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UIW

Incarnate Word 7 at UTSA 35

UTSA
2019 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2019 · Alamodome
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Win probability · UTSA
modelUTSA aheadUIW aheadconfidence bandkey playUTSA scoreUIW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:52 · David Balcomb punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kirk Johnson Jr. at the UTSA 12 UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, personal foul (6 Yards) to the TexSA 6
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 63Home team on offense+8.6Pregame prior+15.1Score differential+3.2Garbage-time factor+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.4Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:27: Brenden Brady run for 10 yds for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +4.7 pts (now 81%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:12: Jon Copeland pass complete to Ameer King for 11 yds for a TD, (Carson Mohr KICK) — UIW win probability +5.8 pts (now 27%) (top driver: UIW has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:38: Deven Boston run for 6 yds for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +5.4 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:29: Jon Copeland pass complete to Lamont Johnson for 10 yds to the InWrd 32 for a 1ST down — UIW win probability +2.3 pts (now 15%) (top driver: UIW has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:26: Frank Harris pass complete to Gavin Sharp for 5 yds for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +10.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTSA made the numbers' call on 4 of 6UIW made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00UTSA 4th & 3 at UTSA 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:08UIW 4th & 10 at UIW 44, tied
    Close callWent for it · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.6%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    25.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:18UIW 4th & 13 at UTSA 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    24.7%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:37UTSA 4th & 1 at UTSA 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    75.2%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:38UTSA 4th & 1 at UIW 6, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.2%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    75.7%−1.5
    91% to make
    Punt
    72.1%−5.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:52UIW 4th & 3 at UIW 47, down 14
    Close callPunted · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.9%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:07UIW 4th & 9 at UTSA 45, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.2%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    13.5%−1.0
    25% to make
    Punt
    14.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:53UIW 4th & 8 at UIW 49, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:41UTSA 4th & 10 at UTSA 42, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:15UIW 4th & 9 at UIW 11, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:49UTSA 4th & 4 at UIW 22, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    95.6%−0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    93.7%−2.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00UTSA 4th & 4 at UTSA 38, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:40UIW 4th & 11 at UIW 44, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:53UIW 4th & 7 at UTSA 39, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    36% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:53UIW 4th & 8 at UIW 33, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTSA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UIW made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:18UTSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:27UTSA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:12UIW Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:38UTSA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:26UTSA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:53UTSA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTSADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
74.7%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 36
-1
74.7%
Frank Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+5
74.7%
Frank Harris run for 5 yds to the TexSA 40 UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 40
0
74.7%
Lucas Dean punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 2DOWNS
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+18
74.3%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Lamont Johnson for 18 yds to the InWrd 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
74.3%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Kam Williams for 11 yds to the InWrd 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
74.2%
Jon Copeland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
74.2%
Ameer King run for no gain to the InWrd 44Similar
Q1 13:08
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
74.3%
Jon Copeland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:08
4TH & 10
OWN 44
-4
74.4%
David Balcomb run for a loss of 4 yards to the InWrd 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 3TD
5 plays · 40 yds · 2:2474% → 76%
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
74.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Gavin Sharp for 3 yds to the InWrd 37Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+10
74.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Tariq Woolen for 10 yds to the InWrd 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
74.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 5 yds to the InWrd 22Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+6
74.5%
Sincere McCormick run for 6 yds to the InWrd 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
75.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to Carlos Strickland II for 16 yds for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
74.8%
Ameer King run for 4 yds to the UTSA 48 for a 1ST down UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, personal foul (Ladarian McFarland) to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
74.7%
Ameer King run for 1 yd to the TexSA 37Similar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 9
OPP 37
-11
74.7%
Jon Copeland sacked by Lorenzo Dantzler for a loss of 11 yards to the TexSA 48Similar
