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GRAM

Grambling 14 at Louisiana Tech 20

LT
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2019 · Joe Aillet Stadium
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Win probability · LT
modelLT aheadGRAM aheadconfidence bandkey playLT scoreGRAM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:43 · Miguel Mendez punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Cee Jay Powell at the LaTch 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 91Pregame prior+34.1Home team on offense+18.9Score differential+12.4Garbage-time factor+2.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+10.7Time remaining+1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:38: J'Mar Smith pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 40 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK) — LT win probability +2.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:01: Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Raylon Richardson for 23 yds for a TD, (Garrett Urban KICK) — GRAM win probability +4.2 pts (now 7%) (top driver: GRAM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 3:23: Jakarie Nichols run for 2 yds for a TD, (Garrett Urban KICK) — GRAM win probability +14.5 pts (now 19%) (top driver: GRAM has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:23: Garrett Urban on-side kick recovered by GRAMBLING at the Gramb 48 — LT win probability +6.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: GRAM has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:16: Smoke Harris run for 9 yds to the Gramb 44 — LT win probability +8.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LT made the numbers' call on 4 of 7GRAM made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00GRAM 4th & 1 at LT 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.5%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    3.3%−0.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    2.8%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:33LT 4th & 6 at LT 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:53GRAM 4th & 7 at GRAM 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:28GRAM 4th & 6 at GRAM 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:13LT 4th & 4 at GRAM 15, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.3%−<0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    92.2%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:42GRAM 4th & 9 at LT 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.5%
    54% to make
    Punt
    6.2%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:38GRAM 4th & 21 at GRAM 9, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−1.0
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:16LT 4th & 8 at GRAM 30, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.0%
    56% to make
    Punt
    95.4%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:43GRAM 4th & 11 at GRAM 36, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00LT 4th & 2 at GRAM 8, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.8%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    97.5%−0.3
    90% to make
    Punt
    95.8%−2.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:01LT 4th & 8 at GRAM 45, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    93.7%−0.7
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00LT 4th & 1 at LT 35, up 13
    Close callPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%−0.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:58GRAM 4th & 4 at LT 9, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.9%−0.5
    43% to convert
    Field goal
    6.4%
    89% to make
    Punt
    2.9%−3.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:08LT 4th & 1 at LT 36, up 13
    Close callPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%−0.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:23GRAM 4th & 5 at LT 47, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.9%−4.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2GRAM made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 1:34LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:38LT Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:01GRAM Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:23GRAM Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.4%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GRAMDrive 1DOWNS
12 plays · 75 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+27
97.5%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Quintin Guice for 27 yds to the Gramb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
97.5%
Damien Crumitie run for 1 yd to the Gramb 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+3
97.5%
Damien Crumitie run for 3 yds to the LaTch 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+9
97.5%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Devante Davis for 9 yds to the LaTch 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
97.5%
Geremy Hickbottom run for 8 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 32
-7
97.5%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Quintin Guice for a loss of 7 yards to the LaTch 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 39
+25
97.5%
Geremy Hickbottom run for 25 yds to the LaTch 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
97.5%
Geremy Hickbottom run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 15
0
97.5%
Geremy Hickbottom pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 15
+10
97.5%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Devante Davis for 10 yds to the LaTch 5Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 5
0
97.5%
Damien Crumitie run for no gain to the LaTch 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
96.9%
Israel Tucker run for 4 yds to the LaTch 9Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+2
96.9%
Israel Tucker run for 2 yds to the LaTch 11Similar
Q1 10:33
3RD & 4
OWN 11
+5
96.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Javonte Woodard for 5 yds to the LaTch 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-5
96.9%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaTch 11Similar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 15
OWN 11
+16
96.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 16 yds to the LaTch 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
96.9%
Israel Tucker run for 4 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
96.9%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:33
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
96.9%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Cee Jay PowellSimilar
Q1 10:33
4TH & 6
OWN 31
0
96.8%
Brady Farlow punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Devante Davis at the Gramb 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.4%
