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USC

USC 14 at Washington 28

WASH
2019 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2019 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadUSC aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreUSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:45 · Ben Griffiths punt for 54 yds , Aaron Fuller returns for 12 yds to the Wash 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 94Home team on offense+11.8Pregame prior+10.4Score differential+5.6Garbage-time factor+2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.2Time remaining+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:29: Andre Baccellia 0 Yd Fumble Recovery (Peyton Henry Kick) — WASH win probability +4.5 pts (now 81%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:14: Matt Fink run for 3 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) — USC win probability +6.4 pts (now 25%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 5:12: Jacob Eason pass complete to Cade Otton for 7 yds to the Wash 11 — WASH win probability +5.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:56: Salvon Ahmed run for 89 yds for a TD, (Jacob Eason pass to Chico McClatcher for Two-Point Conversion) — WASH win probability +7.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:10: Matt Fink pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 44 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) — USC win probability +7.3 pts (now 10%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 6 of 9USC made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 11:16USC 4th & 5 at WASH 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    23.4%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    23.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:49WASH 4th & 13 at WASH 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:42USC 4th & 14 at USC 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.1%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:23USC 4th & 7 at WASH 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:55WASH 4th & 13 at WASH 2, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.7%−2.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:41USC 4th & 7 at WASH 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    17.0%−0.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    16.7%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:52WASH 4th & 1 at midfield, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    77.3%−1.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00WASH 4th & 4 at USC 10, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.6%−0.3
    88% to make
    Punt
    72.9%−6.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:02WASH 4th & 12 at USC 17, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%−1.7
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.8%
    80% to make
    Punt
    75.5%−6.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:45USC 4th & 4 at USC 40, down 13
    Close callPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:25WASH 4th & 10 at USC 47, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:07WASH 4th & 6 at USC 47, up 14
    Close callPunted · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:57USC 4th & 5 at USC 7, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:59USC 4th & 13 at USC 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:52WASH 4th & 5 at WASH 20, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:36WASH 4th & 2 at WASH 10, up 14
    Close callPunted · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 2 of 3USC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 3:38WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:29WASH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:14USC Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:56WASH Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    94.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:10USC Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USCDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 3:1926% → 26%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
74.5%
Vavae Malepeai run for 2 yds to the USC 27Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
74.4%
Matt Fink pass complete to Erik Krommenhoek for 4 yds to the USC 31Similar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
74.3%
Matt Fink pass complete to Vavae Malepeai for 5 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
74.1%
Matt Fink pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 8 yds to the USC 44Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+9
73.9%
Vavae Malepeai run for 9 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
73.7%
Matt Fink pass incomplete to Tyler VaughnsSimilar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+5
73.6%
Matt Fink pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 5 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 5
OPP 42
0
73.5%
Matt Fink pass incomplete to Drake LondonSimilar
Q1 11:16
4TH & 5
OPP 42
0
73.6%
Ben Griffiths punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the Wash 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 3:1374% → 73%
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
73.7%
Salvon Ahmed run for 5 yds to the Wash 23Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+15
73.7%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 15 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
73.8%
Salvon Ahmed run for 2 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+6
73.7%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 6 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+2
73.4%
Richard Newton run for 2 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
73.6%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Salvon AhmedSimilar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
73.5%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 10
OWN 48
-3
73.1%
