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NMSU

New Mexico State 7 at Washington State 58

WSU
2019 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2019 · Gesa Field
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Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadNMSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreNMSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:07 · Payton Theisler punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WshSt 44 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the WshSt 46
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 53Pregame prior+38.6Home team on offense+6.8Score differential+2.0Blowout margin+0.5Garbage-time factor+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:25: Josh Adkins 3 Yd Run (Dylan Brown Kick) — NMSU win probability +1.2 pts (now 5%) (top driver: NMSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:11: Anthony Gordon pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 48 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK) — WSU win probability +0.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:07: Anthony Gordon pass complete to Easop Winston Jr. for 19 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK) — WSU win probability +0.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:55: Anthony Gordon pass complete to Travell Harris for 54 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK) — WSU win probability +2.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:23: Max Borghi run for 12 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK) — WSU win probability +1.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5NMSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 9
  1. Q1 11:33NMSU 4th & 8 at WSU 34, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.2%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    3.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:21NMSU 4th & 1 at WSU 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    3.2%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    2.8%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:11NMSU 4th & 1 at NMSU 45, down 7
    Close callPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:07NMSU 4th & 17 at NMSU 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:38NMSU 4th & 10 at WSU 37, down 21
    Close callPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    2.3%−<0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:56NMSU 4th & 9 at NMSU 43, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:38WSU 4th & 8 at NMSU 28, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    60% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:12WSU 4th & 16 at NMSU 33, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    49% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:12NMSU 4th & 2 at NMSU 43, down 41
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:18WSU 4th & 9 at NMSU 17, up 48
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    80% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:18NMSU 4th & 6 at WSU 26, down 51
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    64% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:19WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 29, up 51
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:19WSU 4th & 3 at midfield, up 51
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:43NMSU 4th & 1 at NMSU 20, down 51
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7NMSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:21WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:25NMSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:11WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:07WSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:55WSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:23WSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 11:56WSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:13WSU Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NMSUDrive 1MISSED FG
10 plays · 41 yds · 3:273% → 4%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
96.8%
Josh Adkins sacked by Will Rodgers III for a loss of 1 yard to the NMxSt 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+18
96.8%
Jason Huntley run for 18 yds to the NMxSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
96.8%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Tony Nicholson for 5 yds to the NMxSt 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+6
96.8%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Robert Downs III for 6 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
96.8%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Tevis Abraham for 11 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
96.8%
Christian Gibson run for 1 yd to the WshSt 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 35
0
96.8%
Josh Adkins pass incomplete to OJ ClarkSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+1
96.8%
Christian Gibson run for 1 yd to the WshSt 34Similar
Q1 11:33
4TH & 8
OPP 34
+51
96.2%
Dylan Brown 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2TD
5 plays · 66 yds · 2:1296% → 96%
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
96.3%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Easop Winston Jr. for 4 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+8
96.3%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Easop Winston Jr. for 8 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
96.3%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Max Borghi for 9 yds to the NMxSt 45Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+4
96.3%
Max Borghi run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
96.3%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Rodrick Fisher for 41 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:564% → 5%
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
96.2%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Tony Nicholson for 12 yds to the NMxSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+27
96.1%
Jason Huntley run for 27 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
96.1%
Josh Adkins pass complete to OJ Clark for 2 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+1
96.0%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Robert Downs III for 1 yd to the WshSt 33Similar
Q1 9:21
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+6
96.1%
Josh Adkins pass complete to OJ Clark for 6 yds to the WshSt 27Similar
Q1 9:21
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+23
96.1%
Josh Adkins pass complete to OJ Clark for 18 yds to the WshSt 9 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON ST Penalty, personal foul (Skyler Thomas) to the WshSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
94.9%
Josh Adkins 3 Yd Run (Dylan Brown Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:1495% → 96%
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.2%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
95.3%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
95.8%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 48 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:004% → 5%
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.6%
Josh Adkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
95.6%
Josh Adkins pass complete to OJ Clark for 6 yds to the NMxSt 31Similar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
95.6%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Tony Nicholson for 5 yds to the NMxSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
95.5%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Christian Gibson for 3 yds to the NMxSt 39Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+6
95.5%
Christian Gibson run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 45Similar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
95.4%
Josh Adkins pass incomplete to Tony NicholsonSimilar
Q1 5:11
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
95.5%
Payton Theisler punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 6TD
13 plays · 76 yds · 6:5595% → 96%
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
95.3%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 5 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+16
