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NIU

Northern Illinois 17 at Utah 35

UTAH
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2019 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadNIU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreNIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:46 · Ben Lennon punt for 62 yds, downed at the NoIll 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 128Pregame prior+9.6Home team on offense+26.9Score differential+14.2Garbage-time factor+13.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+3.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:18: Ross Bowers run for 9 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK) — NIU win probability +4.4 pts (now 13%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:41: Demari Simpkins run for 13 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +2.6 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:20: Ross Bowers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 74 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK) — NIU win probability +5.3 pts (now 16%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:16: Zack Moss run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +5.2 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:49: Tyler Huntley pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 14 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +4.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 4 of 6NIU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00NIU 4th & 20 at NIU 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:24UTAH 4th & 2 at UTAH 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.5%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:18UTAH 4th & 11 at UTAH 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:40NIU 4th & 11 at NIU 8, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:41NIU 4th & 9 at NIU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:36UTAH 4th & 5 at NIU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    86.4%−0.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    86.4%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:51NIU 4th & 17 at UTAH 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−1.1
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.0%
    60% to make
    Punt
    10.5%−2.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:16NIU 4th & 1 at UTAH 48, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.6%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:39UTAH 4th & 1 at NIU 31, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    89.1%−1.4
    54% to make
    Punt
    88.4%−2.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:53NIU 4th & 16 at NIU 42, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−1.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00UTAH 4th & 6 at NIU 49, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:49NIU 4th & 13 at NIU 22, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−1.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:46UTAH 4th & 3 at UTAH 19, up 18
    Close callPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:08NIU 4th & 1 at NIU 28, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.1%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:08NIU 4th & 3 at NIU 37, down 18
    Close callPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5NIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 3:18NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:41UTAH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:20UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:20NIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:48UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:16UTAH Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:49UTAH Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NIUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.1%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the NoIll 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
93.1%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+2
93.1%
Jordan Nettles run for 2 yds to the NoIll 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-9
93.1%
Ross Bowers sacked by Devin Lloyd for a loss of 9 yards to the NoIll 15Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
93.1%
Matt Ference punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
92.5%
Zack Moss run for 8 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 2
OWN 47
0
92.5%
Zack Moss run for no gain to the Utah 47Similar
Q1 12:24
3RD & 2
OWN 47
0
92.5%
Zack Moss run for no gain to the Utah 47Similar
Q1 12:24
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
92.5%
Ben Lennon punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 3TD
13 plays · 88 yds · 6:538% → 13%
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+13
91.8%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 13 yds to the NoIll 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
91.8%
Jordan Nettles run for 3 yds to the NoIll 28Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
91.8%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 10 yds to the NoIll 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
91.8%
Ross Bowers run for 6 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+14
91.7%
Jordan Nettles run for 14 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
91.7%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 8 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+4
91.6%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 4 yds to the Utah 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
91.6%
Jordan Nettles run for no gain to the Utah 30Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+17
91.6%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 17 yds to the Utah 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
91.6%
Jordan Nettles run for no gain to the Utah 13Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+9
91.6%
Ross Bowers run for 9 yds to the Utah 4Similar
Q1 10:11
3RD & 1
OPP 4
-5
91.7%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 9Similar
Q1 3:18
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+9
87.3%
Ross Bowers run for 9 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
87.9%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 22 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-3
88.4%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 44Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 13
OWN 44
+2
88.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 2 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q1 3:18
3RD & 11
OWN 46
0
87.9%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Jaylen DixonSimilar
Q1 3:18
4TH & 11
OWN 46
0
87.7%
Ben Lennon punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
86.8%
Jordan Nettles run for 2 yds to the NoIll 11Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 8