Jacob Eason sacked by Max Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 45Similar
Q1 7:49
4TH & 13
OWN 45
0
72.7%
Joel Whitford punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Amon-Ra St. Brown at the USC 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:4527% → 27%
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
72.7%
Stephen Carr run for 4 yds to the USC 19Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+4
72.5%
Matt Fink pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 4 yds to the USC 23Similar
Q1 6:20
3RD & 2
OWN 23
-12
72.6%
Matt Fink sacked by Kyler Manu for a loss of 12 yards to the USC 11Similar
Q1 5:42
4TH & 14
OWN 11
+11
72.9%
Ben Griffiths punt for 35 yds , Aaron Fuller returns for 11 yds to the USC 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4TD
5 plays · 35 yds · 1:5773% → 76%
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+19
73.4%
Chico McClatcher run for 19 yds to the USC 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
73.3%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 8 yds to the USC 8Similar
Q1 4:27
2ND & 2
OPP 8
+5
73.3%
Salvon Ahmed run for 5 yds to the USC 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
73.2%
Richard Newton run for 2 yds to the USC 1Similar
Q1 3:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.4%
Richard Newton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 5INT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:5025% → 25%
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
75.1%
Markese Stepp run for 2 yds to the USC 37Similar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-5
74.9%
USC Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the USC 32Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+14
75.1%
Matt Fink pass intercepted Cameron Williams return for 14 yds to the USC 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6TD
4 plays · 38 yds · 1:3876% → 81%
Q1 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
76.3%
Richard Newton run for 6 yds to the USC 32Similar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+23
76.4%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 23 yds to the USC 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
76.5%
Salvon Ahmed run for 4 yds to the USC 5Similar
Q1 0:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
80.9%
Andre Baccellia 0 Yd Fumble Recovery (Peyton Henry Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 2:4721% → 20%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
79.2%
Vavae Malepeai run for 15 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
78.9%
Vavae Malepeai run for 4 yds to the USC 42Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+8
78.8%
Matt Fink pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
50
0
79.0%
Vavae Malepeai run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 10
50
0
79.5%
Matt Fink pass incomplete to Amon-Ra St. BrownSimilar
Q2 13:03
3RD & 10
50
-5
79.7%
USC Penalty, False Start (Drew Richmond) to the USC 45Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 15
OWN 45
+8
80.1%
Matt Fink run for 8 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q2 12:23
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
80.0%
Ben Griffiths punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the Wash 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 2:2081% → 81%
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-2
81.2%
Ahmed, Salvon rush for 15 yards to the WASHINGTON20, PENALTY WASHINGTON holding 2 yards to the WASHINGTON3, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 12
OWN 3
0
81.2%
Sean McGrew run for no gain to the Wash 3Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 12
OWN 3
+1
81.4%
Richard Newton run for 1 yd to the Wash 4Similar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 11
OWN 4
-2
81.3%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Delay of Game (-2 Yards) to the Wash 2Similar
Q2 10:05
3RD & 13
OWN 2
0
81.4%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q2 9:55
4TH & 13
OWN 2
+6
80.9%
Joel Whitford punt for 43 yds , Amon-Ra St. Brown returns for 6 yds to the Wash 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 9TD
13 plays · 39 yds · 5:1520% → 25%
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
80.1%
Matt Fink run for 5 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 5
OPP 34
-2
79.4%
Stephen Carr run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 36Similar
Q2 8:44
3RD & 7
OPP 36
0
80.4%
Matt Fink pass incomplete to Amon-Ra St. BrownSimilar
Q2 8:41
4TH & 7
OPP 36
+8
81.1%
Matt Fink pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 8 yds to the Wash 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
79.8%
Markese Stepp run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 29Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+5
80.2%
Matt Fink pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 5 yds to the Wash 24Similar
Q2 6:50
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+6
80.7%
Matt Fink pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 6 yds to the Wash 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
80.2%
Markese Stepp run for 4 yds to the Wash 14Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+9
80.3%
Matt Fink pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 9 yds to the Wash 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
81.6%
Markese Stepp run for 3 yds to the Wash 2Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
81.7%
Markese Stepp run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 3Similar
Q2 4:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
75.2%
Matt Fink run for 3 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10END OF HALF
15 plays · 49 yds · 4:0179% → 82%
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
79.1%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Cade OttonSimilar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+9
78.5%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 1
