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ALST

Alabama State 19 at UAB 24

UAB
2019 · Week 1 · Aug 29, 2019 · Legion Field
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Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadALST aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreALST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:50 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:55: Tyler Johnston III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK) — ALST win probability +0.2 pts (now 1%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 8:13: Duran Bell run for 67 yds for a TD, (Hunter Hanson KICK) — ALST win probability +0.2 pts (now 2%) (top driver: ALST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:39: Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Kendall Parham for 23 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK) — UAB win probability +0.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:31: KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Joshua Knight for 7 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — ALST win probability +7.0 pts (now 13%) (top driver: ALST has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:56: TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 34 — UAB win probability +14.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 7 of 10ALST made the numbers' call on 12 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00ALST 4th & 2 at ALST 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:43ALST 4th & 2 at ALST 33, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:03UAB 4th & 23 at UAB 42, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:12ALST 4th & 2 at ALST 43, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.7%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00UAB 4th & 1 at ALST 6, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.6%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    96.4%−0.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    96.0%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:36ALST 4th & 27 at ALST 3, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.3
    5% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:33UAB 4th & 14 at ALST 28, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.3%
    60% to make
    Punt
    94.9%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:18ALST 4th & 9 at ALST 43, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:34UAB 4th & 4 at UAB 26, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:39ALST 4th & 6 at ALST 29, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  11. Q2 3:19UAB 4th & 3 at UAB 34, up 11
    Close callPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:44ALST 4th & 7 at ALST 27, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 14:53UAB 4th & 1 at UAB 28, up 11
    Close callPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.4%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 12:53ALST 4th & 10 at ALST 28, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 11:55UAB 4th & 3 at UAB 20, up 11
    Close callPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:17ALST 4th & 8 at ALST 16, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%−1.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 15:00UAB 4th & 9 at UAB 37, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%−1.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:15ALST 4th & 5 at ALST 33, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%−1.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 11:44UAB 4th & 11 at UAB 2, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%−4.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.2%
    average punt
  20. Q4 10:07ALST 4th & 1 at UAB 1, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    17.7%−4.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    7.2%−15.4
    average punt
  21. Q4 3:00UAB 4th & 7 at UAB 43, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.9%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%
    average punt
  22. Q4 2:54ALST 4th & 1 at ALST 26, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.8%−6.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ALST made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 8:55UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:13ALST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 8:01ALST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    2.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 7:43UAB Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:39UAB Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:31ALST Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    11.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    11.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ALSTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Ezra Gray run for no gain to the AlbSt 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.0%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Larry Brown III for 7 yds to the AlbSt 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
99.0%
Ezra Gray run for 1 yd to the AlbSt 33Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.0%
Anthony Craven punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 2TD
9 plays · 84 yds · 4:1499% → 99%
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
98.8%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the UAB 19Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+19
98.8%
Spencer Brown run for 19 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
98.8%
Jonathan Haden run for 14 yds to the AlbSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+37
98.8%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins for 37 yds to the AlbSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-6
98.8%
Tyler Johnston III run for 4 yds to the AlbSt 7 UAB Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the AlbSt 17Similar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 16
OPP 17
+14
98.8%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins for 14 yds to the AlbSt 3Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 2
OPP 3
+2
98.8%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the AlbSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.8%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the AlbSt 1Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.6%
Tyler Johnston III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 3TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:421% → 2%
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.6%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Larry Brown III for 8 yds to the AlbSt 33Similar
