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UAB

UAB 31 at Akron 20

AKR
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2019 · InfoCision Stadium
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Win probability · AKR
modelAKR aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playAKR scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:25 · Jonah Wieland punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 62Home team on offense−1.6Pregame prior−11.8Score differential−0.5Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:11: Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Myron Mitchell, broken up by Jordyn Riley — UAB win probability +6.9 pts (now 72%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 14:53: Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Thair Blakes for 9 yds to the Akron 40 for a 1ST down — UAB win probability +9.5 pts (now 84%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:56: Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Brandon Lee — AKR win probability +13.5 pts (now 22%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:25: Deltron Sands run for no gain to the UAB 7 — AKR win probability +32.6 pts (now 43%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:16: Timeout UAB, clock 00:16 — UAB win probability +14.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AKR made the numbers' call on 9 of 11UAB made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 5:48UAB 4th & 8 at AKR 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.8%
    88% to make
    Punt
    59.3%−1.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:48AKR 4th & 14 at UAB 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    39.0%−0.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    39.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00AKR 4th & 15 at AKR 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:07AKR 4th & 12 at AKR 1, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%−2.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:52UAB 4th & 10 at AKR 46, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.5%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    60.8%−1.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:25AKR 4th & 5 at AKR 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:50AKR 4th & 15 at AKR 9, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%−1.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:05AKR 4th & 4 at AKR 48, down 10
    Close callPunted · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:53UAB 4th & 1 at UAB 19, up 10
    Close callPunted · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.5%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:50AKR 4th & 1 at UAB 21, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    17.3%−1.5
    74% to make
    Punt
    12.5%−6.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:28AKR 4th & 12 at AKR 44, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−1.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:40UAB 4th & 1 at UAB 30, up 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.4%−2.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:04AKR 4th & 4 at AKR 30, down 17
    Close callPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00UAB 4th & 1 at AKR 41, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    89.0%−2.9
    32% to make
    Punt
    89.3%−2.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:04UAB 4th & 1 at UAB 34, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.4%−2.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:58UAB 4th & 7 at AKR 19, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%−0.7
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.8%
    77% to make
    Punt
    77.8%−8.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:25AKR 4th & 2 at AKR 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.7%−0.7
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:30UAB 4th & 6 at AKR 40, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.4 ptsPunted · 73.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    70.4%−3.4
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.4%−3.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:32AKR 4th & 21 at AKR 3, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%−4.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.0%
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:16UAB 4th & 3 at UAB 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%−0.7
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.8%
    average punt
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
32.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Timothy Scippio for 9 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
32.7%
Kato Nelson run for 5 yds to the Akron 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+40
32.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Dustin Burkhart for 40 yds to the UAB 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
32.7%
Deltron Sands run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 22
+5
32.7%
Deltron Sands run for 5 yds to the UAB 17Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+8
32.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Andre Williams for 8 yds to the UAB 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
32.7%
Kato Nelson run for 8 yds to the UAB 1Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
32.7%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
32.7%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 2MISSED FG
14 plays · 61 yds · 5:2565% → 61%
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
35.4%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+7
35.5%
Tyler Johnston III run for 7 yds to the UAB 36Similar
Q1 11:13
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+13
35.4%
Tyler Johnston III run for 13 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
35.2%
Spencer Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 48Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+27
35.3%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins for 27 yds to the Akron 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
34.9%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the Akron 23Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 8
OPP 23
-4
34.9%
Tyler Johnston III run for a loss of 4 yards to the Akron 27Similar
Q1 11:13
3RD & 12
OPP 27
+15
35.3%
JOHNSTON III, T pass incomplete to WATKINS, Austin, PENALTY AKRON pass interference 15 yards to the AKRON12, 1ST DOWN UAB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
34.9%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the Akron 9Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+2
34.9%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the Akron 7Similar
Q1 11:13
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+2
35.1%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the Akron 5Similar
Q1 11:13
4TH & 3
OPP 5
-5
35.3%
UAB Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Akron 10Similar
Q1 5:48
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+28
39.4%
Nick Vogel 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 34 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
40.0%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Brandon Lee for 8 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+30
40.3%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Dustin Burkhart for 30 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
40.8%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Michael Mathison for 1 yd to the UAB 41Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
40.8%
Brandon Lee run for no gain to the UAB 41Similar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 9
OPP 41
-5
40.4%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Brandon Lee for a loss of 5 yards to the UAB 46Similar
Q1 5:48
4TH & 14
OPP 46
0
39.5%
Jonah Wieland punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 4TD
6 plays · 88 yds · 0:0058% → 63%
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
42.2%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+11
42.3%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 11 yds to the UAB 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
42.1%
JOHNSTON III, T pass incomplete to WATKINS, Austin, PENALTY AKRON pass interference 15 yards to the UAB38, 1ST DOWN UAB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
41.5%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+1
41.5%
Tyler Johnston III run for 1 yd to the UAB 41Similar
Q1 2:46
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+10
