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MRSH

Marshall 7 at Boise State 14

BOIS
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2019 · Albertsons Stadium
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Win probability · BOIS
modelBOIS aheadMRSH aheadconfidence bandkey playBOIS scoreMRSH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:53 · Robert LeFevre punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the BoiSt 12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+28.0+14.00−14.0−28.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 66Pregame prior+16.1Home team on offense−7.9Garbage-time factor−2.0Score differential−2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.6Blowout margin+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:10: Hank Bachmeier 1 Yd Run (Eric Sachse Kick) — BOIS win probability +11.0 pts (now 70%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 13:27: John Hightower 47 Yd pass from Hank Bachmeier (Eric Sachse Kick) — BOIS win probability +8.1 pts (now 80%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 0:40: Isaiah Green pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 1 yd to the Marsh 16 — MRSH win probability +6.5 pts (now 20%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 12:40: Xavier Gaines run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 46 — MRSH win probability +7.9 pts (now 21%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 7:30: George Holani run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 30 — BOIS win probability +6.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BOIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 6MRSH made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 11:51MRSH 4th & 1 at MRSH 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:30BOIS 4th & 4 at BOIS 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.8%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:57BOIS 4th & 9 at MRSH 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.3%
    51% to make
    Punt
    78.1%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:05BOIS 4th & 2 at MRSH 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    71.3%−0.9
    58% to make
    Punt
    68.2%−4.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:25MRSH 4th & 8 at BOIS 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:41BOIS 4th & 5 at BOIS 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.0%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:53MRSH 4th & 6 at BOIS 45, up 7
    Close callPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    38.1%−1.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.9%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:16MRSH 4th & 14 at MRSH 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−3.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:45BOIS 4th & 27 at MRSH 35, up 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.0 ptsWent for it · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.6%−2.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    82.6%
    45% to make
    Punt
    81.8%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:16MRSH 4th & 16 at MRSH 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%−2.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:43MRSH 4th & 16 at MRSH 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%−3.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:21MRSH 4th & 8 at BOIS 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:14BOIS 4th & 1 at BOIS 30, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.8 ptsPunted · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.7%−3.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BOIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MRSH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 1:02MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:10BOIS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:27BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MRSHDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:5922% → 23%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
77.6%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyler King for 4 yds to the Marsh 28Similar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+7
77.4%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Willie Johnson for 7 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
77.3%
Tyler King run for no gain to the Marsh 35Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
77.1%
Brenden Knox run for 6 yds to the Marsh 41Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+3
76.9%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Devin Miller for 3 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q1 11:51
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
76.7%
Robert LeFevre punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BoiSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 42 yds · 4:1577% → 76%
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
76.8%
Robert Mahone run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 8Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+3
76.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Robert Mahone for 3 yds to the BoiSt 11Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 6
OWN 11
+22
76.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Garrett Collingham for 22 yds to the BoiSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
76.5%
Khalil Shakir run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+7
76.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Bates for 7 yds to the BoiSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
76.4%
Robert Mahone run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 47Similar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 6
OWN 47
0
76.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:07
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+2
76.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Akilian Butler for 2 yds to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q1 7:30
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
75.7%
Joel Velazquez punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Talik Keaton at the Marsh 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 3FUMBLE
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:0424% → 26%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
75.6%
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd to the Marsh 9Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 9
OWN 9
0
75.5%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Willie JohnsonSimilar
Q1 6:39
3RD & 9
OWN 9
+10
75.7%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Artie Henry for 10 yds to the Marsh 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
75.2%
Tyler King run for no gain to the Marsh 19Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
75.0%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyler King for no gain to the Marsh 19Similar
Q1 4:49
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+10
75.1%
Isaiah Green run for 10 yds to the Marsh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
74.3%
Tyler King run for 4 yds to the Marsh 33 Tyler King fumbled, recovered by BoiSt Tyreque JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 4MISSED FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:1376% → 74%
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
75.8%
Robert Mahone run for 1 yd to the Marsh 32Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 9
OPP 32
0
75.7%
Robert Mahone run for no gain to the Marsh 32Similar
Q1 3:02
3RD & 9
OPP 32
0
75.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Khalil ShakirSimilar
Q1 2:57
4TH & 9
OPP 32
+49
74.3%
Eric Sachse 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 5TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 1:4826% → 33%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
73.7%