OWN 11
0
86.7%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 8
OWN 11
-3
86.9%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Jordan Nettles for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 8Similar
Q1 1:40
4TH & 11
OWN 8
+1
87.1%
Matt Ference punt for 53 yds , Britain Covey returns for 1 yd to the Utah 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 1:3486% → 89%
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+25
86.3%
Zack Moss run for 25 yds to the NoIll 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
86.8%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+1
86.8%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd to the NoIll 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+21
86.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Britain Covey for 21 yds to the NoIll 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
89.0%
Demari Simpkins run for 13 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
87.6%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 10 yds to the NoIll 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
87.4%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 13 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-3
86.9%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tre Harbison for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 45Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 13
OWN 45
+4
87.4%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Daniel Crawford for 4 yds to the NoIll 49Similar
Q2 13:41
3RD & 9
OWN 49
0
87.3%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Kyle Pugh, broken up by Javelin GuidrySimilar
Q2 13:41
4TH & 9
OWN 49
+21
87.8%
Matt Ference punt for 36 yds NORTHERNIL Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the Utah 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 3:1687% → 90%
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+26
87.3%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 26 yds to the NoIll 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
88.2%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds to the NoIll 39Similar
Q2 11:36
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+1
88.2%
Solomon Enis run for 1 yd to the NoIll 38Similar
Q2 11:36
3RD & 4
OPP 38
-1
88.0%
Devin Brumfield run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 39Similar
Q2 11:36
4TH & 5
OPP 39
+23
87.5%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Derrick Vickers for 23 yds to the NoIll 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
88.3%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
90.2%
Tyler Huntley run for 16 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 9TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 1:0011% → 16%
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
89.1%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Michael Love for 1 yd to the NoIll 26Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+74
83.8%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 74 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:3285% → 89%
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
85.4%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 8 yds to the Utah 33Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
86.1%
Devin Brumfield run for 1 yd to the Utah 34Similar
Q2 7:20
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
85.6%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
85.9%
Jordan Wilmore run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 37Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+10
85.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 10 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q2 7:20
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+28
86.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 28 yds to the NoIll 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
86.9%
Britain Covey run for 9 yds to the NoIll 16Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 1
OPP 16
0
86.9%
Zack Moss run for no gain to the NoIll 16Similar
Q2 2:48
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+16
89.1%
Zack Moss run for 16 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 11FG
12 plays · 47 yds · 1:5712% → 14%
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.0%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Kyle Pugh, broken up by Tareke LewisSimilar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
88.1%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Tyrice RichieSimilar
Q2 2:48
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+37
88.5%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Daniel Crawford for 37 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
86.7%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 9 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+8
85.9%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Daniel Crawford for 8 yds to the Utah 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
85.9%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
86.1%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Mitchell BrinkmanSimilar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 10
OPP 21
-7
86.8%
Ross Bowers sacked by Bradlee Anae for a loss of 7 yards to the Utah 28Similar
Q2 0:51
4TH & 17
OPP 28
+46
85.8%
John Richardson 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
85.1%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Utah 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 2:3485% → 91%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
84.6%
Derrick Vickers run for 12 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
85.5%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Derrick Vickers for 6 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q3 14:50
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+5
85.7%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds to the NoIll 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
86.0%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the NoIll 43Similar
Q3 14:50
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+38
86.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 38 yds to the NoIll 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
91.2%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 14DOWNS
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
90.2%
Tre Harbison run for 5 yds to the NoIll 30Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+13
89.9%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 13 yds to the NoIll 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
89.6%
Jordan Nettles run for 3 yds to the NoIll 46Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+6
89.4%
Jordan Nettles run for 6 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q3 12:16
3RD & 1
OPP 48
0
89.3%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Mitchell Brinkman, broken up by Tareke LewisSimilar