37.1%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Kendall Parham for 10 yds to the Akron 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:2639% → 38%
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.0%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Dustin BurkhartSimilar
Q1 0:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
38.9%
Kato Nelson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 23Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-3
38.3%
Kato Nelson sacked by Kyle Harrell and Fish McWilliams for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 20Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
37.9%
Jonah Wieland punt for 4 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Akron 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 6FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
36.3%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the Akron 20Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+3
36.3%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the Akron 17Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+1
36.9%
Tyler Johnston III run for 1 yd to the Akron 16Similar
Q2 14:11
4TH & 2
OPP 16
-5
36.1%
UAB Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Akron 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:0037% → 36%
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-2
37.4%
Deltron Sands run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 1Similar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 12
OWN 1
+1
37.4%
Deltron Sands run for 1 yd to the Akron 2Similar
Q2 12:07
3RD & 11
OWN 2
0
36.7%
Deltron Sands run for no gain to the Akron 2Similar
Q2 12:07
4TH & 11
OWN 2
-1
36.3%
AKRON Penalty, false start (-1 Yards) to the Akron 1Similar
Q2 12:07
4TH & 12
OWN 1
0
36.3%
Jonah Wieland punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Myron Mitchell at the Akron 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0064% → 62%
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
35.8%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Myron MitchellSimilar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
35.8%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Myron Mitchell, broken up by Randy Cochran Jr.Similar
Q2 9:52
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
36.6%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Austin Watkins, broken up by Jordyn RileySimilar
Q2 9:52
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
38.0%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Knight at the Akron 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0038% → 37%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
37.8%
Brandon Lee run for no gain to the Akron 9Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+8
37.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 8 yds to the Akron 17Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 2
OWN 17
+4
37.1%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jeremiah Knight for 4 yds to the Akron 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
38.0%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jeremiah Knight for 3 yds to the Akron 24Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+2
38.2%
Deltron Sands run for 2 yds to the Akron 26Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 5
OWN 26
0
37.4%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete, broken up by Garrett MarinoSimilar
Q2 9:25
4TH & 5
OWN 26
0
36.7%
Jonah Wieland punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10TD
3 plays · 53 yds · 0:0064% → 72%
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+23
35.6%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Kendall Parham for 23 yds to the Akron 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
34.7%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 8
OPP 28
0
27.8%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Myron Mitchell, broken up by Jordyn RileySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:0029% → 27%
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
28.5%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Dustin Burkhart, broken up by Starling Thomas VSimilar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
28.5%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Brandon LeeSimilar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 10
OWN 14
0
27.7%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Brandon LeeSimilar
Q2 4:50
4TH & 10
OWN 14
-5
27.3%
AKRON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Akron 9Similar
Q2 4:50
4TH & 15
OWN 9
-3
27.1%
Jonah Wieland punt for 54 yds , Myron Mitchell returns for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
28.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass intercepted Jordyn Riley return for 15 yds to the Akron 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0030% → 29%
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
29.7%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Dustin BurkhartSimilar
Q2 4:05
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+7
29.4%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Dustin Burkhart for 7 yds to the Akron 49Similar
Q2 4:05
3RD & 3
OWN 49
-1
29.8%
Kato Nelson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 48Similar
Q2 4:05
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
28.7%
Jonah Wieland punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:3071% → 71%
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
28.7%
Jonathan Haden run for 5 yds to the UAB 15Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+1
28.8%
Jonathan Haden run for 1 yd to the UAB 16Similar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 4
OWN 16
+3
29.2%
Tyler Johnston III run for 3 yds to the UAB 19Similar
Q2 0:53
4TH & 1
OWN 19
0
29.0%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 46 yds, downed at the Akron 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15MISSED FG
9 plays · 47 yds · 0:4227% → 30%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
26.8%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Nate StewartSimilar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+16
26.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Dustin Burkhart for 16 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+19
28.6%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Dustin Burkhart for 19 yds to the UAB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
30.1%
Eric Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+12
30.0%
Kato Nelson run for 12 yds to the UAB 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
30.1%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Nate StewartSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+35
29.8%
Jerry Fitschen 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 16TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 0:0073% → 84%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
26.9%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Kendall Parham for 12 yds to the UAB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
26.0%
Spencer Brown run for 7 yds to the Akron 49Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 3
OPP 49
0
25.8%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the Akron 49Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+9
16.3%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Thair Blakes for 9 yds to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17DOWNS
7 plays · 51 yds · 0:0017% → 19%
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
17.0%
Brandon Lee run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 22Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+48
16.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Brandon Lee for 48 yds to the UAB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
19.1%
Deltron Sands run for 2 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+3
19.3%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jeremiah Knight for 3 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+4
18.9%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 4 yds to the UAB 21Similar
Q3 12:50
4TH & 1
OPP 21
-3
19.0%
Brandon Lee run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 18PUNT
11 plays · 19 yds · 0:0015% → 16%
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
15.2%
Kato Nelson sacked by Garrett Marino and Noah Wilder for 0 yards to the Akron 25 Kato Nelson fumbled, recovered by Akron Landon Forman , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
