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SDSU

San Diego State 23 at UCLA 14

UCLA
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2019 · Rose Bowl
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Win probability · UCLA
modelUCLA aheadSDSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUCLA scoreSDSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Brandon Heicklen punt for 46 yds , Kyle Philips returns for 30 yds to the SDSt 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Pregame prior+19.4Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:50: Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 34 yds for a TD, (Matt Araiza KICK) — SDSU win probability +13.0 pts (now 60%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:12: Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 20 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +10.0 pts (now 56%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. FG · Q3 0:21: Matt Araiza 31 yd FG GOOD — SDSU win probability +10.5 pts (now 65%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 12:23: Juwan Washington run for 3 yds to the SDSt 30 — SDSU win probability +7.1 pts (now 68%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 5:29: Matt Araiza 25 yd FG GOOD — SDSU win probability +12.5 pts (now 86%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCLA made the numbers' call on 7 of 8SDSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00SDSU 4th & 10 at SDSU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:50SDSU 4th & 5 at UCLA 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    31.3%−1.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00UCLA 4th & 4 at UCLA 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:49SDSU 4th & 7 at SDSU 46, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:30UCLA 4th & 5 at UCLA 11, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:28SDSU 4th & 9 at UCLA 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.5%
    56% to make
    Punt
    37.3%−1.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:47UCLA 4th & 4 at SDSU 27, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.1%−0.5
    62% to make
    Punt
    56.1%−5.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:47SDSU 4th & 3 at UCLA 39, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.6%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    39.0%−1.6
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%−1.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:02UCLA 4th & 7 at UCLA 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%−1.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:12SDSU 4th & 15 at SDSU 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%−5.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:53UCLA 4th & 16 at UCLA 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%−5.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:21SDSU 4th & 5 at UCLA 14, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.2%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    37.3%−14.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00UCLA 4th & 16 at UCLA 39, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−4.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:29SDSU 4th & 6 at UCLA 8, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.6%
    90% to make
    Punt
    66.2%−11.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:29UCLA 4th & 1 at UCLA 46, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.9%−3.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:50SDSU 4th & 9 at UCLA 45, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    86.9%−0.9
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:44UCLA 4th & 1 at UCLA 32, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.0%−1.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2SDSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:03UCLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:50SDSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:50SDSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:12UCLA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SDSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
69.4%
Jordan Byrd run for 3 yds to the SDSt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
69.4%
Ryan Agnew sacked by Osa Odighizuwa for a loss of 5 yards to the SDSt 23Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+2
69.4%
Jordan Byrd run for 2 yds to the SDSt 25Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+30
69.4%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 46 yds , Kyle Philips returns for 30 yds to the SDSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2TD
4 plays · 41 yds · 1:1869% → 70%
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+18
69.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jaylen Erwin for 18 yds to the SDSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
69.4%
Joshua Kelley run for 5 yds to the SDSt 18Similar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+13
69.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 13 yds to the SDSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
70.2%
Joshua Kelley run for 5 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 3TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 7:1330% → 34%
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
69.8%
Ryan Agnew run for 2 yds to the SDSt 27Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+12
69.8%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 12 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
69.7%
Jordan Byrd run for 2 yds to the SDSt 41Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
69.7%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Jesse MatthewsSimilar
Q1 12:03
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+9
69.8%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Jordan Byrd for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
50
+6
69.6%
Jordan Byrd run for 6 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+5
69.6%
BYRD, Jordan rush for 2 yards to the UCLA42 (Toailoa, Leni;Jones, Carl), PENALTY UCLA offside (Mafi, Atonio) 5 yards to the UCLA39, 1ST DOWN SDSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+19
69.6%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 19 yds to the UCLA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
69.4%
Ryan Agnew run for 6 yds to the UCLA 14Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+2
69.4%
Jordan Byrd run for 2 yds to the UCLA 12Similar
Q1 12:03
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+9
69.6%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 9 yds to the UCLA 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
69.4%
Chance Bell run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 5Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
69.4%
Chance Bell run for 3 yds to the UCLA 2Similar
Q1 5:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-15
70.0%