Q1 8:13
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+67
98.3%
Duran Bell run for 67 yds for a TD, (Hunter Hanson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 5TD
1 play · 16 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
98.2%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Tyrek Allen for 16 yds for a TD, (Hunter Hanson PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.3%
KHA'Darris Davis run for 5 yds to the AlbSt 30Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
98.3%
KHA'Darris Davis pass incomplete to Tyrek Allen, broken up by Jordan SmithSimilar
Q1 7:43
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+3
98.3%
Darryl Pearson Jr. pass complete to Larry Brown III for 3 yds to the AlbSt 33Similar
Q1 7:43
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
98.3%
Anthony Craven punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · -3 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
98.2%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 5
50
0
98.2%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Myron MitchellSimilar
Q1 6:03
3RD & 5
50
+5
98.2%
ALABAMA ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Anthony Craven) to the AlbSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
98.2%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Myron MitchellSimilar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-15
98.2%
JOHNSTON III, T pass complete to BLAKES, Thair for 12 yards to the ALST33 (Hill, Joshua), PENALTY UAB pass interference (PRINCE, Gerrit) 15 yards to the UAB40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 25
OWN 40
+2
98.2%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q1 6:03
3RD & 23
OWN 42
0
98.1%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:03
4TH & 23
OWN 42
0
98.1%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AlbSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 9DOWNS
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
97.9%
Ezra Gray run for 13 yds to the AlbSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
97.9%
Ezra Gray run for 8 yds to the AlbSt 43Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+1
97.8%
Duran Bell run for 1 yd to the AlbSt 44Similar
Q1 4:12
3RD & 1
OWN 44
-1
97.8%
Darryl Pearson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlbSt 43Similar
Q1 4:12
4TH & 2
OWN 43
-1
97.9%
Nicholas Terry run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlbSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10DOWNS
7 plays · 36 yds · 1:5698% → 97%
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
97.7%
JOHNSTON III, T pass intercepted by Isaac, Keenan at the ALST39, Isaac, Keenan return to the UAB0, clock 01:56, PENALTY ALST holding declined, PENALTY ALST unsportsmanlike conduct declined, PENALTY ALST roughing passer 15 yards to the ALST27, 1ST DOWN UAB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
97.7%
Jonathan Haden run for 3 yds to the AlbSt 24Similar
Q1 1:56
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+9
97.7%
Tyler Johnston III run for 9 yds to the AlbSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
97.7%
Jonathan Haden run for 4 yds to the AlbSt 11Similar
Q1 1:56
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+4
97.7%
Jonathan Haden run for 4 yds to the AlbSt 7Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+1
97.4%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the AlbSt 6Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 6
0
97.3%
Tyler Johnston III run for no gain to the AlbSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · -3 yds · 1:403% → 3%
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+14
97.1%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 14 yds to the AlbSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
97.1%
Ezra Gray run for 2 yds to the AlbSt 22Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-10
97.1%
KHA'Darris Davis sacked by Jordan Smith for a loss of 10 yards to the AlbSt 12Similar
Q2 12:36
3RD & 18
OWN 12
-6
96.9%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Ezra Gray for a loss of 6 yards to the AlbSt 6Similar
Q2 12:36
4TH & 24
OWN 6
-3
97.0%
ALABAMA ST Penalty, delay of game (Anthony Craven) to the AlbSt 3Similar
Q2 12:36
4TH & 27
OWN 3
+15
97.0%
Anthony Craven punt for 36 yds , Myron Mitchell returns for 15 yds to the AlbSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12FG
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:0297% → 96%
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
96.9%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Myron MitchellSimilar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-4
96.9%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Larry Wooden for a loss of 4 yards to the AlbSt 28Similar
Q2 11:35
3RD & 14
OPP 28
0
96.6%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Myron MitchellSimilar
Q2 10:33
4TH & 14
OPP 28
+46
96.4%
Nick Vogel 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 1:153% → 4%
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.6%
Duran Bell run for 2 yds to the AlbSt 27Similar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
96.6%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Larry Brown III for 5 yds to the AlbSt 32Similar
Q2 9:28
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-5
96.2%
ALABAMA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AlbSt 27Similar
Q2 9:18
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+15
96.3%
Davis, K. pass intercepted by PRINCE, Gerrit at the ALST29, PRINCE, Gerrit return to the ALST0, clock 09:18, PENALTY UAB pass interference declined, PENALTY UAB unsportsmanlike conduct (MARINO, Garrett) 15 yards to the ALST42, 1ST DOWN ALST, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
96.0%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Duran Bell for a loss of 1 yard to the AlbSt 41Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+2
96.1%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Larry Brown III for 2 yds to the AlbSt 43Similar
Q2 9:18
3RD & 9
OWN 43
0
96.1%
KHA'Darris Davis pass incomplete to Larry Brown IIISimilar
Q2 9:18
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
96.3%
Anthony Craven punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
96.0%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+1
96.0%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the UAB 26Similar
Q2 7:34
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
95.9%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Kendall ParhamSimilar
Q2 7:34
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+8