50
0
78.9%
Richard Newton run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:52
4TH & 1
50
+2
78.0%
Chico McClatcher run for 2 yds to the USC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+20
79.4%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 20 yds to the USC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
80.0%
Richard Newton run for 2 yds to the USC 26Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+10
80.1%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 10 yds to the USC 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
80.1%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-1
80.2%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 17Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 11
OPP 17
+7
79.3%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 7 yds to the USC 10Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 10
+28
82.2%
Peyton Henry 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11FG
9 plays · 45 yds · 2:3881% → 86%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+36
81.4%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Cade Otton for 36 yds to the USC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
82.0%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Salvon Ahmed for 6 yds to the USC 20Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+5
82.1%
Salvon Ahmed run for 5 yds to the USC 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
82.3%
Salvon Ahmed run for 2 yds to the USC 13Similar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 8
OPP 13
-5
82.3%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (Jaxson Kirkland) to the USC 18Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 13
OPP 18
+1
82.8%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Sean McGrew for 1 yd to the USC 17Similar
Q3 12:06
3RD & 12
OPP 17
0
82.1%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Andre BaccelliaSimilar
Q3 12:02
4TH & 12
OPP 17
+35
86.1%
Peyton Henry 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 2:0816% → 14%
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
84.5%
USC Penalty, False Start (Josh Falo) to the USC 29Similar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+7
85.0%
Vavae Malepeai run for 7 yds to the USC 36Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+3
85.5%
Vavae Malepeai run for 3 yds to the USC 39Similar
Q3 10:24
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+1
85.5%
Matt Fink run for 1 yd to the USC 40Similar
Q3 9:45
4TH & 4
OWN 40
+12
86.3%
Ben Griffiths punt for 54 yds , Aaron Fuller returns for 12 yds to the Wash 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 35 yds · 2:1488% → 87%
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
87.7%
Sean McGrew run for 8 yds to the Wash 26Similar
Q3 9:03
2ND & 2
OWN 26
0
88.0%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Hunter BryantSimilar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+27
88.0%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 12 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST down USC Penalty, Roughing Passer (John Houston Jr.) to the USC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
88.7%
Eason, Jacob rush for 6 yards to the USC41, PENALTY WASHINGTON holding 10 yards to the WASHINGTON43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 20
OWN 43
0
88.6%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 20
OWN 43
0
88.5%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Andre BaccelliaSimilar
Q3 7:52
3RD & 20
OWN 43
+10
88.0%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 10 yds to the USC 47Similar
Q3 7:25
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
87.4%
Joel Whitford punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Amon-Ra St. Brown at the USC 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 14INT
5 plays · 79 yds · 1:2113% → 16%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+60
87.4%
Stephen Carr run for 60 yds to the Wash 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
84.2%
Matt Fink pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 5 yds to the Wash 24Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+8
84.4%
Markese Stepp run for 8 yds to the Wash 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
84.5%
Matt Fink pass complete to Erik Krommenhoek for 6 yds to the Wash 10Similar
Q3 5:39
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+4
84.5%
Matt Fink pass intercepted Elijah Molden return for 4 yds to the Wash 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15TD
2 plays · 96 yds · 0:1690% → 97%
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+7
89.5%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Cade Otton for 7 yds to the Wash 11Similar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 3
OWN 11
+89
96.6%
Salvon Ahmed run for 89 yds for a TD, (Jacob Eason pass to Chico McClatcher for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 16TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:193% → 10%
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
96.6%
Matt Fink pass complete to Vavae Malepeai for 3 yds to the USC 38Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+2
96.7%
Vavae Malepeai run for 2 yds to the USC 40Similar
Q3 3:20
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+6
96.9%
Matt Fink pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 6 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
96.8%
USC Penalty, False Start (Drew Richmond) to the USC 41Similar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 15
OWN 41
+15
97.4%
Stephen Carr run for 15 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
90.1%
Matt Fink pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 44 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:4193% → 94%
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
93.4%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Hunter Bryant for 11 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