Geremy Hickbottom pass incomplete to Quintin GuiceSimilar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
96.4%
Geremy Hickbottom run for 8 yds to the Gramb 33Similar
Q1 7:53
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+12
96.4%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Devante Davis for 12 yds to the Gramb 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
96.3%
Justin Richard run for 2 yds to the Gramb 47Similar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+1
96.3%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Donald Johnson III for 1 yd to the Gramb 48Similar
Q1 7:53
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
96.3%
Geremy Hickbottom pass incomplete to Donald Johnson IIISimilar
Q1 7:53
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
96.4%
Miguel Mendez punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 4TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 4:0996% → 96%
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
95.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 4 yds to the LaTch 24Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+1
95.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Israel Tucker for 1 yd to the LaTch 25Similar
Q1 5:43
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+6
95.9%
J'Mar Smith run for 6 yds to the LaTch 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
96.0%
J'Mar Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 28 J'Mar Smith fumbled,Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+24
95.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 24 yds to the Gramb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+21
96.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 6 yds to the Gramb 42 for a 1ST down GRAMBLING Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Gramb 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
96.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Smoke Harris for 9 yds to the Gramb 18Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 1
OWN 0
0
95.9%
TUCKER, Israel rush for 4 yards to the GRAM14 (Dillard,Cody;Patrick,Jaye), PENALTY LATECH holding off-setting, PENALTY GRAM substitution infraction off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+11
96.1%
J'Mar Smith run for 11 yds to the Gramb 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
96.1%
Justin Henderson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
95.9%
Jakarie Nichols run for 1 yd to the Gramb 17Similar
Q1 1:28
2ND & 9
OWN 17
0
95.9%
Geremy Hickbottom pass incomplete to Keilon ElderSimilar
Q1 1:28
3RD & 9
OWN 17
+3
96.0%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Lyndon Rash for 3 yds to the Gramb 20Similar
Q1 1:28
4TH & 6
OWN 20
0
96.0%
Miguel Mendez punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Michael Sam at the LaTch 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 6FG
12 plays · 45 yds · 4:5796% → 95%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
95.9%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaTch 35Similar
Q1 0:10
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+4
95.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Israel Tucker for 4 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+12
95.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 12 yds to the Gramb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
95.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 5 yds to the Gramb 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+12
95.9%
Israel Tucker run for 12 yds to the Gramb 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
96.0%
J'Mar Smith run for 4 yds to the Gramb 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 28
-5
96.0%
J'Mar Smith run for a loss of 5 yards to the Gramb 24 J'Mar Smith fumbled,Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+3
95.9%
J'Mar Smith run for 3 yds to the Gramb 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
96.0%
Justin Henderson run for 5 yds to the Gramb 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+1
96.0%
Justin Henderson run for 1 yd to the Gramb 15Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 15
0
95.9%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Griffin HebertSimilar
Q2 10:13
4TH & 4
OPP 15
+33
95.3%
Bailey Hale 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 7MISSED FG
11 plays · 42 yds · 3:315% → 5%
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
95.3%
Geremy Hickbottom run for 10 yds to the Gramb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
95.2%
Damien Crumitie run for 8 yds to the Gramb 45Similar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+2
95.0%
Damien Crumitie run for 2 yds to the Gramb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
95.0%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Quintin Guice for 11 yds to the LaTch 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
94.9%
Damien Crumitie run for 7 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+3
94.7%
Justin Richard run for 3 yds to the LaTch 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
94.8%
Justin Richard run for 1 yd to the LaTch 31Similar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 9
OPP 31
0
94.8%
Geremy Hickbottom pass incomplete to Lyndon RashSimilar
Q2 10:13
3RD & 9
OPP 31
0
95.0%
Geremy Hickbottom pass incomplete to Devante DavisSimilar
Q2 6:42
4TH & 9
OPP 31
+48
94.8%
Garrett Urban 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 8TD
5 plays · 69 yds · 2:0495% → 97%
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+21
94.9%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 31 yds to the LATECH 38 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Gramb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
95.2%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 11 yds to the Gramb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
95.2%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 1 yd to the Gramb 36Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 9
OPP 36
-4
95.2%
Smoke Harris run for a loss of 4 yards to the Gramb 40Similar
Q2 4:38
3RD & 13
OPP 40
+40
97.2%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 40 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 0:004% → 3%
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
96.5%
Geremy Hickbottom sacked by Ka'Derrion Mason for a loss of 4 yards to the Gramb 16Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 14
OWN 16
0
96.6%
Damien Crumitie run for no gain to the Gramb 16Similar
Q2 4:38
3RD & 14
OWN 16
-7
96.6%
Geremy Hickbottom sacked by Bee Jay Williamson and Ezekiel Barnett for a loss of 7 yards to the Gramb 9Similar
Q2 4:38
4TH & 21
OWN 9
+27
96.7%