95.7%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 52 yds , Joshua Hill returns for 8 yds to the AlbSt 40 Joshua Hill fumbled, forced by Larry Wooden, recovered by UAB Fairbanks Ii Michael ALABAMA ST Penalty, IB ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15TD
3 plays · 40 yds · 1:2496% → 97%
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+16
96.0%
Tyler Johnston III run for 16 yds to the AlbSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
96.1%
Tyler Johnston III run for 1 yd to the AlbSt 23Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+23
97.0%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Kendall Parham for 23 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.9%
KHA'Darris Davis pass incomplete to Tyrek AllenSimilar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.0%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Duran Bell for 1 yd to the AlbSt 26Similar
Q2 4:39
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-5
97.0%
ALABAMA ST Penalty, delay of game (KHA'Darris Davis) to the AlbSt 21Similar
Q2 4:39
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+8
97.1%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Tyrek Allen for 8 yds to the AlbSt 29Similar
Q2 4:39
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+9
97.1%
Anthony Craven punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 27 , Myron Mitchell returns for 9 yds to the UAB 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
96.7%
Spencer Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 24Similar
Q2 3:19
2ND & 13
OWN 24
0
96.6%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Austin WatkinsSimilar
Q2 3:19
3RD & 13
OWN 24
+10
96.5%
Tyler Johnston III run for 10 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q2 3:19
4TH & 3
OWN 34
0
96.5%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Joshua Hill at the AlbSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 1:123% → 3%
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
96.7%
KHA'Darris Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+7
96.7%
Jacory Merritt run for 7 yds to the AlbSt 31Similar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 3
OWN 31
-4
96.8%
KHA'Darris Davis sacked by Jarrion Street for a loss of 4 yards to the AlbSt 27Similar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 7
OWN 27
0
97.1%
Anthony Craven punt for 52 yds, downed at the UAB 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19END OF HALF
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+12
97.1%
Jonathan Haden run for 12 yds to the UAB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
97.1%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+1
97.1%
Jonathan Haden run for 1 yd to the UAB 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
96.3%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the UAB 24Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 5
OWN 24
0
96.3%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the UAB 24Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+4
96.2%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 4 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 1
OWN 28
0
96.0%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Joshua Hill at the AlbSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
95.8%
KHA'Darris Davis run for no gain to the AlbSt 28Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
95.9%
KHA'Darris Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
96.0%
KHA'Darris Davis pass incomplete to Marquez SpencerSimilar
Q3 12:53
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
96.2%
Anthony Craven punt for 59 yds, downed at the UAB 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
95.9%
Jonathan Haden run for 4 yds to the UAB 17Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+4
95.9%
Tyler Johnston III run for 4 yds to the UAB 21Similar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 2
OWN 21
-2
95.7%
Jonathan Haden run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 20 Jonathan Haden fumbled, recovered by UAB Jonathan HadenSimilar
Q3 11:55
4TH & 3
OWN 20
0
95.5%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 23TD
10 plays · 53 yds · 4:155% → 13%
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
94.9%
Duran Bell run for 1 yd to the AlbSt 48Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+10
94.9%
Ezra Gray run for 10 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
94.7%
KHA'Darris Davis run for 2 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+10
94.7%
Davis, K. pass incomplete to Hixon, J., PENALTY UAB holding (STREET, Jarrion) 10 yards to the UAB30, 1ST DOWN ALST, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
94.4%
Jacory Merritt run for 4 yds to the UAB 26Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+2
94.3%
Jacory Merritt run for 2 yds to the UAB 24Similar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+16
94.6%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 16 yds to the UAB 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
94.3%
KHA'Darris Davis pass incomplete to Jeremiah HixonSimilar
Q3 9:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
94.3%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Talesin Farmer for 1 yd to the UAB 7Similar
Q3 5:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
87.3%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Joshua Knight for 7 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 24FUMBLE
8 plays · 65 yds · 0:0090% → 91%
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
90.4%
Spencer Brown run for 10 yds to the UAB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
90.6%
Spencer Brown run for 6 yds to the UAB 37Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+19
91.2%
Tyler Johnston III run for 4 yds to the AlbSt 41 for a 1ST down ALABAMA ST Penalty, personal foul (Uvakeious McGhee) to the AlbSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
91.7%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the AlbSt 43Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+6
91.6%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 6 yds to the AlbSt 37Similar
Q3 5:24
3RD & 3
OPP 37
-5
91.4%
UAB Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AlbSt 42Similar
Q3 5:24
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+33
91.3%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Jonathan Haden for 33 yds Jonathan Haden fumbled, forced by Irshaad Davis, recovered by AlbSt Donelle ThomasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-6
87.2%
KHA'Darris Davis sacked by Fitzgerald Mofor for a loss of 6 yards to the AlbSt 8Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 16
OWN 8
0
87.7%
Duran Bell run for no gain to the AlbSt 8Similar
Q3 2:17
3RD & 16
OWN 8
+8