15.0%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 10 yds to the Akron 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
15.5%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Michael Mathison, broken up by Dy'jonn TurnerSimilar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-2
15.2%
Kato Nelson sacked by Jordan Smith and Garrett Marino for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 33Similar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 12
OWN 33
+13
15.0%
Kato Nelson run for 13 yds to the Akron 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
16.5%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-15
16.3%
NELSON, Kato pass complete to STEWART, Nate for 8 yards to the UAB46 (BYNUM, Devodric), PENALTY AKRON personal foul 15 yards to the AKRON31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 25
OWN 31
0
15.1%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Andre WilliamsSimilar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 25
OWN 31
+13
14.9%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Andre Williams for 13 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q3 9:28
4TH & 12
OWN 44
0
15.5%
Jonah Wieland punt for 47 yds, downed at the UAB 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+12
12.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 12 yds to the UAB 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
12.3%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+4
12.2%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 4 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+1
12.5%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the UAB 30Similar
Q3 5:40
4TH & 1
OWN 30
+1
12.8%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 47 yds , Jeremiah Knight returns for 1 yd to the Akron 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-4
12.5%
Kato Nelson sacked by Garrett Marino and Nikia Eason for a loss of 4 yards to the Akron 20Similar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 14
OWN 20
0
12.2%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Michael MathisonSimilar
Q3 3:04
3RD & 14
OWN 20
+10
12.2%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Brandon Lee for 10 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q3 3:04
4TH & 4
OWN 30
0
12.4%
Jonah Wieland punt for 31 yds, downed at the UAB 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:2492% → 92%
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
8.0%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Markus Grossman for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
50
+5
7.8%
Jonathan Haden run for 5 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+1
7.8%
Tyler Johnston III run for 1 yd to the Akron 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+3
7.4%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Markus Grossman for 3 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 41
0
8.2%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the Akron 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 22TD
9 plays · 59 yds · 2:1110% → 22%
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
9.8%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Jeremiah KnightSimilar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+10
9.6%
Kato Nelson run for 10 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+35
10.2%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Dustin Burkhart for 35 yds to the UAB 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
11.6%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Dustin BurkhartSimilar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+6
11.6%
Kato Nelson run for 6 yds to the UAB 8Similar
Q4 11:56
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+4
8.1%
NELSON, Kato pass incomplete to MATHISON, M., PENALTY UAB pass interference 4 yards to the UAB4, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
8.3%
Deltron Sands run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 6Similar
Q4 11:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
21.8%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Brandon LeeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
16.0%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Larry Wooden for 4 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
15.5%
Larry Wooden run for 3 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q4 11:04
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
16.0%
Tyler Johnston III run for 2 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q4 11:04
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
16.3%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 40 yds , Jeremiah Knight returns for no gain to the Akron 22 Jeremiah Knight fumbled, recovered by UAB Jacob FuquaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 24MISSED FG
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1889% → 87%
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
11.3%
Jonathan Haden run for 1 yd to the Akron 21Similar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+2
11.3%
Jonathan Haden run for 2 yds to the Akron 19Similar
Q4 8:09
3RD & 7
OPP 19
0
11.1%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Austin WatkinsSimilar
Q4 7:58
4TH & 7
OPP 19
+37
13.0%
Nick Vogel 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 25TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 1:3313% → 43%
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
12.8%
Deltron Sands run for 4 yds to the Akron 24Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+5
13.1%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jeremiah Knight for 5 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q4 7:58
3RD & 1
OWN 29
-1
12.9%
Deltron Sands run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 28Similar
Q4 6:25
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+6
9.3%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Dustin Burkhart for 6 yds to the Akron 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
10.3%
AKRON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Akron 29Similar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+64
10.0%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Dustin Burkhart for 64 yds to the UAB 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
42.6%
Deltron Sands run for no gain to the UAB 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0981% → 77%
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
19.5%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the Akron 43Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+3
19.6%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the Akron 40Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 6
OPP 40
0
20.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Thair BlakesSimilar
Q4 4:30
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
23.0%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 26 yds, downed at the Akron 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 0:0035% → 31%
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-11
35.0%
Kato Nelson sacked by Adrienne Talan and Garrett Marino for a loss of 11 yards to the Akron 3Similar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 21
OWN 3
0
33.0%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Brandon LeeSimilar
Q4 3:32
3RD & 21
OWN 3
0
31.5%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Nate StewartSimilar
Q4 3:32
4TH & 21
OWN 3
+4
30.5%
Jonah Wieland punt for 45 yds , Jonathan Haden returns for 4 yds to the UAB 7 UAB Penalty, personal foul (21 Yards) to the UAB 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:2681% → 94%
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
19.2%
Jonathan Haden run for 1 yd to the UAB 36Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+1
18.9%
Jonathan Haden run for 1 yd to the UAB 37Similar
Q4 2:42
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+5
20.1%
Jonathan Haden run for 5 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q4 0:16
4TH & 3
OWN 42
+1
5.9%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 24 yds , Nate Stewart returns for 1 yd to the Akron 35 Nate Stewart fumbled, recovered by UAB TD MarshallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 29END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
4.4%
TEAM run for no gain to the Akron 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:25
Deltron Sands run for no gain to the UAB 7
+32.6
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:16
Timeout UAB, clock 00:16
-14.2
TD · Q4 11:56
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Brandon Lee
+13.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com