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WASH

Washington 45 at BYU 19

BYU
2019 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2019 · LaVell Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · BYU
modelBYU aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey playBYU scoreWASH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:19 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.5+27.80−27.8−55.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:50: Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 17 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +2.8 pts (now 71%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:17: Brandon Wellington 69 Yd Fumble Return (Peyton Henry Kick) — WASH win probability +5.5 pts (now 75%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 11:00: Peyton Henry 30 Yd Field Goal — WASH win probability +2.7 pts (now 83%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 8:22: Emmanuel Esukpa run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd PAT MISSED) — BYU win probability +7.9 pts (now 26%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:28: Jacob Eason pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 35 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +11.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BYU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8WASH made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q1 9:31BYU 4th & 10 at WASH 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    34.2%−0.9
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:15BYU 4th & 15 at BYU 31, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.3%−1.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:00WASH 4th & 4 at BYU 12, up 18
    Close callKicked a field goal · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.7%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.3%−0.4
    86% to make
    Punt
    72.3%−6.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:13WASH 4th & 5 at BYU 5, up 15
    Close callWent for it · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    77.1%
    92% to make
    Punt
    69.4%−7.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:26BYU 4th & 16 at WASH 37, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.8%
    40% to make
    Punt
    21.7%−1.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:37BYU 4th & 7 at BYU 42, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:19BYU 4th & 12 at BYU 45, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:32BYU 4th & 1 at WASH 30, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    1.5%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:55BYU 4th & 4 at WASH 21, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−<0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:11WASH 4th & 6 at WASH 45, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:26BYU 4th & 6 at WASH 31, down 26
    Close callWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%
    54% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BYU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 12:10WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:50WASH Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:17WASH Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:22BYU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    27.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:28WASH Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:22WASH Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:00BYU Touchdown, down 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:4370% → 69%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
30.5%
Sean McGrew run for 12 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
30.7%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 6 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 4
OWN 43
-3
30.8%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Sean McGrew for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 40Similar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+21
31.2%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 21 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+18
31.1%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 18 yds to the BYU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
31.1%
Sean McGrew run for 4 yds to the BYU 17Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 6
OPP 17
0
31.3%
Jacob Eason pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+17
30.6%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Richard Newton for 17 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 2FG
10 plays · 50 yds · 2:2431% → 32%
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
30.8%
Ty'Son Williams run for 1 yd to the BYU 26Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
30.8%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Aleva HifoSimilar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+15
30.7%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Keith Taylor) to the BYU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+19
31.1%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 19 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
31.4%
Ty'Son Williams run for 15 yds to the Wash 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
31.6%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Talon Shumway for 6 yds to the Wash 19Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 4
OPP 19
-6
31.8%
Zach Wilson run for a loss of 6 yards to the Wash 25Similar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
31.6%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Gunner RomneySimilar
Q1 9:31
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+43
32.3%
Jake Oldroyd 43 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3TD
14 plays · 68 yds · 5:2668% → 71%
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
32.2%
Richard Newton run for 2 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
32.1%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 7 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
32.3%
Richard Newton run for 2 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-8
32.1%
Sean McGrew run for 2 yds to the Wash 38 WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Wash 28Similar
Q1 6:52
1ST & 18
OWN 28
0
32.7%
TEAM run for no gain to the Wash 28Similar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 18
OWN 28
+7
32.7%
Richard Newton run for 7 yds to the Wash 35Similar
Q1 6:16
3RD & 11
OWN 35
-5
33.1%
Sean McGrew run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wash 30Similar
Q1 5:53
4TH & 16
OWN 37
+15
33.5%
BYU Penalty, Personal Foul (Isaiah Herron) to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
32.4%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Cade Otton for 5 yds to the BYU 43Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+15
32.3%
BYU Penalty, Player Disqualification (Uriah Leiataua) to the BYU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
32.2%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Sean McGrew for 11 yds to the BYU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
32.2%
Sean McGrew run for no gain to the BYU 17Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+17
29.4%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 17 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 4FUMBLE RETURN TD
9 plays · 22 yds · 1:0831% → 25%
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
50
+7
30.7%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 7 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 3
OPP 43
0
30.8%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Talon ShumwaySimilar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 3
OPP 43
-5
30.8%
BYU Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the Wash 48Similar
Q1 2:52
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+23
30.4%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Matt Bushman for 23 yds to the Wash 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
30.9%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Personal Foul (5 Yards) to the Wash 20Similar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 5
OPP 20
0
30.9%
Zach Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 5