88.4%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Duran Bell for 8 yds to the AlbSt 16Similar
Q3 2:17
4TH & 8
OWN 16
0
88.5%
Anthony Craven punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Myron Mitchell at the UAB 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:2888% → 86%
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
88.0%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the UAB 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
87.4%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Myron MitchellSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
86.8%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Kendall ParhamSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
85.8%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
84.8%
Duran Bell run for 2 yds to the AlbSt 20Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 8
OWN 20
0
85.0%
KHA'Darris Davis pass incomplete to Jeremiah HixonSimilar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 8
OWN 20
+8
85.9%
Duran Bell run for 8 yds to the AlbSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
4TH & 5
OWN 33
0
85.7%
Anthony Craven punt for 64 yds, downed at the UAB 3Similar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
84.5%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 8 yds to the AlbSt 36Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 2
OWN 36
-3
82.8%
KHA'Darris Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the AlbSt 33 KHA'Darris Davis fumbled, recovered by AlbSt KHA'Darris DavisSimilar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 5
OWN 33
0
84.9%
KHA'Darris Davis pass incomplete to Joshua Knight, broken up by Dy'jonn TurnerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 28PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:0087% → 85%
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
87.0%
UAB Penalty, false start (-1 Yards) to the UAB 2Similar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 11
OWN 2
0
87.0%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Austin Watkins, broken up by Naytron CulpepperSimilar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 11
OWN 2
+1
86.9%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the UAB 3Similar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 10
OWN 3
-1
86.0%
UAB Penalty, false start (-1 Yards) to the UAB 2Similar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 11
OWN 2
0
86.0%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Austin WatkinsSimilar
Q4 11:44
4TH & 11
OWN 2
+10
85.4%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 43 yds , Kobi Crabb returns for 10 yds to the UAB 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 29DOWNS
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:4423% → 23%
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
76.9%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 6 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+24
76.4%
Duran Bell run for 24 yds to the UAB 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
74.1%
Duran Bell run for 3 yds to the UAB 2Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
74.1%
Jacory Merritt run for 1 yd to the UAB 1Similar
Q4 10:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
75.6%
Jacory Merritt run for no gain to the UAB 1Similar
Q4 10:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
77.3%
KHA'Darris Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 30PUNT
13 plays · 39 yds · 6:0385% → 90%
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
85.0%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 6Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+13
84.7%
Tyler Johnston III run for 13 yds to the UAB 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
85.8%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the UAB 24Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+5
85.9%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the UAB 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
86.1%
Spencer Brown run for 8 yds to the UAB 37Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 2
OWN 37
-3
87.2%
Spencer Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 34Similar
Q4 5:24
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+6
88.4%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Markus Grossman for 6 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
90.4%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the UAB 41Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+6
90.2%
Tyler Johnston III run for 6 yds to the UAB 47Similar
Q4 5:24
3RD & 3
OWN 47
-4
89.9%
Tyler Johnston III run for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 43Similar
Q4 3:00
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
89.8%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kobi Crabb at the AlbSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 31INT
8 plays · 37 yds · 0:0015% → 20%
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
85.1%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 3 yds to the AlbSt 20Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+6
85.3%
KHA'Darris Davis run for 6 yds to the AlbSt 26Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 1
OWN 26
0
84.1%
KHA'Darris Davis pass incomplete to Marquez Spencer, broken up by Kobe GriffinSimilar
Q4 2:54
4TH & 1
OWN 26
+4
85.7%
Duran Bell run for 4 yds to the AlbSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
83.5%
KHA'Darris Davis pass incomplete to Joshua Knight, broken up by Will BolerSimilar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+24
85.2%
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Marquez Spencer for 9 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
79.6%
KHA'Darris Davis pass incomplete to Michael JeffersonSimilar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
80.0%
KHA'Darris Davis pass intercepted Will Boler return for no gain to the UAB 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 32END OF GAME
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0695% → 94%
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
94.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 34Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 12
OWN 34
-2
94.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 32Similar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 14
OWN 32
-2
94.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:56
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 34
+14.6
TD · Q3 5:31
KHA'Darris Davis pass complete to Joshua Knight for 7 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-7
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+5.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com