Q1 9:18
3RD & 20
OPP 48
+7
75.1%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Lamont Johnson for 7 yds to the TexSA 41Similar
Q1 9:18
4TH & 13
OPP 41
+19
75.3%
David Balcomb punt for 34 yds INCARNATEW Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the TexSA 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 5TD
15 plays · 78 yds · 7:1075% → 81%
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-3
75.4%
Brenden Brady run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 19Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 13
OWN 19
+10
75.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Blaze Moorhead for 10 yds to the TexSA 29Similar
Q1 6:37
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+3
75.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Blaze Moorhead for 3 yds to the TexSA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
75.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Blaze Moorhead for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 30Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+4
75.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Brenden Brady for 4 yds to the TexSA 34Similar
Q1 6:37
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+7
75.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Kirk Johnson Jr. for 7 yds to the TexSA 41Similar
Q1 6:37
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+2
75.3%
Deven Boston run for 2 yds to the TexSA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
75.9%
Brenden Brady run for 1 yd to the TexSA 44Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+12
75.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Leroy Watson for 12 yds to the InWrd 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
76.0%
Frank Harris sacked by TJ Wright for a loss of 2 yards to the InWrd 46Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 12
OPP 46
+5
75.8%
Frank Harris run for 5 yds to the InWrd 41Similar
Q1 6:37
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+5
75.8%
INCARNATEW Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the InWrd 36Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+7
76.3%
Brenden Brady run for 7 yds to the InWrd 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+19
76.7%
Frank Harris run for 19 yds to the InWrd 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
81.4%
Brenden Brady run for 10 yds for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 6TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:1521% → 27%
Q2 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
79.4%
Jon Copeland run for 1 yd to the InWrd 26Similar
Q2 14:27
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+15
79.4%
Kevin Brown run for 15 yds to the InWrd 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
79.1%
Kevin Brown run for 3 yds to the InWrd 44Similar
Q2 14:27
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+45
78.9%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Jaelin Campbell for 45 yds to the TexSA 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
73.1%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Ameer King for 11 yds for a TD, (Carson Mohr KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 7TD
14 plays · 65 yds · 4:3476% → 83%
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
76.0%
Sincere McCormick run for 6 yds to the TexSA 41Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+15
76.9%
HARRIS, Frank deep pass incomplete to WOOLEN, Tariq, PENALTY UIW pass interference (Otis,Louis) 15 yards to the UIW44, 1ST DOWN UTSA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
77.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Carlos Strickland II for 1 yd to the InWrd 43Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+10
76.9%
Frank Harris run for 10 yds to the InWrd 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
77.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 3 yds to the InWrd 30Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 7
OPP 30
-10
77.1%
HARRIS, Frank rush quarterback draw for 1 yard to the UIW29 (Peterson,Ian), PENALTY UTSA holding (MAKA, Ahofitu) 10 yards to the UIW40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 17
OPP 40
+1
76.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 1 yd to the InWrd 39Similar
Q2 12:12
3RD & 16
OPP 39
+24
75.8%
Frank Harris run for 24 yds to the InWrd 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
77.1%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Blaze MoorheadSimilar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+3
77.1%
Brenden Brady run for 3 yds to the InWrd 12Similar
Q2 12:12
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+6
76.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Brenden Brady for 6 yds to the InWrd 6Similar
Q2 7:38
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+6
83.4%
Deven Boston run for 6 yds for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:4618% → 17%
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
82.4%
Keyondrick Philio run for 4 yds to the InWrd 44Similar
Q2 7:38
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
81.9%
Jon Copeland run for no gain to the InWrd 44Similar
Q2 7:38
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+3
82.5%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Colby Anthony for 3 yds to the InWrd 47Similar
Q2 5:52
4TH & 3
OWN 47
+47
82.7%
David Balcomb punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kirk Johnson Jr. at the UTSA 12 UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, personal foul (6 Yards) to the TexSA 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 9INT
17 plays · 72 yds · 5:0483% → 88%
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
82.6%
Sincere McCormick run for 5 yds to the TexSA 11Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+19
82.7%
Frank Harris run for 19 yds to the TexSA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
82.8%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 33Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+1
83.0%
Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the TexSA 34Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+6
82.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Carlos Strickland II for 6 yds to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
83.5%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Brenden BradySimilar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+9
83.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Brenden Brady for 9 yds to the TexSA 49Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 1
