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VMI

VMI 17 at Marshall 56

MRSH
2019 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2019 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadVMI aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreVMI score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:42 · Reece Udinski punt for 46 yds, downed at the Marsh 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 45Pregame prior+45.3Home team on offense+4.3Score differential+1.6Blowout margin+0.4Garbage-time factor+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:24: Isaiah Green pass complete to Artie Henry for 51 yds for a TD, (Justin Rohrwasser KICK) — MRSH win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:10: Reece Udinski pass complete to Javeon Lara for 50 yds for a TD, (Grant Clemons KICK) — VMI win probability +0.8 pts (now 2%) (top driver: VMI has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:14: Isaiah Green pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 4 yds for a TD, (Justin Rohrwasser KICK) — MRSH win probability +1.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:00: Brenden Knox run for 1 yd for a TD, (Justin Rohrwasser KICK) — MRSH win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:58: Isaiah Green pass complete to Corey Gammage for 33 yds for a TD, (Justin Rohrwasser KICK) — MRSH win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3VMI made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00VMI 4th & 3 at VMI 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:37MRSH 4th & 6 at MRSH 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:59VMI 4th & 10 at VMI 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:53MRSH 4th & 7 at MRSH 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:58VMI 4th & 12 at VMI 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:42VMI 4th & 13 at VMI 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  7. Q1 1:42VMI 4th & 2 at VMI 43, down 14
    Close callPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:59VMI 4th & 5 at VMI 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:45MRSH 4th & 10 at MRSH 13, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 9:16VMI 4th & 12 at VMI 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:14VMI 4th & 4 at MRSH 41, down 21
    Close callPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:58VMI 4th & 10 at MRSH 41, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:25VMI 4th & 1 at MRSH 35, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:37VMI 4th & 10 at MRSH 11, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    87% to make
    Punt
    -0.4%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 7 of 7VMI made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 3:09MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:24MRSH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:10VMI Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:14MRSH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:00MRSH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:58MRSH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:25MRSH Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:48VMI Touchdown, down 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:31MRSH Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VMIDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.2%
Alex Ramsey run for 2 yds to the VMI 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+12
99.2%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Michael Jackson for 12 yds to the VMI 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
99.2%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Rohan Martin for 4 yds to the VMI 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+4
99.2%
Reece Udinski run for 4 yds to the VMI 47Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 47
-1
99.2%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Javeon Lara for a loss of 1 yard to the VMI 46Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 46
+9
99.2%
Reed King punt for 44 yds , Talik Keaton returns for 9 yds to the Marsh 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
99.0%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Stone Scarcelle for 4 yds to the Marsh 23Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 6
OWN 23
0
99.0%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Stone Scarcelle, broken up by A.J. SmithSimilar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 6
OWN 23
0
99.0%
Isaiah Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:37
4TH & 6
OWN 23
0
99.0%
Robert LeFevre punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Rohan Martin at the VMI 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
99.0%
Alex Ramsey run for 6 yds to the VMI 40Similar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+5
99.0%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Javeon Lara for 5 yds to the VMI 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-4
99.0%
Reece Udinski sacked by Koby Cumberlander and Jaquan Yulee for a loss of 4 yards to the VMI 41Similar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 14
OWN 41
+4
99.0%
Alex Ramsey run for 4 yds to the VMI 45Similar
Q1 11:59
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
99.0%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Javeon LaraSimilar
Q1 11:59
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
99.0%
Reed King punt for 30 yds, downed at the Marsh 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.8%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 20Similar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+10
98.8%
Xavier Gaines run for 10 yds to the Marsh 30Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
98.8%
Isaiah Green run for 3 yds to the Marsh 33Similar
Q1 9:53
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
98.8%
Brenden Knox run for no gain to the Marsh 33Similar
Q1 9:53
4TH & 2
OWN 33
-5
98.8%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 28Similar
Q1 9:53
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
98.8%
Robert LeFevre punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Rohan Martin at the VMI 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
98.6%
Alex Ramsey run for no gain to the VMI 28Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-7
98.6%
Reece Udinski sacked by Darius Hodge for a loss of 7 yards to the VMI 21Similar
Q1 7:58
3RD & 17
OWN 21
+5
98.7%
Tyain Smith run for 5 yds to the VMI 26Similar
Q1 7:58
4TH & 12
OWN 26
+14
98.7%
Reed King punt for 48 yds , Talik Keaton returns for 14 yds to the Marsh 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 2:4099% → 99%
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
98.5%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyler King for 5 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+14