Brenden Knox run for 9 yds to the Marsh 41Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+3
72.5%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the Marsh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+26
72.4%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 26 yds to the BoiSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+17
71.5%
Brenden Knox run for 17 yds to the BoiSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
66.9%
Brenden Knox 13 Yd Run (Justin Rohrwasser Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 6DOWNS
9 plays · 33 yds · 2:4469% → 68%
Q1 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
69.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to John HightowerSimilar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
68.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Octavius Evans for 5 yds to the BoiSt 43Similar
Q1 0:08
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+20
68.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 20 yds to the Marsh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
69.4%
Robert Mahone run for 1 yd to the Marsh 36Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+3
69.0%
Robert Mahone run for 3 yds to the Marsh 33Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+4
68.5%
Robert Mahone run for 4 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
Q2 13:05
4TH & 2
OPP 29
0
67.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:3035% → 37%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
65.5%
Xavier Gaines run for 9 yds to the Marsh 38Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+13
64.4%
Tyler King run for 13 yds to the BoiSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
63.4%
Tyler King run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 11
50
+3
63.0%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Talik Keaton for 3 yds to the BoiSt 47Similar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 8
OPP 47
0
62.5%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Artie HenrySimilar
Q2 10:25
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
63.5%
Robert LeFevre punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the BoiSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 3:3464% → 59%
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
63.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to John HightowerSimilar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+5
63.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Octavius Evans for 5 yds to the BoiSt 13Similar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 5
OWN 13
+7
62.6%
Hank Bachmeier run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
62.9%
John Hightower run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 21Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+5
62.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Bates for 5 yds to the BoiSt 26Similar
Q2 7:40
3RD & 4
OWN 32
-4
61.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Akilian Butler for 6 yds to the BoiSt 32 BOISE ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BoiSt 22Similar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 8
OWN 22
-11
59.8%
BOISE ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-11 Yards) to the BoiSt 11Similar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 19
OWN 11
+14
59.6%
Hank Bachmeier run for 14 yds to the BoiSt 25Similar
Q2 6:41
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
59.2%
Joel Velazquez punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Talik Keaton at the Marsh 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 2:4143% → 45%
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
57.4%
Isaiah Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+8
56.6%
Willie Johnson run for 18 yds to the BOISEST 43 MARSHALL Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tavin Richardson) to the Marsh 47Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+4
56.5%
Isaiah Green run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
55.8%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Xavier GainesSimilar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+3
55.7%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 46Similar
Q2 4:42
3RD & 7
OPP 46
-5
55.3%
MARSHALL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 49Similar
Q2 4:42
3RD & 12
OWN 49
-5
56.6%
MARSHALL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 44Similar
Q2 4:32
3RD & 17
OWN 44
+11
57.5%
Brenden Knox run for 11 yds to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q2 3:53
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
55.5%
Robert LeFevre punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the BoiSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 10TD
10 plays · 88 yds · 3:3558% → 70%
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
57.5%
George Holani run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 16Similar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+27
57.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Bates for 27 yds to the BoiSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
58.7%
George Holani run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 48Similar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 5
OWN 48
-6
59.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to George Holani for a loss of 6 yards to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 11
OWN 42
+11
55.5%
Hank Bachmeier run for 11 yds to the Marsh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+45
58.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 45 yds to the Marsh 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
59.9%
Andrew Van Buren run for 1 yd to the Marsh 1 Andrew Van Buren fumbled, recovered by BoiSt John MolchonSimilar
Q2 0:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
58.6%
George Holani run for no gain to the Marsh 1Similar
Q2 0:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
69.6%
Hank Bachmeier 1 Yd Run (Eric Sachse Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
64.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 12TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 1:1369% → 80%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+24
69.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Garrett Collingham for 24 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
71.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to George HolaniSimilar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+1
71.5%
George Holani run for 1 yd to the Marsh 47Similar
Q3 13:27
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+47
79.6%
John Hightower 47 Yd pass from Hank Bachmeier (Eric Sachse Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 2:0422% → 20%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
77.9%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Xavier Gaines for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 24Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-6
78.2%
Isaiah Green sacked by Riley Whimpey for a loss of 6 yards to the Marsh 18Similar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+3
79.2%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Artie Henry for 3 yds to the Marsh 21Similar
Q3 11:16
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
79.7%
Robert LeFevre punt for 42 yds , Avery Williams returns for no gain to the BoiSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 14DOWNS
9 plays · 28 yds · 4:2580% → 80%
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
79.6%
George Holani run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
50
-1
80.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Hightower for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+13
80.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Bates for 13 yds to the Marsh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
82.3%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the Marsh 35Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+17
