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UTAH

Utah 30 at BYU 12

BYU
2019 · Week 1 · Aug 29, 2019 · LaVell Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · BYU
modelBYU aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playBYU scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+1.2BYU 38.2%Jake Oldroyd 32 Yd Field GoalAWAY 3 - HOME 3 · Q2 14:15
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:15 · Jake Oldroyd 32 Yd Field Goal
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 41Home team on offense+1.0Pregame prior−14.9Score differential−0.3Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:17: Francis Bernard 58 Yd Interception Return (Andrew Strauch PAT failed) — UTAH win probability +5.7 pts (now 65%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  2. TD · Q3 9:47: Jaylen Dixon 2 Yd Run (Andrew Strauch Kick) — UTAH win probability +10.1 pts (now 77%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:56: Zack Moss 4 Yd Run (Jadon Redding Kick) — UTAH win probability +11.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:25: Julian Blackmon 39 Yd Interception Return (Jadon Redding Kick) — UTAH win probability +5.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:19: Ty'Son Williams 10 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — BYU win probability +3.0 pts (now 6%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BYU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UTAH made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 12:41BYU 4th & 4 at UTAH 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    38.1%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    38.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:07UTAH 4th & 5 at BYU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.6%
    70% to make
    Punt
    59.6%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:18BYU 4th & 4 at BYU 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:09UTAH 4th & 3 at BYU 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    59.8%−0.2
    64% to make
    Punt
    57.9%−2.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:15BYU 4th & 8 at UTAH 15, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    38.0%−3.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:03UTAH 4th & 19 at UTAH 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−1.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:52BYU 4th & 15 at UTAH 20, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%−1.7
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    31.5%−4.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:05UTAH 4th & 1 at UTAH 49, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsPunted · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.5%−2.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:15BYU 4th & 2 at BYU 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:15BYU 4th & 10 at BYU 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.1%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:55UTAH 4th & 3 at BYU 7, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.0%−1.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    67.2%−10.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:12UTAH 4th & 1 at BYU 6, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.5%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    97.9%−0.6
    91% to make
    Punt
    96.6%−1.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BYU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1UTAH made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q2 10:17UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    63.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:47UTAH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 12:56UTAH Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:25UTAH Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:19BYU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    4.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BYUDrive 1DOWNS
8 plays · 35 yds · 2:1231% → 32%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
30.6%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Matt BushmanSimilar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
30.7%
Ty'Son Williams run for 3 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q1 14:15
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+26
30.8%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Matt Bushman for 26 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
31.2%
Zach Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-2
31.2%
Aleva Hifo run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 48Similar
Q1 12:59
3RD & 12
OPP 48
+8
31.5%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 8 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q1 12:41
4TH & 4
OPP 40
0
31.7%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Talon ShumwaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2FG
9 plays · 37 yds · 4:2969% → 67%
Q1 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
31.4%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+10
31.6%
Zack Moss run for 10 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
31.7%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Cole FotheringhamSimilar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+7
31.7%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 7 yds to the BYU 38Similar
Q1 10:42
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+10
31.9%
Zack Moss run for 10 yds to the BYU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
32.0%
Jordan Wilmore run for 1 yd to the BYU 27Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+2
32.3%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the BYU 25Similar
Q1 8:47
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+2
32.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Samson Nacua for 2 yds to the BYU 23Similar
Q1 8:07
4TH & 5
OPP 23
+41
32.9%
Andrew Strauch 41 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 2:3633% → 33%
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
32.9%
Zach Wilson run for 2 yds to the BYU 22Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+7
33.0%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Matt Bushman for 7 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q1 6:49
3RD & 1
OWN 29
-5
33.2%
BYU Penalty, False Start (Aleva Hifo) to the BYU 24Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 6
OWN 24
-10
33.1%
Wilson, Zach rush for 17 yards to the BYU41, PENALTY BYU holding (Herring, Chandon) 10 yards to the BYU14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:05
3RD & 16
OWN 14
+12
32.8%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 12 yds to the BYU 26Similar
Q1 5:18
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+40
32.9%
Jake Oldroyd punt for 47 yds , Britain Covey returns for 40 yds to the BYU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:0567% → 66%
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
32.9%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 35Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 12
OPP 35
+4
33.2%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the BYU 31Similar
Q1 3:52
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+5
33.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 5 yds to the BYU 26Similar
Q1 3:09
4TH & 3
OPP 26
0
34.3%
Tyler Huntley run for no gain to the BYU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 5FG
13 plays · 59 yds · 3:4534% → 38%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