OWN 49
-10
83.0%
HARRIS, Frank rush quarterback draw for 2 yards to the UIW49 (Jimmerso,Jaylon;Peterson,Ian), PENALTY UTSA holding (WATSON, Leroy) 10 yards to the UTSA39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+15
82.8%
Frank Harris run for 15 yds to the InWrd 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
83.7%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Tariq WoolenSimilar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+8
83.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 8 yds to the InWrd 38Similar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+5
85.6%
McCORMICK, S. rush up middle for no gain to the UIW38 (Barnes,Mason;Preston,Cameron), PENALTY UIW substitution infraction 5 yards to the UIW33, 1ST DOWN UTSA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
86.3%
Frank Harris run for 11 yds to the InWrd 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
86.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sincere McCormick for no gain to the InWrd 22Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+20
87.6%
Frank Harris pass intercepted Ashton Preston return for 20 yds to the InWrd 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 10END OF HALF
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0915% → 15%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
85.3%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Lamont Johnson for 10 yds to the InWrd 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
84.5%
Jon Copeland pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-1
85.1%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Kam Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the InWrd 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 11DOWNS
8 plays · 33 yds · 1:5315% → 16%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
85.2%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Kam Williams for 10 yds to the InWrd 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+18
84.7%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Ameer King for 3 yds to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST down UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, roughing passer (Jarrod Carter-McLin) to the TexSA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
83.7%
Jon Copeland pass incomplete to Lamont Johnson, broken up by Cassius GradySimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+1
84.1%
Ameer King run for 1 yd to the TexSA 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 45
0
84.4%
Jon Copeland pass incomplete to Brady Rogers, broken up by Eric BanksSimilar
Q3 13:07
4TH & 9
OPP 45
+4
84.0%
Jon Copeland run for 4 yds to the TexSA 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 12TD
7 plays · 59 yds · 3:3186% → 96%
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
85.6%
Frank Harris run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 38Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 13
OWN 38
+47
85.2%
Sincere McCormick run for 47 yds to the InWrd 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
85.8%
Frank Harris run for 3 yds to the InWrd 12Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+8
85.8%
Sincere McCormick run for 8 yds to the InWrd 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
85.8%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the InWrd 1Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
85.8%
Sincere McCormick run for a loss of 4 yards to the InWrd 5Similar
Q3 9:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
95.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to Gavin Sharp for 5 yds for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 1:335% → 4%
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
94.9%
Kevin Brown run for 6 yds to the InWrd 32Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+15
94.6%
Jon Copeland pass incomplete to Lamont Johnson for a 1ST down UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Cassius Grady) to the InWrd 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
94.6%
Jon Copeland pass incomplete to Kevin BrownSimilar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-3
94.6%
Jon Copeland sacked by Lorenzo Dantzler for a loss of 3 yards to the InWrd 44Similar
Q3 9:26
3RD & 13
OWN 44
+5
95.0%
Copeland,Jon deep pass incomplete to McDuffi,Brandon (JOHNSON, C.), PENALTY UTSA offside defense (DANTZLER, L.) 5 yards to the UIW49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:53
3RD & 8
OWN 49
0
95.6%
Jon Copeland pass incomplete to Kam WilliamsSimilar
Q3 7:53
4TH & 8
OWN 49
+4
95.6%
David Balcomb punt for 35 yds , Kirk Johnson Jr. returns for 4 yds to the TexSA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
97.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Brenden Brady for 6 yds to the TexSA 26Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+5
97.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 5 yds to the TexSA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
97.1%
Frank Harris run for 4 yds to the TexSA 35Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+7
97.1%
Brenden Brady run for 7 yds to the TexSA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
97.2%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Tariq WoolenSimilar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
97.2%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:41
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
97.2%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Tykee Ogle-KelloggSimilar
Q3 7:41
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
96.9%
Lucas Dean punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jaden Smith at the InWrd 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-4
96.3%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Ameer King for a loss of 4 yards to the InWrd 6Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 14
OWN 6
+5
96.4%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Kam Williams for 5 yds to the InWrd 11Similar
Q3 5:15
3RD & 9
OWN 11
0
96.4%
Jon Copeland pass incomplete to Marquez PerezSimilar
Q3 5:15
4TH & 9
OWN 11
0
96.4%
David Balcomb punt for 17 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the InWrd 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 16DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0098% → 97%
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-10
97.6%
McCORMICK, S. rush left for 4 yards to the UIW24 (Phillips,Malick), PENALTY UTSA holding (BURFORD, S.) 10 yards to the UIW38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 20
