLER, Riley, PENALTY FAU illegal formation 5 yards to the FAU23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
25.1%
Matthew Hayball punt for 40 yds, downed at the BalSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 26FUMBLE
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:0022% → 24%
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+23
21.6%
Justin Hall run for 23 yds to the FlAtl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-8
24.1%
Drew Plitt sacked by Rashad Smith for a loss of 8 yards to the FlAtl 47 Drew Plitt fumbled, recovered by FlAtl Ray Ellis , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 27TD
7 plays · 53 yds · 2:0882% → 95%
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
18.2%
Larry McCammon III run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 7
50
0
18.0%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Harrison BryantSimilar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 7
50
+9
18.4%
ROBISON, Chris pass incomplete to RAINE, John, PENALTY BALL pass interference (HALL, Shannon) 9 yards to the BALL41, 1ST DOWN FAU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
17.9%
James Charles run for 5 yds to the BalSt 36Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+10
17.8%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 10 yds to the BalSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+22
17.4%
Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 22 yds to the BalSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
5.5%
James Charles run for 4 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 28DOWNS
16 plays · 57 yds · 0:006% → 7%
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
5.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 6 yds to the BalSt 26Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-2
6.0%
Walter Fletcher run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 24Similar
Q4 10:17
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+12
5.8%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 12 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
6.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 6 yds to the BalSt 42Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+2
6.5%
Drew Plitt run for 2 yds to the BalSt 44Similar
Q4 10:17
3RD & 2
OWN 44
0
6.6%
Walter Fletcher run for no gain to the BalSt 44Similar
Q4 10:17
4TH & 2
OWN 44
+2
6.4%
Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the BalSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
6.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 6 yds to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+4
6.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Will Jones for 4 yds to the FlAtl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
6.7%
Will Jones run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+8
7.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Malik Dunner for 8 yds to the FlAtl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
7.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Will Jones for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 11
OPP 33
0
7.1%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz TylerSimilar
Q4 10:17
3RD & 11
OPP 33
+5
6.7%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Will Jones for 5 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q4 10:17
4TH & 6
OPP 28
+5
6.8%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Malik Dunner for 5 yds to the FlAtl 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 29PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 0:1596% → 97%
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
3.6%
Larry McCammon III run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 12
OWN 21
+4
3.1%
Larry McCammon III run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q4 4:38
3RD & 8
OWN 25
-2
3.0%
Chris Robison run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 23Similar
Q4 4:34
4TH & 10
OWN 23
+40
2.8%
Matthew Hayball punt for 42 yds , Riley Miller returns for 40 yds to the FlAtl 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 30TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:262% → 9%
Q4 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
1.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Hassan Littles for 5 yds to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+20
9.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 20 yds for a TD, (Ryan Rimmler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 31END OF GAME
7 plays · 2 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
7.6%
Larry McCammon III run for 4 yds to the BalSt 42Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+1
7.5%
Larry McCammon III run for 1 yd to the BalSt 41Similar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+6
8.1%
Larry McCammon III run for 6 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
7.6%
Team run for a loss of 5 yards to the BalSt 40Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 15
OPP 40
-3
7.9%
Team run for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 43Similar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 18
OPP 43
-1
8.7%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:09
Chris Robison pass complete to John Mitchell for 4 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)
-15.3
TD · Q3 7:23
Larry McCammon III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)
-14.7
TD · Q4 10:26
James Charles run for 4 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)
-11.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com