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CLT

Charlotte 41 at App State 56

APP
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2019 · Kidd Brewer Stadium
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Win probability · APP
modelAPP aheadCLT aheadconfidence bandkey playAPP scoreCLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:52 · Chris Reynolds run for a loss of 4 yards to the AppSt 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 68Pregame prior+31.2Home team on offense−0.6Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:10: Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 24 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +5.6 pts (now 14%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:00: Chris Reynolds pass complete to Benny LeMay for 5 yds for a TD, (Chris Reynolds pass to Victor Tucker for Two-Point Conversion) — CLT win probability +5.1 pts (now 7%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:20: Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 23 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — CLT win probability +5.7 pts (now 11%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:14: Darrynton Evans run for 68 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +5.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:17: Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 27 yds for a TD APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined, (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +7.2 pts (now 11%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
APP made the numbers' call on 6 of 7CLT made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 14:43CLT 4th & 13 at CLT 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:28APP 4th & 11 at APP 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:39APP 4th & 1 at CLT 11, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    91.2%−0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    90.7%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:46CLT 4th & 4 at CLT 41, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00APP 4th & 14 at APP 16, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:16APP 4th & 3 at APP 32, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:51CLT 4th & 4 at CLT 13, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:27APP 4th & 23 at APP 26, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%−0.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:52CLT 4th & 2 at APP 38, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    13.5%−0.8
    38% to make
    Punt
    13.4%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:04APP 4th & 6 at CLT 14, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.2%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.3%
    84% to make
    Punt
    81.4%−2.9
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:39CLT 4th & 6 at CLT 26, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−0.9
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:59CLT 4th & 27 at CLT 41, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%−1.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00APP 4th & 2 at CLT 44, up 14
    Close callPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    94.3%−1.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.9%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:07CLT 4th & 13 at APP 39, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    3.5%
    36% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:07CLT 4th & 7 at APP 39, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%−0.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    3.4%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
APP made the numbers' call on 6 of 6CLT made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 14:43APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:50CLT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    8.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:46APP Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:16CLT Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:14APP Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:10CLT Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:05APP Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:00APP Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 1:00CLT Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    4.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:20CLT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    9.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    9.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 7:14APP Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−0.4
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 3:17CLT Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.6%−0.8
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
APPDrive 1TD
2 plays · 87 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+87
92.7%
Darrynton Evans run for 87 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
92.7%
Aaron McAllister run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 23Similar
Q1 14:43
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-5
92.7%
Cameron Dollar run for a loss of 5 yards to the Charl 18Similar
Q1 14:43
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+4
92.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Micaleous Elder for 4 yds to the Charl 22Similar
Q1 14:43
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+14
92.7%
Connor Bowler punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 31 , Thomas Hennigan returns for 14 yds to the AppSt 36 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, IB (15 Yards) to the AppSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
92.4%
Daetrich Harrington run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 30Similar
Q1 12:28
2ND & 11
OWN 30
0
92.4%
Zac Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:28
3RD & 11
OWN 30
0
92.3%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Darrynton Evans for no gain to the AppSt 30Similar
Q1 12:28
4TH & 11
OWN 30
+44
92.3%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 44 yds , Nafees Lyon returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:128% → 9%
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
92.1%
Benny LeMay run for 18 yds to the Charl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
92.1%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Charl 46Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 7
OWN 46
-5
92.0%
LEMAY, Benny rush for 3 yards to the CLT49 (Diarrassouba, E;Neuzil, Ryan), PENALTY CLT IF 5 yards to the CLT41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 12
OWN 41
+19
92.1%
Chris Reynolds run for 19 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+34
92.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Micaleous Elder for 34 yds to the AppSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
91.9%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the AppSt 3Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
90.6%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz PAT MISSED)Similar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-5
90.6%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 5TD
13 plays · 49 yds · 4:5391% → 91%
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