98.5%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tavin Richardson for 14 yds to the VMI 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
98.5%
Tyler King run for 7 yds to the VMI 34Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+2
98.5%
Tyler King run for 2 yds to the VMI 32Similar
Q1 5:49
3RD & 1
OPP 32
-2
98.5%
Tyler King run for a loss of 2 yards to the VMI 34Similar
Q1 5:49
4TH & 3
OPP 34
+5
98.4%
VMI Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the VMI 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
98.5%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Willie Johnson for 29 yds for a TD, (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 7PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:272% → 1%
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
98.4%
Alex Ramsey run for a loss of 1 yard to the VMI 24Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
98.4%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Javeon LaraSimilar
Q1 3:09
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-2
98.4%
Rohan Martin run for a loss of 2 yards to the VMI 22Similar
Q1 1:42
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+67
98.6%
Reed King punt for 45 yds , Talik Keaton returns for 67 yds for a TD, (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
98.5%
Alex Ramsey run for 10 yds to the VMI 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
98.5%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Jakob Herres for 8 yds to the VMI 43Similar
Q1 1:42
2ND & 2
OWN 43
0
98.5%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Rohan MartinSimilar
Q1 1:42
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
98.5%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Jakob Herres, broken up by Jaquan YuleeSimilar
Q1 1:42
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
98.5%
Reece Udinski punt for 46 yds, downed at the Marsh 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 9TD
7 plays · 89 yds · 2:1499% → 99%
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
98.6%
Isaiah Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:38
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+5
98.6%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Artie Henry for 5 yds to the Marsh 16Similar
Q1 0:38
3RD & 5
OWN 16
+11
98.5%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Corey Gammage for 11 yds to the Marsh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
98.5%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 10 yds to the Marsh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
98.6%
Isaiah Green run for 10 yds to the Marsh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
98.6%
Brenden Knox run for 2 yds to the Marsh 49Similar
Q2 13:24
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+51
99.1%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Artie Henry for 51 yds for a TD, (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 10TD
2 plays · 65 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
50
+50
98.2%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Javeon Lara for 50 yds for a TD, (Grant Clemons KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 11INT
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
98.4%
Isaiah Green run for 7 yds to the Marsh 26Similar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+3
98.4%
Tyler King run for 3 yds to the Marsh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
98.4%
Isaiah Green pass intercepted Will Bunton return for no gain to the VMI 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
98.2%
VMI Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the VMI 32Similar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+7
98.2%
Alex Ramsey run for 7 yds to the VMI 39Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+3
98.2%
Alex Ramsey run for 3 yds to the VMI 42Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
98.2%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Alex Ramsey, broken up by Tavante BeckettSimilar
Q2 11:59
4TH & 5
OWN 42
+16
98.2%
Reed King punt for 48 yds , Talik Keaton returns for 16 yds to the MARSHALL 42 MARSHALL Penalty, illegal block (13 Yards) to the Marsh 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
98.3%
Isaiah Green run for 3 yds to the Marsh 16Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 7
OWN 16
-3
98.3%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for a loss of 3 yards to the Marsh 13Similar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 10
OWN 13
0
98.2%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Corey Gammage, broken up by A.J. SmithSimilar
Q2 10:45
4TH & 10
OWN 13
0
98.2%
Robert LeFevre punt for 47 yds, downed at the VMI 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
98.0%
Alex Ramsey run for 8 yds to the VMI 48Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 2
OWN 48
-5
97.9%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Tyain Smith for 5 yards to the MAR47 (COBB, Omari), PENALTY VMI illegal formation 5 yards to the VMI43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 7
OWN 43
-12
97.9%
Reece Udinski sacked by Tyler Brown for a loss of 12 yards to the VMI 31Similar
Q2 9:16
3RD & 19
OWN 31
+7
98.1%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Rohan Martin for 7 yds to the VMI 38Similar
Q2 9:16
4TH & 12
OWN 38
+3
98.1%
Reed King punt for 52 yds , Talik Keaton returns for 3 yds to the Marsh 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 15TD
9 plays · 87 yds · 2:4298% → 99%
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
97.9%
Isaiah Green run for 8 yds to the Marsh 21Similar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+1
97.9%
Tyler King run for 1 yd to the Marsh 22Similar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+10
97.8%
Tyler King run for 10 yds to the Marsh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
97.9%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Corey Gammage for 10 yds to the Marsh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
98.0%
GREEN, Isaiah pass incomplete to GAMMAGE, Corey, PENALTY VMI pass interference (Kaleb Tucker) 15 yards to the VMI43, 1ST DOWN MAR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+35
98.0%
Tyler King run for 35 yds to the VMI 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
98.0%
VMI Penalty, Defensive offside (4 Yards) to the VMI 4Similar
Q2 4:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.2%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 4 yds for a TD, (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
98.9%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Javeon Lara for 13 yds to the VMI 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
98.9%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Alex RamseySimilar