OPP 20
-5
30.9%
BYU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wash 25Similar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-69
25.4%
Brandon Wellington 69 Yd Fumble Return (Peyton Henry Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 6 yds · 2:4424% → 23%
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
24.0%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Neutral Zone Infraction (Ariel Ngata) to the BYU 30Similar
Q1 1:42
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+2
24.3%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 2 yds to the BYU 32Similar
Q1 1:17
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
23.9%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Matt Bushman for 4 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
23.7%
Zach Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-10
23.4%
BYU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BYU 26Similar
Q1 0:11
2ND & 20
OWN 26
+1
22.9%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Ty'Son Williams for 1 yd to the BYU 27Similar
Q2 14:58
3RD & 19
OWN 27
+4
22.7%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Matt Bushman for 4 yds to the BYU 31Similar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 15
OWN 31
-2
22.6%
Jake Oldroyd punt for 40 yds , Aaron Fuller returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6FG
8 plays · 61 yds · 2:4579% → 83%
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
20.7%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 5 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+16
20.6%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 16 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+24
19.9%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Cade Otton for 24 yds to the BYU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
19.5%
Sean McGrew run for 10 yds to the BYU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
19.4%
Jacob Eason run for 2 yds to the BYU 16Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 8
OPP 16
-1
19.1%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Richard Newton for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 17Similar
Q2 12:02
3RD & 9
OPP 17
+5
19.5%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 5 yds to the BYU 12Similar
Q2 11:00
4TH & 4
OPP 12
+30
16.9%
Peyton Henry 30 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 7TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:2918% → 26%
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
17.9%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Matt Bushman for 28 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+23
19.0%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Matt Bushman for 23 yds to the Wash 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
19.0%
Lopini Katoa run for 3 yds to the Wash 21Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+5
18.8%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Wash 16Similar
Q2 9:09
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+14
18.7%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (14 Yards) to the Wash 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
18.9%
Ty'Son Williams run for 1 yd to the Wash 1Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
18.0%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Defensive Offside ( Yards) to the Wash 1Similar
Q2 8:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
25.9%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8DOWNS
12 plays · 71 yds · 4:0077% → 80%
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
23.3%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Kamari Pleasant for 18 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
21.8%
Richard Newton run for 10 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
21.7%
BYU Penalty, Defensive Offside (Khyiris Tonga) to the BYU 42Similar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 5
OPP 42
+22
21.4%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 22 yds to the BYU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
21.2%
Sean McGrew run for 5 yds to the BYU 15Similar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+13
20.5%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 13 yds to the BYU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
20.3%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (Jaxson Kirkland) to the BYU 7Similar
Q2 5:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
20.4%
Richard Newton run for a loss of 3 yards to the BYU 10 Richard Newton fumbled, recovered by WashSimilar
Q2 4:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
20.1%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Hunter BryantSimilar
Q2 4:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
20.4%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 5 yds to the BYU 5Similar
Q2 4:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
20.0%
Race Porter run for 1 yd to the BYU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 9FG
14 plays · 59 yds · 3:4422% → 24%
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
21.9%
Ty'Son Williams run for 1 yd to the BYU 5Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 9
OWN 5
+8
21.5%
Ty'Son Williams run for 8 yds to the BYU 13Similar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 1
OWN 13
+2
21.2%
Ty'Son Williams run for 2 yds to the BYU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+14
21.2%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 14 yds to the BYU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
20.8%
Lopini Katoa run for 4 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+10
21.2%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 10 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
22.0%
Zach Wilson run for 5 yds to the BYU 48Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+5
22.1%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 5 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+16
22.9%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Ty'Son Williams for 16 yds to the Wash 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
23.7%
Zach Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-12
23.4%
Zach Wilson sacked by Benning Potoa'e for a loss of 12 yards to the Wash 43Similar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 22
OPP 43
+6
21.6%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 6 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q2 0:26
4TH & 16
OPP 37
+54
24.1%
Jake Oldroyd 54 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
22.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 11FUMBLE
5 plays · 29 yds · 1:1524% → 24%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
23.5%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the BYU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
24.2%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 1 yd to the BYU 41Similar
Q3 13:39
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+5
24.0%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Talon Shumway for 5 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q3 13:39
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+8
24.0%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 8 yds Dax Milne fumbled, recovered by WashSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12TD
3 plays · 52 yds · 0:4779% → 90%
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
21.1%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 15 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
20.9%
Sean McGrew run for 2 yds to the BYU 35Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+35
9.6%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 35 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 13PUNT RETURN TD
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:4114% → 3%
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
14.1%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 14 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
14.6%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 2 yds to the BYU 41Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+1
14.7%
Lopini Katoa run for 1 yd to the BYU 42Similar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