OPP 38
+10
97.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Gavin Sharp for 10 yds to the InWrd 28Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
97.6%
Sincere McCormick run for no gain to the InWrd 28Similar
Q3 3:49
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+6
97.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Blaze Moorhead for 6 yds to the InWrd 22Similar
Q3 3:49
4TH & 4
OPP 22
+3
97.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Carlos Strickland II for 3 yds to the InWrd 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 17INT
4 plays · 28 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+28
97.7%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Ameer King for 28 yds to the InWrd 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
97.6%
Jon Copeland pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
97.6%
Jon Copeland pass incomplete to Lamont Johnson, broken up by Cassius GradySimilar
Q3 1:14
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
97.6%
Jon Copeland pass intercepted SaVion Harris return for no gain to the TexSA 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:3799% → 99%
Q3 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
98.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 4 yds to the TexSA 36Similar
Q3 0:37
2ND & 6
OWN 36
0
98.8%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+2
98.9%
Frank Harris run for 2 yds to the TexSA 38Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 38
0
98.8%
Lucas Dean punt for 17 yds, downed at the InWrd 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
98.2%
Jon Copeland pass incomplete to Lamont JohnsonSimilar
Q4 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
98.2%
Jon Copeland pass incomplete to Kam WilliamsSimilar
Q4 14:40
3RD & 10
OWN 45
-1
98.2%
Jon Copeland sacked by DeQuarius Henry for a loss of 1 yard to the InWrd 44Similar
Q4 14:40
4TH & 11
OWN 44
+10
98.3%
David Balcomb punt for 48 yds , Kirk Johnson Jr. returns for 10 yds to the UTSA 46 UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, illegal block (De'Marco Guidry) to the TexSA 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 20TD
7 plays · 91 yds · 3:3699% → 100%
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
99.1%
Deven Boston run for no gain to the TexSA 9Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+22
99.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to Brenden Brady for 22 yds to the TexSA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
99.1%
Brenden Brady run for 3 yds to the TexSA 34Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 7
OWN 34
-4
99.1%
Sincere McCormick run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSA 30Similar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 11
OWN 30
+12
99.1%
Frank Harris run for 12 yds to the TexSA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+22
99.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 7 yds to the InWrd 49 for a 1ST down INCARNATEW Penalty, roughing passer (Kelechi Anyalebechi) to the InWrd 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
99.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 36 yds for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+20
99.9%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Lamont Johnson for 20 yds to the InWrd 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
99.9%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Lamont Johnson for 15 yds to the TexSA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
99.9%
Keyondrick Philio run for 3 yds to the TexSA 39Similar
Q4 9:53
2ND & 7
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Jon Copeland pass incomplete to Jaden SmithSimilar
Q4 9:53
3RD & 7
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Jon Copeland pass incomplete to Jaden SmithSimilar
Q4 9:53
4TH & 7
OPP 39
-7
99.9%
Jon Copeland sacked by Jaylon Haynes for a loss of 7 yards to the TexSA 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 22INT
8 plays · 22 yds · 1:14100% → 100%
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-15
99.9%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Solomon Wise) to the TexSA 31Similar
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
99.9%
B.J. Daniels run for 5 yds to the TexSA 36Similar
Q4 7:47
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+18
99.9%
B.J. Daniels run for 18 yds to the InWrd 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
99.9%
B.J. Daniels run for 6 yds to the InWrd 40Similar
Q4 6:33
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+5
99.9%
B.J. Daniels run for 5 yds to the InWrd 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
99.9%
Deven Boston run for 3 yds to the InWrd 32Similar
Q4 6:33
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+6
99.9%
Cordale Grundy pass intercepted Kyle Covington return for 6 yds to the InWrd 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
99.9%
Kevin Brown run for 9 yds to the InWrd 30Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+1
99.9%
Kevin Brown run for 1 yd to the InWrd 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
99.9%
Kevin Brown run for 2 yds to the InWrd 33Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Sean Brophy pass incomplete to Brady RogersSimilar
Q4 4:53
3RD & 8
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Sean Brophy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:53
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
99.9%
David Balcomb punt for 40 yds , Kirk Johnson Jr. returns for no gain to the TexSA 24 Kirk Johnson Jr. fumbled, recovered by TexSA Tyler MahnkeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 24END OF GAME
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
99.9%
B.J. Daniels run for 3 yds to the TexSA 27Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+4
99.9%
Lowell Narcisse run for 4 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+4
99.9%
Lowell Narcisse run for 4 yds to the TexSA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.9%
B.J. Daniels run for 5 yds to the TexSA 40Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 5
OWN 40
-2
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:26
Frank Harris pass complete to Gavin Sharp for 5 yds for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK)
+10
TD · Q2 12:12
Jon Copeland pass complete to Ameer King for 11 yds for a TD, (Carson Mohr KICK)
-5.8
TD · Q2 7:38
Deven Boston run for 6 yds for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK)
+5.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com