95.3%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Easop Winston Jr. for 16 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
95.5%
Clay Markoff run for 2 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+10
95.5%
Max Borghi run for 10 yds to the NMxSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
95.5%
Anthony Gordon run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 42
0
95.0%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
95.0%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Easop Winston Jr. for 4 yds to the NMxSt 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+3
95.0%
Max Borghi run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 24Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+18
94.9%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Travell Harris for 18 yds to the NMxSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
95.0%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, delay of game (Anthony Gordon) to the NMxSt 11Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
0
95.0%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon ArconadoSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-10
95.0%
Borghi, Max rush for 2 yards to the NMSU7 (Lomax, Shamad;Fergurson, J.), PENALTY WSU holding (Mauigoa, Fred.) 10 yards to the NMSU19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 19
+19
95.9%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Easop Winston Jr. for 19 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
95.3%
Josh Adkins pass complete to OJ Clark for 6 yds to the NMxSt 31Similar
Q2 11:07
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-3
95.2%
Josh Adkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMxSt 28 Josh Adkins fumbled, recovered by NMxSt Josh AdkinsSimilar
Q2 11:07
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-10
95.4%
Josh Adkins sacked by Dillon Sherman and Nnamdi Oguayo for a loss of 10 yards to the NMxSt 18 NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, intentional grounding (Josh Adkins) to the NMxSt 18Similar
Q2 11:07
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+36
95.5%
Payton Theisler punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WshSt 44 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the WshSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 8TD
1 play · 54 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
97.9%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Travell Harris for 54 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 9PUNT
13 plays · 38 yds · 2:173% → 3%
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
97.5%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Izaiah Lottie for 17 yds to the NMxSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
97.4%
Jason Huntley run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 46Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+4
97.4%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Robert Downs III for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:55
3RD & 2
50
+3
97.4%
Jason Huntley run for 3 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
97.4%
Josh Adkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+10
97.4%
Josh Adkins run for 10 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
97.2%
Josh Adkins pass incomplete to OJ ClarkSimilar
Q2 7:38
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
97.2%
Jason Huntley run for no gain to the WshSt 37Similar
Q2 7:38
3RD & 10
OPP 37
0
97.3%
Josh Adkins pass incomplete to OJ ClarkSimilar
Q2 7:38
4TH & 10
OPP 37
0
97.3%
Payton Theisler punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 5:2198% → 99%
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.0%
Anthony Gordon pass incomplete to Brandon ArconadoSimilar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+11
98.0%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Rodrick Fisher for 11 yds to the WshSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
98.1%
Max Borghi run for 4 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
98.0%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Brandon Arconado for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
98.1%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 6 yds to the NMxSt 42Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+9
98.1%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 9 yds to the NMxSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
98.1%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Kassidy Woods for 3 yds to the NMxSt 30Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+9
98.1%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 9 yds to the NMxSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
98.1%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Renard Bell for 9 yds to the NMxSt 12Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 1
OPP 12
0
98.1%
Max Borghi run for no gain to the NMxSt 12Similar
Q2 1:23
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+12
99.4%
Max Borghi run for 12 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 11END OF HALF
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:421% → 1%
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.5%
Jason Huntley run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 26Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
99.5%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Jason Huntley for 2 yds to the NMxSt 28Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+16
99.4%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Jason Huntley for 16 yds to the NMxSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-11
99.4%
Josh Adkins sacked by Fa'avae Fa'avae for a loss of 11 yards to the NMxSt 33 NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, intentional grounding (Josh Adkins) to the NMxSt 33Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 21
OWN 33
+17
99.4%
Christian Gibson run for 17 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 12TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:04100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.5%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 2 yds to the WshSt 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.5%
Anthony Gordon pass incomplete to Brandon ArconadoSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+23
99.5%
Max Borghi run for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:52
1ST & 10
50
+12
99.5%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 12 yds to the NMxSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.5%
Anthony Gordon pass incomplete to Travell HarrisSimilar
Q3 13:52
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+15
99.5%
Max Borghi run for 15 yds to the NMxSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
99.5%
Max Borghi run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 20Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+20
99.7%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Travell Harris for 20 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.6%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Robert Downs III for 9 yds to the NMxSt 34Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+8
99.6%
Jason Huntley run for 8 yds to the NMxSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
99.6%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Tony Nicholson for 1 yd to the NMxSt 43Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 9
OWN 43
0
99.6%
Josh Adkins pass incomplete to Tony NicholsonSimilar
Q3 11:56
3RD & 9
OWN 43
0
99.6%
Josh Adkins pass incomplete to OJ ClarkSimilar
Q3 11:56
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
99.6%
Payton Theisler punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Travell Harris at the WshSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14FG
5 plays · 56 yds · 1:44100% → 100%
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+54
99.7%
Max Borghi run for 54 yds to the NMxSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
99.7%
Clay Markoff run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 28Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 8
OPP 28
0
99.7%
Anthony Gordon pass incomplete to Dezmon PatmonSimilar
Q3 10:22
3RD & 8
OPP 28
0
99.7%
Anthony Gordon pass incomplete to Renard BellSimilar
Q3 8:38
4TH & 8
OPP 28
+45
99.7%
