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HCU

Houston Christian 34 at UTEP 36

UTEP
2019 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2019 · Sun Bowl
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Win probability · UTEP
modelUTEP aheadHCU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTEP scoreHCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDSAFETYFGTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG+12.2UTEP 72.7%Gavin Baechle 35 yd FG GOODAWAY 34 - HOME 36 · Q4 8:15
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:15 · Gavin Baechle 35 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 154Pregame prior+6.5Home team on offense+7.5Garbage-time factor+0.7Score differential+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.9Blowout margin−1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 13:00: Bailey Zappe pass complete to Ben Ratzlaff for 16 yds for a TD, (Gino Garcia PAT MISSED) — HCU win probability +11.8 pts (now 35%) (top driver: HCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:19: Brandon Jones run for 3 yds for a TD, (Brandon Jones intercepted ) — UTEP win probability +12.0 pts (now 72%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:00: Treyvon Hughes run for 19 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK) — UTEP win probability +12.4 pts (now 82%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:59: Ean Beek run for 3 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — HCU win probability +20.5 pts (now 49%) (top driver: HCU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 8:15: Gavin Baechle 35 yd FG GOOD — UTEP win probability +12.2 pts (now 73%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTEP made the numbers' call on 3 of 4HCU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00HCU 4th & 22 at HCU 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:26UTEP 4th & 12 at HCU 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.2%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.4%
    86% to make
    Punt
    84.8%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:26HCU 4th & 19 at UTEP 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−0.3
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:10UTEP 4th & 15 at UTEP 29, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.2%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:07HCU 4th & 6 at UTEP 6, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    15.4%−2.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:57HCU 4th & 1 at UTEP 36, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    13.4%−1.0
    42% to make
    Punt
    13.2%−1.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:14HCU 4th & 7 at UTEP 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    20.6%−1.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00UTEP 4th & 20 at UTEP 15, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.1%−2.8
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:18HCU 4th & 6 at midfield, up 5
    Close callPunted · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:17HCU 4th & 5 at UTEP 5, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.4%
    92% to make
    Punt
    28.8%−12.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:14HCU 4th & 9 at HCU 38, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−2.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:15UTEP 4th & 1 at HCU 17, down 1
    Close callKicked a field goal · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.0%−0.6
    80% to make
    Punt
    39.7%−18.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTEP made the numbers' call on 3 of 3HCU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q2 12:57UTEP Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:18HCU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:46HCU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:52UTEP Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:00HCU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    33.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:00UTEP Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:59HCU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    44.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    44.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HCUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
88.4%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for a loss of 1 yard to the HstnB 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
88.4%
Bailey Zappe run for no gain to the HstnB 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-11
88.4%
Bailey Zappe sacked by Praise Amaewhule for a loss of 11 yards to the HstnB 13Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 22
OWN 13
0
88.4%
Blake Patterson punt for 39 yds, downed at the UTEP 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2FG
10 plays · 40 yds · 4:3188% → 87%
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
88.0%
Brandon Jones run for 3 yds to the HstnB 49Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+7
88.0%
Treyvon Hughes run for 7 yds to the HstnB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
88.0%
HOUSTON BAPTIST Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the HstnB 37Similar
Q1 12:57
1ST & 5
OPP 37
+2
88.0%
Treyvon Hughes run for 2 yds to the HstnB 35Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+25
88.0%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Alan Busey for 25 yds to the HstnB 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-15
88.0%
Treyvon Hughes run for no gain to the HstnB 10 UTEP Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the HstnB 25Similar
Q1 12:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 25
+5
88.0%
Brandon Jones run for 5 yds to the HstnB 20Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 20
0
88.0%
Brandon Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 20
+8
87.9%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Walter Dawn Jr. for 8 yds to the HstnB 12Similar
Q1 8:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+30
86.8%
Gavin Baechle 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
86.9%
Dreshawn Minnieweather run for 1 yd to the HstnB 26Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+20