94.1%
Salvon Ahmed run for 7 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q3 0:51
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+6
94.4%
Richard Newton run for 6 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-3
94.6%
Salvon Ahmed run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 46Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 13
OWN 46
+7
94.6%
Salvon Ahmed run for 7 yds to the USC 47Similar
Q4 14:18
3RD & 6
OPP 47
0
94.6%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q4 14:07
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
94.3%
Joel Whitford punt for 45 yds, downed at the USC 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:026% → 6%
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+7
93.6%
Stephen Carr run for 7 yds to the USC 9Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 3
OWN 9
-2
93.7%
Stephen Carr run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 7Similar
Q4 13:05
3RD & 5
OWN 7
0
93.9%
Matt Fink pass incomplete to Tyler VaughnsSimilar
Q4 12:57
4TH & 5
OWN 7
0
94.0%
Ben Griffiths punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19FUMBLE
1 play · -8 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
95.2%
Hunter Bryant run for a loss of 8 yards to the USC 43 Hunter Bryant fumbled, recovered by USC Chris Steele , return to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down USC Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the USC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:417% → 6%
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
93.1%
Vavae Malepeai run for 6 yds to the USC 49Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 4
OWN 49
-15
93.0%
Fink, Matt pass complete to Vaughns, Tyler for 7 yards to the WASHINGTON44, PENALTY USC pass interference 15 yards to the USC34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 19
OWN 34
0
94.2%
Matt Fink pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:29
3RD & 19
OWN 34
+6
94.5%
Matt Fink pass complete to Josh Falo for 6 yds to the USC 40Similar
Q4 10:59
4TH & 13
OWN 40
+3
94.5%
Ben Griffiths punt for 48 yds , Aaron Fuller returns for 3 yds to the Wash 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:4895% → 96%
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
95.4%
Salvon Ahmed run for 7 yds to the Wash 22Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 3
OWN 22
0
95.9%
Richard Newton run for no gain to the Wash 22Similar
Q4 9:22
3RD & 3
OWN 22
-2
95.9%
Jacob Eason sacked by Jay Tufele for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 20Similar
Q4 8:52
4TH & 5
OWN 20
0
95.7%
Joel Whitford punt for 56 yds, downed at the USC 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 22DOWNS
10 plays · 74 yds · 3:365% → 4%
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
95.3%
Matt Fink pass incomplete to Amon-Ra St. BrownSimilar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+12
95.4%
Stephen Carr run for 12 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
95.1%
Matt Fink pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 12 yds to the USC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+35
95.1%
Markese Stepp run for 35 yds to the Wash 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
94.9%
Markese Stepp run for 4 yds to the Wash 13Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+6
94.9%
Markese Stepp run for 6 yds to the Wash 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
95.2%
Markese Stepp run for 2 yds to the Wash 5Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
95.3%
Vavae Malepeai run for 1 yd to the Wash 4Similar
Q4 5:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
95.8%
Matt Fink run for 2 yds to the Wash 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:3997% → 97%
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
97.2%
Salvon Ahmed run for 2 yds to the Wash 4Similar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+6
97.6%
Salvon Ahmed run for 6 yds to the Wash 10Similar
Q4 3:45
3RD & 2
OWN 10
0
97.7%
Salvon Ahmed run for no gain to the Wash 10Similar
Q4 3:36
4TH & 2
OWN 10
0
97.4%
Joel Whitford punt for 46 yds , Michael Pittman Jr. returns for no gain to the USC 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 24INT
6 plays · 29 yds · 1:043% → 3%
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+19
97.0%
Matt Fink pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 19 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
96.9%
Matt Fink pass complete to Stephen Carr for no gain to the Wash 37Similar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
97.0%
Matt Fink pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:32
3RD & 10
OPP 37
0
97.1%
Matt Fink pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:25
4TH & 10
OPP 37
+10
97.2%
Fink, Matt pass incomplete to St. Brown, Amon-Ra, PENALTY WASHINGTON pass interference 10 yards to the WASHINGTON27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN USC.Similar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
96.6%
Matt Fink pass intercepted Cameron Williams return for no gain to the Wash 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 25END OF 4TH QUARTER
4 plays · 14 yds · 1:5698% → 99%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
98.3%
Jacob Eason run for 5 yds to the Wash 6Similar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 5
OWN 6
+4
98.3%
Salvon Ahmed run for 4 yds to the Wash 10Similar
Q4 0:51
3RD & 1
OWN 10
+6
98.4%
Salvon Ahmed run for 6 yds to the Wash 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
98.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:10
Matt Fink pass complete to Michael Pittman Jr. for 44 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)
-7.3
TD · Q3 4:56
Salvon Ahmed run for 89 yds for a TD, (Jacob Eason pass to Chico McClatcher for Two-Point Conversion)
+7.1
TD · Q2 4:14
Matt Fink run for 3 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)
-6.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com