91.2%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Malik Williams, broken up by Alex HighsmithSimilar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-2
91.2%
Darrynton Evans run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 49Similar
Q1 7:39
3RD & 12
OWN 49
+15
90.9%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Charl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
91.2%
Darrynton Evans run for 5 yds to the Charl 31Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+11
91.3%
Darrynton Evans run for 11 yds to the Charl 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
91.3%
Zac Thomas run for 3 yds to the Charl 17Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+1
91.3%
Zac Thomas run for 1 yd to the Charl 16Similar
Q1 7:39
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+5
91.2%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 5 yds to the Charl 11Similar
Q1 7:39
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+2
91.1%
Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the Charl 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
91.3%
Darrynton Evans run for no gain to the Charl 9Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
91.3%
Zac Thomas run for 4 yds to the Charl 5Similar
Q1 2:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
91.3%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 5 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
91.0%
Benny LeMay run for no gain to the Charl 35Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
91.0%
Benny LeMay run for 6 yds to the Charl 41Similar
Q1 2:46
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
90.8%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Tyler RingwoodSimilar
Q1 2:46
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
91.1%
Connor Bowler punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:0191% → 90%
Q1 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-8
90.6%
Zac Thomas sacked by Prince Bemah for a loss of 8 yards to the AppSt 12Similar
Q1 1:01
2ND & 18
OWN 12
-6
90.6%
Zac Thomas sacked by Alex Highsmith for a loss of 6 yards to the AppSt 6Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 24
OWN 6
+10
90.2%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 10 yds to the AppSt 16Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 16
0
90.0%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Nafees Lyon at the Charl 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8TD
3 plays · 62 yds · 0:5610% → 13%
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
90.4%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
90.4%
Chris Reynolds run for 4 yds to the Charl 42Similar
Q2 13:16
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+58
87.5%
Benny LeMay run for 58 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
88.0%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 20Similar
Q2 13:16
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
88.0%
Darrynton Evans run for 5 yds to the AppSt 25Similar
Q2 13:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
87.9%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 7 yds to the AppSt 32Similar
Q2 13:16
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
87.9%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Malik WilliamsSimilar
Q2 13:16
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-13
87.6%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 48 yds , Nafees Lyon returns for a loss of 13 yards to the Charl 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
87.6%
Chris Reynolds run for 3 yds to the Charl 10Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 7
OWN 10
-3
87.6%
Benny LeMay run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 7Similar
Q2 11:51
3RD & 10
OWN 7
+6
87.9%
Chris Reynolds run for 6 yds to the Charl 13Similar
Q2 11:51
4TH & 4
OWN 13
0
88.1%
Connor Bowler punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -13 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
87.1%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (Cooper Hodges) to the AppSt 34Similar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 15
OWN 34
+4
86.7%
Darrynton Evans run for 4 yds to the AppSt 38Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 11
OWN 38
-5
86.9%
Darrynton Evans run for a loss of 5 yards to the AppSt 33Similar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 16
OWN 33
-7
86.2%
Zac Thomas sacked by Alex Highsmith for a loss of 7 yards to the AppSt 26 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 9:27
4TH & 23
OWN 26
0
85.9%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Nafees Lyon at the Charl 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 12DOWNS
9 plays · 32 yds · 0:0014% → 15%
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
85.9%
Aaron McAllister run for 5 yds to the Charl 31Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+5
85.6%
Aaron McAllister run for 5 yds to the Charl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
85.6%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Aaron McAllisterSimilar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
85.8%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Micaleous ElderSimilar
Q2 7:52
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+18
86.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 18 yds to the AppSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
84.8%
Benny LeMay run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 47Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 11
OPP 47
+9
85.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Benny LeMay for 9 yds to the AppSt 38Similar
Q2 7:52
3RD & 2
OPP 38
0
84.8%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
Q2 7:52
4TH & 2
OPP 38
-4
85.5%
Chris Reynolds run for a loss of 4 yards to the AppSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 13MISSED FG
9 plays · 44 yds · 2:3286% → 85%
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
86.1%
Daetrich Harrington run for 3 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+13
86.3%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 13 yds to the Charl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
86.6%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 4 yds to the Charl 38Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+20
86.6%
Daetrich Harrington run for 20 yds to the Charl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
87.1%
Daetrich Harrington run for 2 yds to the Charl 16Similar
Q2 3:27
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+2
87.1%
Daetrich Harrington run for 2 yds to the Charl 14Similar
Q2 3:27
3RD & 6
OPP 14
0
86.6%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Thomas Hennigan, broken up by Alex HighsmithSimilar
Q2 2:04
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+31
85.2%
Chandler Staton 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 14FUMBLE
2 plays · -10 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
83.7%
Benny LeMay run for 2 yds to the Charl 22Similar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-6
83.7%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Demetrius Taylor for a loss of 6 yards to the Charl 10 Chris Reynolds fumbled, recovered by AppSt Jordan Fehr , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 15TD