Q2 4:14
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+15
98.9%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Javeon Lara, PENALTY MAR pass interference (JACKSON, Chris) 15 yards to the MAR47, 1ST DOWN VMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
98.9%
Alex Ramsey run for 5 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
Q2 4:14
2ND & 5
OPP 42
0
98.8%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Rohan MartinSimilar
Q2 4:14
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+1
98.9%
Alex Ramsey run for 1 yd to the Marsh 41Similar
Q2 4:14
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
98.9%
Reece Udinski punt for 24 yds, downed at the Marsh 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 17TD
20 plays · 83 yds · 2:2799% → 100%
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
99.1%
Tyler King run for 7 yds to the Marsh 24Similar
Q2 2:27
2ND & 3
OWN 24
-2
99.1%
Isaiah Green run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 22Similar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 5
OWN 22
+10
99.1%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 10 yds to the Marsh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+19
99.1%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyler King for 19 yds to the VMI 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.2%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Corey GammageSimilar
Q2 2:27
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+2
99.2%
Tyler King run for 2 yds to the VMI 47Similar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+5
99.2%
GREEN, Isaiah pass incomplete to KEATON, Talik, PENALTY VMI offside (Warren Dabney) 5 yards to the VMI42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+14
99.2%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 14 yds to the VMI 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
99.2%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (Willie Johnson) to the VMI 33Similar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 15
OPP 33
0
99.3%
Isaiah Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 15
OPP 33
-5
99.3%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (Corey Gammage) to the VMI 38Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 20
OPP 38
0
99.3%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Tyler KingSimilar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 20
OPP 38
+27
99.2%
Isaiah Green run for 16 yds to the VMI 22 for a 1ST down VMI Penalty, personal foul (Josh Sarratt) to the VMI 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
99.3%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+10
99.3%
Tyler King run for 10 yds to the VMI 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.1%
Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Corey Gammage, broken up by Kaleb TuckerSimilar
Q2 0:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.0%
THOMSON, Alex pass incomplete to GAINES, Xavier (Kaleb Tucker), PENALTY VMI pass interference (Kaleb Tucker) 0 yards to the VMI1, 1ST DOWN MAR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd for a TD, (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18TD
12 plays · 82 yds · 5:02100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
99.8%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the Marsh 21Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 21
0
99.8%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Corey GammageSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+11
99.8%
Brenden Knox run for 11 yds to the Marsh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
99.8%
Brenden Knox run for 10 yds to the Marsh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
99.8%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tavin Richardson for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
50
+2
99.7%
Brenden Knox run for 2 yds to the VMI 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
99.8%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tavin Richardson for 1 yd to the VMI 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 47
0
99.8%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Corey GammageSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+13
99.8%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Corey Gammage for 13 yds to the VMI 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
99.8%
Isaiah Green run for 1 yd to the VMI 33Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+33
99.8%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Corey Gammage for 33 yds for a TD, (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 37 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
99.8%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Alex Ramsey for 3 yds to the VMI 25Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+8
99.8%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Rohan Martin for 8 yds to the VMI 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+26
99.8%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Rohan Martin for 26 yds to the Marsh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
99.8%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Javeon Lara for 5 yds to the Marsh 36Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 5
OPP 36
-5
99.8%
Reece Udinski sacked by Channing Hames for a loss of 5 yards to the Marsh 41Similar
Q3 9:58
3RD & 10
OPP 41
0
99.8%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Leroy ThomasSimilar
Q3 9:58
4TH & 10
OPP 41
0
99.8%
Reed King punt for 40 yds, downed at the Marsh 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 20TD
7 plays · 99 yds · 3:26100% → 100%
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+43
99.8%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Broc Thompson for 43 yds to the Marsh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
99.9%
Alex Thomson run for 4 yds to the Marsh 48Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+15
99.9%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Corey Gammage for 15 yds to the VMI 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
99.9%
Brenden Knox run for 8 yds to the VMI 29Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+5
99.9%
Brenden Knox run for 5 yds to the VMI 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+23
99.9%
Alex Thomson run for 23 yds to the VMI 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd for a TD, (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 21FG
20 plays · 64 yds · 4:480% → 0%
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Korey Bridy run for 5 yds to the VMI 30Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
99.9%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Korey Bridy for 2 yds to the VMI 32Similar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