Q3 12:16
4TH & 1
OPP 48
0
89.8%
Tre Harbison run for no gain to the Utah 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15DOWNS
8 plays · 21 yds · 2:5591% → 92%
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
91.3%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Britain Covey for 3 yds to the NoIll 49Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 7
OPP 49
-3
91.3%
Jordan Wilmore run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 48Similar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+12
90.5%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 12 yds to the NoIll 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
91.3%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Hunter Thedford for 1 yd to the NoIll 39Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+7
91.3%
Zack Moss run for 7 yds to the NoIll 32Similar
Q3 6:39
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+1
91.9%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd to the NoIll 31Similar
Q3 6:39
4TH & 1
OPP 31
0
91.5%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Bryan Thompson, broken up by Antonio Jones-DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+17
90.8%
Tre Harbison run for 17 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
90.2%
Jordan Nettles run for 4 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 6
OPP 48
-5
89.8%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (Mitchell Brinkman) to the NoIll 47Similar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 11
OWN 47
-7
90.6%
Ross Bowers sacked by Bradlee Anae for a loss of 7 yards to the NoIll 40Similar
Q3 5:53
3RD & 18
OWN 40
+7
91.3%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 7 yds to the NoIll 47Similar
Q3 5:53
4TH & 11
OWN 47
-5
91.6%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 42Similar
Q3 5:53
4TH & 16
OWN 42
0
91.8%
Matt Ference punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 26 yds · 2:2292% → 92%
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
92.1%
Tyler Huntley run for 22 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
92.7%
Demari Simpkins run for 6 yds to the NoIll 47Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+2
92.8%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the NoIll 45Similar
Q3 2:22
3RD & 2
OPP 45
-4
92.5%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 4 yards to the NoIll 49Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
92.3%
Ben Lennon punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 18INT
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
92.0%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Michael Love for 4 yds to the NoIll 20Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+2
92.1%
Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the NoIll 22Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 4
OWN 22
0
92.3%
Ross Bowers pass intercepted Julian Blackmon return for no gain to the NoIll 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19TD
2 plays · 29 yds · 0:2794% → 98%
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
93.5%
Huntley, Tyler pass complete to Thompson, Bryan for 15 yards to the NIU14 (WILLIAMS, Mykel), PENALTY NIU unsportsmanlike conduct (WILLIAMS, Mykel) 15 yards to the NIU14, 1ST DOWN UTAH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
98.3%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 14 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.2%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 1 yd to the NoIll 26Similar
Q4 12:49
2ND & 9
OPP 0
0
96.3%
BOWERS, Ross pass complete to CRAWFORD, Danie for 4 yards to the NIU30 (Moala, Viane), PENALTY NIU holding off-setting, PENALTY UTAH offside off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:49
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-6
97.2%
Ross Bowers sacked by Bradlee Anae for a loss of 6 yards to the NoIll 20 Ross Bowers fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 12:49
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+2
97.3%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 2 yds to the NoIll 22Similar
Q4 12:49
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+66
97.3%
Matt Ference punt for 56 yds UTAH Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Utah 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
98.2%
Jordan Wilmore run for 7 yds to the Utah 19Similar
Q4 9:46
2ND & 3
OWN 19
0
98.2%
Tyler Huntley run for no gain to the Utah 19Similar
Q4 9:46
3RD & 3
OWN 19
0
98.2%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Demari SimpkinsSimilar
Q4 9:46
4TH & 3
OWN 19
0
98.1%
Ben Lennon punt for 62 yds, downed at the NoIll 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:002% → 3%
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
97.6%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Cole TuckerSimilar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+6
97.6%
Tre Harbison run for 6 yds to the NoIll 25Similar
Q4 8:08
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+3
97.5%
Jordan Nettles run for 3 yds to the NoIll 28Similar
Q4 8:08
4TH & 1
OWN 28
+2
97.5%
Marcus Childers run for 2 yds to the NoIll 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
97.5%
Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Spencer Tears, broken up by Jaylon JohnsonSimilar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+1
97.6%
Marcus Jones run for 1 yd to the NoIll 31Similar
Q4 8:08
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+6
97.7%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 6 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
Q4 8:08
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
97.5%
Matt Ference punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 23END OF GAME
6 plays · 31 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
98.8%
Jordan Wilmore run for 4 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q4 4:29
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+7
98.8%
Jordan Wilmore run for 7 yds to the Utah 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
98.9%
Devin Brumfield run for 2 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q4 4:29
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+11
98.9%
Jordan Wilmore run for 11 yds to the NoIll 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
98.9%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 9 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
Q4 4:29
2ND & 1
OPP 37
-2
98.9%
TJ Green run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:20
Ross Bowers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 74 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)
-5.3
TD · Q3 12:16
Zack Moss run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)
+5.2
TD · Q4 12:49
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 14 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)
+4.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com