34.3%
Aleva Hifo run for 10 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
34.8%
Jaren Hall run for 5 yds to the BYU 41Similar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
35.8%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Aleva HifoSimilar
Q1 1:42
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+4
35.3%
Wilson, Zach pass incomplete to Simon, Micah (Anae, Bradlee), PENALTY UTAH offside (Anae, Bradlee) 4 yards to the BYU45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:36
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+3
35.6%
Zach Wilson run for 3 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
36.1%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 3 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q1 0:34
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+10
36.6%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Micah Simon for 10 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
36.8%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Ty'Son Williams for 4 yds to the Utah 35Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+18
37.5%
Ty'Son Williams run for 18 yds to the Utah 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
37.5%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Matt Bushman for 2 yds to the Utah 15Similar
Q2 14:24
2ND & 8
OPP 15
0
37.7%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Matt Bushman, broken up by Terrell BurgessSimilar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 8
OPP 15
0
37.0%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Talon ShumwaySimilar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+32
38.2%
Jake Oldroyd 32 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 2:5963% → 61%
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+7
37.0%
Zack Moss run for 7 yds to the Utah 12Similar
Q2 13:39
2ND & 3
OWN 12
+7
37.0%
Tyler Huntley run for 7 yds to the Utah 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
37.1%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Brant KuitheSimilar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-5
37.3%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 14Similar
Q2 12:19
3RD & 15
OWN 14
-5
38.3%
UTAH Penalty, Delay of Game (Tyler Huntley) to the Utah 9Similar
Q2 11:46
3RD & 20
OWN 9
+1
38.7%
Tyler Huntley run for 1 yd to the Utah 10Similar
Q2 11:03
4TH & 19
OWN 10
0
39.4%
Ben Lennon punt for 40 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 7INT TD
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:4041% → 36%
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
50
+8
41.2%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 8 yds to the Utah 42Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+58
35.5%
Francis Bernard 58 Yd Interception Return (Andrew Strauch PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8FG
10 plays · 55 yds · 4:1834% → 36%
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
33.5%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Matt Bushman for 17 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
34.5%
Lopini Katoa run for 6 yds to the BYU 48Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 4
OWN 48
-1
35.1%
Lopini Katoa run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 47Similar
Q2 8:29
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+12
34.7%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Micah Simon for 12 yds to the Utah 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+26
34.8%
Zach Wilson run for 26 yds to the Utah 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
35.9%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Dax MilneSimilar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+7
35.9%
Ty'Son Williams run for 7 yds to the Utah 8Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 3
OPP 8
-12
34.9%
Jaren Hall run for a loss of 12 yards to the Utah 20Similar
Q2 5:52
4TH & 15
OPP 20
+37
35.8%
Jake Oldroyd 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 1:4063% → 63%
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
36.6%
Jaylen Dixon run for 15 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
35.1%
Zack Moss run for 9 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 1
OWN 49
0
34.8%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Demari Simpkins, broken up by Zayne AndersonSimilar
Q2 4:56
3RD & 1
OWN 49
0
35.1%
Zack Moss run for no gain to the Utah 49Similar
Q2 4:05
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
36.7%
Ben Lennon punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Aleva Hifo at the BYU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 2:4438% → 37%
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
38.4%
Zach Wilson run for 5 yds to the BYU 15Similar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 5
OWN 15
-3
38.7%
Zach Wilson sacked by Mika Tafua for a loss of 3 yards to the BYU 12Similar
Q2 2:28
3RD & 8
OWN 12
+12
36.7%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 12 yds to the BYU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-2
38.0%
Lopini Katoa run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 22Similar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 12
OWN 22
+10
37.1%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Matt Bushman for 10 yds to the BYU 32Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 2
OWN 32
0
38.3%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Matt Bushman for no gain to the BYU 32Similar
Q2 1:15
4TH & 2
OWN 32
-4
36.9%
Jake Oldroyd punt for 56 yds , Britain Covey returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11END OF HALF
5 plays · 52 yds · 1:0564% → 66%
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+43
35.7%
Zack Moss run for 28 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST down BYU Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Dayan Ghanwoloku) to the BYU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-10
33.8%
Huntley, Tyler rush for 2 yards to the BYU47, PENALTY UTAH holding 10 yards to the UTAH41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 20
OWN 41
+4
35.8%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 4 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 16
OWN 45
+11
36.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 11 yds to the BYU 44Similar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+4
33.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Britain Covey for 4 yds to the BYU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:0464% → 77%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
36.2%
Tyler Huntley run for 3 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+14
36.0%
Zack Moss run for 14 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
34.5%
Zack Moss run for 14 yds to the BYU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
34.0%
Jordan Wilmore run for 3 yds to the BYU 41Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 7
OPP 37
-6
34.1%
Demari Simpkins run for 4 yds to the BYU 37 UTAH Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BYU 47Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 13
OPP 47
+5
35.4%
Tyler Huntley run for 5 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+12
35.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Solomon Enis for 12 yds to the BYU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
33.7%
Tyler Huntley run for 7 yds to the BYU 23Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+5
33.4%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds to the BYU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+15