86.9%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Ean Beek for 20 yds to the HstnB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
86.6%
Bailey Zappe run for no gain to the HstnB 46Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
86.7%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Ben Ratzlaff for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:26
3RD & 6
50
+10
86.6%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Ben Ratzlaff for 10 yds to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
86.6%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Ean Beek for 5 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 5
OPP 35
-14
86.4%
Bailey Zappe run for a loss of 14 yards to the UTEP 49Similar
Q1 8:26
3RD & 19
OPP 49
0
86.9%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete HOUSTON BAPTIST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 8:26
4TH & 19
OPP 49
0
87.0%
Blake Patterson punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
85.8%
Treyvon Hughes run for 4 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+10
85.9%
Brandon Jones run for 10 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
85.9%
Treyvon Hughes run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 33Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 11
OWN 33
-10
85.8%
Brandon Jones run for no gain to the UTEP 33 UTEP Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the UTEP 23Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 21
OWN 23
+6
85.8%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Josh Fields for 6 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q1 5:10
3RD & 15
OWN 29
0
85.6%
Brandon Jones run for no gain to the UTEP 29Similar
Q1 5:10
4TH & 15
OWN 29
+3
85.5%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 44 yds , Kj Willie returns for 3 yds to the HstnB 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 5MISSED FG
12 plays · 64 yds · 3:2115% → 17%
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+17
84.7%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 17 yds to the HstnB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+20
84.1%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Gamar Girdy Brito for 5 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Chris Richardson) to the UTEP 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
83.7%
Jerreth Sterns run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 34Similar
Q1 1:28
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+3
83.7%
Dreshawn Minnieweather run for 3 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+10
83.5%
Dreshawn Minnieweather run for 10 yds to the UTEP 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
83.0%
Ben Ratzlaff run for 4 yds to the UTEP 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+7
83.0%
Dreshawn Minnieweather run for 7 yds to the UTEP 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
83.0%
Dreshawn Minnieweather run for no gain to the UTEP 10Similar
Q2 13:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
82.4%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Ben Ratzlaff for 9 yds to the UTEP 1Similar
Q2 13:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
82.7%
Bailey Zappe pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
83.2%
HOUSTON BAPTIST Penalty, false start (Jerreth Sterns) to the UTEP 6Similar
Q2 13:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
83.2%
Gino Garcia 23 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6TD
1 play · 80 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
86.6%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Tre'Shon Wolf for 80 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 7TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:3913% → 20%
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
86.8%
Dreshawn Minnieweather run for 2 yds to the HstnB 27Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
86.7%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Coleman Robinson for 5 yds to the HstnB 32Similar
Q2 12:57
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
86.8%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 5 yds to the HstnB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
86.5%
Dreshawn Minnieweather run for 2 yds to the HstnB 39Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+16
86.4%
Bailey Zappe run for 16 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
86.1%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 9 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 1
OPP 36
0
85.9%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for no gain to the UTEP 36Similar
Q2 12:57
3RD & 1
OPP 36
0
86.0%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for no gain to the UTEP 36Similar
Q2 12:57
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+2
86.5%
Ean Beek run for 2 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
85.7%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jeremy Smith for 2 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 8
OPP 32
0
85.7%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Jerreth SternsSimilar
Q2 12:57
3RD & 8
OPP 32
+28
86.2%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Ben Ratzlaff for 28 yds to the UTEP 4 for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
79.8%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Trevor Larkin for 4 yds for a TD, (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8INT TD
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:3282% → 75%
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
81.9%
Brandon Jones sacked by Brennan Young for a loss of 7 yards to the UTEP 18Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 17
OWN 18
-5
81.7%
UTEP Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 13Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 22
OWN 13
0
81.7%
Brandon Jones pass incomplete to Alan BuseySimilar
Q2 8:18
3RD & 22
OWN 13
+5
81.2%
JONES, Brandon deep pass complete to BUSEY, Alan for 19 yards to the UTEP32, PENALTY HBU offside (Walker, Andre) 5 yards to the UTEP18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+26
74.9%
Brandon Jones pass intercepted for a TD Caleb Johnson return for 26 yds for a TD, (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 9TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:5476% → 82%
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