AGNEW, Ryan pass complete to SMITH, Kobe for 2 yards to the UCLA0, clock 05:41, PENALTY SDSU pass interference (MATTHEWS, Jesse) 15 yards to the UCLA17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
+14
70.6%
AGNEW, Ryan pass incomplete to SMITH, Kobe, PENALTY UCLA pass interference (Gates, Elijah) 14 yards to the UCLA3, 1ST DOWN SDSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
69.6%
Chase Jasmin run for 1 yd to the UCLA 2Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
66.3%
Chase Jasmin run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matt Araiza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4FUMBLE
4 plays · 23 yds · 0:0068% → 69%
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
67.8%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Myles Cheatum) to the UCLA 37Similar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 5
OWN 37
+4
68.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jaylen Erwin for 4 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+3
68.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Mike Martinez for 14 yds Mike Martinez fumbled, forced by Dwayne Johnson Jr., recovered by SDSt Tariq Thompson , return for 3 yds to the SDSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 5FG
7 plays · 26 yds · 3:1234% → 35%
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
66.5%
Jordan Byrd run for 1 yd to the SDSt 49Similar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
66.5%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Ethan Dedeaux, broken up by Elisha GuidrySimilar
Q1 4:02
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+20
67.0%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 20 yds to the UCLA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
66.1%
Jordan Byrd run for 1 yd to the UCLA 30Similar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 9
OPP 30
0
66.1%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Jesse Matthews for no gain to the UCLA 30Similar
Q1 4:02
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+4
66.5%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Jordan Byrd for 4 yds to the UCLA 26Similar
Q1 0:50
4TH & 5
OPP 26
+43
65.1%
Matt Araiza 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5065% → 64%
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
65.2%
Demetric Felton run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 24Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
65.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jaylen Erwin for 7 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
64.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Jaylen Erwin, broken up by Dwayne Johnson Jr.Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
64.4%
Wade Lees punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jesse Matthews at the SDSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:0036% → 35%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+23
64.4%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 23 yds to the SDSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
63.5%
Chance Bell run for no gain to the SDSt 43Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+7
63.7%
Ryan Agnew run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 3
50
-4
63.4%
Juwan Washington run for a loss of 4 yards to the SDSt 46Similar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 7
OWN 46
+48
64.7%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 12 UCLA Penalty, Offensive holding (Martin Andrus Jr.) to the UCLA 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0064% → 63%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
63.9%
Joshua Kelley run for 5 yds to the UCLA 11Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+1
63.9%
Joshua Kelley run for 1 yd to the UCLA 12Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 4
OWN 12
-1
63.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Joshua Kelley for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 11Similar
Q2 12:30
4TH & 5
OWN 11
0
63.0%
Wade Lees punt for 39 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 9MISSED FG
7 plays · 20 yds · 3:2639% → 39%
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
50
0
61.5%
Juwan Washington run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 10
50
+19
61.6%
Ryan Agnew run for 19 yds to the UCLA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-11
61.0%
Ryan Agnew sacked by Krys Barnes for a loss of 11 yards to the UCLA 42Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 21
OPP 42
+1
62.2%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Juwan Washington for 1 yd to the UCLA 41Similar
Q2 10:54
3RD & 20
OPP 41
+11
62.9%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Chase Jasmin for 11 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q2 7:28
4TH & 9
OPP 30
+47
61.0%
Matt Araiza 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 10MISSED FG
10 plays · 43 yds · 3:4162% → 62%
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
62.3%
Joshua Kelley run for 12 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
63.9%
Joshua Kelley run for 5 yds to the UCLA 47Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+9
64.3%
Demetric Felton run for 9 yds to the SDSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
64.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Chase CotaSimilar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+5
64.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 5 yds to the SDSt 39Similar
Q2 7:28
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+6
64.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 6 yds to the SDSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
65.6%
Demetric Felton run for 4 yds to the SDSt 29Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+3
65.6%
Joshua Kelley run for 3 yds to the SDSt 26Similar
Q2 7:28
3RD & 3
OPP 26
-1
64.4%
Joshua Kelley run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 27Similar
Q2 3:47
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+45
62.4%
JJ Molson 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
59.6%
Ryan Agnew run for no gain to the SDSt 27 Ryan Agnew fumbled, forced by Tyler Manoa, recovered by SDSt William DunkleSimilar
Q2 3:47
3RD & 14
OWN 23
+10
60.8%
AGNEW, Ryan pass incomplete to SMITH, Kobe, PENALTY UCLA pass interference (Gates, Elijah) 10 yards to the SDSU33, 1ST DOWN SDSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
59.2%
Ryan Agnew run for 1 yd to the SDSt 34Similar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+20
59.2%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Jordan Byrd for 20 yds to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
57.4%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Elijah Kothe for 7 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 3
OPP 39
0
57.3%
Chase Jasmin run for no gain to the UCLA 39Similar
Q2 3:47
3RD & 3
OPP 39
0
57.6%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Kobe SmithSimilar
Q2 3:47
4TH & 3
OPP 39
0
