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2019 · Week 1 · Aug 29, 2019 · Yulman Stadium
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Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:54 · Tommy Heatherly punt for 57 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 48Home team on offense+4.7Score differential+1.5Blowout margin+0.4Garbage-time factor+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Pregame prior+4.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:54: Amare Jones run for 7 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +6.2 pts (now 68%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:05: Corey Dauphine run for 14 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +13.5 pts (now 84%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:50: Anthony Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +8.4 pts (now 30%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:28: Justin McMillan run for 17 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +11.8 pts (now 91%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:04: Justin McMillan pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 42 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +5.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4FIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 11:41TULN 4th & 15 at FIU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    59.5%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:30FIU 4th & 15 at FIU 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.1%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:54FIU 4th & 9 at FIU 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%
    average punt
  4. Q3 14:53FIU 4th & 2 at FIU 43, down 21
    Close callPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q3 10:04FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 29, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  6. Q3 4:44TULN 4th & 23 at TULN 48, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 1:05FIU 4th & 7 at FIU 18, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  8. Q4 15:00TULN 4th & 10 at TULN 45, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:22FIU 4th & 2 at FIU 28, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:18TULN 4th & 10 at TULN 20, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:50FIU 4th & 10 at TULN 14, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    84% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 6 of 6FIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 5:34TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:54TULN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:05TULN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:50FIU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:28TULN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:04TULN Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:57TULN Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:44FIU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TULNDrive 1PUNT
13 plays · 31 yds · 3:1456% → 56%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
55.5%
Justin McMillan run for 3 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+5
55.5%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 5 yds to the Tulan 37Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+3
55.5%
Darius Bradwell run for 3 yds to the Tulan 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+25
55.5%
Darius Bradwell run for 25 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
55.5%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 8 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 2
OPP 27
-10
55.5%
McMILLAN, J. pass complete to MCCLESKEY, J. for loss of 1 yard to the FIU28 (DAMES,RICHARD), PENALTY TLN holding (MCCLESKEY, J.) 10 yards to the FIU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 12
OPP 37
-5
55.5%
TULANE Penalty, false start (Jalen McCleskey) to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 17
OPP 42
+1
55.5%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Darius Bradwell for 1 yd to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 16
OPP 41
+11
55.8%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Jaetavian Toles for 11 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q1 11:41
4TH & 5
OPP 30
-10
56.0%
McMILLAN, J. rush for 7 yards to the FIU23 (DAMES,RICHARD), PENALTY TLN holding (MONTANO, C.) 10 yards to the FIU40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:41
4TH & 15
OPP 40
0
55.6%
Ryan Wright punt for 30 yds, downed at the FlaIn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2INT
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
55.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Anthony Jones for 3 yds to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+9
55.8%
Anthony Jones run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
55.7%
Anthony Jones run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 9
OWN 23
0
55.8%
James Morgan pass intercepted Thakarius Keyes return for no gain to the Tulan 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 3TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 3:2556% → 61%
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
55.9%
Justin McMillan run for 6 yds to the Tulan 36Similar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+5
56.2%
Darius Bradwell run for 5 yds to the Tulan 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
56.3%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, OFF (5 Yards) to the Tulan 46Similar
Q1 8:59
1ST & 5
OWN 46
+1
56.5%
Darius Bradwell run for 1 yd to the Tulan 47Similar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+4
56.5%
Darius Bradwell run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+23
56.5%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 23 yds to the FlaIn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
56.7%
Darius Bradwell run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+18
60.5%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Tyrick James for 18 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+10
59.5%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 10 yds to the FlaIn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
59.5%
Anthony Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+2
59.6%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 9
OWN 25
-6
59.8%
James Morgan sacked by Patrick Johnson for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q1 5:30
4TH & 15
OWN 19
0
60.2%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulan 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 5TD
9 plays · 59 yds · 3:0362% → 68%
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
61.5%
Stephon Huderson run for 4 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+11
61.6%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Amare Jones for 11 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
61.9%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Amare Jones, broken up by Isaiah BrownSimilar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+3
61.7%
Amare Jones run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q1 2:57
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+10
61.3%
McMILLAN, J. pass incomplete to MOONEY, Darnell, PENALTY FIU holding (BROWN,I) 10 yards to the FIU31, 1ST DOWN TLN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+18