Miguel Mendez punt for 40 yds , Michael Sam returns for 27 yds to the Gramb 36 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, clipping (10 Yards) to the Gramb 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 10FG
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5197% → 98%
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
97.3%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 2 yds to the Gramb 30Similar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
97.3%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q2 3:07
3RD & 8
OPP 30
0
97.2%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:16
4TH & 8
OPP 30
+48
98.4%
Bailey Hale 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 0:332% → 1%
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.1%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Jakarie Nichols for 8 yds to the Gramb 33Similar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
97.9%
Geremy Hickbottom run for no gain to the Gramb 33Similar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
98.4%
Jakarie Nichols run for 4 yds to the Gramb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
98.6%
Geremy Hickbottom pass incomplete to Donald Johnson III, broken up by L'Jarius SneedSimilar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
98.7%
Geremy Hickbottom pass incomplete to Raylon Richardson, broken up by Amik RobertsonSimilar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 10
OWN 37
-1
98.7%
Geremy Hickbottom sacked by Collin Scott and Ezekiel Barnett for a loss of 1 yard to the Gramb 36Similar
Q2 1:43
4TH & 11
OWN 36
0
98.7%
Miguel Mendez punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Cee Jay Powell at the LaTch 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12END OF HALF
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:1499% → 99%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+17
98.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 17 yds to the LaTch 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
98.6%
Israel Tucker run for 2 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+11
98.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Israel Tucker for 11 yds to the LaTch 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
98.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Isaiah GrahamSimilar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-1
98.6%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Najee Gordon and Brendan Vaughn for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 13DOWNS
9 plays · 60 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
98.4%
Israel Tucker run for no gain to the LaTch 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+40
98.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Malik Stanley for 40 yds to the Gramb 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
98.5%
Israel Tucker run for 5 yds to the Gramb 22Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+6
98.5%
Israel Tucker run for 6 yds to the Gramb 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
98.5%
Israel Tucker run for 4 yds to the Gramb 12Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+2
98.5%
Israel Tucker run for 2 yds to the Gramb 10Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+2
98.5%
Israel Tucker run for 2 yds to the Gramb 8Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 8
+1
98.3%
Israel Tucker run for 1 yd to the Gramb 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 14TD
13 plays · 93 yds · 3:522% → 7%
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+12
98.1%
Jakarie Nichols run for 12 yds to the Gramb 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
98.1%
Jakarie Nichols run for no gain to the Gramb 19Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+10
98.1%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Devante Davis for 10 yds to the Gramb 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
98.0%
Damien Crumitie run for 11 yds to the Gramb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
97.9%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Darqueze Brutton for 8 yds to the Gramb 48Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+5
97.8%
Damien Crumitie run for 5 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
97.9%
Damien Crumitie run for 5 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+3
97.8%
Geremy Hickbottom run for 3 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q3 10:53
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+5
97.8%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Devante Davis for 5 yds to the LaTch 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
97.7%
Keilon Elder run for 5 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+6
97.6%
Hickbottom,Ger. pass complete to Davis,De'Vante for 1 yard to the LATECH28 (ROBERTSON, Amik), PENALTY LATECH 12 men on the field 6 yards to the LATECH23, 1ST DOWN GRAM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
97.6%
Geremy Hickbottom pass incomplete to Raylon RichardsonSimilar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+23
93.4%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Raylon Richardson for 23 yds for a TD, (Garrett Urban KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
95.5%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 4 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+6
95.5%
Justin Henderson run for 6 yds to the Gramb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
95.5%
Justin Henderson run for 2 yds to the Gramb 45Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
95.5%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Griffin HebertSimilar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
95.3%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:01
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
94.9%
Brady Farlow punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 16FUMBLE
13 plays · 81 yds · 0:005% → 6%
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+10
94.6%
Darqueze Brutton run for 10 yds to the Gramb 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
94.6%
Geremy Hickbottom run for 1 yd to the Gramb 22Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+11
94.6%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Lyndon Rash for 11 yds to the Gramb 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+21
94.2%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Raylon Richardson for 21 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
93.6%
Jakarie Nichols run for 4 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+6
93.6%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Raylon Richardson for 6 yds to the LaTch 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
93.6%
Damien Crumitie run for 1 yd to the LaTch 35Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+9