59.1%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 12Similar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+1
59.9%
Jordan Byrd run for 1 yd to the SDSt 28Similar
Q2 3:47
3RD & 9
OWN 28
-5
60.5%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, false start (Jordan Byrd) to the SDSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0059% → 58%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
59.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Devin AsiasiSimilar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+17
59.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Devin Asiasi for 17 yds to the UCLA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
59.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Jaylen Erwin, broken up by Luq BarcooSimilar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+3
59.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Joshua Kelley for 3 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
58.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Jaylen Erwin, broken up by Luq BarcooSimilar
Q2 1:02
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
57.9%
Wade Lees punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 13END OF HALF
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:1243% → 47%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
57.4%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 22Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+10
56.5%
Juwan Washington run for 10 yds to the SDSt 32Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+10
54.3%
Juwan Washington run for 10 yds to the SDSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
52.7%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Kobe Smith, broken up by Jay ShawSimilar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+1
53.4%
Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the SDSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14FUMBLE
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
58.0%
Joshua Kelley run for 4 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
58.4%
Joshua Kelley run for 10 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
59.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Kyle Philips, broken up by Tariq ThompsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+3
59.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 3 yds to the UCLA 42Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 42
-6
58.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Kyahva Tezino for a loss of 6 yards to the UCLA 36 Dorian Thompson-Robinson fumbled, recovered by SDSt Caden McDonald , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 15TD
2 plays · 36 yds · 0:4647% → 60%
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
52.9%
Jordan Byrd run for 2 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+34
39.9%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 34 yds for a TD, (Matt Araiza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 16TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 4:3841% → 56%
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
41.3%
Demetric Felton run for 3 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
41.6%
Demetric Felton run for 7 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
41.8%
Demetric Felton run for 7 yds to the UCLA 42Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+2
43.4%
Joshua Kelley run for 2 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+1
42.8%
Joshua Kelley run for 1 yd to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
43.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Jaylen Erwin, broken up by Kyree WoodsSimilar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+5
42.7%
Joshua Kelley run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 5
50
+11
43.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Demetric Felton for 11 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
44.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Myles Cheatum for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 40Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 11
OPP 40
0
44.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for no gain to the SDSt 40Similar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 11
OPP 40
+24
42.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 24 yds to the SDSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
45.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Kyle PhilipsSimilar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-4
45.6%
Demetric Felton run for a loss of 4 yards to the SDSt 20Similar
Q3 8:12
3RD & 14
OPP 20
+20
55.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 20 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:0048% → 45%
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
52.3%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 13 yds to the SDSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
50.3%
Juwan Washington run for 2 yds to the SDSt 40Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-10
49.8%
AGNEW, Ryan pass incomplete, PENALTY SDSU holding (HOUSTON, Parker) 10 yards to the SDSU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 18
OWN 30
0
52.6%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Juwan WashingtonSimilar
Q3 8:12
3RD & 18
OWN 30
+3
54.0%
Juwan Washington run for 3 yds to the SDSt 33Similar
Q3 8:12
4TH & 15
OWN 33
+13
54.8%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 41 yds , Kyle Philips returns for 13 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0055% → 51%
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-4
55.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 35Similar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 14
OWN 35
0
53.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Chase CotaSimilar
Q3 5:53
3RD & 14
OWN 35
+3
51.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Chase Cota for 3 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
Q3 5:53
4TH & 11
OWN 38
-5
51.3%
Lees, Wade punt 52 yards to the SDSU10, BYRD, Jordan return to the SDSU10 (Team), PENALTY UCLA illegal formation 5 yards to the UCLA33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:53
4TH & 16
OWN 33
0
50.6%
Wade Lees punt for 39 yds, downed at the SDSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 19FG
11 plays · 58 yds · 4:2051% → 65%
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
49.2%
Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the SDSt 29Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 9
OWN 29
0
49.3%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Kobe SmithSimilar
Q3 4:41
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+19
51.0%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Parker Houston for 19 yds to the SDSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
46.5%
Juwan Washington run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 46Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+21