75.9%
Brandon Jones run for 23 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
77.6%
Brandon Jones run for 13 yds to the HstnB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
77.9%
Treyvon Hughes run for 6 yds to the HstnB 33Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+28
78.5%
Treyvon Hughes run for 28 yds to the HstnB 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
78.5%
Forest McKee run for 2 yds to the HstnB 3Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
78.5%
Brandon Jones run for no gain to the HstnB 3Similar
Q2 2:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
81.8%
Treyvon Hughes run for 3 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 10FG
10 plays · 45 yds · 1:3820% → 26%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
80.0%
Ean Beek run for 5 yds to the HstnB 30Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
79.6%
Ean Beek run for 3 yds to the HstnB 33Similar
Q2 2:52
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
79.7%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 5 yds to the HstnB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
79.1%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Ben Ratzlaff for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
50
+17
78.1%
Ean Beek run for 17 yds to the UTEP 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
77.4%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Ben Ratzlaff for 3 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 7
OPP 30
0
77.2%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Jerreth Sterns, broken up by Justin PrinceSimilar
Q2 2:52
3RD & 7
OPP 30
0
78.3%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Ben RatzlaffSimilar
Q2 1:14
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+47
73.8%
Gino Garcia 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11FG
12 plays · 72 yds · 1:1477% → 82%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
77.4%
Josh Fields run for 5 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
77.8%
Brandon Jones pass incomplete to Tre'Shon WolfSimilar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+35
76.9%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 35 yds to the HstnB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
79.7%
Brandon Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
79.6%
Brandon Jones pass incomplete to Tre'Shon WolfSimilar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+32
78.4%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Alan Busey for 32 yds to the HstnB 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
79.6%
Brandon Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
82.0%
Gavin Baechle 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:0079% → 78%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.3%
Brandon Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
79.1%
Brandon Jones pass incomplete to Jacob CowingSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-10
78.3%
Brandon Jones sacked by Caleb Johnson for a loss of 10 yards to the UTEP 15Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
77.6%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the HstnB 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 13TD
3 plays · 57 yds · 1:0823% → 35%
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
77.0%
Dreshawn Minnieweather run for 3 yds to the HstnB 46Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+38
76.8%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Gamar Girdy Brito for 38 yds to the UTEP 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
65.1%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Ben Ratzlaff for 16 yds for a TD, (Gino Garcia PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14SF
3 plays · -25 yds · 0:4270% → 64%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
69.8%
Brandon Jones sacked by Andre Walker for a loss of 7 yards to the UTEP 18Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 17
OWN 18
0
64.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards for a SAFETY TEAM fumbled, recovered by UTEP for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0038% → 37%
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
62.0%
Dreshawn Minnieweather run for 11 yds to the HstnB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
60.5%
Dreshawn Minnieweather run for 2 yds to the HstnB 48Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
60.6%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Jeremy SmithSimilar
Q3 12:18
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+2
61.2%
Bailey Zappe run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:18
4TH & 6
50
0
63.0%
Blake Patterson punt for 40 yds , Walter Dawn Jr. returns for no gain to the UTEP 10 Walter Dawn Jr. fumbled, recovered by HstnB Garrett ScottSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 16FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0043% → 49%
Q3 10:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
56.6%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Jerreth SternsSimilar
Q3 10:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
56.6%
LaDarius Dickens run for 5 yds to the UTEP 5Similar
Q3 10:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
58.0%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Jeremy Smith, broken up by Josh CaldwellSimilar
Q3 9:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
50.9%
Gino Garcia 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:5854% → 72%
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
53.7%
Treyvon Hughes run for 3 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
54.1%
Brandon Jones pass incomplete to Tre'Shon WolfSimilar
Q3 9:17
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+13
52.4%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Jess Trussell for 13 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+40
56.3%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Forest McKee for 40 yds to the HstnB 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
59.5%
Treyvon Hughes run for 4 yds to the HstnB 15Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+7
59.5%
Treyvon Hughes run for 7 yds to the HstnB 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
59.5%
Treyvon Hughes run for 5 yds to the HstnB 3Similar