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q2 1:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
90.9%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 10 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 0
OWN 35
-5
89.9%
Staton, C. kickoff 61 yards to the CLT4, MCALLISTER, A. return to the CLT22 (Bird, Tyler), PENALTY APP offside 5 yards to the APP30, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 16PUNT TD
9 plays · 4 yds · 0:2310% → 5%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
89.8%
Aaron McAllister run for 1 yd to the Charl 23Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+2
89.8%
Ishod Finger run for 2 yds to the Charl 25Similar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+1
90.4%
Ishod Finger run for 1 yd to the Charl 26Similar
Q2 0:39
4TH & 6
OWN 26
+16
94.9%
Connor Bowler punt blocked by Shaun Jolly blocked by Shaun Jolly D'Marco Jackson return for 16 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
94.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 18TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:507% → 14%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
92.6%
Chris Reynolds run for 5 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
92.2%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor Tucker CHARLOTTE Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
92.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 7 yds to the Charl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+36
92.2%
Chris Reynolds run for 36 yds to the AppSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
91.2%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the AppSt 24Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+24
85.6%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 24 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 19TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:0589% → 95%
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
88.8%
Zac Thomas run for 4 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
88.9%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 3 yds to the AppSt 32Similar
Q3 12:10
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+9
88.7%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 9 yds to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
89.7%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Jalen VirgilSimilar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
89.4%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, Defensive offside (Markees Watts) to the AppSt 46Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+3
89.8%
Darrynton Evans run for 3 yds to the AppSt 49Similar
Q3 12:10
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+3
89.4%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 3 yds to the Charl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
89.9%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 6 yds to the Charl 42Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+15
90.0%
Darrynton Evans run for 15 yds to the Charl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
90.1%
Zac Thomas run for 10 yds to the Charl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+14
90.1%
Darrynton Evans run for 14 yds to the Charl 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
94.9%
Darrynton Evans run for 3 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+36
93.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Micaleous Elder for 36 yds to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
92.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for a loss of 5 yards to the AppSt 47Similar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 15
OPP 47
0
93.3%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Cameron DollarSimilar
Q3 7:59
3RD & 15
OPP 47
-5
93.6%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Jaelin Fisher) to the Charl 48Similar
Q3 7:59
3RD & 20
OWN 48
-7
93.6%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Nick Hampton for a loss of 7 yards to the Charl 41Similar
Q3 7:59
4TH & 27
OWN 41
0
93.7%
Connor Bowler punt for 58 yds, downed at the AppSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 21TD
7 plays · 99 yds · 2:3695% → 99%
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
94.6%
Zac Thomas run for 1 yd to the AppSt 2Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+29
94.6%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 29 yds to the AppSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-15
94.8%
Harrington, D. rush for 5 yards to the APP36, out-of-bounds (LYON, Nafees), PENALTY APP illegal block 15 yards to the APP16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 25
OWN 16
+4
94.7%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the AppSt 20Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 21
OWN 20
+5
94.7%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, Defensive offside (Alex Highsmith) to the AppSt 25Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 16
OWN 25
+2
94.7%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the AppSt 27Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 14
OWN 27
+73
98.5%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 73 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 22TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:002% → 7%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.3%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the Charl 26Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+68
98.3%
Ishod Finger run for 68 yds to the AppSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
98.1%
Ishod Finger run for 1 yd to the AppSt 5Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
93.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Benny LeMay for 5 yds for a TD, (Chris Reynolds pass to Victor Tucker for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 23PUNT
11 plays · 31 yds · 1:0096% → 96%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
95.9%
Thomas, Zac rush for 7 yards to the APP32, out-of-bounds (SHARPE, Jaylon), PENALTY APP holding (Hennigan, T.) 3 yards to the APP22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 13
OWN 22
+15
95.9%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, personal foul (Jaylon Sharpe) to the AppSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
96.0%
Darrynton Evans run for 4 yds to the AppSt 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+4
96.2%
Darrynton Evans run for 4 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+3
96.1%
Darrynton Evans run for 3 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
96.2%
Darrynton Evans run for 8 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 44
-15
96.3%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the AppSt 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 41
+15
96.1%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 15 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 44
0
96.2%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Daetrich Harrington, broken up by Marquavis GibbsSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 44
0
95.8%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 29 yds, downed at the Charl 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 24TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 4:385% → 11%
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