14.4%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Gunner RomneySimilar
Q3 10:37
4TH & 7
OWN 42
+88
3.4%
Jake Oldroyd punt for 46 yds , Aaron Fuller returns for 88 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:063% → 3%
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
3.2%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 22 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
3.1%
Aleva Hifo run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 7
50
-5
3.0%
BYU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BYU 45Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & 12
OWN 45
0
2.9%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Matt BushmanSimilar
Q3 9:27
3RD & 12
OWN 45
0
2.9%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Matt BushmanSimilar
Q3 9:19
4TH & 12
OWN 45
0
2.8%
Danny Jones punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the Wash 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 3:3597% → 99%
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
3.0%
Richard Newton run for 9 yds to the Wash 24Similar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+13
2.7%
Richard Newton run for 13 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+36
2.7%
Sean McGrew run for 36 yds to the BYU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
2.5%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Hunter Bryant for no gain to the BYU 27Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+8
2.5%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 8 yds to the BYU 19Similar
Q3 6:09
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+7
1.9%
Richard Newton run for 7 yds to the BYU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
1.8%
Richard Newton run for 9 yds to the BYU 3Similar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 1
OPP 3
+3
1.1%
Richard Newton run for 3 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 16DOWNS
14 plays · 54 yds · 4:272% → 1%
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
2.0%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 22 yds Aleva Hifo fumbled, recovered by BYUSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
2.2%
Lopini Katoa run for 5 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+4
2.0%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 4 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+4
2.1%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Micah Simon for 4 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
2.0%
BYU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wash 44Similar
Q3 3:19
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+6
2.3%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 6 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q3 2:52
2ND & 9
OPP 38
0
2.3%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Gunner RomneySimilar
Q3 2:40
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+8
2.2%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 8 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q3 2:32
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+3
2.3%
Zach Wilson run for 3 yds to the Wash 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
2.3%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 4 yds to the Wash 23Similar
Q3 1:36
2ND & 6
OPP 23
0
1.0%
Zach Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:17
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+2
0.9%
Zach Wilson run for 2 yds to the Wash 21Similar
Q3 0:55
4TH & 4
OPP 21
0
0.9%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Dax MilneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17INT
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:2899% → 99%
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
0.7%
Sean McGrew run for 4 yds to the Wash 25Similar
Q3 0:02
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+33
0.7%
Jacob Eason pass intercepted Max Tooley return for 33 yds to the Wash 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18TD
1 play · 7 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
1.8%
Matt Bushman 7 Yd pass from Zach Wilson (Jake Oldroyd Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 3:4199% → 99%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
1.2%
Sean McGrew run for 1 yd to the Wash 26Similar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-5
1.2%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wash 21Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+1
1.1%
Sean McGrew run for 1 yd to the Wash 22Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+19
0.9%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 19 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
0.8%
Richard Newton run for 2 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+2
0.7%
Richard Newton run for 2 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q4 11:19
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
0.7%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Hunter BryantSimilar
Q4 11:11
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
0.7%
Joel Whitford punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Aleva Hifo at the BYU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 20DOWNS
8 plays · 51 yds · 2:361% → 0%
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+23
0.5%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 23 yds to the BYU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
0.5%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Emmanuel Esukpa for 6 yds to the BYU 47Similar
Q4 10:11
2ND & 4
OWN 47
0
0.5%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Dax MilneSimilar
Q4 9:55
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+18
0.5%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Micah Simon for 18 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
0.6%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 5 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+1
0.5%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 1 yd to the Wash 29Similar
Q4 8:46
3RD & 4
OPP 29
-2
0.4%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 31Similar
Q4 8:26
4TH & 6
OPP 31
0
0.3%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Gunner RomneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21FUMBLE
8 plays · 40 yds · 4:47100% → 100%
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
0.5%
Richard Newton run for no gain to the Wash 31Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+5
0.5%
Richard Newton run for 5 yds to the Wash 36Similar
Q4 6:48
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+7
0.3%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Cade Otton for 7 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
0.3%
Sean McGrew run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 3
50
+4
0.3%
Sean McGrew run for 4 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
0.2%
Sean McGrew run for 5 yds to the BYU 41Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+5
0.2%
Richard Newton run for 5 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
0.2%
Richard Newton run for 7 yds to the BYU 29 Richard Newton fumbled, recovered by BYU Hayden LivingstonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 22INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
0.2%
Zach Wilson pass intercepted Asa Turner return for no gain to the BYU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 23END OF GAME
5 plays · 10 yds · 2:51100% → 100%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
0.2%
Sean McGrew run for 2 yds to the BYU 35Similar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+11
0.2%
Sean McGrew run for 11 yds to the BYU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
0.2%
Sean McGrew run for 2 yds to the BYU 22Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 8
OPP 22
-3
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the BYU 25Similar
Q4 0:19
3RD & 11
OPP 25
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:28
Jacob Eason pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 35 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)
-11.2
TD · Q2 8:22
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd PAT MISSED)
+7.9
TD · Q1 2:17
Brandon Wellington 69 Yd Fumble Return (Peyton Henry Kick)
-5.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com