Blake Mazza 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 15INT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Josh Adkins pass incomplete to Robert Downs III, broken up by Bryce BeekmanSimilar
Q3 8:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.7%
Josh Adkins pass complete to OJ Clark for 6 yds to the NMxSt 31Similar
Q3 8:38
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
99.7%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Tony Nicholson for 10 yds to the NMxSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
99.7%
Josh Adkins pass intercepted Marcus Strong return for 5 yds to the NMxSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16FG
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:25100% → 100%
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-8
99.8%
Anthony Gordon sacked by Donovan King for a loss of 8 yards to the NMxSt 35Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 18
OPP 35
+2
99.8%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Max Borghi for 2 yds to the NMxSt 33Similar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 16
OPP 33
0
99.8%
Anthony Gordon pass incomplete to Renard BellSimilar
Q3 6:12
4TH & 16
OPP 33
+50
99.8%
Blake Mazza 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
99.8%
Jason Huntley run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMxSt 30Similar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+3
99.8%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Tony Nicholson for 3 yds to the NMxSt 33Similar
Q3 6:12
3RD & 12
OWN 33
+10
99.8%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Drew Dan for 10 yds to the NMxSt 43Similar
Q3 6:12
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
99.8%
Payton Theisler punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Travell Harris at the WshSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18TD
10 plays · 90 yds · 5:20100% → 100%
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+32
99.8%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Davontavean Martin for 32 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
99.8%
Clay Markoff run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 40Similar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+11
99.8%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 11 yds to the NMxSt 49Similar
Q3 4:33
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+11
99.8%
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 11 yds to the NMxSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-14
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 14 yards to the WshSt 48Similar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 24
OWN 48
+26
99.8%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Kassidy Woods for 26 yds to the NMxSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.8%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Dezmon PatmonSimilar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+11
99.8%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 11 yds to the NMxSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
99.9%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Kassidy Woods for 6 yds to the NMxSt 9Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Renard Bell for 9 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 19INT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Tony Nicholson for 4 yds to the NMxSt 29Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Josh Adkins pass incomplete to Naveon MitchellSimilar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+15
99.9%
Josh Adkins pass intercepted Hank Pladson return for 15 yds to the NMxSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20FG
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:15100% → 100%
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-10
99.9%
McIntosh, Deon rush for 8 yards to the NMSU10, PENALTY WSU holding (Greene, Brian) 10 yards to the NMSU28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:33
1ST & 20
OPP 28
+11
99.9%
Trey Tinsley pass complete to Brandon Gray for 11 yds to the NMxSt 17Similar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 9
OPP 17
0
99.9%
Trey Tinsley pass incomplete to Brandon GraySimilar
Q4 13:33
3RD & 9
OPP 17
0
99.9%
Trey Tinsley pass incomplete to Kassidy Woods, broken up by Jason Simmons Jr.Similar
Q4 12:18
4TH & 9
OPP 17
+34
99.9%
Blake Mazza 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 21FUMBLE
12 plays · 75 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.9%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Robert Downs III for 11 yds to the NMxSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
99.9%
Naveon Mitchell run for 8 yds to the NMxSt 44Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+3
99.9%
Josh Adkins pass complete to OJ Clark for 3 yds to the NMxSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
99.9%
Naveon Mitchell run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 48Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+5
99.9%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Jason Huntley for 5 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q4 12:18
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+17
99.9%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Drew Dan for 17 yds to the WshSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Josh Adkins pass incomplete to Tony NicholsonSimilar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Josh Adkins pass incomplete to Tony NicholsonSimilar
Q4 12:18
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+4
99.9%
Josh Adkins run for 4 yds to the WshSt 26Similar
Q4 12:18
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+22
99.9%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Naveon Mitchell for 22 yds to the WshSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.9%
Naveon Mitchell run for 3 yds Naveon Mitchell fumbled, forced by Tyrese Ross, recovered by WshSt Chad Davis Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.9%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Dezmon Patmon for 4 yds to the WshSt 24Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Dezmon Patmon, broken up by Shamad LomaxSimilar
Q4 8:19
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+5
99.9%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Kassidy Woods for 5 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q4 8:19
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+1
99.9%
Deon McIntosh run for 1 yd to the WshSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
99.9%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Travell Harris for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 29Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+14
99.9%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Rodrick Fisher for 14 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
99.9%
Clay Markoff run for 5 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 5
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Clay Markoff run for no gain to the WshSt 48Similar
Q4 8:19
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+2
99.9%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Brandon Gray for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:19
4TH & 3
50
0
99.9%
Oscar Draguicevich III punt for 39 yds, fair catch by OJ Clark at the NMxSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
100.0%
Naveon Mitchell run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 15Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 6
OWN 15
0
100.0%
Naveon Mitchell run for no gain to the NMxSt 15Similar
Q4 2:43
3RD & 6
OWN 15
+5
100.0%
Naveon Mitchell run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 20Similar
Q4 2:43
4TH & 1
OWN 20
+19
100.0%
Payton Theisler punt for 43 yds , Travell Harris returns for 19 yds to the WshSt 39 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Offensive holding (29 Yards) to the WshSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-4
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:55
Anthony Gordon pass complete to Travell Harris for 54 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)
+2.4
TD · Q2 1:23
Max Borghi run for 12 yds for a TD, (Blake Mazza KICK)
+1.3
TD · Q1 6:25
Josh Adkins 3 Yd Run (Dylan Brown Kick)
-1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com