95.2%
Chris Reynolds run for no gain to the Charl 15Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+20
95.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Benny LeMay for 20 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
94.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 20 yds to the AppSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
94.7%
Ishod Finger run for 3 yds to the AppSt 42Similar
Q4 10:26
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+3
95.6%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q4 10:26
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+21
95.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Micaleous Elder for 21 yds to the AppSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
95.2%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Akeem Davis-Gaither and Noel Cook for a loss of 5 yards to the AppSt 23Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 15
OPP 23
+23
89.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 23 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 25TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:0692% → 97%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
92.2%
Darrynton Evans run for 5 yds to the AppSt 30Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
92.3%
Zac Thomas run for 2 yds to the AppSt 32Similar
Q4 7:14
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+68
97.4%
Darrynton Evans run for 68 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 26TD
20 plays · 80 yds · 3:503% → 11%
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
96.9%
Chris Reynolds run for 3 yds to the Charl 23Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-5
96.9%
Chris Reynolds run for a loss of 5 yards to the Charl 18Similar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+15
97.0%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, personal foul (Demetrius Taylor) to the Charl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
96.7%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass incomplete to HENDERSON, Noah, PENALTY APP pass interference (Jean-Charles, S) 15 yards to the CLT48, 1ST DOWN CLT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-10
96.6%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass incomplete to DOLLAR, Cameron, PENALTY CLT holding (CLARK, Cameron) 10 yards to the CLT38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 20
OWN 38
0
96.9%
Chris Reynolds run for no gain to the Charl 38Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+15
96.3%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, personal foul (Jordan Fehr) to the Charl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-11
96.6%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass incomplete to DOLLAR, Cameron (Jean-Charles, S), QB hurry by Davis-Gaither, PENALTY CLT ineligible downfield on pass 11 yards to the APP47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 21
OPP 47
+12
96.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Micaleous Elder for 12 yds to the AppSt 35Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 9
OPP 35
-7
96.1%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Akeem Davis-Gaither and Nick Hampton for a loss of 7 yards to the AppSt 42 CHARLOTTE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 16
OPP 42
+3
96.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Micaleous Elder for 3 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q4 7:07
4TH & 13
OPP 39
+12
96.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 12 yds to the AppSt 27Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 20
OWN 38
+20
96.9%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, personal foul (Jordan Fehr) to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
96.4%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass incomplete to DOLLAR, Cameron (Harrington, D.), PENALTY CLT ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the APP47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+12
96.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Micaleous Elder for 12 yds to the AppSt 35Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 3
OPP 35
-8
95.9%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Akeem Davis-Gaither and Nick Hampton for a loss of 8 yards to the AppSt 43 CHARLOTTE Penalty, intentional grounding ( Yards) to the AppSt 43Similar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 11
OPP 43
+4
96.6%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Micaleous Elder for 4 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q4 7:07
4TH & 7
OPP 39
+12
96.6%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 12 yds to the AppSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
89.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 27 yds for a TD APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 27TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-27
95.8%
Darrynton Evans pass complete to Jackson Gibbs for a loss of 27 yards to the AppSt 0 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 28INT
12 plays · 72 yds · 2:002% → 1%
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+22
98.0%
Benny LeMay run for 22 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
97.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 12 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
97.8%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
Q4 3:06
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+8
97.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Micaleous Elder for 8 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
Q4 3:06
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+15
97.6%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass incomplete to TUCKER, Victor, PENALTY APP pass interference declined, PENALTY APP personal foul 15 yards to the APP30, 1ST DOWN CLT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
97.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 5 yds to the AppSt 25Similar
Q4 3:06
2ND & 5
OPP 25
0
97.1%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
Q4 3:06
3RD & 5
OPP 25
0
97.3%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Micaleous ElderSimilar
Q4 1:06
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+10
99.1%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass incomplete to ELDER, M., PENALTY APP holding (Huff, Ryan) 10 yards to the APP15, 1ST DOWN CLT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
98.9%
Chris Reynolds pass intercepted, touchback. Shaun Jolly return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 29Uncategorized
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
98.6%
E.J. Scott run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 18Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 12
OWN 18
-2
98.5%
E.J. Scott run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:17
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 27 yds for a TD APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)
-7.2
TD · Q4 8:20
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 23 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-5.7
TD · Q3 12:10
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 24 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)
-5.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com