47.9%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Juwan Washington for 21 yds to the UCLA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
44.7%
Juwan Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 34Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+15
44.8%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 15 yds to the UCLA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
44.3%
Juwan Washington run for 5 yds to the UCLA 14Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 5
OPP 14
0
44.3%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Kobe SmithSimilar
Q3 4:41
3RD & 5
OPP 14
0
46.0%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Juwan WashingtonSimilar
Q3 0:21
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+31
35.5%
Matt Araiza 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 20PUNT
11 plays · 14 yds · 0:2142% → 39%
Q3 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
42.1%
Demetric Felton run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 23Similar
Q3 0:21
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
41.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Demetric Felton for no gain to the UCLA 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-5
39.6%
UCLA Penalty, false start (Boss Tagaloa) to the UCLA 18Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+15
39.6%
Thmpsn-Robinson pass incomplete to Erwin, Jaylen, PENALTY SDSU pass interference (BARCOO, Luq) 15 yards to the UCLA33, 1ST DOWN UCLA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
42.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Devin Asiasi for 5 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+7
45.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Demetric Felton for 7 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
45.4%
Demetric Felton run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
50
0
46.7%
Joshua Kelley run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
50
-11
45.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Kyree Woods for a loss of 11 yards to the UCLA 39 Dorian Thompson-Robinson fumbled, recovered by UCLA , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 39
+17
39.2%
Wade Lees punt for 51 yds , Jordan Byrd returns for 17 yds to the SDSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 21FG
14 plays · 65 yds · 6:5468% → 86%
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
32.0%
Juwan Washington run for 3 yds to the SDSt 30Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+15
31.4%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 15 yds to the SDSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
29.7%
Jordan Byrd run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 44Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+12
30.2%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 12 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
25.9%
Juwan Washington run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 46Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 12
OPP 46
+9
26.1%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Juwan Washington for 9 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+18
26.2%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 18 yds to the UCLA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
25.0%
Juwan Washington run for no gain to the UCLA 19Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+7
25.2%
AGNEW, Ryan pass incomplete to MATTHEWS, Jesse, PENALTY UCLA pass interference (Burton, Austin) 7 yards to the UCLA12, 1ST DOWN SDSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
25.0%
Juwan Washington run for no gain to the UCLA 12Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+1
25.0%
Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the UCLA 11Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 9
OPP 11
+3
26.2%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Juwan Washington for 3 yds to the UCLA 8Similar
Q4 5:29
4TH & 6
OPP 8
+25
13.6%
Matt Araiza 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 22DOWNS
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:0015% → 16%
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
14.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Chase CotaSimilar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
14.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Devin Asiasi for 12 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
15.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Demetric Felton for 5 yds to the UCLA 42Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+4
17.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 4 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q4 5:29
3RD & 1
OWN 46
0
17.4%
Demetric Felton run for no gain to the UCLA 46Similar
Q4 5:29
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
16.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for no gain to the UCLA 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 0:1489% → 90%
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
10.9%
Juwan Washington run for 3 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 7
OPP 43
-1
9.9%
Juwan Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 44Similar
Q4 3:55
3RD & 8
OPP 44
-1
9.5%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Jordan Byrd for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 45Similar
Q4 3:50
4TH & 9
OPP 45
0
10.0%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 24DOWNS
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
8.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Devin Asiasi for 9 yds to the UCLA 19Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+4
8.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Demetric Felton for 4 yds to the UCLA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
8.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Demetric Felton for 5 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+4
8.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Demetric Felton for 4 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q4 3:44
3RD & 1
OWN 32
0
8.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Demetric FeltonSimilar
Q4 3:44
4TH & 1
OWN 32
-4
7.9%
Joshua Kelley run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 25END OF GAME
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
5.6%
Juwan Washington run for 9 yds to the UCLA 19Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+3
5.6%
Juwan Washington run for 3 yds to the UCLA 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
5.6%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 17Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 11
OPP 17
-1
5.9%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:50
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 34 yds for a TD, (Matt Araiza KICK)
-13
FG · Q4 5:29
Matt Araiza 25 yd FG GOOD
-12.5
FG · Q3 0:21
Matt Araiza 31 yd FG GOOD
-10.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com