33.6%
Tyler Huntley run for 13 yds to the BYU 5 for a 1ST down BYU Penalty, Personal Foul (D'Angelo Mandell) to the BYU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
33.6%
BYU Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (1 Yards) to the BYU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
23.5%
Jaylen Dixon 2 Yd Run (Andrew Strauch Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:2424% → 22%
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
24.0%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Talon Shumway for 4 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q3 9:08
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
24.3%
Ty'Son Williams run for 10 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
24.9%
Ty'Son Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 38Similar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+1
24.5%
Zach Wilson run for 1 yd to the BYU 39Similar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
23.5%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Matt Bushman, broken up by Terrell BurgessSimilar
Q3 7:15
4TH & 10
OWN 39
+10
22.3%
Jake Oldroyd punt for 44 yds , Britain Covey returns for 10 yds to the Utah 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14MISSED FG
15 plays · 66 yds · 7:1476% → 79%
Q3 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
23.7%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 9 yds to the Utah 36Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+4
22.9%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
21.5%
Zack Moss run for 6 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 4
OWN 46
-15
20.5%
Moss, Zack rush for loss of 2 yards to the UTAH44, PENALTY UTAH face mask 15 yards to the UTAH31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:52
2ND & 19
OWN 31
-10
22.1%
Wilmore, Jordan rush for 3 yards to the UTAH34, PENALTY UTAH holding (Ford, Nick) 10 yards to the UTAH21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:21
2ND & 29
OWN 21
+2
22.1%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Zack Moss for 2 yds to the Utah 23Similar
Q3 3:51
3RD & 27
OWN 32
+24
22.7%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 9 yds to the Utah 32 for a 1ST down BYU Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
19.5%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 2 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+11
19.4%
Jordan Wilmore run for 11 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+26
19.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 26 yds to the BYU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
18.2%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 15Similar
Q3 1:11
2ND & 11
OPP 15
-10
18.3%
Huntley, Tyler rush for 8 yards to the BYU7, PENALTY UTAH holding (Ford, Nick) 10 yards to the BYU25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:44
2ND & 21
OPP 25
+5
18.3%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds to the BYU 20Similar
Q3 0:01
3RD & 16
OPP 20
+13
19.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 13 yds to the BYU 7Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+25
20.9%
Andrew Strauch 25 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 15FUMBLE
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:4520% → 19%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
19.8%
Zach Wilson run for 4 yds to the BYU 24Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-2
19.4%
Ty'Son Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 22 Ty'Son Williams fumbled, recovered by Utah Mika TafuaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16TD
3 plays · 22 yds · 1:0182% → 94%
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+14
18.1%
Zack Moss run for 14 yds to the BYU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
17.7%
Demari Simpkins run for 4 yds to the BYU 4Similar
Q4 12:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
5.9%
Zack Moss 4 Yd Run (Jadon Redding Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 17INT TD
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:197% → 2%
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+13
7.4%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 13 yds to the BYU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+39
2.4%
Julian Blackmon 39 Yd Interception Return (Jadon Redding Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:582% → 6%
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.4%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Aleva Hifo, broken up by Julian BlackmonSimilar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
2.3%
Zach Wilson run for 5 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q4 11:19
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+13
2.3%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Micah Simon for 13 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
2.4%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Micah Simon, broken up by Jaylon JohnsonSimilar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+3
2.3%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 3 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q4 10:35
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+19
2.3%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 19 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
2.5%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Talon Shumway for 8 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+17
2.5%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 17 yds to the Utah 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
5.5%
Ty'Son Williams 10 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19END OF GAME
17 plays · 68 yds · 8:4797% → 99%
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
3.4%
Zack Moss run for 7 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+11
3.3%
Zack Moss run for 11 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
2.8%
Zack Moss run for 10 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
2.6%
Zack Moss run for 8 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q4 5:48
2ND & 2
OPP 39
0
2.2%
Jordan Wilmore run for no gain to the BYU 39Similar
Q4 5:01
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+3
1.9%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+21
1.8%
Zack Moss run for 7 yds to the BYU 29 for a 1ST down BYU Penalty, Face Mask (14 yards) (14 Yards) to the BYU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
1.7%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd to the BYU 14Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+3
1.5%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the BYU 11Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+5
1.5%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds to the BYU 6Similar
Q4 2:12
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+3
1.4%
Tyler Huntley run for 3 yds to the BYU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
0.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 4Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
0.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 6Similar
Q4 0:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
0.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:56
Zack Moss 4 Yd Run (Jadon Redding Kick)
-11.8
TD · Q3 9:47
Jaylen Dixon 2 Yd Run (Andrew Strauch Kick)
-10.1
TD · Q2 10:17
Francis Bernard 58 Yd Interception Return (Andrew Strauch PAT failed)
-5.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com