99.9%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Rohan Martin for 3 yds to the VMI 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
99.9%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Rohan Martin for 9 yds to the VMI 44Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+12
99.9%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Korey Bridy for 12 yds to the Marsh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
99.9%
Korey Bridy run for 5 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 5
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Leroy ThomasSimilar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+4
99.9%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Korey Bridy for 4 yds to the Marsh 35Similar
Q3 4:25
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+2
99.8%
Korey Bridy run for 2 yds to the Marsh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Korey BridySimilar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+7
99.9%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Leroy Thomas for 7 yds to the Marsh 26Similar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+4
99.9%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Rohan Martin for 4 yds to the Marsh 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.9%
Reece Udinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
99.9%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Tyain SmithSimilar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+11
99.9%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Christopher Owens for 11 yds to the Marsh 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
99.9%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Javeon Lara, broken up by Micah AbrahamSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
99.9%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete, broken up by Kereon MerrellSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 11
0
99.9%
Reece Udinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:37
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+28
99.9%
Grant Clemons 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 22FUMBLE
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
99.9%
Sheldon Evans run for 3 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q4 14:37
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+16
99.9%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Simino Walden for 16 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
99.9%
Sheldon Evans run for 10 yds to the VMI 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
99.9%
Sheldon Evans run for 5 yds to the VMI 37Similar
Q4 14:37
2ND & 5
OPP 37
-16
99.9%
Alex Thomson sacked by Austin Barrette for a loss of 16 yards to the Marsh 45 Alex Thomson fumbled, recovered by VMI Eric Weaver , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 23TD
9 plays · 45 yds · 3:080% → 0%
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
99.9%
Chance Newman rush for no gain to the MAR45, out-of-bounds, PENALTY MAR personal foul (PITTS, Derrek) 15 yards to the MAR30, 1ST DOWN VMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
99.9%
Chance Newman run for 2 yds to the Marsh 28Similar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+4
99.9%
Chance Newman pass complete to Korey Bridy for 4 yds to the Marsh 24Similar
Q4 11:56
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+5
99.9%
Chance Newman pass complete to Christopher Owens for 5 yds to the Marsh 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
99.9%
Chance Newman pass incomplete to Leroy ThomasSimilar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+10
99.9%
Korey Bridy run for 10 yds to the Marsh 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
99.9%
Korey Bridy run for 3 yds to the Marsh 6Similar
Q4 11:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
99.9%
Chance Newman run for 3 yds to the Marsh 3Similar
Q4 8:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Seth Morgan run for 3 yds for a TD, (Grant Clemons KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 24TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 4:17100% → 100%
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
99.9%
Sheldon Evans run for 3 yds to the Marsh 30Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+11
99.9%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Broc Thompson for 11 yds to the Marsh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
99.9%
Alex Thomson run for 7 yds to the Marsh 48Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+17
99.9%
Sheldon Evans run for 17 yds to the VMI 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
99.9%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Stone Scarcelle for 6 yds to the VMI 29Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+15
99.9%
Sheldon Evans run for 15 yds to the VMI 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
99.9%
Sheldon Evans run for 3 yds to the VMI 11Similar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+11
100.0%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Garet Morrell for 11 yds for a TD, (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 25INT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Chance Newman pass incomplete to Leroy ThomasSimilar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
100.0%
Korey Bridy run for a loss of 1 yard to the VMI 24Similar
Q4 4:31
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+20
100.0%
Chance Newman pass intercepted Jaylon McClain-Sapp return for 20 yds to the VMI 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 26END OF GAME
6 plays · 34 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
100.0%
Lawrence Papillon run for 6 yds to the VMI 29Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+6
100.0%
Lawrence Papillon run for 6 yds to the VMI 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+15
100.0%
Lawrence Papillon run for 15 yds to the VMI 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
100.0%
Lawrence Papillon run for a loss of 1 yard to the VMI 9Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
100.0%
Lawrence Papillon run for 4 yds to the VMI 5Similar
Q4 3:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
100.0%
Lawrence Papillon run for 4 yds to the VMI 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:14
Isaiah Green pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 4 yds for a TD, (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)
+1.1
TD · Q2 13:10
Reece Udinski pass complete to Javeon Lara for 50 yds for a TD, (Grant Clemons KICK)
-0.8
TD · Q2 0:00
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd for a TD, (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)
+0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com