Q3 5:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
71.5%
Brandon Jones run for 3 yds for a TD, (Brandon Jones intercepted )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:0037% → 35%
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
62.9%
Ean Beek run for 2 yds to the HstnB 21Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+16
63.1%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Terry Tillmon for 16 yds to the HstnB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
61.6%
Ean Beek run for 3 yds to the HstnB 40Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+3
60.4%
Ean Beek run for 3 yds to the HstnB 43Similar
Q3 5:14
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
60.7%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Jerreth SternsSimilar
Q3 5:14
4TH & 4
OWN 43
-5
63.4%
HOUSTON BAPTIST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the HstnB 38Similar
Q3 5:14
4TH & 9
OWN 38
+3
64.7%
Blake Patterson punt for 39 yds , Justin Garrett returns for 3 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 2:4464% → 82%
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
63.5%
Josh Fields run for 4 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+18
63.7%
Tre'Shon Wolf run for 18 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+26
67.2%
Josh Fields run for 26 yds to the HstnB 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
69.4%
Treyvon Hughes run for 7 yds to the HstnB 19Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+19
81.8%
Treyvon Hughes run for 19 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 20TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:0124% → 49%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
75.7%
Dreshawn Minnieweather run for 8 yds to the HstnB 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
73.0%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Terry Tillmon for 3 yds to the HstnB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
74.5%
Dreshawn Minnieweather run for 5 yds to the HstnB 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+15
72.3%
Ean Beek run for 15 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+41
71.5%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Gamar Girdy Brito for 41 yds to the UTEP 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
51.0%
Ean Beek run for 3 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21FG
9 plays · 58 yds · 4:4459% → 73%
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
59.2%
Treyvon Hughes run for 32 yds to the HstnB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
64.7%
Josh Fields run for 1 yd to the HstnB 42Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+16
64.6%
Josh Fields run for 16 yds to the HstnB 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
66.3%
Treyvon Hughes run for 4 yds to the HstnB 22Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+4
66.3%
Josh Fields run for 4 yds to the HstnB 18Similar
Q4 12:59
3RD & 2
OPP 18
-15
64.1%
HUGHES, Treyvon rush over right guard for no gain to the HBU18 (Holmes, Taylor;Young, Brennan), PENALTY UTEP personal foul (MCKEE, Forest) 15 yards to the HBU33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:59
3RD & 17
OPP 33
+16
60.6%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Tre'Shon Wolf for 16 yds to the HstnB 17Similar
Q4 8:15
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+35
72.7%
Gavin Baechle 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 22FUMBLE
9 plays · 49 yds · 0:0032% → 39%
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
68.3%
Dreshawn Minnieweather run for 1 yd to the HstnB 26Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+27
68.4%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 27 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
63.0%
Dreshawn Minnieweather run for 4 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 6
OPP 43
0
62.9%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Jeremy Smith, broken up by Joe Jay SmithSimilar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+11
63.7%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jeremy Smith for 11 yds to the UTEP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
61.3%
Dreshawn Minnieweather run for 8 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+6
60.8%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Ben Ratzlaff for 6 yds to the UTEP 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-6
60.8%
Bailey Zappe sacked by Chris Richardson for a loss of 6 yards to the UTEP 26 Bailey Zappe fumbled, recovered by UTEP Justin Rogers , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 23END OF GAME
16 plays · 47 yds · 5:0674% → 89%
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
74.3%
Treyvon Hughes run for 6 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+4
75.6%
Treyvon Hughes run for 4 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
75.4%
Josh Fields run for 5 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 5
OWN 41
-3
77.0%
Treyvon Hughes run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 38Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+13
75.6%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 13 yds to the HstnB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
83.3%
Brandon Jones run for no gain to the HstnB 49Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-2
82.5%
Treyvon Hughes run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 49Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 12
OWN 49
+15
81.4%
JONES, Brandon deep pass incomplete to WOLF, Tre'shon (Miller, Coi), PENALTY HBU pass interference (Miller, Coi) 15 yards to the HBU36, 1ST DOWN UTEP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
85.4%
Treyvon Hughes run for 1 yd to the HstnB 35Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+4
86.9%
Treyvon Hughes run for 4 yds to the HstnB 31Similar
Q4 0:51
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+4
89.4%
Treyvon Hughes run for 4 yds to the HstnB 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:59
Ean Beek run for 3 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-20.5
TD · Q3 0:00
Treyvon Hughes run for 19 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)
+12.4
FG · Q4 8:15
Gavin Baechle 35 yd FG GOOD
+12.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com