93.2%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Lyndon Rash for 9 yds to the LaTch 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
93.1%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Lyndon Rash for 6 yds to the LaTch 20Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+4
93.1%
Damien Crumitie run for 4 yds to the LaTch 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
93.1%
Damien Crumitie run for 7 yds to the LaTch 9Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+1
93.1%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Donald Johnson III for 1 yd to the LaTch 8Similar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 2
OPP 8
0
93.6%
Keilon Elder run for no gain to the LaTch 8 Keilon Elder fumbled, forced by Connor Taylor, recovered by LaTchSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 27 yds · 1:0095% → 96%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+18
95.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 18 yds to the LaTch 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-6
95.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Smoke Harris for a loss of 6 yards to the LaTch 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 20
+1
96.0%
J'Mar Smith run for 1 yd to the LaTch 21Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 21
+14
95.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 14 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
95.9%
Brady Farlow punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Devanir Martin at the Gramb 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 18DOWNS
17 plays · 66 yds · 4:465% → 4%
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
94.6%
Jakarie Nichols run for 2 yds to the Gramb 27Similar
Q4 13:44
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
94.4%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Lyndon Rash for 8 yds to the Gramb 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
94.0%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Raylon Richardson for 13 yds to the Gramb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
93.6%
Jakarie Nichols run for 9 yds to the LaTch 43Similar
Q4 13:44
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+3
93.3%
Jakarie Nichols run for 3 yds to the LaTch 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
93.5%
Geremy Hickbottom run for 1 yd to the LaTch 39Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+1
95.9%
Jakarie Nichols run for 1 yd to the LaTch 38Similar
Q4 11:35
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+13
95.9%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Lyndon Rash for 13 yds to the LaTch 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
95.3%
Geremy Hickbottom pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+7
95.5%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Lyndon Rash for 7 yds to the LaTch 18Similar
Q4 11:35
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+3
95.7%
Damien Crumitie run for 3 yds to the LaTch 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
95.3%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Darqueze Brutton for 1 yd to the LaTch 14Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+5
95.3%
Jakarie Nichols run for 5 yds to the LaTch 9Similar
Q4 11:35
3RD & 4
OPP 9
0
95.7%
Geremy Hickbottom pass incomplete to Devante Davis, broken up by Aaron RobersonSimilar
Q4 8:58
4TH & 4
OPP 9
0
96.2%
Geremy Hickbottom pass incomplete to Raylon Richardson, broken up by Zach HannibalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:4597% → 98%
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
96.8%
Smoke Harris run for no gain to the LaTch 9Similar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+18
96.8%
Israel Tucker run for 18 yds to the LaTch 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
97.0%
Israel Tucker run for 4 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+5
97.0%
Israel Tucker run for 5 yds to the LaTch 36Similar
Q4 8:53
3RD & 1
OWN 36
0
97.1%
Israel Tucker run for no gain to the LaTch 36Similar
Q4 6:08
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
97.9%
Brady Farlow punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Devanir Martin at the Gramb 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 20TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 2:393% → 19%
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
96.9%
Damien Crumitie run for 10 yds to the Gramb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
96.8%
Damien Crumitie run for 1 yd to the Gramb 39Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+11
96.8%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Keilon Elder for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
50
+13
96.6%
Keilon Elder run for 13 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
96.5%
Keilon Elder run for 4 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+12
96.0%
Geremy Hickbottom pass complete to Donald Johnson III for 12 yds to the LaTch 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
96.0%
Keilon Elder run for 4 yds to the LaTch 17Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+15
96.0%
Geremy Hickbottom run for 15 yds to the LaTch 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
81.4%
Jakarie Nichols run for 2 yds for a TD, (Garrett Urban KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
85.6%
Jakarie Nichols run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 8
50
+3
84.6%
Jakarie Nichols run for 3 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q4 3:23
3RD & 5
OPP 47
0
85.0%
Geremy Hickbottom pass incomplete to Donald Johnson IIISimilar
Q4 3:23
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
86.9%
Geremy Hickbottom pass incomplete to Donald Johnson IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 22END OF GAME
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:4095% → 95%
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
95.4%
Smoke Harris run for 9 yds to the Gramb 44Similar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+2
95.5%
Justin Henderson run for 2 yds to the Gramb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
95.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Gramb 43Similar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 11
OPP 43
-1
95.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Gramb 44Similar
Q4 1:36
3RD & 12
OPP 44
-1
95.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Gramb 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:23
Jakarie Nichols run for 2 yds for a TD, (Garrett Urban KICK)
-14.5
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:16
Smoke Harris run for 9 yds to the Gramb 44
+8.5
KEY PLAY · Q4 3:23
Garrett Urban on-side kick recovered by GRAMBLING at the Gramb 48
+6.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com