61.9%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Tyrick James for 18 yds to the FlaIn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
61.9%
Stephon Huderson run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 11Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+4
61.9%
Stephon Huderson run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 7Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+7
68.2%
Amare Jones run for 7 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
66.1%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
65.7%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+11
65.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 11 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
65.6%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 9
OWN 43
0
65.6%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Shemar ThorntonSimilar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 9
OWN 43
0
65.8%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
66.4%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 7TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:5869% → 84%
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
68.7%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Jalen McCleskeySimilar
Q2 13:03
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
68.6%
Justin McMillan run for 9 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q2 13:03
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+24
68.4%
Justin McMillan run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, personal foul (Isaiah Brown) to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
70.0%
Darius Bradwell run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q2 13:03
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+20
69.9%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Amare Jones for 20 yds to the FlaIn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
70.0%
Corey Dauphine run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
83.5%
Corey Dauphine run for 14 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:1519% → 30%
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
81.2%
Napoleon Maxwell run for no gain to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
81.4%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Shemar Thornton, broken up by Chris JoyceSimilar
Q2 10:05
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+14
81.5%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 14 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
80.4%
Anthony Jones run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
80.1%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the Tulan 48Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+2
79.8%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q2 10:05
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+7
79.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Napoleon Maxwell for 7 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
79.5%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds to the Tulan 37Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+15
79.7%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 15 yds to the Tulan 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
78.8%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 5 yds to the Tulan 17Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+14
78.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 14 yds to the Tulan 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
78.8%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds to the Tulan 1Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
70.4%
Anthony Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9FUMBLE
8 plays · 50 yds · 0:0073% → 74%
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
73.4%
Darius Bradwell run for 22 yds to the Tulan 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
74.8%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Jalen McCleskeySimilar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
74.6%
Justin McMillan run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+11
74.0%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 11 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
75.1%
Justin McMillan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+6
74.9%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Tyrick James for 6 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+4
74.4%
Darius Bradwell run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 25 Darius Bradwell fumbled, forced by Jamal Gates, recovered by FlaIn Sage LewisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
76.0%
James Morgan sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 25 James Morgan fumbled, recovered by Tulan Cameron Sample , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:4378% → 91%
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
78.2%
Darius Bradwell run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 1
OPP 16
-1
78.2%
Darius Bradwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+17
91.2%
Justin McMillan run for 17 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.6%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
88.7%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0010% → 11%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
89.8%
Anthony Jones run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
89.4%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+1
89.3%
Anthony Jones run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+5
89.5%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 5 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
89.4%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 27 yds, downed at the Tulan 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 2:3893% → 99%
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
92.8%
Darius Bradwell run for 3 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+3
92.8%
Darius Bradwell run for 3 yds to the Tulan 36Similar
Q3 12:42
3RD & 4
OWN 36
-5
92.8%
TULANE Penalty, false start (Joey Claybrook) to the Tulan 31Similar
Q3 12:42
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+12
92.5%
Justin McMillan run for 12 yds to the Tulan 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
93.1%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Amare Jones for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 3
50
+8
93.1%
Justin McMillan run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
98.9%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 42 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.6%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q3 10:04
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
98.6%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 4 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q3 10:04
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-1
98.6%
James Morgan pass complete to Cadarius Gaskin for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q3 10:04
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
98.6%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16TD
1 play · 50 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
50
+50
99.2%