82.7%
George Holani run for 17 yds to the Marsh 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-10
83.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 10 yards to the Marsh 28 TEAM fumbled, recovered by BoiSt George HolaniSimilar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 20
OPP 28
-7
83.1%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Marquis Couch for a loss of 7 yards to the Marsh 35Similar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 27
OPP 35
0
81.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:45
4TH & 27
OPP 35
0
80.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Akilian ButlerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:2923% → 20%
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
77.3%
MARSHALL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 30Similar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+4
78.0%
Brenden Knox run for 4 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
77.9%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Willie JohnsonSimilar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 11
OWN 34
-5
79.0%
Isaiah Green sacked by Curtis Weaver for a loss of 5 yards to the Marsh 29Similar
Q3 5:16
4TH & 16
OWN 29
0
80.0%
Robert LeFevre punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the BoiSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 16INT
9 plays · 53 yds · 4:1782% → 87%
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
81.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to John HightowerSimilar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+11
81.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Octavius Evans for 11 yds to the BoiSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
83.1%
George Holani run for 8 yds to the Marsh 49Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 2
OPP 49
-1
83.6%
George Holani run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:20
3RD & 3
50
+16
82.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 16 yds to the Marsh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
84.2%
Andrew Van Buren run for 9 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+9
85.2%
Andrew Van Buren run for 9 yds to the Marsh 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
85.3%
Andrew Van Buren run for 1 yd to the Marsh 15Similar
Q3 0:53
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+5
86.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass intercepted Omari Cobb return for 5 yds to the Marsh 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:5720% → 17%
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
80.3%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 1 yd to the Marsh 16Similar
Q3 0:07
2ND & 9
OWN 16
-2
80.6%
Willie Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 14Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 11
OWN 14
0
81.7%
Isaiah Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 11
OWN 14
-5
82.3%
MARSHALL Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 9Similar
Q4 14:43
4TH & 16
OWN 9
0
82.6%
Robert LeFevre punt for 35 yds , Avery Williams returns for no gain to the BoiSt 9 BOISE ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the BoiSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 18FUMBLE
5 plays · 10 yds · 1:4587% → 87%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
87.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Octavius Evans for 6 yds to the BoiSt 47Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+5
87.4%
George Holani run for 5 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
87.8%
George Holani run for 2 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
88.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Khalil ShakirSimilar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 8
OPP 46
-3
87.2%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Fermin Silva for a loss of 3 yards to the Marsh 49 Hank Bachmeier fumbled, recovered by Marsh Fermin Silva , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1921% → 17%
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
79.3%
Xavier Gaines run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 46Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 5
OPP 46
0
79.3%
Xavier Gaines pass incomplete to Tyler KingSimilar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 5
OPP 46
-3
79.9%
Isaiah Green sacked by Allamar Alexander for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q4 11:21
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
82.8%
Robert LeFevre punt for 39 yds, downed at the BoiSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:5786% → 87%
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
86.1%
George Holani run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 12Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+9
86.5%
George Holani run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
86.9%
George Holani run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 26Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+4
87.1%
George Holani run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 1
OWN 30
0
86.9%
George Holani run for no gain to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q4 8:14
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
86.6%
Joel Velazquez punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Talik Keaton at the Marsh 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 21INT
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:2718% → 18%
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
81.7%
Brenden Knox run for 4 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q4 7:36
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
82.1%
Isaiah Green pass intercepted Kekoa Nawahine return for no gain to the BoiSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 22END OF 4TH QUARTER
19 plays · 67 yds · 6:5188% → 97%
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
88.4%
George Holani run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
89.1%
George Holani run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
89.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 12
OWN 34
0
90.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Khalil ShakirSimilar
Q4 5:44
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+16
89.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
50
-2
91.7%
Andrew Van Buren run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 48Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 12
OWN 48
+11
91.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Bates for 11 yds to the Marsh 41Similar
Q4 3:58
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+15
93.3%
MARSHALL Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Marsh 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
93.8%
George Holani run for 5 yds to the Marsh 21Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+3
94.2%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the Marsh 18Similar
Q4 2:57
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+2
95.0%
Garrett Collingham run for 2 yds to the Marsh 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
95.7%
George Holani run for 1 yd to the Marsh 15Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+6
96.0%
George Holani run for 6 yds to the Marsh 9Similar
Q4 1:25
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+3
96.5%
Hank Bachmeier run for 3 yds to the Marsh 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
97.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 7Similar
Q4 0:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
97.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:10
Hank Bachmeier 1 Yd Run (Eric Sachse Kick)
+11
TD · Q3 13:27
John Hightower 47 Yd pass from Hank Bachmeier (Eric Sachse Kick)
+8.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 12:40
Xavier Gaines run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 46
-7.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com