Corey Dauphine run for 50 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:131% → 1%
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 6 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
99.1%
James Morgan pass incomplete, broken up by Marvin MoodySimilar
Q3 7:57
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
99.1%
TULANE Penalty, OFF (Dorian Williams) to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.1%
Maurice Alexander run for no gain to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-9
99.2%
James Morgan sacked by Willie Langham for a loss of 9 yards to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q3 7:57
3RD & 19
OWN 27
+35
99.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 35 yds to the Tulan 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+21
99.1%
James Morgan run for 6 yds to the Tulan 32 for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, personal foul (Chase Kuerschen) to the Tulan 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
99.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 17 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 18PUNT
11 plays · 23 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.5%
Stephon Huderson run for 7 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+18
99.4%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Tyrick James for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
50
-5
99.5%
TULANE Penalty, false start (Will Wallace) to the Tulan 45Similar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+16
99.5%
Stephon Huderson run for 16 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
99.5%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, OFF (5 Yards) to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 5
OPP 34
-27
99.5%
Justin McMillan sacked by Kevin Oliver for a loss of 17 yards to the TULANE 49 TULANE Penalty, intentional grounding (Justin McMillan) to the Tulan 39Similar
Q3 4:44
4TH & 23
OWN 48
0
99.5%
Ryan Wright punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Maurice Alexander at the FlaIn 15Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 32
OWN 39
+6
99.4%
Stephon Huderson run for 6 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q3 4:44
3RD & 26
OWN 45
+8
99.5%
Stephon Huderson run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q3 4:44
4TH & 18
OPP 47
-5
99.5%
TULANE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
99.7%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 3 yds to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q3 1:05
2ND & 7
OWN 18
0
99.7%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Cadarius Gaskin, broken up by Macon ClarkSimilar
Q3 1:05
3RD & 7
OWN 18
0
99.7%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Cadarius Gaskin, broken up by Thakarius KeyesSimilar
Q3 1:05
4TH & 7
OWN 18
0
99.7%
TEAM punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:05100% → 100%
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
99.7%
Cameron Carroll run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 43
-4
99.7%
Keon Howard pass complete to Jacob Roberston for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 39
+6
99.7%
Tyjae Spears run for 6 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
99.7%
Ryan Wright punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.8%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Shemar ThorntonSimilar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
99.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 8 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q4 13:22
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
99.8%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Maurice Alexander, broken up by Larry BrooksSimilar
Q4 13:22
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+64
99.8%
Thomas Leo punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Amare Jones at the TULANE 16 TULANE Penalty, Offensive holding (Willie Langham) to the Tulan 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
99.8%
Keon Howard run for 1 yd to the Tulan 9Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+11
99.8%
Cameron Carroll run for 11 yds to the Tulan 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
99.8%
CARROLL, C. rush for 8 yards to the TLN28 (GATES,J), PENALTY TLN holding (McLEOD, K.) 10 yards to the TLN10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:18
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+2
99.8%
Keon Howard run for 2 yds to the Tulan 12Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 18
OWN 12
+6
99.8%
Tyjae Spears run for 6 yds to the Tulan 18Similar
Q4 12:18
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+2
99.8%
Keon Howard run for 2 yds to the Tulan 20Similar
Q4 12:18
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
99.8%
Ryan Wright punt for 58 yds, downed at the FlaIn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 23DOWNS
10 plays · 64 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
99.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 5 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+3
99.9%
James Morgan run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+4
99.9%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+35
99.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 35 yds to the Tulan 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+10
99.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 10 yds to the Tulan 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
99.9%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Maurice AlexanderSimilar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
99.9%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Sterling PalmerSimilar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
99.9%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Anthony Jones, broken up by Nick AndersonSimilar
Q4 8:50
4TH & 10
OPP 14
0
99.9%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Sterling PalmerSimilar
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
99.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 7 yds to the Tulan 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 24END OF GAME
8 plays · 50 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
99.9%
Cameron Carroll run for 2 yds to the Tulan 16Similar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+6
99.9%
Cameron Carroll run for 6 yds to the Tulan 22Similar
Q4 4:58
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+2
99.9%
Cameron Carroll run for 2 yds to the Tulan 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
99.9%
Cameron Carroll run for 15 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
99.9%
Cameron Carroll run for 2 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+19
99.9%
Ygenio Booker run for 19 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
99.9%
Cameron Carroll run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 2
OPP 32
-4
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaIn 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:05
Corey Dauphine run for 14 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)
+13.5
TD · Q2 0:28
Justin McMillan run for 17 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)
+11.8
TD · Q2 3:50
Anthony Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)
-8.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com